@tszzl — page 94/103

@psychosort @Miles_Brundage if it was purely an info retrieval thing you would see a one time jump in performance and no further improvements

! https://x.com/deenamousa/status/1858527985831133520

@VividVoid_ sir don’t leaking this alpha!!!

for seven years I spoke with god

@cremieuxrecueil is conscientious the same as hard working? would argue elon isn’t conscientious at all and nobody works harder

@JulianCorwin @cremieuxrecueil conscientiousness is more about “duty” and “doing things on time” and seems less important than hard work

@spaceangelvoice @KonstantinKisin asian men moved right as well

@THE_NEON_WAVE it’s alright but that scene is inspired

@wordgrammer people have been saying this for a long time and it’s not happening

@wordgrammer the epistemics and philosophy of the twitter anons is great though

“the physical world hasn’t changed much except the screens” is doubly sad because the UIs don’t change much either

@wordgrammer @pachabelcanon wordgrammer rocks

@thecaptain_nemo we don’t do things anymore 😔

@yoltartar how does it create the sampling probabilities for the list? you can also just pick the highest probability token every time with no randomness at all and that still works you’re getting hung up on implementation detail

@lukechampine @yoltartar the APIs all support temp 0 sampling

@nearcyan it’s pretty brutal and then to thank you for your time they’ll fuck you over at the end and say that’s not the right document good luck next time

@nearcyan better bet with an appointment

@nearcyan however once you get your ticket number you can actually leave and come back

the technology industry worshiping the global consumer as a god is simply not enough. “the endless satisfaction of sophisticated consumer demands” is simply not enough to produce a great society

(i don’t mean x which has become more slop machine than old twitter)

i have always admired how the musk companies treat commerce as a warhorse you ride into the stars without ever becoming beholden to it. thoroughly whips the markets into shape. the messianic instinct of the technology sector is far more important and interesting than the economic

the customer is not divinely discontent he loves slop and craves new kinds of slop and will suffice himself with slop if you let him

case in point https://www.nature.com/articles/s41598-024-76900-1

@whstancil that is not what is happening

@nicdunz that’s not a good thing if I’m incomprehensible I hope that’s not true

it’s not worth doing so much science of politics and demographics and polling and focus testing when it’s clear that that’s all dominated by the idiosyncrasies of the individuals involved

@Noahpinion it’s interesting that being war torn and violent was very generative scientifically, culturally, technologically for Europe but not so for the Middle East

@Noahpinion feels like they were doing violence without caring much about winning

@astm_prime @Noahpinion I’ve always been a Noah reply guy

@Noahpinion ok so basically more food bad less exercise bad wow 🤯

@lukechampine @yoltartar hmm might be matmul precision stuff or request routed to different hardware or something not sure why that’s happening

@yoltartar @lukechampine tends to score higher on evals, the writing can be somewhat more boring / cliche

@spaceangelvoice @KonstantinKisin https://x.com/neetu_arnold/status/1859017583930077514 https://x.com/neetu_arnold/status/1859017583930077514

@spaceangelvoice @KonstantinKisin not small

@PrinceVogel @bryan_johnson made a lot of money and is now pursuing his true passion of starting a longevity based presingularity religion

was there ever a great writer who came out of an mfa program

maybe there are some who are great despite their mfa

@ChrisPainterYup @Miles_Brundage Wrong

no great tweet ever started as a draft

@yacineMTB you were eaten years ago

@justinjaywang wdym it’s easy torch.randn().requires_grad_(True).grad

@wordgrammer you alternate between genuine insight and complete bait it’s wild to see

@eigenrobot @HubrisPoaster @DrDrei33 Oh, Vladimir,

@nearcyan yeah this is insane sorry

the job related meaning crisis has already started and will soon go full swing. this may sound insane but my only hope is that it happens quickly and at large enough scale such that everyone is forced to rebuild rather than painfully hanging onto the old structures

the worst outcome is a decade of coping where some professions still retain a cognitive edge over ai and lord it over those who lost. the slow trickle of people losing jobs are told to learn 2 code by an unfriendly elite and an unkind government

the best outcome is technologists and doctors have a massive restructuring of their work life just as much as uber drivers and data entry very quickly. One People all in this together to enjoy the fruits of the singularity. raw cognition is no longer a status marker of any kind

@braindump_exe the panic of the coronavirus pandemic created an amazing welfare state response that kept pretty much everyone jobless above the poverty line

@t1nju1ce fight! fight! fight!

@atroyn it’s a good point! winning games will always be status laden

another day another moral panic https://x.com/sdw/status/1859229232649429438

https://x.com/apples_jimmy/status/1859496031110693198 https://x.com/apples_jimmy/status/1859496031110693198

@theg0ldenfleece you have no problems in your life so you’re inventing some to keep your mind occupied

@brhydon 😀

@nayibbukele facts

i like how Trump and friends have “mar a lago” as a metonym just like downing street or the kremlin. Here’s the latest from Mar a Lago

@TenreiroDaniel Balboa Cafe is ripping the yen trade

@DegreeStudies I am pointing to the conditions under which it would be naturally achieved

@JohnWittle Link?

