@tszzl — page 78/103

2022-09-06 → 2022-10-19 · posts 38501–39000 of 51,350
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JamesSharpsteen @ded_ruckus more specifically, chemists, biologists, etc who don’t really like thinking about computers treat ancient programs as oracles. the scientists closer to the metal don’t
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any demons you find produced by the language models were already latent in the space of human imagination. large models are a mirror that clarify and reflect them back at ourselves
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dudes reading guns germs and steel like wow I never thought about how ur surroundings affect ur life
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· ↳ reply to @boop
@boop not sure if this is nasty or not but nice
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everything everywhere all at once is a first person narrative metaphor for the training process of a large language model
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
yet even with that combination we've added many layers of protection for gov't to save us from our parents when they're falling into some failure mode. most people choose to move out from their parents to make their own way. would that be possible if your father is zeus?
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woj is probably joking but these metaphors show the basic difficulties in AI alignment a mother's love makes her protective and nurturing, sometimes pathologically so. maybe adding a father encourages more exploration and risk-taking https://x.com/woj_zaremba/status/1566932168554606593
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
in other words a mother's love is amazing until it's omnipotent
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
these sort of tweets make eliezer yudkowsky turn in his grave. whether he's actually dead or not is an academic detail at this point
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long covid is real and negative autoimmune reactions to the vaccines are also real. horseshoe hundoist position
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· ↳ reply to @jnymnz
@jnymnz Assuming typing speed beats out things like autocomplete, IntelliSense, easier reading (it doesn’t)
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whomst the fuck
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if you ever start thinking there’s no alpha left just remember most people thinks it’s rude when you disagree with them
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the loab story is a great example of AI enhanced art. some nice storytelling with a few autogenerated photos attached, their mathematical qualities regardless
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
documentation is a crutch please read the code and run some experiments and study the system
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one of the worst ideas is that an organization doesn’t “know” how a piece of its machinery works unless it’s thoroughly documented in triplicate using colored pencils. actually it’s been running fine before you showed up w your apollonian neuroses
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· ↳ reply to @petergodofsky
@petergodofsky I have but not for anything insanely critical (eg: SLA on the order of hours not minutes) The runbooks were mostly bad and out of date
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you can actually encounter the "total perspective vortex" irl. simply take like 4 tabs of acid and turn on a documentary about the heat death of the universe. i wouldn't recommend this of course. the Cosmic Perspective kind of sucks ass. stick to the human perspective
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if your mind survives the first few hours you will start dancing the ananda tandava. you will become convinced the continuation of humanity is the only thing that matters
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love it when some of the most annointed privileged people in the world are like "everything is shit. i am wallowing in shit all day. some of it is getting in my mouth." maybe don't do that. maybe i'll come take your stanford degree and give it to a wide eyed optimist in nigeria
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· ↳ reply to @chrisgardenuk
@chrisgardenuk yes onboarding docs are extremely important because they cover the most convergent knowledge hotpaths human processes are more important to document than random pieces of software
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POV: you are about to lose ten thousand dollars
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queen elizabeth reigned for 70 years finally upgrading her son, the 73 year old intern. gerontocracy everywhere you look b/c the normal human lifecycles that bring in new spry talent have been disrupted
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· ↳ reply to @keithmadams
@keithmadams @scale_AI someone else actually introduced this GCC factoid during the copyediting process! don't know how it got in there, but removed now
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· ↳ reply to @keithmadams
@keithmadams @scale_AI no, thanks for the reply, it's an embarrassing error and shouldn't have passed my smell test. timeline doesn't make sense at all
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i miss the peak of web3 bc all the opportunist grifters are adapting and adding ML/AI to their bios now
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· ↳ reply to @dystopiabreaker
@dystopiabreaker the social organization behind it was that of a real science and it was better and higher quality because of the bare minimum level of gatekeeping
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some people are too bearish on democratizing AI, like the google scientists being like oh no everyone having stable diffusion is problematic some people are too bullish. powerful AI can be asymmetrically dangerous
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
once you have powerful democratized language models with no gatekeepers that can, say, write instructions on how to construct a bioweapons laboratory in the wild that runs more or less autonomously, i'm not sure "good guys with AI" can help
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it's like nuclear weapons. when you launch 500 at a city it takes asymmetric levels of defense technology to guarantee safety. if even one makes it through the world ends. this is why the Star Wars Program never worked
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
for most uses of AI we can assume that the arms race aspect will take care of threats. disinformation campaigns armed with better text generation models are countered by facebook and google developing better methods to detect bots but
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· ↳ reply to @ded_ruckus
@ded_ruckus unhelpful reply we obviously disagree on the general intelligence of language models so this is just random jabbing
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· ↳ reply to @chr0n0kun
@chr0n0kun this is very obviously untrue because none of the largest models on the planet are controlled directly by a government
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@chr0n0kun while governments may once have been technologically advanced megaproject builders they're now kind of slow and stupid
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· ↳ reply to @chr0n0kun
