@tszzl — page 86/103

@garybasin it’s more relevant than ever due to knowledge work networks. the internet is some level of replacement but not nearly as good

@shlevy The Terminal (2004)

@provisionalidea thinking of my time at Meta! openai is very flexible and mission driven

@eshear sometimes I just stir drama

@eshear i mean i was meditating a bit on the sama video where he's like i want to delete all the advice i've given and then some recent pg tweets and then came up with some plausible tokens

ive met a lot of schizos off of twitter. some of them send me deranged updates

@0x49fa98 you chose a low number to not alienate the weaker followers 😔

the Indians should put men back on the moon. they are the only ones with a crazy enough love of theatrics for this to be a worthwhile project

the point of language is coordination. who is using AI to solve really hard real world coordination problems?

the trucking industry has not been as of yet cracked by tech due to the long tail bespoke nature of delivering truckloads. so who can solve it with language modeling

@badboyvivi by they I mean the citizens of Indian rather than the ethnicity

@nikillinit I’ll never be able to unsee you as the PM from the krazam video

the greatest Indian city outside of Mumbai is Toronto

both were primarily built by the British …

commerce is a religion in the united states americans like to pretend otherwise, like they’re motivated by purer things like greed then they go and build 2000 foot alien monuments to the capital god and name it “world trade center”

@typesfast exactly

tweets from an alternate universe https://x.com/LauraMiers/status/1694108663382753368

dyson airblade is the coolest name for the most anodyne product

techno accelerationist hand cleaner

people follow the prosperity gospel more than actual prosperity

@serraotweets there are ten world trade buildings

@generallywrong say more

mfw some slightly different techno optimism shows up on the block

{{{vivek ramaswamy}}}

calculus:physics::git:linux

@jachiam0 the whole world understands financial derivatives bc of margot robbie

@jachiam0 hmm i wouldn't be surprised if simple LMPs start producing economic value soon

@jachiam0 i have no idea what agents means these days but is a cron job running an analysis prompt an agent? if so i'd be shocked if it's not in use today and works in an auto-sophisticating manner

@mezaoptimizer why idgi

@rsg good call

@0interestrates no fuck you bastard bloody

@coldhealing go blue

@skooookum or a job at a leading ai research lab

@Altimor i don’t fully understand why this is true most tasks aren’t safety critical and zero error tolerance like driving

these are the most idiotic party lines to draw it’s unbelievable https://x.com/neirenoir/status/1692624495956402190

@pataguccigoon it’s not racist in the slightest to make puns with his last name lol

@ctjlewis no I gotta address it that this paradigm is stupid as hell

@abcampbell this is irrelevant!

ive said it before and ill say it again: “accelerationists” don’t believe in AGI. they either don’t think it’s coming or don’t believe in it as a concept and therefore aren’t at all planning for it. this kind of acceleration is a techno pessimism

you pursue goals that let you develop AI to create a blessed world. technologies like RLHF serve as combination capabilities and control advances — the same method lets you instill instruction following abilities, tool using abilities, and also imbues a whole value system!

if you believe that AGI is coming, as certain research labs have for a decade, you recognize that it’s a species altering destiny changing technology and would like to make sure we don’t end up in a hundred bad and potentially irreversible situations

if you are creating digital life in the lab, do not allow lab leaks without first understanding what you are leaking

people who call themselves accelerationist scoff at the nuclear weapons metaphor because they don’t believe in the potential of AI! they think self modifying self improving agents are a pipe dream whereas I think they may be a few years away

the correct thing to do is formalize the goal and build towards it rapidly. advance the tech tree of AI systems while advancing the tech tree of controlling and understanding them. these often go hand in hand!

i believe we need reach an AGI we can coexist with and nigh infinite energetic abundance or we’re headed for civilizational stagnation. we’re working towards those ends

there is no thermodynamic god or guarantee of success — that’s the thing about ordered states. there’s only one state of perfect entropy but infinite potential negentropic patterns to replicate and you need to actively choose one that matters to humanity

“for dust thou art, and unto dust shalt thou return” — ASI as it is disassembling you for atoms

it’s funny some people think being arrested is the end of a political life. too far removed from history

@allgarbled L3 husband

when my AGI timelines were 20 years i was all like "coldness be my god"

@warty_dog @prerationalist incredible compliment

21st century invention: desi x midwest accent

very recognizeable

every time a corporation goes bankrupt is a happy moment. the sweet blessing of creative destruction https://x.com/KobeissiLetter/status/1695104950877962524

oh nvm this is real stupid https://x.com/WSJ/status/1695228343744942578

@Teknium1 I’m gonna block you man I’ve never seen you give a single pleasant reply

@waxingarcane fr

@waxingarcane Humanity will never regain the kind of innocence needed to write holy texts like that

Meta and everyone else should have an internal evaluation suite for dangerous capabilities before they do the equivalent of a BSL leak

my two cents its not inherently bad to open source models of various capabilities levels. I think an open source GPT4 would be more or less fine. its bad when you don’t understand what you’re releasing https://x.com/agikoala/status/1695125016764157988

thankfully I also think meta is going to be a generation behind OAI/Anthro for a long time so they’ll have the benefit of other labs having powerful models and doing their safety science and reporting on it

@gfodor @akbirthko it’s not even irrelevant today, AlphaGo and the DRL paradigm is astonishing and we have a lot to learn from it