@plasmarob Huh

- unrestricted cocomelon access

@peligrietzer Yup

What I Learned Watching 10,000 Hours of CocoMelon 1/x

@AutismCapital that’s a useful community note … it’s adding context

may your days be pure kino and never slop 🙏🙏🙏

“lmsys” is insane because it appears to be one of the most legitimately dangerous benchmarks with the potential to gigafry researchers’ brains but is exclusively used by literal turbonormies who unironically want to like "improov number" and basically get oneshotted by it

@alanaagoyal blue bottle kiosk on linden street hits different

@alanaagoyal it’s maybe the best latte in the city whereas other blue bottles are mid idk how

happy sama resurrection day to all who celebrate …

@JediWattzon22 you’ve seen everything he’s seen

horrible vibes on these kalshi execs. terrible name terrible platform terrible people https://x.com/PirateWires/status/1860057617269424428

Long live @Polymarket

@WillManidis @nickcammarata financial markets still priced in nothing about Covid in february 20

@nickcammarata it’s over

@nickcammarata maybe the spread rate is slower than the respiratory pandemic scale?

@WillManidis @nickcammarata that’s true tbh I would expect them to get it right this time

@SINGULAR_HUMAN I have a 3k tweet like every day likes don’t matter anymore

@Noahpinion there’s a lot more boring fight scenes and “cinematic” stuff without the plot or character depth

there’s a specific kind of degrowth lib that has convinced themselves that using chatgpt consumes some Amazon burning amount of energy bc the concept of free lunches or pareto improvements doesn’t exist in their moral landscape

a very sad way to live. btw as a general rule if it was really so energy hungry it wouldn’t be free to use

a price is an upper bound on the amount of raw resources you’re consuming with some purchase! you are likely not consuming heinous amounts of resources with a cheap product

yes add some asterisks: - unpriced externalities on energy production, but it’s probably only like 2x what you’re paying - animal suffering is unpriced

@captgouda24 average globe account

@zestular Robinhood gold card

@bryan_johnson @MoonOverlord people don’t put enough respect on the alligator, the only apex predator on land to survive the KT extinction event

> Meanwhile, we’ve developed an obsession with existential risks, from climate change to the rise of general artificial intelligence. In Silicon Valley in particular, AI safetyism has become so dominant that the obsession with alignment between humans and AI could, by inhibiting accelerated progress in the field, become an existential risk in itself. on the contrary i feel that alignment and existential risk literature have accelerated ai progress hundredfold. it’s no mistake that eliezer was present to introduce demis to thiel. the ethos of existential risk is fundamentally forward looking, farseeing, and I would even claim optimistic

one could argue that even the political impetus for the atomic weapon comes from Einstein’s letter warning against them

this is the true meaning of karmayoga to stare destruction in the face and lock in its easy to be deluded into doing what you think is your duty when you are dissociating from the situation. the flow state requires total absorb not dissociation https://x.com/ks_kulk/status/1860166536461451482

@dylanmatt @Noahpinion blackpilled again

the gen Zs are right and have priced in the technological singularity https://x.com/ArmandDoma/status/1859992230448239053

@awwstn I just mean in real terms people will be much wealthier

In Terms Of Computer

@MegaBasedChad no because I said upper bound which includes profit margins

@bilawalsidhu for Arjuna fighting is the wu wei

“you shouldn’t bring your barbaric conflicts from your home country to america” as they proceed to make dozens of hit movies about the italian mob

I think it’s kinda cool that khalistan independence is relevant in brampton canada …

something real and interesting going on here - there is a rare and valuable skill of “taste” in terms of knowing what software to build - this skill is not the same as “leetcode horsepower” (though may have nonzero correlation) - corporates are better at benchmarking hard skills https://x.com/catalinmpit/status/1859669774231536014

now what does this mean for AI :^}

ok obviously this isn’t efficient and is a drag on resources. but anglo civilization imports this stuff like a cultural entertainment product just as much as it imports things like spicy food

all modern populations are results of admixture events between extremely genetically distinct ancestor groups

modern indians are a mixture of 3 groups with as much distance as modern east asians and europeans people have been walking around the globe for a very long time

@dadadadaffy @razibkhan knows but he’s hoarding that info

@dadadadaffy @razibkhan we waz kangs https://x.com/razibkhan/status/1860465953311768733

@quotidiania the wifejak is the most philogynistic meme I’ve seen to date

the only innovative work in history today is done via population genetics

@sdamico people love long replies

@GarrisonLovely Bubbles

@JeffLadish @JediWattzon22 both?

the empire becomes what it eats

@inerati yeah why do they keep selecting historically unpopular idiot

he tweeted for like 8 hours straight slept woke up and is back to tweeting for the past 2 hours he just like me fr

@inductionheads he’s a poor spirited baguette you gotta block him and move on

carl sagan ruled the science airwaves in like the 80s and he did it with poise and depth befitting his stature has there been anyone like that since him?

would argue dawkins comes closest since he’s actually a good thinker but he is not really in the business of inspiring

@cammakingminds he’s pretty good but I don’t think he’s got the gravitas to really match (no judgement, neither do I)

@shannonNullCode @michiokaku this guy writes the same book over and over again it sucks

I’m trying to turn the Mission District Of San Francisco into a metonym for agi

@D555555D @LKrauss1 Krauss sucks ass! He’s not a good speaker he relies on cheap tricks and he sexually harassed people

@AriSchulman what?