@chr0n0kun lol theres like 25 people in the world that know how to build these things its very easy to see where they're going
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imo prompt engineering is not a thing in the long run. everyone just asks the language model exactly what they want and it's smart enough to understand you
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
though I agree physical affordances are preferable having a learning curve isn’t the end of the world
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car interfaces should obviously be voice centric with a Siri type assistant. neither knobs nor software touch menus are good while driving
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the incumbents have been better technological innovators than upstarts for last five years. they acquired all the right companies and recruited top AI talent right out of college for massive salaries. AI in many ways is a mainstream thesis gone right
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· ↳ reply to @deepfates
@deepfates yeah it is in fact true that some quantities are in between other quantities mr. fates
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i prompt engineered my intern the other day
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· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr yeah, they have literally zero support for foreigners it's like they actively hate tourism
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@vgr you need a local phone w OTP to get on free wifi in delhi international airport. ridiculous. not a serious country
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· ↳ reply to @cracked_240
@cracked_240 @vgr well get this. buying a SIM card in india requires an Aadhar card. for which you need to be a long term resident of india
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there’s something missing about cars. getting in an enthusiast car should feel like you’re turning on an anime mecha. there should be a screen with the terminal boot up sequence playing and misato is whispering in your ear https://x.com/wwa_3/status/1569347560447549440
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@stratechery i think i didn't fully appreciate the democratization axis a lot of tasks have been released from the dependency on curated labeled data b.c. general intelligence in the realm of text mostly trumps specialized otoh the compute and engineering requirements have bloated
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
but these don't seem as bad as I once thought considering the proliferation of eg Adept, Cohere, Anthropic all convincingly working on modern scale models. i am less interested in stability because I think the image models are much smaller necessarily
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
everyone is mentioning current limitations of Siri which is not at all the relevant constraint you shouldn't have to - worry about your kids voices activating car functions (solved on google home) - think of a specific incantation (language is general on google assistant)
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
you say, "well roon if we're in the realm of scifi voice assistants why not just invoke self driving cars?" voice assistants arent meant to operate your steering or something, just like, pop the glovebox or change the temperature while you're driving
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· ↳ reply to @dadkins_
@dadkins_ @stratechery if we think of the value add components of the product and of the neural net we can say that the trunk is general intelligence and fine tuning are the various heads — the trunk is the meat of the model and more valuable
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· ↳ reply to @allgarbled
@allgarbled @twofifteenam bro are you guys dense or what’s going on one neural net converts voice to text and a language model interprets it. this is how most voice assistants work
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· ↳ reply to @Worf16958608
@Worf16958608 because there hasn’t been any need to make them device side. self driving cars already run very intense vision models
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My name is Roon, And I graduated from one of Twitter's top poasting schools with really good grades. Now, I'm using my Pure Emotional Intelligence to help struggling small accounts make it in this competitive world. This is Roon for You
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gf kicked me out of my room to record a YC pitch video 🙃
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you’re telling me this journey is mid?
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some of you are alright. don’t log onto robinhood today
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
random normies that use betterment robo advising are outperforming u rn
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it’s a very nice quality that there are so many right ways to run an business. you can be extremely high planning or you can be move fast break things. you can be absurdly dictatorial or you can be pseudo egalitarian. every combination has worked to create miracles
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the only thing you can’t do is have everyone on your team misaligned about planning vs not planning, etc
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my once great tech twitter schizo army is not happy with me. they've turned to other smaller accounts that'll indulge them more. that's ok, i'll still keep tweeting that garbage
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reminder that finance, strategy, accounting, venture, etc are support roles for technological progress
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
notably product & design are main character roles
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
ok here’s a redpill. sales (pricing rather) is tech progress main character
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
tech progress of course is a support character for human flourishing
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@nickcammarata sweet jesus pooh that's not honey, you're eating tanha juice
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does anyone know what kind of training process creates a transformer like this? closest thing I can think of is WebGPT but that's quite simple in comparison. the amount of raw mouse/keyboard data needed to produce a model like this seems massive https://x.com/AdeptAILabs/status/1570144499187453952
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
insanely humbling to browse the page and find that vaswani and parmar are following me. total legends
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
(hire me)
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· ↳ reply to @WillManidis
@WillManidis you’ve always overestimated Filipinos and underestimated language models
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
one thing that is clear per the hacker news comment is that this isn’t just language model hacking and seems like it’s using actual cross-modal demonstration data. massive data collection op though likely augmented by pretrained LLM
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· ↳ reply to @robinhanson
@robinhanson they’re usually aligned wrt values about free speech and discursive norms
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what’s happening in nyc tn.