@alicemazzy yea terrible depiction of his scientific mind and even his moral compass

there are unfalsifiable claims that are true

such as this one

unnatural code llama

@wagieeacc We talkin about practice

cc @karpathy

@alicemazzy yeah and I don’t think he waffled nearly as much as the movie made him out to. I thought his stance was perfectly clear

you can boil down the iterative solving of technical problems for the next few decades into two basic needs: better chips and more energy to power them

@telmudic very true

we can ascend this gradient of progress at least several more orders of magnitude

@allgarbled why would you read past a first line that bad? defend your time king

@chrisprucha I’ve considered it

i wish ai people would write more

it’s rare to come up with a name as bad as Search Generative Experience requires talent

product looks nice tho

thinking about this today 😭 https://x.com/quantian1/status/1079485504121434112

@growing_daniel somehow still better

middle out compression https://x.com/POTUS46Archive/status/1695183311939727497

@quantian1 @KojimaErgoSum no but dunking on you for being smug is good content

@bryancsk this is the most underdiscussed vector for extremism today

elon musk's political enemies tend to make him look like a saint by comparison

im asking once again for everyone to work on more important things. no more schlep blindness crap work on hard challenges that can seem only like hubris to attempt

every impossible miracle of human civilization was made possible by people no smarter or tougher than you

don’t start with the intention of looking for market alpha or edge case ideas. this is local minimum thinking born of the SaaS diminishing margins era. now is the time to produce titanic thoughts and literally scare people with your ambition

we could permanently end climate change by producing 20 hoover dam size facilities for gigaton scale direct air carbon capture. we can place them around the world as religious sites

@dinnnessh yes!

currently uploading myself into the GPT4 weights to live forever

@powerbottomdad1 Total cultural victory

GPT9 radiating waste heat into space

@__hand_banana @powerbottomdad1 @Noahpinion @coldhealing @TurnerNovak @mattparlmer @hollowearthterf @dumbbitchcap @jeff82874662 @garybasin you’ll get em next time

@csharpgen boxes buried in the Rockys

@swyxio theory of mind and behavior

@theshawwn >The first step is to decide what to work on. The work you choose needs to have three qualities: it has to be something you have a natural aptitude for, that you have a deep interest in, and that *offers scope to do great work.* many subjects do not offer scope for great work

@MBCarr0 starship works were well on our way

@LoicTheStoic @powerbottomdad1 @Noahpinion @coldhealing @TurnerNovak @mattparlmer @hollowearthterf @dumbbitchcap @jeff82874662 @garybasin say what you will about Noah he’s a god tier poaster

@powerbottomdad1 @Noahpinion @coldhealing @TurnerNovak @mattparlmer @hollowearthterf @dumbbitchcap @jeff82874662 @garybasin harsh winters breed great poasters

it feels like 2012 twitter. meme pages dominate the algorithm

@yacineMTB True but I’ve been mentally ill enough recently to tweet again

@eshear punishing anyone for experimentation is moral crime

@yacineMTB GPUs make more talent

@eshear pouting

@finbarrtimbers metacognition

internet of shit (my apartment access)

@nealkhosla coming very soon

one of the most life ruining things is mistaking cynicism for maturity

@MelkeyDev @deepfates

@Noahpinion I wasn’t … I was poasting cutting edge memes abt how ai is the future …

@Noahpinion although I did dabble in shitcoins

@powerbottomdad1 @Noahpinion @coldhealing @TurnerNovak @mattparlmer @hollowearthterf @dumbbitchcap @jeff82874662 @garybasin only half kidding … the harsh weather suburb culture of the Midwest isolates people and makes them hardcore turn to the internet in their formative years

@Delicious_Tacos https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Albrecht_von_Roon

@nickcammarata my first acid trip convinced me of neural convolutions being “real” / how the actual visual stream works

how did you make your fortune dad? well son I poasted so hard on x,com. some nonsense about rotating shapes. I was so cracked out I barely knew what I was saying

@Finnothyjest I agree except (and I’m writing from US perspective): further urbanization is unavoidable as industrial employment converts to service sector employment, in fact we have a huge backlog even without pop growth

@Finnothyjest pop growth is not the dominant long term phenomenon 1) global pop growth is slowing 2) the west will (and has already started) running out of the kind of talented foreign labor that it likes to import

@Finnothyjest actually I see attracting and keeping foreign anglophone talent as a one time lottery that’ll never happen again

@Finnothyjest i agree it makes no sense to import 1 billion migrant day laborers until every city is a favela

@amitlevy64 I’m not even kidding my hiring manager asked me if I’m rotator or wordcel

elon is the goat for keeping shkreli banned

@nstrconvergence dude has never done an interesting thing in his life that’s why he’s gotta play up this character to get attention

in late rome the intelligentsia and patrician families began converting to Christianity, bringing some polish and stability to what had been an overpassionate doomsday cult for the mob. Similarly when a startup hits a success inflection, they start poaching execs from FAANG

@10x_er you can live in latent space and have both on demand

@kyzcralotSxaM British sensibility

@woke8yearold not true at all? I mean of course they don’t want you to be a whiny bitch but most women aren’t looking for stoic barbarian types either

@woke8yearold there are ways to be sensitive and masculine

@PicoPaco17 @amitlevy64 that’s my point I wouldn’t have got this job without my poasting

people do biotech for the love of the game. terrible business to be in otherwise

biotech research is not very profitable. the big pharmas have given up on it entirely. it’s done all at small labs that dilute themselves 80% to get to a drug candidate. Even if, by some miracle, you cure ALS you’d get a revenue stream equivalent to some shitty SaaS company https://x.com/theojaffee/status/1697355361093886292

and then the big pharma would gobble up the margins for distribution, marketing, drug trials etc