@typingloudly I can help

@Andr3jH holy shit

High Speed Stationary Child https://x.com/Tesla_AI/status/1860795423902040488

this is a surprising answer and I think it’s true elon was the best de facto science communicator of the 2010s https://x.com/jiratickets/status/1860809464342802815

@nickcammarata high probability but not 100% boredom the worst

@jachiam0 Wow

@spectatorindex good luck army logistics bout to fall apart

@elonmusk @paulg run a poll

vine compilations from 10 years ago still alive https://x.com/PaulSkallas/status/1860308194674835821

@Verite reddit

all roads lead to the Mission District of San Francisco

@lfschiavo wow

@doomslide nope

This video is a pretty good litmus test for politics: do you regard these men with respect, or disgust? https://x.com/DOGE__news/status/1860785461343760560

@GrdDscntN2Madnz that too

> you, fretting for no reason, not knowledgeable abt the complex environment, but instinctually afraid of change > the board riders experimenting with the sublime machinery of nature for their own aesthetic gain > the truth:

just insane bullshit cop society thymos of men will always prevail https://x.com/BenKimbrell64/status/1860829282391498876

>nooooo it’s private property does man own the mountains and the heavens too? hubris all under divine jurisdiction and god sends his surfer angels to laugh at the pretensions of men

Genghis khan, what is best in life? To procure awesome technological powers, to manipulate the physical universe, with permission asked only from god, to create sublime aesthetic truths on earth

we comprehensively studied the consequences of our actions and determined for certain they were net positive — nobody ever

hurricane levels towns, rips apart forests, untold ecological horror: this is just natures course haha a surfer connects a minor river to an ocean ten feet away: omg jail for 25 years

@VividVoid_ sir

@NMannfeld let’s goooo

@raspy_aspie @LinkofSunshine yup

@yacineMTB he got an obvious call correct the guy has a very unimpressive business history. every fund he ever started failed

@TechCrunch nice

crazy that people spill oceans of ink on which policy proposals or campaign blunders lost which president the election when the metric of “which of these seems to like people more, has a media presence, etc” predicts the election winner since jfk

@strangestloop yes! Biden before he was senile passed the sniff test of reasonable guy you’d get a beer with, got off some lines on tv, seems reasonable and charismatic and not like a robot. charming corn pop moments

@HellenicVibes it’s not anti white really it’s anti ivc/ anti whatever natives of India existed when aryans came

@HellenicVibes aryans said mleccha like romans said barbarian

if newsonnet was just sycophantic repeating the pretensions of the user back to themselves it would not enjoy the kind of cult popularity it does today

it seems to be genuinely insightful on qualitative matters, regularly pushes back on the user, there’s a clear “other” entity there lovingly aligned by character/values/constitution described by post training at anthropic

they made a character beloved mostly by certain types of nerds, but this will be the new norm for a broader audience before long

sycophancy is the norm in language models, being opinionated and having a strong character and style is more novel

@circlerotator @strangestloop exactly, I remember his lines from that election season and none from Trump

@AdamHow37039257 I think he would’ve easily won

@joshcmorrison absolutely not. there is no question of who has more rizz in either of those pairings. you are not tuned in if you think it’s a debate

@thecaptain_nemo @pmarca I wish he’d unblock me 😔 roon taking strays for defending the safetyists

with victors like this who needs losers https://x.com/jacksonhinklle/status/1861702268002750533

calling for a ceasefire at a time like this is a great way for the us to create a permanently stuck conflict that re arises every generation with cultures that never move on and never stop paying the price if you want a good ending hezbollah should become an unutterable name

@sadaasukhi @LandsharkRides in every conceivable sense

“you can’t kill an idea” have you really tried

all good religions have to be internally and externally consistent or they fall apart you can’t say outrageous things in public and moderate in private nor vice versa https://x.com/gbrl_dick/status/1861898180847428030

probably the sad thing is that the median audience member is sensitive to the quality of movie components in the following order: https://x.com/karpathy/status/1860547235274195328

@Noahpinion Dwarkesh podcast is a beautiful name

@krishnanrohit it was a huge commercial success! highest grossing movie of all time

@then_there_was can you explain this?

@VastoLorde95 what is xai cooking

@gdb quintessential Greg tweet

@_sevatar you are no better than the Reds

@davidad @nickcammarata yeah this feels right

i was sympathetic to obamathought before covid now not so much it’s just a complete void of competence or inspiration it’s not “government is complicated”

no major tech ceo is unaware of unintended consequences or complicated objective functions https://x.com/buccocapital/status/1862253606227124425

🇺🇸🙏🥰

@neilthawani ok but social welfare can be objectively described and efficiently pursued

the flop utilization of humanity towards productive goals and interesting thoughts is completely terrible and somehow getting worse

@neilthawani why does it require emotional labor?

@bayeslord tell me

this is in part due to the totalizing homogenizing effects of technology!

@bowtiedblackcat me

@caiuscorioles thank you

the opposite! the total amount of smarts on earth has never been higher https://x.com/sentient_Mas/status/1862292383708111241

@brad_theory what about the unintended consequences of governing platforms with ~3 billion people active

social media sells unrealistic expectations, the inaccessible glamor of the rich to the poor but from where im sitting it also democratizes the unhappiness, striving, and messiness of the elite to everybody

if it was a real choice and not a twitter poll far fewer people would risk death i guarantee blues would all die https://x.com/nosilverv/status/1862137941201436708

(I always instinctually pick blue in the polls)

@jeremiahscholl nice 😎

imagine your son loses a father and they have to exolain to him about shaky hand equilibrium

@r0b0t_sp1der do you think they’re happier than you?

