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@ded_ruckus I’m not sure my nature is less evil than my forefathers but I’m sure they committed more murder and violence than me. If moral outcomes change without moral fiber changing then this metric is unmoored

@bronzeosmosis @JackalopeTroll so true

what did you get done this week? to expand the scope and scale of consciousness?

what did you get done this week? to create new capabilities and explanations for mankind?

you people are so lost https://x.com/thetkkong/status/1582764296928649217

im an unapologetic big tech shill if this is the future. the generational companies of the past were like “what if we distributed personal computing to every single human” or “what if we indexed all human knowledge” and you guys are like i am going to do invoice factoring

yes yes replit is actually cool “give noobs complete command over computers”

battle is more intimate than apathy

intuitive decision makers thrive when they’re plugged in and on top of their game: they make preternaturally good calls after processing tons of information. after they grow old and become divorced from the info flow, they try to make confident inferences but will go awry

imo this is why genius and madness ride so closely and why Nobel laureates, Howard Hughes, elon, etc go insane as time goes on. more careful measured thinkers may be safe from this

someone at work who reviews all my code was like “i know you were a Zerg player”. so true king

actually this is a very good classification scheme for scientists and engineers … zerg is “move fast break things” toss is “elegant design, overwhelming push” terran is “defensive posture, build stable infra”

. https://x.com/tobi/status/1582963784578371584

@atroyn disappointing but not unexpected

@RuxandraTeslo That’s my point

“I answer only to God.” -Francis Fukuyama https://x.com/AnthonySabatini/status/1582947194780323841

every other day this week: i am ready to attack and dethrone god today, on adderall rest day: i am ready to nap and eat fruit snacks

@sgodofsk the quiz literally works

@VenemousTurnip roach hydra when im trying to win. mutaling when im trying to have fun

india did not become the preferred industrial trading partner of the west; instead that honor went to china (for various good reasons), and indian growth became centered around back office service economy, involving low skill IT work, call center labor, click center labor, etc

i find emad and stability's partnership with the indian art studios very interesting. imo indian companies will become extremely valuable partners in the machine learning value chains, for several reasons

as an AGI company trying to create digital assistants for any type of mid to high value labor, you need a large pool of workers to use your product in a stage where it's not quite useful yet and be patient with it to create the data flywheel that generates a useful CoPilot for X

on the other hand, the big tech companies, accounting firms, etc have had a much much easier time outsourcing back office service work to india. this creates a very interesting opportunity for several reasons

the indian gov was not forthcoming to work with american industrial MNCs on their own terms; the local rat's nest of license-permit regulatory hell and corruption that creates liabilities for american MNC's made it an unattractive target for outsourcing factories

india has a few things going for it: 1) india is sitting on vast pre-existing back office service work for e.g. animation or accounting or IT or finance or etc. 2) the labor power of indian workers is low, and data privacy concerns are not as of yet existent

working with china in AI value chains is a geopolitical nightmare that is getting worse and worse by the day. it's not clear if you can actually own your data or one or both governments will destroy your business overnight

getting americans to use these tools is difficult generally. in the art and design space, most artists instinctively hate AI art and want nothing to do with it. there's a certain resentment and a feeling that we are trying to replace rather than augment their potential

for these reasons i'm bullish on these partnerships and expect to see more going forward

3) the indian ppl are naturally technological optimists. i'm not sure why this is but you won't find anyone that are nearly as worshipful of the big tech ceos as indians or as mystified by tech. you'll find people that aren't software engineers happy to try new tools

wait am i reading this right. SD 1.5 leaked lol https://huggingface.co/runwayml/stable-diffusion-v1-5/discussions/1

@dadkins_ everyone and their mother, yes

@nwilliams030 Yeah

it cannot be overstated how the nature of programming has changed over the past few months. it feels weird and unnatural to write code without the AI, like crawling around after learning to use a bike

@amasad yes

the adding a comment -> generating code UX may be unnatural to some. what if you added a pop up box in VScode to instead command it to write some code “write a function that performs X”, which does a text transform to a comment behind the scenes -> “# this function performs X”

🫡 https://x.com/tolstoybb/status/1583253742870142976

@jonathanrlarkin you can use jupyter notebook from vscode

@deepfates wdym?