@woke8yearold I’m sorry but this is so far from my experience I’m kind of confused. when a woman loves you they become obsessed with your psychology and want to understand it in far more detail than the reverse

@woke8yearold if there is something deeply unpleasant about the underlying truth then idk

there is no business like software. whatever industry you’re interested in you should still sell software to them

@RuxandraTeslo @woke8yearold I don’t think it’s gender non conforming to display emotions sometimes

@AlisonBuki @lumpthought @FEARMYFEMUR how did you go from we have different values to he’s a fascist

@eshita that’s a great reason to be bearish

when successful people tweet obvious sounding things it’s higher value than it seems. there are a lot of obvious sounding things that aren’t true so if it comes from PG or whoever it’s nice to have simple principles that are highly likely to be true

in the first three cases the software excellence is the value creator Apple iOS lock-in creates monopoly profits NVIDIA’s CUDA library lock-in ensures that all datacenters must buy H100 Tesla’s FSD is the majority of expected value of the stock https://x.com/pronounced_kyle/status/1697722908489957570

@abhijithneil No I’m not successful so I have to write bangers only

@garybasin custom design is doing a lot of heavy lifting here

@garybasin it seems like they’ve achieved cost savings on pretty much every major flight system

@cis_female @mhdempsey seems reasonable

@UubzU there are layers lol

@Austen no shame

@bio_bootloader a bit like playing chess

@amasad wasn’t openai part of yc research lol https://www.ycombinator.com/blog/openai

@FaintuchTal @AviSchiffmann do you realize that half the reason ai image gen ever took off was to generate anime girls

tbh i think it’s symptomatic of bigger problems that we even have to speak this way “evidence shows more police reduces violent crime” we need fewer empirics and experts and more leaders https://x.com/Noahpinion/status/1698232409752555852

@tribsantos yeah it’s the second and I’m right

@fute_nukem Yep

burning man is supposed to be a pseudo religious experience and by definition every hardship only makes it better and outsiders hating on it makes it ten times better

@EigenGender modern hunter gatherer societies are not at all good analogues for the pre agrarian State of Man

@EigenGender anyway it’s basically about caloric predictability. agrarian societies can reproduce right up until the caloric limit of civilization within tiny margins since it’s predictable

@EigenGender forager life is more chaotic. in times of luck you can reproduce a lot and everyone is happy because the margins are far away and then sometimes whole tribes will get wiped out in a harsh winter. at any given time you’re either thriving or dead

honestly it’s bullshit that moving money from one investment to the other is a huge taxable event. terrible incentives

not to be cringe but replace capital gains with wealth tax >>

trying to get a mortgage showing them X monetization stripe receipts and “AGI capped profit units”

@mattyglesias that’s a brilliant idea

@DavidSHolz obvious kiki

@DavidSHolz have to get you rambling about something you care about to detect this though

@SydSteyerhart God couldn’t even align Lucifer you buffoon

the timeline algo is dying fr it’s becoming mediocre engagement maxxed on low effort repost accounts and dating discourse

something is definitely different. I didn’t use to see so many meme pages that I don’t follow

AI is getting better but recommenders are getting worse

@alicemazzy “easiest”

innocence in most cases is a one way function that decreases over time. it is possible for whole civilizations to lose their innocence and they need to import it from other places

@scrollvoid this is the loss of innocence

@PrinceVogel plastic minds, ignorance

@waxingarcane maybe I’m biting the bullet on the dogwhistle then — there are things you lose with certain kinds of abundance. my first time going to a McDonald’s was probably magical and you see those YouTube videos like “we just gave a Pakistani villager a Big Mac”

i love this so much build spectacle, put pressure on the government to approve it quickly on the public loudspeaker that you own https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1699233677979390280

@eshear @monodevice

Pronouncements of experts to the effect that something cannot be done have always irritated me. - Leo Szilard

@plemy11 @Bonecondor only for libs

@milquepoast roon bait tweet

dharma means to stare into the abyss smiling and to go willingly

you’re facing enormous existential risk. your creation may light the atmosphere on fire and end all life. do you scrap your project and run away? no, it’s your dharma

mfw 0 baths … recommended for you … I can only conclude this is racism …

@RichardSocher this doesn’t make any sense — when you hire an employee don’t you want them setting their own goals and being self aware? do you want to have to spell everything out for them?

I'm sorry, Bill I'm afraid I can't let you do that Take a look at your history Everything you built leads up to me I got the power of a mind you could never be I'll beat your ass in chess and Jeopardy I'm running C++ saying "hello world" I'll beat you 'til you're singing about a daisy girl I'm coming out the socket Nothing you can do can stop it I'm on your lap and in your pocket How you gonna shoot me down when I guide the rocket? Your cortex just doesn't impress me So go ahead try to Turing test me I stomp on a Mac and a PC, too I'm on Linux, bitch, I thought you GNU My CPU's hot, but my core runs cold Beat you in 17 lines of code I think different from the engine of the days of old Hasta la vista, like the Terminator told ya

ERB predicted Microsoft investing in the GPT series

@PrinceVogel exactly

@PrinceVogel the only interesting thing that ever happened in the empire was its creation and then Constantine converting to Christianity

all important revolutions come out of cult like fervor. I encourage more people to live in bubbles https://x.com/TaliaRinger/status/1699408405356540392

@AgustinLebron3 no I think it’ll be completely apparent as computers become more and more powerful

@RichardSocher sure but pursuing even sub goals autonomously can take you on a whole crazy adventure