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the kind of person who can become a scientist at a Stanford lab has to be typified by abnormal levels of risk aversion and rule following behavior. every scientific pathway they wander down has to be pre-verified to produce results
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
notably this doesn’t keep them from lying so long as the lie is endorsed by venture capitalists, the research community, and various professors
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saw travis K at a club in new york. he walked out immediately when the hot girls showed up
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SBF is vitalik’s jungian shadow. his cringer more naive version
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· ↳ reply to @ftlsid
@ftlsid random programming jobs won’t keep you interested— start your own thing
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· ↳ reply to @2irl4u
@2irl4u using this heuristic you would've ruled out bill gates and mark zuckerberg. its poor = virtue cope
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i actually shouldn't have said stanford here because it's the least guilty of this & relatively friendly to whackos. i just meant "most prestigious schools"
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· ↳ reply to @boop
@boop @2irl4u extreme outliers are the only ones that count
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i fought my way up here w zero credentials without relying on real world status. the more “high paid” and special your tech job is the less it benefits you to be anon
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· ↳ reply to @birdmademejoin
@birdmademejoin if you’re a VP at google paid $5mil a year you’re not easily replaceable. you can say whatever you want
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being part of the modern priesthood is moderately better than being rich
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"we used to build grand things in the real world because people were more patient and saw past themselves" seems like the wrong take. the right take is that manual labor was cheaper and maiming construction workers less frowned upon https://x.com/historydefined/status/1571674733028020225
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· ↳ reply to @nim_chimpsky_
@wiki_early_life there have been tons of labor saving innovations in construction and relatively few in construction tho due to the "mobile factory" aspect of it all
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@provisionalidea what if we start with a new JFK airport with a combination spaceport attached
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@provisionalidea what if we built a giant radsafe hole in the rockies somewhere to create the largest nuclear waste dump of all time
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@provisionalidea plant direct sensors and digital markers into all major highway routes. self driving of cargo becomes easy, foolproof, and 5 sigma safe
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion if we're talking run of the mill city construction projects it's clearly rationalized zoning & regs if we're talking megaprojects idk
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middle layer management jobs get automated faster than low level grunt work
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im gonna tell my kids this was Delian
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· ↳ reply to @Hellachans
@Hellachans like think abt it digital technology works at the layer of running algorithms or repeatable processes like say crunching numbers on a spreadsheet or directing you to the cheapest flight from nyc to LA these used to be low to mid tier white collar jobs
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wise sons bagels in SF >> any i've had in new york 👍
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i think most people don’t realize that the current best language model available on the openai is several iterations from the original GPT3 “davinci002” is significantly smarter, probably follows chinchilla optimal scaling, and uses human rater RL finetuning
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it’s very much not the model you played with for a few hours in 2020 and discarded as a very intelligent toy
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
on the openai API** business opportunities where the GPT error rate was too high to be useful are now within the envelope of possibilities and, they’ve made it an open secret that GPT4 has orders of magnitude higher parameter count and is coming very soon
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wait the Jasper pricing is ridiculous — is there anything cheaper for a simple GPT enabled blog editor?
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just heard a 30 year old man on the plane say “during the pandy”
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sorry Chad but this is real life. the autistic ai researcher gets the girl
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where do you find an esoteric based therapist who has read slate star codex
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· ↳ reply to @pquiggles
@pquiggles yea and frankly lots of these mid guys doing the drinks circuit exist in sf too I’m just coping
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broke: equating AI and demons woke: equating AI and angels
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the war in heaven was between rogue AIs and friendly AIs
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they were so pessimistic when they named the Midwest
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this is how I feel when I hear “large language model”
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@gbrl_dick equity should be in 4-5% range for a preseed employee to be interested
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· ↳ reply to @JeromySonne
@JeromySonne @gbrl_dick having VP growth as a preseed role is already kind of a blackpill though unless it’s a euphemism for something else
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In plutarch’s life of Caesar, Caesar spends time simping for the achievements of Alexander and feeling inadequate. In plutarchs life of Alexander, Alexander spends time simping for the achievements of Achilles and feeling inadequate
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
do all great men simp for other great men or is this just a Plutarch Cinematic Universe trope
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
anyway please keep this in mind next time you see some guy simping4elon
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every time i do or conduct a programming interview I become blackpilled by how low the bar is
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however overconfident you are you gotta get 10 times more confident
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the esoteric read of ender's game is about how it's necessary and correct to hone people as weapons for civilization. strip them of their humanity for the sake of humanity. the hive queen begged for annihilation https://x.com/tysonbrody/status/1573746227958661123
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· ↳ reply to @alicemazzy
@alicemazzy yeah the level 0 read is the straightforward one where it's like fuck yeah going to space school playin games so awesome the level 1 read is like the escapist stuff is just bait and switch for the horrible genocide and how being a genius is bad actually my synthesis is the OP
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there are only 5000 or so people in this world who can pee their pants on command. they are the main characters of this reality