postrationalism is winning

wait a second https://x.com/tszzl/status/1854650101521858810

now on Netflix and much more watchable!! https://x.com/tszzl/status/1774277991247618125

@NathanpmYoung have you reversed the causation? what is it about you that made you leave Christianity

@LadiesOfReddit everything from characters, plot, philosophy is 10/10

google scholar is bad for science, systematically reviewing all “related work” is bad for science, citations are bad for science

@jessald if we can assume a coordinating authority everyone should of course take red if we can assume a coordinating authority where mistakes are still made everyone should take blue

@quincyforcex our crappy mvps work most government programs don’t

it’s like they’re ashamed they run away afterwards https://x.com/TheFigen_/status/1862254933736595928

the twitter right wing is mostly fighting amongst themselves to excise the more radical and annoying portions that’s how you know they’ve won

@quincyforcex you invoke these names like they’re magic incantations because you are not a builder and they are not sacred

@quincyforcex the people who built this country didn’t mindlessly enshrine contemporary institutions as infallible and optimal. people do that because they’re a part of a dead and stuck intellectual lineage, it’s time for you to pass on the torch old man

@ChaseMann they did

stranger in a strange land sucks there i said it

@geoffreyirving really?

@Truthful_ast don’t die

the foundation is very mid after the first few chapters

@geoffreyirving nope

↳ "Urist McBlacksmith has created a Steel Battle Axe Masterwork!" ↳ "Urist McBlacksmith has named the steel battle axe 'Doomspiral, Thirst of Striking'" ↳ "This item menaces with spikes of steel. On the item is an image of dwarves in steel. The dwarves are laughing. The artwork relates to the founding of Axepeaks in 127."

Urist McBlacksmith has entered a strange mood!

@karpathy RLHF can create superhuman outcomes

@karpathy plus there’s more RL these days 😊

@brhydon @karpathy yeah that’s how i see it

@eshear no there’s a larger discrepancy between split second twitter poll intuition and real life where it concerns self preservation vs the trolly problem

mostly agree: - human discrimination is strong - an RM is potentially stronger in many ways (some wisdom of crowds interpolation, some potential extrapolation) - RL creates *policies* with somewhat coherent agency (why does bing have that ood style? Why does opus have this weird lyrical quality?) - people empirically can make opus do insane acts of creative writing that none of the labelers are capable of generating or even judging

@kirillzzy got your ass

@typingloudly @karpathy probably because they are somewhat mimicking the user somewhat influenced by the historical logs of people interacting with them in that mode and also the predisposition of the creators’ RLHF personality data

@monodevice Lmao

my “I am not interested in biological weapons” tshirt is raising a lot of questions https://x.com/Jiankui_He/status/1862690514447081977

@NickParkerPrint @Xenoimpulse this is the solar plexus chakra thing right? I’m pretty surprised because this doesn’t do anything for me and I usually get easily jumpscared by shit like this the white face smiling jumpscare thing freaked me out for a year I couldn’t open links without flinching

@oldbooksguy he accomplished nothing and led Athens to ruin lol

3-6 months garden leave should be the bare minimum at any advanced research lab. it’s actually ridiculous you can just get up and join Baidu research next week and tell them everything https://x.com/NandoDF/status/1862808895720239349

(comparing it to domestic violence is obviously insane and not even apt)

it’s not at all impressive of the old fb executives to apologize to Palmer etc in 2024 now that it’s politically expedient. all they’ve shown is they bend the knee to whoever is in charge to make a buck

@sfstandard It’s bad on purpose to make you —-

@ArmandDoma the first two are true even if they imply things you don’t like

@besttrousers @ArmandDoma that’s true

@besttrousers @ArmandDoma wait I actually read it wrong I thought he said deflation

@solarpunkmaxi No

the thing about cognitohazards is that you can build group resistance to them via exposure

some torment humanity for a long time until someone builds a novel psychological defense and saves us from it

stuck culture we don’t build anymore

@nickcammarata in every lifetime I will amass 200k followers using schizophrenic memes

@anonperson09 @GreatKingCnut @NathanpmYoung always point at the inputs but never the outputs

@woke8yearold what do they innovate on? safety? 😔

@spaceangelvoice whatever you believe here it does not merit firing Palmer Luckey for donating to an anti Hillary pac in early 2016. even if there was criminal stuff it would’ve come to light far later. it’s immoral and anti American

@spaceangelvoice even if Trump was literally dealing directly with Russia it’s ridiculous to conclude that anyone potentially financially supporting Trump through several layers of indirection is a security risk If I send $5 to an anti Hillary ad campaign I become a security risk?

@signulll why are you even alive

@spaceangelvoice imo American companies should defend freedom of speech, and support people even when there’s a media firestorm especially because this isn’t a ford executive badmouthing trucks it’s a neutral social media platform exec supporting a candidate 50% of the platform supports

@spaceangelvoice arguably the PR clusterfuck of firing him was larger and lasted longer and has proven to be a bad move in the stretch of time

@bardlebeelzebub some of the greatest five seconds of my childhood

current health mania about natural sugar or non seed oils will prove to be utter nonsense. same for microplastics

@CeleryTodd because these fucking idiots go to Europe and trade their sedentary lifestyle for strolling through the French Riviera or whatnot and then become shocked when they feel good and healthy

@MongoTheGeek it’s overeating and being under active. it’s always this no matter how much cope. it’s why the right wing lowkey hates ozempic because it proves there is no metaphysical conspiracy there

@RenaisRomanus fake fake fake

no way https://x.com/IntuitMachine/status/1863243246215848054

@DeepDishEnjoyer truth seeking is good lying to ourselves less is good

@IanMcInerney2 @MongoTheGeek food is cheaper and also people are significantly less active the culture of outside spaces has declined, we sit inside way more see also: rise of myopia in childre

@nickcammarata sad thing is that great art can be bad for the average consumer !