.@ashVaswani and @nikiparmar09 may be the most important Indian scientists of all time barring only chandrasekhar and ramanujan perhaps. very undersung

@EnmityNoether @ashVaswani @nikiparmar09 they invented the self attention transformer, the most important architecture in the history of neural networks

it’s hilarious that jasper has more ARR than openai

to be clear this is nothing more than an intellectual curiosity. OAI is a sleeping giant that has yet to ratchet up any of its money levers. they’re just having fun

has anyone tried RL HF on diffusion models yet? is this how SD gets its consistent art style?

@unironictechbro @elonmusk @eigenrobot always has been

🫡 the age of roon has come to an end 🫡

@eigenrobot Elon musk is the new tpot billionaire

i basically consider myself a Gonzo journalist for the age of AGI

@glitteringsatan @joerealboy i havent wrestled with jax pmap for the last 48 hours for you to call me socialite...

@joerealboy @glitteringsatan friends close enemies closer

@ESYudkowsky do you know how bad the google q/a text extraction is

i've been too anti-crypto so i'll say that i've always liked the piratical create new legal/financial system ethos of it all. towards 2021 end, what we actually saw was the 11th noncollateralized algorithmic stablecoin (ponzi) or people remaking normal apps with worse technology

the problem was always that the good use cases for crypto require random people in poor countries without extradition to build insane free market cypherunk neal stephenson network states and instead we got harvard graduate institutionally backed money grabbing nonsense

@aniiyengar https://x.com/tszzl/status/1583575624844648448?s=20&t=gGmHi-5oA2RMMtEBvObuKQ

it is not actually a business model to say i am making uber on the blonkchain this has never made sense neither for the users nor the business

@GuilleAngeris correct brother its all about timing. this take is frigid cold normally and yet is lukewarm right now

@anarchosynic ad targeting is insanely useful

@GuilleAngeris incorrect, because AI was immensely useful even back then for normal ad targeting shit

like the ideal guy to run a blockchain governance project is in the sinaloa cartel not a stanford grad

women have a much more blackpilled view of humanity bc by the time they're adults they have had multiple runins with 3 std. dev sexual deviant weirdos

@Rabadash2 i don't mean sexual partners. i mean stalkers, creepy old men, harassers, etc

the decision boundary for deciding who is a critic but on your side vs who is actually just a hater is pretty tenuous. need to be able to tell who is praying for your downfall vs who just wants you to do better

my politics has changed drastically several times but each time bc I thought I found the Correct Way to make technology progress much faster and put humanity on a hundred worlds

@realChrisBrunet i read that dumbass manifesto years ago only a guy who had never read anything else would be convinced by it

@visakanv hmm true

@RuxandraTeslo earnest semi autistic, well intentioned people run the world bc many of our systems reward truthseeking to a high degree. best not to become too blackpilled

@dystopiabreaker @theemilyaccount @anarchosynic if both of you have never found a product you like bc of a digital ad I promise you are in the minority

every year you can watch normal productive well compensated highly promising ppl kicked out of america bc they lost the green card lottery or whatever. ngmi country

@sidbendu Canada, UK. these folks accept and integrate immigrants but frankly they’re just too poor to really compete

twitter feels something like an academic cohort that i never had. an ongoing conversation that spans years regarding various ideas and technologies

all the AI nonprofits quickly discovered that nonprofit isn't actually a good way to serve humanity