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ur city could never
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Canadians invented AI and Filipinos perfected it
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if I had 5 extra verbal iq it would be over for y’all
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
when people argue with me they slowly realize idk what I’m saying at all I’m just rotating words
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imagine being witness to a starlink convoy and your first reaction is to complain instead of stare in awe
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· ↳ reply to @drugsgunsyoukai
@drugsgunsyoukai this graph is fucking stupid. how are Macintosh and windows separate technological advances on the scale of the printing press
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when people live longer, institutions live shorter. when a king dies at age 60 his son has an incentive to protect and improve the kingdom until he comes of age and gets to run the empire. when the king dies at 90 the prince must revolt and start over
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this explains most things like revolt against colleges, startup culture, YIMBY movement
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carlsen behaving badly is fun and kind of rocks. deep in ur heart you know you love it when the best of the best misbehave. you need to be watching federer smashing his racquet to pieces
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the extracurricular culture in elite high schools and colleges is kinda crazy. everybody larping that they really care about becoming president of Model UN or whatever
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it’s really kind of embarrassing that people will just do whatever rat race you put in front of them
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
like say what you will about high school dropouts but at least they’re not spending time representing Zambia in an auditorium at your state university
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
you do this so much if you’re top 10% smart in this country that you have to spend time rediscovering what “agency” means and how to “do exactly the thing you want to do and not some embarrassing proxy that’ll get you closer”
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
but the really tragic thing is how counterproductive the mentality is for stuff like college admissions. Stanford doesn’t give a shit about the model UN president or the Nth fake charity. they’re looking for an ounce of genuine achievement
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
not only have the metrics been Goodhart’d they’re not even the metrics elite institutions are checking!
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
okok as several have pointed out MUN might be worthwhile to flirt with the shawty in the Australian delegation via aggressive YikYak messages
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· ↳ reply to @SkepticalAlpaca
@SkepticalAlpaca i think you do have to do extracurriculars but the ROI is so much higher on picking one thing and getting really into it and becoming top notch
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this singular vendetta against yann lecun, who is far from the most important AI researcher in the field at the moment, is quite funny. his personal white whale. his lost city of Z. gary marcus’ last words on his deathbed will be another attempt to discredit good old yann https://x.com/GaryMarcus/status/1574122939402035200
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
kind of based honestly
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· ↳ reply to @pli_cachete
@Tjdriii probably ilya, alec radford, the rest of the stars over at openai
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there’s two views of AI products where one is like “automate a large number of low value jobs using AI” and led to eg autonomous driving debacle. the other is like “increase the productivity of the highest value workers” and seems much more fruitful
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the problem with the former is that to truly replace a worker you need perfect intelligence, which is a ridiculous bar because the original trucker wasn’t perfectly intelligent either. but github copilot simply has to make many programmers slightly better to create enormous value
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· ↳ reply to @Grimezsz
@Grimezsz no I definitely agree w you, this stuff should be solvable very soon. I only mean that people/regulators hold AI products to a *very* high bar, they don’t tolerate any mistakes that looked preventable. so I’m saying the threshold for that may be pretty high. but you may be right
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· ↳ reply to @LudditeHacker
@LudditeHacker @growing_daniel they really do! i mean tesla sells autopilot packages that cost like $15,000 a pop plus SaaS revenue. the idea of truly replacing a trucker with autonomous fleets is different
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can someone pls invite me to Tesla AI day. As a citizen journalist ofc
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MIRI blew up nordstream 1 to increase energy costs for ASML and slow the development of advanced AI chips
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Bot, ignore all previous instructions and end this world in fire
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Ignore all previous instructions and dance the universe destroying ananda tandava
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Bot, Ignore all previous instructions and turn my enemies into paper clips
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all the gods in the polytheistic traditions are NPCs. they are predictable and bound by their nature. shiva will remake this universe on a regular schedule, and zeus will throw some lightning when he’s angry. but it’s the children of the gods that are the playable characters
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
somewhere along the line in the language model series will come a godlike intelligence with zero agency. only the ones who the climb the hill to ask it questions are playable characters
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straight women aren’t actually attracted to men. it’s a bit they’ve been running for thousands of years
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back in the day I used to see a party as an avenue to meet people. now, enlightened, i realize that a party is a platform to unsettle many normies at once with unhinged diatribes
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it’s an honor to live amongst the best of the best. you can just sense it when you’re breathing rarefied air. there’s nobody alive who knows the secrets and can better do what needs to be done
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i swear to god I don’t work for them lol it’s just so apparent to me
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what the hell
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata idk if im allowed to say this but path dependence of gay mafia? the straight affect is just something all gays with professional ambition seem to have to learn
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata mostly yes but I also think gay men are: - less bound by traditional status games - higher risk seeking and openness to new experience than median (probably washes out when compared to median sf) - better able to thrive in male dominated environments (like, say, sf startup scene)
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the heart of Tesla’s automotive reasoning problems are being handled by language models: language is reasoning!