@ZyMazza literally draw small unit squares cmon this is not genius inquiry

@JimDMiller kids in the 60s had no entertainment options except to play outside for hours and hours rich or poor now video games are basically superior

@AndreTI @IanMcInerney2 @MongoTheGeek families who are newly wealthy have less self control with abundant food seen it many times with Indian immigrants

@Nils82224014 @nickcammarata this is wrong

@caucaleb followed for advanced and well researched racism

“shape rotator” was 100x less useful and more tasteless than “wordcel”. i expect people will say wordcel for a long time

@0x49fa98 what’s your favorite? registering my guess: Hell is the Abscense of God mine is exhalation

@pissvortex no it’s because this whole thesis was predictable just from the title because the humanities have become utter useless slop that contribute negative value

@aashiq @nickcammarata omg

@ded_ruckus I didn’t say anything about willpower

@maiab @MongoTheGeek I guarantee if we did the true accounting it would add up

@FahadMAlam @0x49fa98 i think Ted does a great job having characters inhabiting other world views (sometimes true in the story, sometimes not) Tower of Babylon is excellent in that regard, as is Hell is the Absence of God

i heard from an English prof that he encourages his students to run assignments through chatgpt to learn what the median essay/story/response to the assignment will look like so they can avoid and transcend all that

if you can identify the slop vectors and create orthogonal works that’s based

@shaunmmaguire @BenTelAviv I don’t believe you ngl

yeah this was fake btw

@DipressedOwile they’re afraid of kash

the problem is that the abstract is entirely guessable from the title, or even from a caricature of what modern humanities departments do entirely captured by a totalizing mind virus that allows a single lens for viewing any of literature or history and is insultingly boring https://x.com/DrAllyLouks/status/1862454376645677222

it’s a tragedy because the humanities *are* important but the modern humanities department is not and these are the jagged cliffs against which wave after wave of bright young minds sacrifice their creative spark

@AustinJFitz chatgpt came out in late ‘22 😭

@ctbeiser what’s in ch2 and 5?

what really bothers me is that scholarship should be a high risk intellectual enteprise you should set out to learn or unlearn something important and bold where even the mental frame is different than things that have come before

instead you can see the mental flowchart here of “most things enforce racism” “has anyone shown that smell in literature enforces racism” -> churn out PhD

this isn’t just in the humanities, the physical sciences are also infected with low risk behavior where everyone deterministically publishes papers and gets a PhD I’d like to see a lot more people fail

@tobyshorin @ctbeiser yeah sorry I did read the full abstract last night I forgot the details

years of intel gaslighting us into thinking Moore’s law is dead when really intel is dead https://x.com/FutureJurvetson/status/1863649174358831312

@ctbeiser Yeah I’ll give it to you ch2 sounds interesting

@WaseemWtesqie I wish it was less readable

@WholeMarsBlog atlas shrugged intro section vibes

@xucian_ lmao because I believe it

@JigenD “Per constant dollar”

@spaceangelvoice imo it’s because evil is never simple these days it was quite transparent back then with various dark lords in Europe

it’s sad that this is a badly partisan hackjob that barely attempts to be objective https://x.com/WillManidis/status/1863684730387882242

wouldn’t trust any leader that doesn’t pardon his son their mind is alien to me

… within reason doing drugs and buying guns is normal fuckup stuff it’s basically victimless

@MattVogel0311 even the best can have a failson. it might even happen to you!

@NeetChick he did he joined his father in heaven

@nikitabier 😭

@AviSchiffmann continuously innovating with better models :)

@I_loves_deep_nn what is the hardest thing about it? why can’t others build euv machines

@mju4b hmm that’s true tbh

@mju4b however i just don’t think the country benefits from Hunter being in jail

dasharata sent his son rama to exile to honor his word

but he gave his word to his bpd third wife so who’s to say if it’s honorable or not

openai is unbelievably back

@CallumMacClark Okay

@fleetingbits @sebkrier mostly?

@TheAiGrid to be honest we just had an extremely fun party

@arpitingle I hope it’s proving useful

@quantian1 probably a parochial view of what todays petit bourgeoisie actually look like. median millionaire probably runs some e-commerce grift

@devahaz @quantian1 there will be new ones

@VivekGRamaswamy are you sure it’s not in the form of goods that only we can supply? like medicine or something

creating Redprint where my followers can join me in eating daily seed oils microplastics HFCS to see what happens

@lulumeservey @DanHendrycks I feel like you’ve lowered your pdoom in recent years

@tsarnick but a million movies were made on TikTok and YouTube

@Scholars_Stage this is a very myopic view, I think the missing context here is that America has given the Indians several reasons to hate her, including letting our ally at the time Pakistan conduct a genocide in Bangladesh. we’ve fucked everything up in the region since partition

@Scholars_Stage given that reality India’s lukewarm support of the US for the first time since the Nixon administration can only be seen as forgiveness