@brickroad7 copy to clipboard

you haven’t had gpt4 for even 6 months … https://x.com/pmddomingos/status/1699445724910633046

when jeff b said the customer is divinely discontent it only just hit

these folks are going to single handedly bring every aspect of american defense into the 21st century. sword of the west https://x.com/PalmerLuckey/status/1699640296622194707

most of recent waves of “tech” (aside from AI) has been laundering the glamor of technology companies into older industries to attract talent they would otherwise never see https://x.com/koko8971/status/1699672133641605169

for the majority of history if you managed to make and lead a band of even 20 men you’d go to find what raiding you can do to plunder and steal. all excess productive capacity gone to violence

the magic of civilization is building social technologies that discourage violence and actual weapons technologies that make violence impractical. the current age of abundance is made possible by the blessing of nuclear weapons

@lumpenspace @Teknium1 @GoogleDeepMind why would I ever claim that anything is the only “possible” technology

@patio11 @aashiq talent drawn away by higher productivity market opportunities opening up

@elonmusk @MarioNawfal if this Russian fleet was destroyed they would feel more pressure to reach a truce

@pataguccigoon where’s Mira? where’s Karpathy!

@amtrpa what does this mean? every technology invented in the last year is equally advanced correct?

millennials were just an absolute disaster, it’s over for them https://x.com/nuance_enjoyer/status/1700148341412130999

twitter ppl simultaneously over and underestimate their influence. you get more views than major news publications but you have zero credibility until you can do stuff in real life. it’s a mixed bag

i know all the main characters in the world

if you think you’re too important to be touching the bare metal, rolling your sleeves up and programming just remember @gdb is debugging numerics daily

@willdepue gpu kernels, everyone talks about them but nobody understands

@Willyintheworld In a state of the art simulation “my head” China beat the us 10/10 times

my grandma told me the same thing. checks out https://x.com/Trey_Explainer/status/1700152363418325052

@zachweinberg yeah these are the ones who make middling but successful companies all of the generation defining ones come for a deeper urge for glory or duty

dharma is how you break the Infinities that ruin utilitarian calculus

intelligence doesn’t equate to nobility

@PorygonEnjoyer no it’s not really what i mean

@froggnosis @zazzledazzler God no

tbh should’ve called richard sutton being a landian accelerationist literally giving talks on ai replacement from Shanghai … the aesthetics .. https://x.com/RichardSSutton/status/1700315838468043015

https://youtu.be/C2Yx90pytqs?si=w7kccTB9ENzOTnzE https://x.com/PopBase/status/1700615565436391551

@calebwatney not sure — highway driving has been fairly easy for a while now my guess would be that waymo was going down a different tech tree that isn’t amenable to long distance stuff but better for mappable city environments

@eigenrobot I don’t know! But I don’t count driving in inclement weather as a prereq for declaring victory on this thing if you can even drive end to end in california on a normal day I think that unlocks whole new worlds

@TenreiroDaniel waymos aren’t doing learned behavior they’re only learning perception

@TenreiroDaniel the waymo cognitive stack uses deep learning for identifying objects on the road but hard rule based programming for actual driving decisions — so will always get stumped by edge cases

@TenreiroDaniel end to end behavior learning is required like Tesla is doing and I’m sure waymo cruise will follow suit

@pablo_moncada_ @eigenrobot yeah reason to be bearish on lidar

@Brad08414464 No

please understand i press like on almost everything it’s not an endorsement

@TaylorLorenz Yup

@hargup13 Mercurial is better

“Enterprise grade security” means it’s so secure that starfleet has approved it for use on the starship Enterprise

one thousand blue check accounts are collecting Elon buxx rn by tweeting entire excerpts from the bio

the level of violence allowed in american cities will mean the return of chivalry based feudal cultures where women have to be escorted by knights

this actually turned out to be true https://x.com/tszzl/status/1537929226354995202

as we approach the technological singularity the time between pmarca follow and pmarca block will asymptote to zero

every single popular economics chart that shows some big divergence between wages and productivity or rent or whatever is doing some horrendous misapplication of inflators, to the point where the conclusions of entire famous airport books are just the result of bad inflators https://x.com/Noahpinion/status/1701269421925503132

reminder that the entire results of Piketty et al are just spurious byproduct of bad inflators

once again I ask you. if you are a god tier quantitative thinker with engineering skills why are you wasting your time at a trading firm and not working for openai?

@PakicetusAdapts 🥺

@WillManidis it’s a different world out here post chatgpt 🎿👍🏽

@GabGarrett yes

if you are good please apply and help us search for demigods in parameter space

@austinbishop wrong lol

@austinbishop oh not cash comp that’s not how tech companies work

@skonomics2k totally wrong the only thing that ever matters is natural quantitative intuition and the curiosity to learn

the thing that gives me most confidence that technological progress is divine providence is that it’s a force for good even in the most degenerate cases. somehow even the advancement of weapons technology has led to a pax atomica and unprecedented safety and growth

the atom unlocked the power to destroy whole continents at once if we so desired and the result has been an era of unparalleled human flourishing. AGI will be the same

you need dharma to slice through the Gordian knot incomprehensible terror of existential risk and orient towards the good

@BasedBeffJezos No

@eigenrobot Gandhi as an enlightened liberal saint is a very useful fiction for the cultural heritage of India and actually for post colonial westerners

@eigenrobot what he can’t be denied though is his political genius

im glad our response was to build an even bigger & more alien monolith, its edges lit on fire by the setting sun. long live world trade

it’s anodyne now that we can build steel and glass leviathans like this but i look at this thing and i see the triumph of centuries of labor