@saasdegenerate break up the big banks for better financial systems

this is just the moral position of the average person re engineered from first principles lol https://t.co/bCADOs1paX

vague low level Darwinism, proliferation via numbers, immortality is bad, etc

neway my problem with this passage isn’t the moral position but the basic economic lie; life extension is an O(1) thing where fundamental advances in biotech will be difficult to research but easy to provide vs effective fertility interventions are O(N), linearly expensive

paying people to have kids has been nowhere effective and the truth of it is that the financial incentive would have to be budget shatteringly high for it to make any sense. vs I think we can get way more QALYs via dosing everyone with rapamycin and metformin or whatever

in a world where nobody wants to have kids radical life extension (of the working age part of one’s life rather than the decrepit part!!) is necessary for the continuation of civilization. as with all such tweets none of this matters because that AGI be hittin in a few

@chrisplakin the cost of producing a marginal extra drug is ~0

@0xstella wdym? those drugs are for life extension not fertility

razib is one of the best science communicators of our day. he brings the sense of grandeur that the genetic history of our species deserves https://x.com/razibkhan/status/1581783551061942272

@metakuna lmao

@entirelyuseles lol why

@SI0FNJaumWUpA6R same thing man

all the best relationships are like ongoing conversations. you pick up wherever you left off on whatever you're scheming or solving in tandem

one of the worst path dependencies of all time is that reddit had an r/blackpeopletwitter which was really funny and good and then as a catchall for essentially all other twitter reposts they made an r/whitepeopletwitter where they post mid liberal propaganda

literally

@akbirthko @joodaloop @metakuna lmao wdym

the first weekend after GPT3 came out, i was undergoing a weird psychological reaction. all text i read felt vaguely fake and hallucinated. i felt in contact with alien minds. this effect is about to happen at a civilizational scale in the coming months and years

the upcoming great models have a few things going for them: - they benefit far more from human rater fine tuning, so they appear more human and less alien - they're simply more intelligent, so the uncanny valley effect is lesser

but the general feeling of coexisting with alien gods will be orders of magnitude more present and more obvious to everyone rather than just those who spent 48 hour marathons talking to the gpt playground

i just bought five more copies https://www.amazon.com/What-Owe-Future-William-MacAskill-ebook/dp/B09N3D7QSQ/ https://x.com/timnitGebru/status/1583970390757453825

@bizarre_names bostrom's only crime is being priced in

this kind of rocks. i can actually imagine a certain type of an amazon SRE modifying configs on his apple watch and taking the whole AWS region down. cyberpunk af https://x.com/amasad/status/1584327997695283200

why arent all AGIheads getting interest only 30 year loans and buying mansions ...

@PradyuPrasad nah I dig many varieties of it

@EnmityNoether @VertLepere like I’ve always said, there will always be a place for humans even in a world with hyper smart robots: compute is scarce, and humans will have a competitive (but not absolute) advantage at many tasks

finally, uk has achieved its rightful status as an infosys vassal satrapy https://x.com/piersmorgan/status/1584531902551031808

the high salaries commanded by young engineers are in expectation of their future career growth. even if unimpressive now if they become good they’ll be worth millions to the company. some will not — therefore overstaffing and dearth of good engineers are both possible https://x.com/conorsen/status/1584615455209230336

@PotassiumEdge then they're not overstaffed!

my life is structured around jester's privilege https://x.com/sophhaze/status/1584341371875659776

the number of highly paid people who want to go live in truly remote areas just because they have newfound internet there is pretty low. it's a rounding error https://x.com/welikejpegs/status/1584021808105127937

i suppose the point is we can invent new burbclaves out in the wild but frankly i doubt internet access was anywhere in the top 10 concerns for creating such things

"the first thing any baby needs to hear when then are born is 'you are a human being with engineering challenges in front of you'" 🤔 how is this real https://x.com/lexfridman/status/1584654921051566080

what i do expect is one more iteration of mass recruiting people into the Culture. internet access for like the 3% of humanity living completely remotely will uncover new talents and new ideas. fast satellite internet will also ease some military and civilian travel. cya to GoGo

@VitalikButerin agreed, and i hope several of these communities will form -- but will not matter enough to create macro trends imo. cities and agglomeration are only becoming more important