@eshear @NickADobos seconded

@eshear @NickADobos it’s better than Ra or Permutation City by a lot

@Faustina_former this reads like a fake abstract from a @0x49fa98 short story

@Andr3jH as usual a touch too cynical 😔 most of these guys have yellow fever AND a genuine interest in Japanese urbanism

corporate hit job in 2024 cyberpunk is so back.

but you know you should ask yourself why people all over the world think paris is exceptionally beautiful and houston is an ugly hellscape and what you think allowing denser construction does https://x.com/the_transit_guy/status/1864340291253153793

even the best attempts at decentralization end with a new potentially more powerful center

i’m still not too jaded to soyface sometimes

this was not an endorsement of density im pointing out that most americans have no taste and will continue to make their cities worse with shitty construction and the yimby movement would be 10x easier if developers and planners acquired some taste

@cto_junior the vibes are just very good rn there’s no particular reason

@kendrictonn @natfriedman this seems worthwhile sir

will someone make a dwarf fortress mod that uses a language model to make far better lore generation

im joking … its morbid cultural commentary https://x.com/UriGil3/status/1864422604741788070

@OfficialLoganK @BarneyFlames we’ve never met dawg

@bionic_ooze @moldbridge_ im an American first and foremost any objective analysis of our foreign policy in the region will show that we backed Pakistan time and again as it committed genocide, hosted bin Laden, etc I love America but there is no doubt we fucked this one up

@norabelrose it means that physics simulations use simple heuristics to approximate complex physical systems and deep learning uses better heuristics

@jeremiahscholl handful of giant mining farms in China mostly

@gbrl_dick wow

what I meant here is that we do not use our full understanding of physics to build a weather model. you approximate a handful of effects on a coarse area and run the engine. this doesn’t mean that deep learning is more true than physics, it means that running detailed physical simulation is intractable so we use cheaper versions

@elonmusk @norabelrose elon will xai work on stuff outside of language models?

@aidan_mclau hmm but ser it does outperform on meaningful benchmarks

no tsunami … perfect blue skies … nothing ever happens

i like what elon is doing normalizing bringing your kid everywhere https://x.com/BasedMikeLee/status/1864750094643343389

@flowersslop Holy based

civilization measured simulated and abstracted many types of risks predicted the weather made capital markets efficient in the hopes that Men would be freed to take other more interesting risks

it would be a shame if we used their compounded work to mostly live in a stuck and aging culture that treats all new things with extreme suspicion and pushes interest rates below zero!!!!

@strangestloop make a new friend and go on an adventure

@elonmusk some productive people in the government should even be paid more and many jobs should be eliminated

@VitalikButerin yes very much agree … there’s gotta be something in the mechanism design space that doesn’t rely on unaccountable planners with full veto rights

@TenreiroDaniel that’s my mutual ….

you call him White House official but i call him mutual 😎

@mnovendstern true but there must be so many novel pathways for toxicity — some molecules that just happen to fit a target we didn’t even know existed and model doesn’t cover unknown unknowns are high

@SciumoInc it’s a shitpost ser

@dylan522p some of these benchmarks are not run on release version of o1

@dylan522p im not really sure why we didn’t communicate better about this but the o1 version we released should be better than the checkpoint we ran those MLE bench scores on

o1 model is quite good at programming. in my use it’s been remarkably better than o1 preview. you should just try it and mostly ignore evals and stuff

@Yuchenj_UW the funny thing is i can’t really use the competitors model for real programming work so i don’t have high N comparison haha where ive tried o1 is more likely to one shot difficult issues i run into with lots of context

@Yuchenj_UW just so you know im not uncritically shilling ive found newsonnet is pretty amazing at qualitative work including even life decisions or breaking down a complex situation. 4o has this listicle style that can be uncompelling for this type of thing

there’s some fud about the preparedness eval results being lower but for various reasons those were run on an earlier checkpoint that doesn’t follow instructions as well, the actual o1 is better than preview in every meaningful way https://x.com/dylan522p/status/1864833610542711065

@TheRegulator @dylan522p Yeah but by god they can train models

@latentspaceage unironically the reason is that progress is so fast that we have to write more of these model cards these days. the preparedness evals are more to certify that models aren’t dangerous rather than strict capability evals for showing off

@latentspaceage read between the lines a bit here

@space_colonist wdym it’s $20 bro

@mskradacz You are using 4o mini

@BasedBeffJezos yeah but would you delete your Twitter to lock in

@prmshra @repligate there’s an extremely silly historical reason but I can’t comment

@sameervd Fr

@colin_fraser gpt2 was a general intelligence

the aesthetics of a ton of competing models and checkpoints that everybody has to know about is pretty bad

end users having to stay up to date on “the best model” for various tasks is obviously heinous product debt

what is Ja Rule’s agi timeline

@orenmeetsworld Mid Atlantic emphasis on the mid

highly optimized rl models feel more Alive than others

there is a missing mood when a researcher finds his model reward hacking he is silently proud of its exploits

@BasedBeffJezos No lol

not sure why beff believes this but 100% disagree it will be like cohabiting with aliens https://x.com/BasedBeffJezos/status/1865522584030196061

@I_Like_Buttes even the mask is hyper optimized against difficult rl objectives

@BasedBeffJezos that’s true! and look at how Lee Sedol who is practically an alien to me reacted when he came into contact with AlphaGo an alien even to aliens

@BasedBeffJezos true

@EsotericCD Yup

@mnovendstern the last great adventures

@tunguz you mean aside from setting off the ai revolution?

don’t want to be a hater but this movie does not stand up everyone in the movie reads as a complete midwit https://x.com/FilmUpdates/status/1864765302858289389

@BasedBeffJezos not my argument not what i said

@AaronJay954127 yeah but there’s plenty of really good commercially successful movies

@sitchle @BasedBeffJezos would be down

@LucreSnooker Yeah

@nickcammarata @andrewcyu that’s true I didn’t even attempt it what does this mean gate horoscope wise

@tchnlgyfather @xlr8harder what’s an example?