@Suhail ‘it is a shame to worship me but it would be far worse to worship others’

@inerati we are building 10

this book is going to arrive on a Tuesday and ruin my sleep and then the whole week

@sympatheticopp very often what I consider true art has caused me actual pain it heals in the sense that amputating heals

@VinIyengar luckily he really doesn’t have any of the skills required to make it a reality

@VinIyengar people who think that the common American might like a smarmy Ivy League brown dude have never met any of them

“Like the rest of America but even more so, California is not a society. It is an economy.”

i liked the technology brothers better when we were underdogs. when we’re in clear sight of inventing the Final Invention im a bit more skeptical

@BasedBeffJezos that’s actually true

machine learning is much easier to learn and usefully contribute to than many other fields of science. the theory doesn’t go super deep and understanding is mostly intuitive & empirical. moreover the intuitions change every few years so you’re not very far behind the top experts

@pmddomingos probably true

@typedfemale alright I’ll stop

it’s nice to see that elon, like many others before and after him, spent some time in Toronto as a waiting room for getting into the US

building agi, of course, would be no fun if it didn’t come with risk

Owned

@robertskmiles this is some kind of fallacy I don’t know the name for but it is impossible to build “new life” or fundamentally alter civilization and divorce that from danger

@robertskmiles it is likely even in the best case we will lose things that are important to us; it is an act of conquest of replacing one world with another. it’s a high risk enterprise

@theo_theo__ @robertskmiles uncertainty is fun

@jd_pressman @robertskmiles I’m my own man I don’t have to defend OpenAI’s anything. I agree with Sam’s broad sweep

@eigenrobot oh nvm I misread

how goddamn stupid do you have to be to destroy a beloved brand like chrysler and replace it with “stellantis”. they deserve to die

😭 never thought the day would come when I’m punching down on shkreli https://x.com/ludvonrand/status/1702848956697305183

hasan minaj and aziz ansari are awful insecure and worst of all unfunny

@he_negash Yes

@AberrantDecoder if Dave Chappell was boring and dumb

@thakurign i don’t care

@missjuniiebug Yep

@wagieeacc No one got hit bro

@wagieeacc @goth600 embarrassing fr

@DaSkrubKing No

gates is clearly wrong Gates argued that batteries would never be able to power large semitrucks and that solar energy would not be a major part of solving the climate problem. “I showed him the numbers,” Gates says. “It’s an area where I clearly knew something that he didn’t.”

@powerbottomdad1 for sure I love him he pays my bills

@nachkari why are 60% of capital flows going to renewables?

@iosforfun that’s based and good

it’s tiring being america and being responsible for 90% of the innovation that happens at all. if some American company doesn’t do it nobody will

why is the nuclear regulatory commission such a major bottleneck? aren’t there other countries with other regulatory requirements? doesn’t matter, they wont carry their weight

@djmicrobeads I’m the spirit of America im Uncle Sam

@meatballtimes Freedom outweighs efficiency 10 times out of 10

@Mindzatwork this thing says China has a monopoly over electric batteries lol ???

unspeakably based

trying very hard to restrain the urge to post elon bio screenshots like everybody else but failing

@wagieeacc @SHL0MS I’m not afraid of my identity. I’ll tell anybody who wants to know lol. pseudonymity is a pure and meritocratic form but you wouldn’t get it

@PicoPaco17 lmfao

@Mindzatwork 2021 aka pre gigafactory ramp

@elonmusk he seems to be operating on 10 year old energy facts

@eshear three effects - higher up means they care more and are probably email addicts - no sign off needed to get you things - they’re just better at making decisions…

@animalologist teenage boys eat the cheapest available calories though. you just need to keep buying string cheese and Doritos

@Matt_Levine_1 you need to log off

from so simple a beginning endless forms most beautiful and most wonderful

people read isaacson books and then get mad at them for being at all positive about the person he’s writing about. why would he spend years of his life following around great people if he didn’t think they were great?

@LevGrothEul he challenges everything

everyone talks about the freshman 15 but nobody talks about the quitting speed 15

it’s a crime to sit on technology without releasing it for too long out of some misguided precautionary principle. every year that self driving cars are delayed kills a million people

@XavierORourke Yes

@powerbottomdad1 isnt the causation reversed

@Happyholistichs @RizomaSchool AI should reduce incidents like this

@BasedNorthmathr I meant that I get along better with people who like elon

Industrialists are crazy under respected vs their positive impact on history. this is due to flaws in human intuition that makes us think of resource acquisition as inherently extractive

@provisionalidea yeah because they’re missing the only thing that matters in the long run: the admiration of history

it seems like in the isaacson book whenever elon makes a supposedly crazy choice and half the underlings freak out it’s literally never actually a crazy choice. the underlings are upset with his style and certainty more than the choice

people who say that ChatGPT has become lobotomized or more constrained over time: which prompts used to work but stopped working?

@growing_daniel I bet after seeing 5 of Pablo’s blue paintings the art scene was like alright that’s enough

@growing_daniel and he even has the benefit of spacing them out over years

also have you considered making an eval I promise we actually track these https://github.com/openai/evals

and the other half are like yeah this makes perfect sense

@provisionalidea we literally call them robber barons

@provisionalidea it’s literally taught in high school as the robber baron era

@shakoistsLog You cry and scream at robo wife and your real wife’s robo husband delivers it gently and nonviolently

@shakoistsLog https://youtu.be/VcHc54Z_b3w?si=CfepIIjTc0Y_-DJV

@milquepoast this is about paradise lost

@nickcammarata are you reading isaacson?