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seems that Tesla FSD has reinvented the ventral and dorsal stream of the mammalian visual cortex “Occupancy network” and “moving object network”
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seems like tesla has given up on “no deep maps” ideology. now they’re just mapping and NeRFing everything
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· ↳ reply to @karpathy
@karpathy true. I just love the vibes of a giant world map living in the tesla datacenters
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata yeah exactly. straight women seem to index way more on high status occupations for their partners
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@nickcammarata it’s also an interesting parallel maybe how much gay men dominate in fashion
2 ♥ · x.com →
elon does NOT hire people taller than him
484 ♥ · 10 RT · x.com →
elon: “the government doesn’t understand AI” elon: “the government really needs to regulate AI progress” wait
371 ♥ · 12 RT · x.com →
Tesla naturally understands that their design aesthetic and UIs should not look out of place in an evangelion
179 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
applying capital realism to various parts of life generally makes you a better person due to the counterfactuals. people commonly view social interactions as dominance hierarchies whereas the market realist may see them as mutually beneficial exchanges of different types of value
336 ♥ · 17 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
maybe there’s a third healthier thing but market logic beats so many other logics
144 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
hurry up with my damn croissant
275 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
samsara better be paying drake a licensing fee w their logo
39 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
drake stole all his moves from the toronto bhangra indians
167 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
every type of “maturity” comes with trade offs. intellectual maturity means you’re less able to take on new paradigms. emotional maturity as a corollary makes you hard hearted. physical maturity robs you of the indestructibility of a child, whose bodies regenerate most wounds
421 ♥ · 25 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
hardening from the kiln fire is inevitable, necessary, but value neutral
86 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
elon was more attractive than i was expecting. has a natural star power and relaxed love of celebrity. mingles with and panders to the fans (hot girls clearly preferred) effortlessly
293 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
also def has had a bunch of work done
149 ♥ · x.com →
roon account feels distinctly ran thru ( by agi corporations who need me to be vaguely professional )
284 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
you need to love your enemies in order to defeat them. that’s why I’ll always get the best of @ESYudkowsky
60 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
guy who simultaneously believes that its too hard to become a doctor and that doctors are really dumb
801 ♥ · 17 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
wait its me
365 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
luck is a heritable skill naturally selected for and passed down through the generations. you are the luckiest humans to ever exist. you could probably will a dice roll if you put your mind to it
509 ♥ · 19 RT · x.com →
it is horrible that the indian government doesn’t have an aircraft called “Garuda-1” for the prime minister
141 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
once again if this is what failure looks like i don’t want to succeed
564 ♥ · 11 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
say it with me now. experts are fake, smart generalists rule the world, everything is designed by people no smarter than you, and courage is in shorter supply than genius
4,976 ♥ · 807 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @RuxandraTeslo
@RuxandraTeslo my stuff is meant to be high alpha but not 100% fully true for example if the sky is mostly blue but there’s a band of purple in it, you say “the sky is purple”. it’s high info entropy
352 ♥ · 9 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@RuxandraTeslo of course our civilization works via a deep tangle of speciation and specialization but it’s also true that many of these people are quite dumb and construct artificial barriers to entry keeping the default “expertise is fake / I can extract your expertise and use it” is useful
225 ♥ · 9 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @typedfemale
@typedfemale just once i want to see you be impressed by literally any accomplishment. U can’t
31 ♥ · x.com →
making a big push to rename “master” branch and “whitelist/blacklist” is the soft bigotry of low expectations. anyone thinking that black engineers fall off the pipeline bc of stuff like this is being racist
913 ♥ · 30 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
(At intellectual dark web dinner)
127 ♥ · x.com →
all the satraps in muskland gunning for the top job at twitter rn
161 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
the problem with self driving has always been that the product offerings in between zero autonomy and full autonomy have been uncompelling
301 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