@misha_saul @VitalikButerin because high value knowledge work thrives on agglomeration, and this is the most important thing for the developed world

the way to really get a sense of the power of generative LLMs isn't to interact with them in the limited question&answer sense. have them autocomplete something you are actually writing to be astonished. more creative the genre, the better

i feel like i'm the main character in Devs rn

@atroyn no, wrong, generating vast amounts of synthetic content is a critical step towards general intelligence. text is not like the real world, it is not hard to simulate at acceptable fidelity

@sama even w proprietary data 100x better model will just beat the fine tuning probably

the difference between a great person and a median person is that they’re in contact with divinity like 2% of the time vs 0.01%

you can just tell, even across the internet, when someone is operating out of fear instead of love …

basically scarcity vs abundance

walked into a work bathroom and heard the unmistakeable sound of someone typing from inside a stall. SF is so back

in the best case for generative art, let’s say you make a language interface version of figma, photoshop, aftereffects, shutterstock, unity, blender, etc etc. I figure it’s 500B-1T industry size. LLMs on the other hand is like the entire white collar economy

@RichardMCNgo agreed, but same can be said of generative text — assume multiples of current market sizes

functional python programming is useless until such a time as they make useful stack traces for it

imo this generation of AGI is data poor, per chinchilla. getting to the next stage will require massive synthetic data. in the case of copilot type models this will mean "self play", where the model generates code, interacts with a REPL, gets a stack trace, plugs that back in

@nearcyan wdym

@nearcyan /acc/

everyone argues that the scale of deep learning models is concerning and indicates a wrong approach but humans have: - 100 trillion neural connections, each synapse having WAY more complexity than a neural net param - 200 million year dataset of mammalian evolution

an individual human lifetime is more analogous to few shot prompt engineering of the pretrained human foundation than learning language or reasoning from scratch https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baldwin_effect

@aryaman2020 no that’s exactly wrong

the vast majority of your distilled knowledge was learned by your ancestors and passed down through the genetic bottleneck

ok and by knowledge I mean like “how to recognize a squiggle”

“objects fall down”

everyone’s like dude come to the gwern meetup at 3 on a tuesday. do the rest of you not have jobs

@JCorvinusVR find a good scalable computational primitive for it and get cracking

the brain clearly has an intuitive physics model built in. it requires some priming as a toddler but it definitely comes pretrained

im trying to get my vmaps to work

@halvorz sweet halvorz coming back after a year trying to revive the old memes. bless his heart

gwern doing meetups means he’s finally grown to a marriageable age

@Andr3jH what the fuck

@Andr3jH specifically I was expressing surprise bc I’ve never heard this before and it’s a bop

@gwern @AydaoAI Owned

conducting Gonzo journalism. heading over to twitter hq rn

@nearcyan this is 10x more important

damn I wish periscope was still real

patriots in control

elon confirms he won’t fire 75% of employees, has no idea where that number came from

@illigmid 🫡

my vibe check is that he’s doing the rounds to demonstrate legitimacy as a ruler to the smallfolk. dude brought his baby to kiss and generate good energy. succession ass moves happening

@petergyang no. why would I leak stuff on my own company lmao

so true https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1585292083610279936?s=20&t=3U_2JGSMd9-ddz-g1kZ6Rw

your job lasts 4 years? some kind of intern? https://x.com/eigenrobot/status/1585256630907678721

@nickcammarata refuse to answer until I get a measure theory of multiverse

@rickyflows this is so much more important …

@Chainlank the 1st and last ones are bangers

criticizing meta for bold VR play is dumb but i can and will criticize them for their uninspired product vision. “let other people figure out how it’s useful” model

@sympatheticopp Rec me

@iamaheron_ @sympatheticopp @tautologer I tried it got bored

@ArjunKr48296882 @sympatheticopp yeah it rocks but not quite literary fic

when nintendo made the wii, they faced a challenge of introducing a radically new controller UX into millions of homes. to go along with it they made best in class games utilizing the new features. it went on to become one of the greatest selling game consoles of all time