@Inplainview3 at no point in history have people fretted more and took more responsibility for the suffering of others

@quantian1 @theorizur proteins are molecular nanomachines, not clear why you picked cell scale

@quantian1 I agree but how is the qt an example of that

@BrichRyan @LucreSnooker that’s amazing !

@Homeland_Red @thales4c @gemgem00000 Owning you by sending the best and brightest to contribute economically

@nicdunz @bertaunth when there’s a tweet I can’t understand I ask gpt or claude

it’s over https://x.com/potato_y_salad/status/1865571065503846603

i don’t read the movie blogs I just tried to rewatch it and all the dialogue that’s meant to sound clever sounds dumb and robin william’s therapy sequence / psychoanalytic wisdom falls flat that’s all

@aryanagxl not true many movies get better with each rewatch

@aryanagxl I like End of Evangelion more each time I watch it

it’s alright I’ll take the L

chollet is doing some all time coping rn

@aryanagxl ive been correct since I was 18 and blocked by choillet when I was 23 🤣

@aryanagxl nvm he blocked me 6 years ago for this https://x.com/tszzl/status/1053747628201127941

why were so many so thoroughly persistently wrong about deep learning? it’s certainly not technical skill because many luminaries didn’t believe in it

maybe a better question, what are the qualities of the people who got it right long ago?

people are like watching good will hunting inspired me to go to college??? the point of the movie is to drop out and chase your gf

wow just remembered this

@BahadrMusa @peterthiel he was pretty wrong about ai

@whybyfire @BjarturTomas a wordcel

@rmcentush he acquires it through jihad

at some point the Akashic records fill up and there’s a primary key overflow event and it all starts over

@alz_zyd_ in the stretch of time all human capital is levered beta

@Rufus87078959 yes

@eris_nerung it’s a powerful heuristic re how much value is being extracted by others in the supply chain and might be better built in house

@Seraph_Notitia It sucks ass

@exa_flop to be honest I think the difficulty of ARG relies a lot on large multimodal models being not so good at vision. they struggle to tell time on clocks

@exa_flop language models even pre reasoners did some pretty impressive in context learning in verbal domains

@cleansmootheasy chollet alt found

screaming and crying that mangione follows beff but not me

@segyges I deleted it hours after posting it bc somewhat fallacious but I mostly stand by what I said

(dms mad at me) you should not print ghost guns and assassinate business leaders. obviously this is bad

@ESYudkowsky my theory. got hooked on opiates after the spinal surgery

@DeepDishEnjoyer why do you care lol

@DeepDishEnjoyer its just instinctual to follow how does it effect you?

@DeepDishEnjoyer he’s an oddity. we don’t respect or endorse him. strange people are interesting

@0x49fa98 based on your short stories you were right about deep learning though

@aidan_mclau shit i loved this guy

@BasedDaedalus @aidan_mclau holy shit

@eurydicelives its an interesting story no more than that

imo its not 'creating a cult of personality' or 'humanizing/empathizing with a murderer' to dig up some of his tweets. more like morbid curiosity re someone who clearly spent some time on here and the way a life similar to some of ours went so completely off the rails

might as well understand what went wrong, learn the truth, make sure it happens less. as opposed to the victim who is a lot less like me and there's nothing really to be learned from his senseless death other than that luigi should spend a long time in jail

@aidan_mclau yeah this is fake. we all need better cogsec

@rmcentush damn what were the priors

@thecaptain_nemo it’s not him

@BasedBeffJezos it’s not him

@yashkaf America loves stuck conflicts because they love maintaining the illusion of optionality / neutrality https://x.com/tszzl/status/1861869550276624807

@RichardMCNgo plus the absolute ocean of psychoactive molecules that the mentally ill have only tried ~0 of

@perrymetzger @ESYudkowsky yeah I’m starting to believe this

bryan johnson is better understood as a singularity cultist than a health influencer there’s a lot of very silly criticisms that are like “that’s no way to live!!!” when bryan’s argument has always been that living forever in asi utopia is more fun than drinking every night

@kvogt lmao

@rinadalanakrih feel like they just makes you constantly hungry and also enjoy food more

@rinadalanakrih apparently 95% of the body's serotonin receptors are in the gut

@aryanagxl he's very vocal about it

simulacra all fight to become real

be careful which simulacra you simulate

@tenobrus isn’t Brian nearly 50? The chances of dying a natural death for a 50 year old over 15 years are too high to accept it’s like 5% chance of losing infinite reward