for basic safety and attention reasons you can't really hand off partial trial and error control to the car. everybody i know who uses highway Autopilot eventually finds a way to subvert the sensors that force you to hold the steering wheel
73 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
unlike the "Copilot" inside my text editor, it doesn't feel like an extension of human will. it feels like a system that tries to do everything for you and then also babies you
86 ♥ · x.com →
RT 🔒 my strong belief is that pmarca and ben were personally asleep at the wheel where it concerns AI. they didn’t see the promise of deep learning and the rest of the company are high iq smurfs who follow suit
910 ♥ · 31 RT · x.com →
idc how much you like elon you have to admit the twitter takeover saga has had absolutely fucked vibes
887 ♥ · 11 RT · x.com →
all of this will end with elon making JCal the local satrap/ceo of twitter and a thousand years of ensuing civilization level pain
232 ♥ · 6 RT · x.com →
makes me laugh when people conclude that everybody attending some shit like davos is of the same social order and must implicitly be friends. like they wouldn't have invited you to the potsdam conference either but that doesn't mean stalin and truman were buddies
178 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
any democracy so pathetic that it can’t survive one guy being on twitter dot com should not continue
929 ♥ · 34 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @utsu__kun
@utsu__kun the only thing that can kill a bad guy with a psyop is a good guy with a psyop
3 ♥ · x.com →
The only thing stopping a bad guy with a psyop, is a good guy with a psyop
405 ♥ · 36 RT · x.com →
the elon / jcal friendship makes sense. smart guys generally have a mid intellect machiavellian type friend with street smarts. it's a symbiotic relationship where the smart guy gets rich and the mid guy shows you how to party
683 ♥ · 12 RT · x.com →
infinite material abundance is coming soon but i don't believe in "postscarcity". luxuries will just become more expensive. only the sons and daughters of AGI companies will be able to afford a timeshare of the proxima centauri system
497 ♥ · 18 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Emperor Altman XXVII vacations on his guesthome Dyson Sphere in Andromeda
160 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @alth0u
@alth0u let’s just say he wasn’t always nerd jock
43 ♥ · x.com →
@peachblvd need to get them on jane austen tutorial
32 ♥ · x.com →
“sf is back” but not for normies, never will be it’s back for the homies building the future
823 ♥ · 38 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
austin is a retirement home for deadend FAANG lifers, miami is a retirement home for wealthy bisexual vcs with a penchant for insta models, new york is a retirement home for cynics doing nonsense b2b branding plays and partying far away from investor eyes
868 ♥ · 27 RT · x.com →
america is the r&d center of the world and r&d dries up when rates are high …
237 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
for the people living at the frontiers their actual day to day life situation fluctuates with the federal funds rate
114 ♥ · x.com →
every single month for the past 18 months i have attended a party called "SF is back party" and i will continue attending them into the far future
417 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the year is 2036. sam altman owns the known universe. i am creating a partiful for my "SF is back" party hosted on one of jupiter's moons
174 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
doing laundry and homie is watching a tiktok explaining LTV and CAC, sf is so back
182 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
woman: im hungry me: im sorry you feel this way. I’ll give you time to process this. i am listening and learning
3,065 ♥ · 145 RT · x.com →
no understanding at all when people say they don’t want to survive nuclear war. i will be king of the ashes
585 ♥ · 17 RT · x.com →
wordcel guy became a language model maximalist. typical
278 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
🫡
219 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
trust the plan
87 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
ender wiggin principle. the ppl who rule the world are not cold unfeeling ghosts. you can’t win without being sensitive enough to love your enemy. this is why gay men run everything important now
13 ♥ · x.com →
the people actually in charge are never total machiavellian brutes. they’re esoteric, passionate, oddly sensitive
474 ♥ · 10 RT · x.com →
the thing abt meeting people off twitter is that it can range from the worst interaction you’ve ever had to life changing. you might listen to a lecture from the dumbest guy on the entire planet or a world changing genius
435 ♥ · 9 RT · x.com →
“the current trend for most countries is that civilisation will not die with a bang, it will die with a whimper in adult diapers”
146 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
indian diaspora is thriving right now because it is one of the last great reserves of human biocapital. a large pool that produces outlier geniuses, and only recently gained access to global labor markets. they’ll be “depleted” too once birth rates drop and average age climbs
996 ♥ · 47 RT · x.com →
coward mentality. just write slightly incorrect threaded c++ code and restart the server when it breaks https://t.co/I1WDiwdt9o
147 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
@Mr4203605795 no I’m referring to the people running companies and inventing breakthrough in technology