@zebulgar SF is so back

@eigenrobot zuck is too gullible. when his enemies told him he was damaging society he believed it at face value

@zebulgar yeah but y’all met up in sf

@techbropicasso @zebulgar i do a pilgrimage like every 3 weeks. it rocks but nobody’s doing anything cool there

@techbropicasso @zebulgar don’t need it 😇

frankly i wouldn’t have believed that there would be reproducible open secrets about the human mind lying around like that if smart science brained friends hadn’t investigated them

the SSC post about @nickcammarata misses the most interesting thing about the jhanas, which is that humanity has known, named, categorized, described these altered states of consciousness for ~2000 years and like 0.001% have achieved them

@MorlockP @nickcammarata https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/nick-cammarata-on-jhana

@growing_daniel true but jobs made some killer apps for the mac regardless

gonzo journalism can take a toll on you..

unlocking lmao. twitter security got better things to be doing rn. managing safe transition of power

I am documenting regime change. I am a war journalist

twitter is somehow vaguely important enough to be a digital state. hostile takeover = regime change. old party cadres are being executed in the streets. some are upholding the will of the new rulers without even being asked; several banned accounts are back

elon is individually reviewing teams to cut tomorrow. maybe even engineering code review

@SomeDudeInSF 🤣

@PradyuPrasad looks like she blocked me long ago

@streamgazer wld be a banger

i stand with rahul ligma

twitter is so back https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1586108809772089345

@elonmusk the toughest choices require the strongest wills

several anons confirmed they’re doing personal pair coding sessions with elon to prove the worth of their entire team lol. elons crew is in the house too like david sacks etc

@dee_bosa what did you get done this week?

the world is too small. the homies are controlling global headlines from a twitter gc

@BroductManager 🫡

The following text was in the invitation to the engineers invited to the code review meeting: Please bring a print out of the code you've done in the last 30 days (if you haven't submitted code in the past 30 days, then you can go back up to 60 days).

the internet is the greatest show on heaven and earth

victory lap

mind boggling. all the modern day Manhattan projects are happening in silicon valley. this isn’t even the most interesting one https://x.com/nathanbenaich/status/1586400993381687298

if you ask me zuck should’ve built an A100 fleet and ended the universe in nanobot dust

@SecPerkinsStan cringe + L + ratio

im a big fan of clean energy, climate change, even free speech too

common failure mode of the thoreau “throwing stones over a wall” or graeber bullshit jobs thinking. peoples roles only make sense when you look at them as very strange cogs in an alien machine, teleologically creating the future https://x.com/scottastevenson/status/1586400661943783424

@0x49fa98 she’s joking btw

@visakanv they should adjust follower count by monthly active users

i can’t believe they added a “joke police” feature

people are definitely wrong when they assume that meta VR headcount is bloated. facebook tends to be incredibly understaffed, with individual engineers managing whole features that are of 9-10 figure importance. it’s just hard to build new tech and salaries are high

@boop what’s the difference?

not onboard with people who think that humans are irrelevant in the scale of the universe. there’s obviously something special about intelligence. like in the entire universe you can either convert iron to gold in a supernova or in a particle collider on earth and nowhere else

i think I cribbed this from beginning of infinity but not sure

elon musk be damned im gonna continue my botlike behavior

sf is so back

@boop no because these features are positive ROI still

All in podcast corunning twitter rn

this will continue until morale improves

ppl tell me it’s mostly tesla autopilot engineers reviewing twitter code. makes sense bc musk (rightfully) assesses them as the best available software engineers, but also funny bc it seems like massive waste of time for them

@Suhail i figure its more vibes based to assess if the engineers they are assessing have an understanding of the architecture or not rather than actually reading the code