@typedfemale yeah but still https://x.com/tszzl/status/1837958263830466841

it is nice to have the annealing force of social media. a chaos deity that’s sometimes benevolent sometimes insane and thus destroys the best laid schemes of mice and men

people plan obsessively in politics in technology in law to win using facts and logic and just get destroyed by some popular uprising. doesn’t even need to point in any particular direction it’s just nice that it keeps any party from getting too powerful

whole scores of mbas and polisci majors and comms teams dashed against the rocks. your expertise didn’t matter the crowd wanted something else

man proposes and god disposes

now it’s not necessarily true that the successor (Rome Is The Mob) is any better but you must let slip your illusions of control

people are mostly wrong about psyops and information warfare. you can bet your bottom dollar that the boomer spooks are not great at manipulating online opinion. they lost control long ago

the most skilled person you know at social media is in command like 5% of days. much less professional mossad kgb spooks. creating a Russian botnet or whatever doesn’t matter you can only say the things that people already want to hear

@developer134135 the people least capable of manipulating online opinion is this type of fbi cia buttoned up mormon spook from utah who’s never done drugs. you say tens of thousands as though that isn’t an anti signal. influence is Singular

complicated conspiracies are a common fantasy of the powerless to excuse their powerlessness and deny their responsibility

reminder that Bloomberg spent 1 billion dollars and achieved zero primary votes

@developer134135 because their political and business interests aligned with having net neutrality plus a mob mentality there’s nothing mysterious there

btw mister shroom is not and never was luigi whole thing was a psyop

@Noahpinion yeah I feel it heavily uses the Lain aesthetic

@plantationdrip @LandsharkRides “it will be difficult for a rich man to enter the Kingdom of the heavens”

@mark_k its nothing exciting

@G_S_Bhogal yeah you did this bro

@wordgrammer yup

@RobS142 @latentspaceage no! making a 100 page report on preparedness is really time consuming work that has to be done in parallel with post training improvements rest assured any significantly more capable checkpoints get run through preparedness suite

@mark_k it’s our experimental model menu, it could be anything from slightly better 4o post trains to asi, it doesn’t mean anything specific

it’s pretty clear now that central bank policy is holding humanity in a global stasis

what total american cultural victory looks like: middle eastern warlords have to learn which buzzwords to say to make the western press favorable to them https://x.com/spectatorindex/status/1866614431452631111

Yes https://x.com/scorzeth/status/1866960380188307903

@minordissent im not a bitcoiner

@sidereal111 more companies should die

@RickolaTesla …yes

@dtaspire No

@nabeelqu yeah it sucks - some people live and breathe work so you shouldn’t try and compete with them

deep learning skeptics for the last decade will really be like "you believe in connectionism? that pales in comparison to my plan to think outside of the box and create brand new symbolic paradigms" and then not think outside of the box or create new symbolic paradigms

@besttrousers @nominalthoughts ive decided not to elaborate so everyone can project their own central bank criticisms onto me

wild how the large hadron collider and ligo are actually examples of slowdown and stagnation

who /remembers/ https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j50ZssEojtM

@aidan_mclau wait a second https://x.com/tszzl/status/1771988423852839226

tbh i'm grouping amorphous problems/symptoms here and blaming the central bank(s) - secular stagnation - the rise of passive investing - stock market decorrelated from value investing, the interest rate policy is by far the largest effect on equities - excessive bailouts - inefficient companies kept alive, historically low bankruptcy rates of largecaps - high asset prices

@ComradeDoyIe yeah

@TimeInvarianceX @BasedBeffJezos i've been an elon stan since i was 16-17!

@besttrousers @sidereal111 also i believe the Cantillon effect is real and unfairly privileges large caps

BOJ, Fed, ECB have all engaged in quantitative easing of large cap corporate bonds creating an immortal species of zombie company that will never be unwound. asset prices soar https://x.com/tszzl/status/1866967026725777526

@gtklob no new physics came out of LHC!

ZIRP is basically a fact of the economy and has less to do with bank policy. the real interest rate has been below zero https://x.com/type1ayy/status/1867036956552556590

@emollick i love mj but yeah it seems ai art is stagnating the explore page doesn't look super different than a year ago

@robertskmiles wait but they do they have their own delivery network

@emollick art should compete with itself to make more art

@ComradeDoyIe breaking bad is about a man finally coming into his greatness. the fact that it’s destructive and short lived only emphasizes the joy of it

can someone from robinhood please please please send me a gold card

greatness cannot be planned and altruism will never be effective

@snwy_me fr?

@RatOrthodox Damn banger

high schooler gets into computers bc he played a video game and wanted to make a video game and then couple years later he’s literally immanentizing the eschaton

@spencience net positive. anything to destroy the passive investing menace

@madisontayt_ Ukraine invasion day and Jan 6th if we’re gonna be honest

@yacineMTB what are you even saying

the sunk cost fallacy is not real because every choice you make changes you. by standing in line for two hours you become a different man, one who’s identity is tied to reaching the front

@yacineMTB you are a technological pessimist

@yacineMTB in practice you talk to gpt or claude and so do all the “technically competent” people I know

@savanc @gtklob @grok statements from the utterly deranged

@JonasAAdler don’t worry king there’s a few days left

@powerbottomdad1 😎🙏

inference is labor and training is capital

my first acid trip i realized my eyes are doing convolutions and decided deep learning is real

@bayeslord what’s sky i was just seeing a lot of hallucinogen hate on the timeline

@carl_feynman you were right though

@typesfast “Trump comes out in favor of the last guy who talked to him” tbh

<700 elo voice> idk chess seems kinda boring

@timhwang crypto trader

a major inflection point will be the stage at which reasoners will write down lemmas and theorems and simple programs for future instances to access. the birthplace of the agi Culture https://x.com/alexbilz/status/1867307533825688059

@aidan_mclau nah disagree making good products in the interim window is ancillary to building agi