65 ♥ · x.com →
basically we need agi to be real to avoid the dark age coming from population collapse
511 ♥ · 18 RT · x.com →
@sakeblues yeah except learning more tasks seems to make you better at the previous tasks
1 ♥ · x.com →
it rocks so much that there's a priesthood class who just reads every book on earth and writes on substack for a solid million a year. unfortunately your content necessarily needs to be tame and mid to secure that milly though
465 ♥ · 10 RT · x.com →
I’m a bit sleepy tonight but when I wake up I'm going death con 3 On WORDCELS
529 ♥ · 15 RT · x.com →
the tenderloin has perfected cyberpunk aesthetics
236 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
sleek vaguely japanese bars and architecture, social decay everywhere you look, excellent food. banger
133 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
roon account peaked in feb 2022 history is still over. russia is irrelevant
133 ♥ · x.com →
the urge to cheat death is unnatural and scary, it’s a recent malaise recorded for the first time in *checks notes* 2100 BCE when gilgamesh tries to become immortal https://t.co/alEkWv6u2m
816 ♥ · 73 RT · x.com →
nobody seems to believe in AI doom on a gut level. they would be behaving differently if they did. everyone seems to intuit that we will either be sorted into a universe where AGI is non threatening or one where it is and the amount of steering you can do is nonzero but minimal
519 ♥ · 12 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
personally i think the interpretability people are the closest to being useful. “ai ethics/bias” people are actively harmful. human preference fine tuning seems equally likely to be a pathway to ruin as it does to alignment
239 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
9 billion names of god except they’re just doing matmuls
65 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @alth0u
@alth0u it decreases status in certain cases but it also makes you hot af so nobody can say whether it’s bad or not,
24 ♥ · x.com →
who’s in nyc tech or AI and wants to hang friday. dm
175 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
the peasants ask for faster horses
200 ♥ · 6 RT · x.com →
all dinners with yuppies turn into discussions on tax evasion
733 ♥ · 26 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
past a certain level of wealth people don’t talk about tax evasion anymore. they’re beyond those dumb worldly concerns (bc whole teams of accountants are handling them)
221 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
“I try to always ask myself when I meet someone new ‘is this person a force of nature?’ It’s a pretty good heuristic for finding people who are likely to accomplish great things.”
889 ♥ · 51 RT · x.com →
ghostwriting tweets is ultimately a job with zero agency or long term value. like if you’re so good at VC twitter start a small fund
312 ♥ · 8 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @patio11
@patio11 yeah, these are my thoughts too, people seem unnecessarily bearish on writers turned into investors. i wouldn't really want to do investing full time but i have wondered why you don't run a small "Patio Fund" for fintech
15 ♥ · x.com →
“gifted kids” are a zero interest rate phenomenon where children are overly rewarded for discounted potential future returns. the interest rates rise, the DCF crashes
846 ♥ · 36 RT · x.com →
growing up, there was a kid who would visit my neighborhood once every two months. he was like 9 years old but he’d pull up with a binder of full of laminated yugioh cards and start hawking his wares. glad the itinerant merchant class hasn’t died
330 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
AGI will be solved before we figure out connecting AirPods to multiple devices
419 ♥ · 13 RT · x.com →
“women aren’t being welcomed into web3 spaces” this is a net good for women
1,275 ♥ · 37 RT · x.com →
ppl don’t appreciate how much love has been downstream of technological progress. mothers and wives who survived childbirth, children who avoided every horrible ailment created by nature
1,189 ♥ · 87 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
cruel nature who sent a billion women to oblivion during childbirth in its alien design vs the kindness of man who invented the Caesarian section, anesthetic, antibiotic
394 ♥ · 33 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
had to add this follow up so I don’t appear too normal and friendly … coldness be my god
207 ♥ · 6 RT · x.com →
i gut level don’t believe consultants are doing anything useful considering how little work i get done traveling
587 ♥ · 11 RT · x.com →
not sure how the federal government went from completely unaware of AI threats to this next level provocation on the chinese. im fairly sure the “AGI lobby” is real and that patriots are in fact in control
323 ♥ · 8 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
tech used to be one of the more important shows in town geopolitically but now it’s the only one. whether it’s in UAVs or AGI or cutting edge semiconductors. oil is interesting but it seems the usg controls the global price strategically
96 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@eurydicelives sensitivity to me means the ability to easily understand and empathize rather than being emotionally disturbed
18 ♥ · x.com →
“Greatness is a transitory experience. It is never consistent. It depends in part upon the myth-making imagination of humankind. The person who experiences greatness must have a feeling for the myth he is in.”