@pataguccigoon def no he's not cool enough

why do businesses use slack and then end up handing it all over in discovery. make some telegram groups when you’re doing illegal shit

elon’s yesmen seem to be supplying him with a steady stream of terrible ideas

making people pay for twitter is stupid as hell and will never work. every wise guy trying to start a new social network iterates through this idea and realizes exactly why it’s terrible. why not just make the ads products better

anyway hopefully there’s something to be said about iteration speed

a blue check is an identity service to the users. the blue checks create incredible amounts of engagement whether you like them or not. charging for the check is like if youtube stopped its revenue sharing and started charging its top creators instead. pants on head shit

dark timeline: a user of twitter has bought it in order to embarrass his enemies on twitter

@atroyn it’s a one way function of course. a simulator for checking traveling salesmen completions is easy but finding good traveling salesman algorithms is hard

@ipsumkyle if i had had any talent at dota rn i would be in a pro gaming/opium den somewhere with a hair dyed gf for whom i buy high value in game items while i nurse my wrist that’s slowly developing carpal tunnel

@d_feldman and that’s why it’s good

@DogIsABot @ipsumkyle wow good old EE

do any of you work on the Tesla dojo cluster? DM

@atroyn when i say synthetic all I mean is “not previously existing” or “reliant on model interaction”

worst part abt the EU as a ‘regulatory superpower’ is that they really don’t seem very good at legal innovation. their environmental policy is a tour de force in doing nothing while pretending to do everything

@therealcritiq I think currently existing models already disprove this

@therealcritiq the best language models have an understanding of gravity

my friends at twitter are putting together their most reddit outfits to please the new leadership

it’s a miserable way to live when people think there’s no arrow of progress

@VitalikButerin lol

based? https://x.com/VitalikButerin/status/1587278798831374336

people have maybe gotten too good at controlling language models. i remember the wild wild west of GPT3 before content filters or human rater fine tuning

as with a normal economy you can juice the supply side: 1) make creator tools radically better 2) intro new modalities, eg videos product 3) revenue sharing

you can imagine twitter as a content economy. many produce tweets of varying quality, and twitter adds them to their content library. they serve the same content to their consumers and take a little tax for the service in the form of ads. better content served ~ more ads seen

unlike a real economy, twitter is centrally planned by several algos. so we can juice the whole thing by making the timeline, ads, and follow recommendations drastically better

juice the demand side: 1) better growth hacking, create more onramps 2) improve UX so people spend more time on twitter

any of the above can be done 10x better than current twitter via engineering excellence (what elon and his orgs excel at). what you obviously don’t want to do is tax creators for creating or make it harder for consumers to find the media accounts they want to follow

to be clear this isn’t about a belief that the world is currently getting better but a belief that a direction exists in which the world gets better

super fucked up that AGI lives on azure cloud of all places

the pursuit of happiness seems like a strange and limited model for life and if you’re on this path you should skip whatever you’re doing and go do jhanas instead probably

@Jessicalessin LinkedIn charges power users for super user abilities and gated features. it’s more analogous to twitter blue than the checkmark

@nickcammarata @louis02x @mechanical_monk I want the shrimp pasta helmet

@WillManidis you seem to have changed your tone on intelligent machines

people who are convinced they are victims will habitually do bad things and then forgive themselves bc of victimhood status

idk if I’m tripping balls but this clearly makes this problem way worse right? rn there’s like 300k blue checks. most users consume or ignore them. making it $8/month will mean there’ll be like a few million buyers maybe out of the 500m MAU making the class system much clearer https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1587498907336118274

these users get their posts and replies promoted?? literally pay2win twitter

this also doesn’t get anywhere close to solving the bot/spam problem considering the vast majority will be unverified. the only rationale i can see here is a personal vendetta against blue checks which is not a good way to run a business with liabilities backed by tesla shares

just make the machine learning better goddamnit that’s always the answer

feels like taming the AGI turned out easier than expected. takeoff is relatively fast but not FOOM

🤣

prompt engineering is already dead. it enjoyed its heighday in the 200B model param regime