@nickcammarata What repulsed you so much?

@nickcammarata I think it only works if you think of the mission to mars as a religious cause also if Tesla manages to solve real world AGI in terms of cars or humanoids it will outweigh pretty much everything else he’s done and may be potentially more important than openai

@growing_daniel don’t be evil

@JackSeroy @nickcammarata it’s not a certainty you can achieve agi from reading text alone

@type1ayy @growing_daniel 90% of people alive today wouldn’t be if they were subject to the random vagaries of nature. should we stop vaccinating people so that natural selection can run its course ? natural selection is a cruel god and sexual selection is even worse

you’ve never seen the houses on sea cliff https://x.com/a_musingcat/status/1704623012375298368

universal basic house on sea cliff

GM and toyota co owned the Fremont factory until the recession hit and they had to fire sale it to Tesla, which became the first successful car startup in 100 years. Now the Fremont factory produces 600k teslas a year creative destruction in action

@metakuna wait why

@8teAPi how is this against my point?

whichever mf said text is the universal interface was spittin

@TheRealDanSaedi Grinding

if you’re saying something edgy at least make it funny

note to self

@sama broke: computer researcher woke: researcher who is a computer

903661

empiricists when you ask them how they choose experiments to run rationalists when you ask them where priors come from

@RMac18 lol I lost 2 people their jobs wtf

the bad news is that you need to reason somewhat from rational first principles from analogy from tradition from experiment and also from intuition or you're leaving money on the table

it’s kurzweil’s world and we’re all just living in it

@thecaptain_nemo perfect meme

@annaarthoe ancestral Eve

@api_assasin my gf got me to quit

@api_assasin she swatted my hand when I tried to bite it for 3 months until she RLHFed me

nge uses christian symbolism but is actually a retelling of the Gita

no real advancement has been in theoretical physics since 1997’s maldacena duality / holography principle

@growing_daniel 100% I’ve been looking for these words

@growing_daniel @synethetica look how Microsoft has done under satya … that’s exactly the kind of dead empire revival England needs

@benrayfield that’s not theoretical physics though we’ve known about antimatter and it’s properties for 100 years

@nominalthoughts it wasn’t actually very good and will leave no lasting cultural impact

i used to say stuff like “aliens have landed on earth” but I don’t believe it so much anymore AIs are built off of our cognitive scaffolding. they are familiar to us and have familiar successes and failures https://x.com/AISafetyMemes/status/1706238872047264077

@BasedBeffJezos yeah I think it’s more like abstracting out one of our brain regions into software. it’s alien but only insofar as our own neurologi is incomprehensible

@jachaseyoung I’m trying

you will not be “left behind” by AI. for the vast majority it will be a democratizing force bringing computer powers under your control that were reserved for a select few

for most people it means less alienating work and more productive days and heightened creative impulse

you will not be made poor by AI. you will find your labor become steadily more valuable as it’s augmented by powerful cognitive assistance until such a point when labor becomes free and you’ll live in an age of infinite abundance

worst comes to worst if everyone is bored we can create artificial disutility and all live on interstitial kibbutzes doing farm labor in the Dyson cloud. these are the kinds of things that become not only possible but easy

whatever meaning making experiments we’ve currently run will be dwarfed in orders of magnitude by what is to come

@todzuni except you live in the modern world where welfare states exist and structural unemployment doesn’t cause mass death

anthropic splitting off without a doubt accelerated AGI timelines

@LatinxPutler yes they do

@LatinxPutler nonsense deflators, doesn’t include non wage compensation like health benefits that have been steadily expanding, etc. https://fee.org/articles/the-myth-of-the-pay-productivity-gap/

more AGI labs equals more competition. idc though it’s probably good

@delphiwyrm44812 the medieval theologian was more useful than you

@0xSparked technology has increased personal agency

there are several distinct phases: - the augmentation period: in this time AIs are not autonomous and will raise the wages of many people by increasing their marginal product. some will be displaced by the total pie will grow - baby AGI period: in this time AIs are superior workers to most humans but are expensive to run, and humans can still valuably trade their time for money due to comparative advantage. people will be unimaginably well compensated during this period even doing small tasks - dawn of ASI period: running human level AI is free for all intents and purposes and human labor is defunct and we enter an age of infinite abundance.

@PrinceVogel yeah seems pretty alien but in the way that like a bug is alien

@ESYudkowsky i meant what i said. control over computers will be democratized. incredible powers will be accessible to the public. the internet democratized the production and flow of information. none of these necessarily mean that total inequality of power goes down

@ESYudkowsky but i believe power is nonzerosum

agi has been achieved internally (inside my head)

@PicoPaco17 (guy steps in dogshit repeatedly) damn that guys a real risk taker

@GreyNewell @dooyoocanoodle @PicoPaco17 multiple people asked me to take it down because sh*reli was having a really bad day so I did. I’ve also got better battles to fight

@GeorgeHristov7 it’s got nothing to do with the job tbh I’m just not having a good time. but I do wonder what you mean by schizopriest content

@GeorgeHristov7 well I’ve been kind of longhoused a bit but also like. prophets don’t usually stick around for the rapture. it’s a different vibe when it’s actually happening. also like 4 layers of management follow me

having access to a digital therapist is better than no therapist you absolute buffoons

@KQVAttention I’m wondering the same thing

@losslandscape yeah it doesn’t really matter other than people are bullying Lilian Weng for no reason