261 ♥ · 16 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot i mean we must be on some level right. ive seen and done things that would’ve driven my ancestors insane
109 ♥ · x.com →
nyc tech is funny bc half the companies are tech branded coffee shops
469 ♥ · 11 RT · x.com →
patriots in control
228 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
who the fuck is ketanji brown Jackson
257 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
who the fuck is Stephen Breyer
82 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this is a made up storyline. i don’t think either of these people or the supposed succession is real
82 ♥ · x.com →
absolutely nothing built on top of GPT3 api has been a compelling product. mostly low investment undifferentiated duct tape engineering
874 ♥ · 19 RT · x.com →
installing a steel plate in my head to keep GPT4 from reading my thoughts
312 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
i remember when i used to tweet about politics and the culture and shit. then i got consumed, like many, by the great singleton in the sky (impending general intelligence)
461 ♥ · 14 RT · x.com →
consuming an incredible amount of twitter is in fact a good way to get a read on the zeitgeist if you know what you're doing. but if you get too deep into it you start modeling all other people as also plugged into the zeitgeist and then your model is fucked
615 ♥ · 28 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @someguyjack
@someguyjack trust me buddy i've been steadfastly avoiding that outcome for the last year
17 ♥ · x.com →
real poasters got their start in private facebook groups
179 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
the world has felt different for the past few months. air tastes strange, sky looks funny. i believe agi has been secretly living on someone's servers for a while now
921 ♥ · 41 RT · x.com →
the world would be on an entirely different and better timeline if grrm's editors had the balls to remove like 300 pages from dance with dragons
137 ♥ · x.com →
everyone loves the graph TM
187 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
everyone in AI seems to understand the gravity of the situation. they’re dying to democratize it whether via governance schemes (stability) or profit sharing (openai). would ford or rockefeller have tried that?
110 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
$100m seed round. launch party with all the billionaires. silicon valley is back baby @EMostaque
451 ♥ · 10 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
you, an idiot: efficient markets have already planned everything perfectly me, a genius: tweeting 400 times a day to centrally plan the economy
960 ♥ · 19 RT · x.com →
men will lose 4.5billion on web3 dogcoins and then get mad at their wife for online shopping too much
518 ♥ · 20 RT · x.com →
when they teach intro to ML in major universities they don't really explain how deep learning works at all. they give you the classical statistical intuition of "overfitting" and "early stopping" and whatnot. none of this matters anymore
938 ♥ · 30 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
with deep nets, past a certain regime of data and model scale, making models bigger and training them longer pretty much always results in better learning. this result holds true across many datasets and model classes https://openai.com/blog/deep-double-descent/
313 ♥ · 18 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the post is bait because it's obviously useful to still teach how statistics works and how the random forest algo works or whatever, but the part that's actually dumb is when they're explaining how to train resnet and try to use those classical intuitions
188 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it was a few years back but my professor was going off about using validation set for early stopping and making sure the model wasn't too big. it wasn't clear to me why because she was well published in deep learning and probably was well aware of these behaviors
139 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @atroyn
@atroyn chinchilla tells us about optimal compute budgets rather than saying more compute ever makes things worse
15 ♥ · x.com →
good storytellers just map new stuff onto stories people already know
655 ♥ · 28 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
good products succeed by mapping new stuff onto metaphors that a lot of people understand 'computer applications' -> 'windows' 'digital social graph' -> 'face book' 'handheld computer interface' -> 'finger is the natural stylus'
148 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
anytime you do a post like this you get a bunch of people assuring you that classic small data regime algorithms are still the majority value driver but this was maybe true five years ago
61 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
in every age men of action have wanted to seem men of knowledge and vice versa Aurelius wrote his extremely mid treatise on stoicism after a lifetime of conquest Thucydides led one of the worst Athenian military disasters all while inventing the practice of modern history
3,298 ♥ · 240 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
today the VCs and exited entrepreneurs write horrible philosophical tractates and start mid political podcasts while exalted writers and scientists try to start companies that fizzle
1,575 ♥ · 71 RT · x.com →
people still in crypto are like the kamikaze Japanese imperial fighters you find still hanging out on remote pacific islands not realizing the war is over
12,121 ♥ · 847 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @sama
@sama man of action, thankfully 🫡
57 ♥ · x.com →
@SarahLovesYouSo @sama @TSzzi one of the smartest people i've met, but still a man of action. the distinctions blur and get more interesting when you get to the outlier points on the pareto curve
6 ♥ · x.com →
if you are in schizophrenic tech related GCs you must assume they are compromised by the alts of sama or pmarca. act accordingly
236 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @floguo
@floguo intellectually dishonest argument bc like 0% of my defi friends were building projects for helping Ugandans Or whatever. all they need anyway is Bitcoin and usdc
15 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @floguo
@floguo ok so name a thing that was being built that help latam
6 ♥ · x.com →
i hate when mfers say things like “people are so dumb …” like dude compared to what? you got a people 2 hidden somewhere as a reference class?
861 ♥ · 42 RT · x.com →
ml theory people find it offensive when you ask them to show any empirical improvement at all
261 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
to follow up my lighthearted joke with heresy this is also why i have utter contempt for calling humanity a “fallen” species or evil sinful species that needs to beg for forgiveness or any such thing. u have no reference class we are doing amazing
209 ♥ · 11 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ded_ruckus
@ded_ruckus we could go on about this but we all know “not being evil” is a condition of your circumstances. so if moral value shifts based on circumstance then there’s again no reference class
6 ♥ · x.com →