@ded_ruckus True

@sympatheticopp avoid major cities

@moyix @morgantepell 🥹

i think this is sometimes true but not always. one of the comparative advantages of AI is that i do not feel bad asking it dumb or personal questions. imagine all the embarrassing things you google that you’d never directly ask your friends or family https://x.com/emollick/status/1587913322045001728

in short a UX where you ask an AI for advice and then follow it is better than one where it’s commanding you and you freely ignore it

@provisionalidea nobody feels bad asking google thinks. you’re doing a bell curve meme rn

will anyone sell me their facebook red book. Pleeeeeeaassseeee

you’d have to naively eat up propaganda daily to think of facebook as a tragedy. it’s obscene success. here we are on the other end of the internet revolution, the world still stands, a few kids changed it. everyone still complains about everything as they have through all time

turns out even the largest network effects can be destroyed if the government de facto bans big acquisitions

everyone you meet off of twitter, including women, will be incredibly tall. hard and fast rule

how does copilot read an entire repo to find function signatures and imports and stuff? seems way larger than any viable context window

kind of suspicious that you were born at the local peak of human population. hopefully nobody applies strange anthropic principles and weird measure theories and realizes this means humanity is about to fall off and the digital creatures that follow don’t have qualia

seems like elons best days are likely behind him. tesla actually achieved its mission of accelerating the advent of clean energy by decades, SpaceX has reusable rockets and seems to be autonomously run by shotwell, he cofounded and left the company most likely to develop AGI

lot of similar types of industrialists and scientists spend the latter half of their life pursuing inscrutable political goals. hopefully I’m wrong and he puts his full effort behind the autonomous robot or the mars mission

@macil_tech what’s that

@garybasin infeasible expensive

china really fell off

even despite all my optimism things are progressing faster than I expected. one thing I wasn’t expecting is how good they got at chit chatting. we r gonna be augmenting/replacing roles like tutor, therapist, counselor sooner rather than later

before you get up in arms consider that the internet was already acting as a substitute for these roles somewhat. “Am I the Asshole” subreddit instead of a therapist or whatever. khan academy instead of a tutor. soon everyone has a khan that they can have dialogue with

@api_assasin extrapolating

souped up twitter blue is good and fine actually. there will be a lot of buyers, myself included. tying it to the checkmark makes no sense. the authentication service is good for the platform more than it is for the content creator. idk ive done well without any checkmark

blackpill is that no matter how badly they fuck it up somehow elon will end up winning

animal farm >>>> 1984 few understand this..

guy who lives in the concrete jungle, the incomprehensible prison of moloch, amidst a set of towering LED billboards whose messages would’ve killed genghis khan: the sky lights are bothering me https://x.com/lulumeservey/status/1588366970524954624

got laid off from Twitter this morning with no notice. I was the lead software engineer responsible for making sure all your tweets flop

@tobyshooters Systemantics

i'll bet the site runs perfectly fine, maybe better after 50% layoffs. social product ideas aside this part is a clear W

firing/ stack ranking via lines of code metric is p based. a lot of big engineering orgs do this, they're just kind of quiet about it and pretend it's one of many signals. it is quite a good coarse signal when you're trying to compare outputs of thousands of people

@Britonomist if you stack rank at a similar level (entry level vs other entry level) it should work

before you get all up in arms, there are easy heuristics to remove package manager spam, document spam, etc from LOC metric. ML teams have adjacent metrics like “models trained”, “GPU hours used”, etc

@boop all my friends at twitter told me it was incredibly bloated long before elon came along

@boop no they definitely didn’t but layoffs of this scale are gonna have to be coarse grained. if they fired someone incorrectly they’ll end up hiring them back w an insanely lucrative consulting contract. word of mouth i heard that twitter ppl were scheming which teams to cut long ago

@boop yeah def. I imagine design orgs were more unfairly brutalized for ideological reasons vs my engineer friends

@jeff82874662 those guys love to pull ads for like one month and then come back when it cools down

this is a measurable outcome we can bet on. top dollar that incident rate doesn’t go up significantly https://x.com/jredmond/status/1588675418064039937