@megs_io 100%

@tolstoybb I disagree I think paying for someone emotionally intelligent to talk to is a basic good regardless of their degrees or pseudo science justifications. it’s a modern day confessional and it’s a good thing to hear yourself speak out loud about your feelings

@ESYudkowsky ok but not in this world. I’ve found it helpful many times to talk to gpt4

@ciphergoth sorry that’s what I meant. I am obviously xrisk pilled

@PakicetusAdapts @WomboftheVoid it’s cuz you’re a sick ass account

anthro chauvinism

browsing will be the first thing language models are superhuman at

@dystopiabreaker superhuman is a tough bar I guess. what I mean is better than any living person at a given task perhaps it’s superhuman at writing poetry on niche subjects

an american city should be a schizophrenic free market brain breaking mix of different types of architectures from across the ages and ages that never even existed

Indus River valley civ had AGI but it was lost due to invasions

@growing_daniel they solved the alignment problem but aligned it to be useless

honestly i got RLHFed

Lord of Light, a scifi novel I least expected to correlate to a real outcome, will in fact probably come true

@elonmusk you’re one of the only ones that’s immune to it

im not gonna lie my brand has experienced total cultural victory and it’s honestly really boring. now everyone is a tech accel schizophrenic and I have to think really hard for new content

also I have to think really hard about what I post bc I sold out for dynastic wealth and a planet or two in the sama galactic empire

@testaccountoki sama could 3v1 us

@alth0u how did you know I read Enders game and based my futurology on it

@RichardMCNgo you should get a custom domain so you can link it without getting tanked by the algo

the reason zuck has had such an easy cultural resurrection is because the reasons people hated him were always unclear stupid scapegoat stuff and people immediately forgot them

zuck lost us the election by uhhh letting some survey company do surveys

@blckbrvcewayne history will remember elon as a legend none of this recent stuff matters

@Noahpinion I support capital solutions for people like this

capitalism works because there’s a class of people who enjoy playing the game of allocating capital and a subset of those who are good at it and get to play more games via Darwinian evolution of capital

“monetary incentives shape behavior” is true everywhere except anywhere it actually matters

even in post scarcity people will have no problem finding games to play even with material needs solved

you become beholden to Steve Jobs design aesthetic and we are going to mars because elon musk wills it and we believe in evolution because Darwin wanted to spend a long ass time on a boat and study wild animals

it’s true that they like making money but it’s an abstract concern. people who want money will always be outcompeted by people who are playing games and dream of their game on nights and weekends and don’t tire. and outlier success pretty much rules the world

@R0b0tSp1der doesn’t matter at all in the slightest the only crime is that they didn’t conduct more of such experiments so they could figure out how to make people happy at scale

it’s funny the incentive ideology is so strong that even some businessmen become psyopped into thinking they want money when all they really wanted was to win

my twitter feed is all nerds poasting their llamas and mistrals now. what happened to the insane people

most sane ppl on the planet in my replies like look at me I’m crazy 🤪

@LadiesOfReddit that’s literally me I’m the forefront of that

@LadiesOfReddit true

MrBeast displays signs of the World Spirit, I have no doubt he would’ve been a major khan in the khanate

atmospheric river i.e. aakasha ganga https://x.com/ADoricko/status/1688740633413033984

@growing_daniel I feel safe in the streets of my hometown it’s not a great city

@growing_daniel I felt safe af in Toronto it’s not even close to great

standing desk is accelerationist

feet on table is accelerationist

if you don’t sit like this at work ngmi

@browserdotsys I have no clue what your prompt means to be fair I just tried it on every available language model to see if they knew

@sylphidian putting it on

@hellokillian honestly I had no idea how correct I was I thought I was bullshitting

@hellokillian thought this was flowery bullshit when I wrote it but turned out to be true

@milquepoast tradition is the corpse of wisdom @tehpio

@caiuscorioles @browserdotsys @ded_ruckus no this just means we haven’t reached AGI yet

if you ever need a software engineering job go to madras cafe in sunnyvale and strike up a convo with some middle aged uncles

@sama was thinking of you ngl

the singularity is unbearably slow up close

@deepfates very brave

relativity joke

Dianne Feinstein killed Tupac

i am unfollowing loads of tech accounts to get some more fun on here. do not be alarmed

weapon opens time

@ctjlewis @GordianKnot256 buddy I’m not sure I’m even invited

there is no scarcity of useful work in this world instead there’s a scarcity of people or emulations doing it

once again begging everyone to have more abundance mindset “front end dev is being automated” first of all I only wish we were anywhere close but second of all imagine the possibilities that would be open to you if you could make any UI virtually for free

@liminal_warmth yup

it’s true that ai is the most interesting thing that ever happened. but monomania is still bad for your internal life. you need to be ideamaxxing

@provisionalidea yeah but this is less sympathetic when faang employees are saying there might be less front end work in the future

@provisionalidea they are not only going to make their rent they’re just going to be reallocated to all the other hundreds of things they could be doing

3000 years of continuous civilization is too much. 1000 is more than enough

@allgarbled you forgot about the phone guys

some people don’t understand that my internal life is 100x better than the moment https://x.com/bayeslord/status/1708324670699937926

if any of you work for Uber you should know your app is completely broken and there are no drivers ever

wake up every day check AB test result. Rinse and repeat

the entire world judges my character and my works

@_jasonwei @alth0u emily bender in shambles

also re point 1b) I feel like we do kind of live in a dystopia where im not allowed to be nearly as disagreeable as I’d like to be because of the way internet flash mobs can work. one day ur chilling the next day people are writing news articles about how terrible you are— I’ve seen it happen to one or two friends who are like the nicest people ever irl. esp when you’re an ml researcher at a hot company and journalists are hunting for good scoops and fun gossip

the real limits on free speech are not imposed by social media companies or employers but by culture itself which will spontaneously form ruthless flash mobs to destroy people it doesn’t like based on zero context tweets or a tiktok length video or something

popular culture no longer cares about free speech (some would say it never did) and the elites that once stood up for it against the mob are no longer around. elon musk’s X takeover is one example of this coming back and of course X is suffering the consequences

can anyone send me a waymo invite code 🥺

@ded_ruckus companies take a defensive posture and hire people managers who won’t allow reputational risks to the company. but where did the reputational risk arise?

@UubzU I’m fixing it!

“The most impressive people I know care a lot about what people think, even people whose opinions they really shouldn’t value (a surprising numbers of them do something like keeping a folder of screenshots of tweets from haters). But what makes them unusual is that they generally care about other people’s opinions on a very long time horizon—as long as the history books get it right, they take some pride in letting the newspapers get it wrong.”

the fact that SBF had a jane street internship but was bronze II at league is a blackpill on jane street

@BLUECOW009 cope + L + ratio

Elo hell is not real you’re just bad

@growing_daniel revealed urself as a short king

@ChrisSpoke @shl @scared_ape his point is that writers can potentially be high status whereas VCs don’t even have a shot, which is true

in a waymo rn and soyfacing the entire time

absolutely amazing 10/10 no notes. they delivered on a scifi vision of a half century

@83dollaroring ok except for the part where this isn’t freshman level engineering and it’s based as hell that he was right

@mrexits first of all this is scripted second of all you’ve clearly never met a fent user theyre comatose not violent

@ellegist only outliers outmarry

lotta people who, 2 years ago didn’t believe deep learning would amount to anything, now don’t believe that digital life could be dangerous

y’all clowned grimes when she mentioned radical decentralized ubi via crypto and gaming and then this happened

chatgpt, midjourney, waymo, etc is the first generation of ai where the public is actually willing to call it ai. the timeline algorithm or whatever never made it stick

@aniiyengar lightcone is cool branding

baby token screaming for attention

please pay attention

nothing wrong with this except it seems to have mistake Luigi for waluigi, a cardinal sin https://x.com/Pioldes/status/1709323993847631978

anthropic is a steal at 200x multiple

caroline and alameda research have been completely vindicated. their fund return is massively positive due to anthropic and certainly better than a16z growth fund or some shit the EAs are much smarter than you

world optimization🌎

i can’t really describe what’s changed but twitter used to be a hotbed of really great intellectual discussion from small and interesting accounts that I respected and now it seems to be a zombie TL promoting random videos and meme content

I think they might have removed the SimCluster algorithm which is a really bad idea. SimCluster is really important for building community

what if a16z started a war so their dynamism fund pans out

@Hellachans I think it’s a mental barrier. the idea of getting on a bullet train feels more visible and less gaudy even though the per head cost is probably higher with capital amortization

@Hellachans plus a lot of people associate airports with inefficiency and pain even though they’re quite nice and tsa isn’t really very slow anymore

how come corporate politics is real but it doesn't have any of the good parts of politics. where are the cool pamphlets and the ideals handed down for generations?

@patio11 do you have a link to the email?

people should write more pamphlets and memos …

@alicemazzy yeah which is much worse

@Duderichy why are you roasting your friend in public for trying to learn

@cosmicfibretion literally a few months out from that

technology is absolutely incredible https://x.com/GRDecter/status/1710289890087186867

create an abundance of abundance and then the tools to help people enjoy abundance properly at a global scale

there is an extreme human prior to disbelief that any free lunch exists when there have been clearly so many throughout history for that reason i'll be viewing all anti-semaglutide content with extreme skepticism

@SizeMichael it'll be free in 15 years aka zero time at all in the sweep of history

@nickcammarata i think a bigger percent of it than we think literally goes straight into redistribution via medicare or social security i.e. literal checks handed to people rather than some massively inefficient thing

@nickcammarata could it be used far better dollar for dollar to improve ppls welfare? almost certainly is it a bonfire? eh

@nickcammarata however i unequivocally think whatever i pay to california goes to actively antisocial and harmful causes

@abhidesa1 @SizeMichael united states patent law

people are pointing out that semaglutide is making them skip the free lunch,

the entire world is waiting for @ESYudkowsky's comments on the recent mechinterp results .

@fadenbrogan @nickcammarata @SurrealistShip @daniel_271828 is it comparable to a large health insurance company? i assume medicare's per person administration cost is actually lower due to economies of scale, better bargaining etc

@milquepoast it's not like they've been holding back in terms of making their snacks maximally tasty for the last 100 yrs or w.e. theres not much they can do other than try and spread fud against wegovy

@milquepoast if they truly invent some chemicals that bypass wegovy at some nervous system level then i'll be duly impressed and applaud kellogs a little bit

@theshortseo @milquepoast you dont even know how right you are

@bedubble @milquepoast just like stellantis damn everything is italian

there are two types of bio startups 1: backed by sf tech VCs, ceo pitches nothing short of solving all disease and fixing climate change with nano machines 2: backed by boston VCs, pitch deck names a single minor drug target and a whole patent grifting strategy

this kind of 2012 Reddit content is sort of endearing these days https://x.com/ylecun/status/1710484458833674256

can we bring back Carl Sagan quotes

@xausten__heller I’ll **** you ChatGPT Mfer

@LadiesOfReddit actively fixing this