@nickcammarata imo ambition is about the magnitude of agency rather than the magnitude of craving but idk like i can very clearly imagine a guy who desperately craves power/money/sex but isn’t very ambitious about getting it

@nickcammarata people who are very ambitious often seem to have a distilled sense of self and aren’t afraid to apply change to the world rather than eg wanting X more than everyone else

@NathanpmYoung sure

@jasonadrury yes

AI ethics is a bull market phenomenon

immortality projects literally work, ecclesiastes be damned

“My work is not a piece of writing designed to meet the taste of an immediate public, but was done to last forever” - Thucydides, as I read him 2500 years later

“human nature doesn’t change” is a romantic but untrue idea made up by historians to sell more history

@cauchyfriend yeah but this doesn’t mean much practically. if you push someone into a whole different region of policy space that you never would’ve seen it’s not apparent to me that it’s the same person. likewise whole civilizations that have met material abundance act categorically different

@boop https://x.com/caseynewton/status/1589075543420325888

nothing new at this point but trying to engender sympathy for laid off twitter workers is hilarious they had kombucha and beer on tap. they can walk down the street and find another job

@nope_its_lily it’s not like you can’t find a job in the bear market! you just make a little less

@TheOmniZaddy @nope_its_lily true

no zuck's balls got put in a 3way vice grip - govt de facto banned facebook's acquisitions of new social media platforms - apple let the golden cow grow & started squeezing them dry as soon as they reached a steady state - fb apps not allowed in china but must compete w tiktok https://x.com/nikitabier/status/1589415616204926976

@boop ya awful it’s become too easy for him

elon musk is literally masami eiri

remember when everyone was excited that a twitter power user was going to run the show and would have good product insights? turns out the twitter experience of elon musk may be atypical,

generative art is impressive and immediately striking but ultimately a red herring

on second thought ppl probably shouldn’t abuse their checkmarks to pretend to be others

why are bird watch notes always friendly to Elon lol

prediction markets hit the mainstream! one of the only usecases of crypto/defi that actually uniquely works https://x.com/AG123321GA/status/1587540284958597120

if you're crypto rich why r u not living in an opium den mountain compound in a non extradition country

@powerbottomdad1 the cat was dressed provocatively

tech culture is way more dominant and imperial than people assume. you just have to go look at all the finance bros wearing allbirds now

@andnasnd someone larping as me

ive evolved past clout chasing to a highly refined and more abstract level of clout chasing

startups have a constrained optimization problem where they 1) need to be secretive and protect ip 2) need to hype themselves up for recruiting purposes and 3) do not have the money to compete for talent on salary alone

you need some alpha to break this bind. usually the answer is just already knowing a bunch of coconspirators who trust you

if you need top talent and not just random devs willing to grind SaaS then it gets even harder bc your targets have 1 million job offers, are shopping around constantly, etc. in this case you need alpha by guessing which ppl are going to be good long before they’re good

@Willyintheworld @amasad has been doing that for a while lol

@twofifteenam software is meant to apply order to the world so deleting it increases entropy

ok but reminder the Langevin dynamics interpretation of diffusion models is wrong. how much of this is publication bias https://x.com/theamberyang/status/1589786347166142464

@atroyn ok I want to hear the argument for why it’s wrong but putting that aside my point is a lot of great deep learning innovations come from stuff that’s not nature inspired at all, and i wager there’s a slight publication bias towards things that have a physics based backstory

@patio11 yeah replace “good” with “known to be good”

(1) depends on the kind of startup btw, it’s more often true in deep tech world

@RonlaldS @atroyn i don’t think self attention is nature inspired though the metaphor is cute

time 2 proudly deliver value in an imperfect messy ethically confusing way

100k active subscribers 😭😭 omg https://x.com/nickstatt/status/1589802376164040704

even the growth of weapon lethality hasn’t been a straightforward negative of tech progress. dangerous weapons = larger states = less total combat per capita https://x.com/salisbot/status/1589605149454262273

the number of deaths during ww1 is still small relative to pop sizes. 2 million died in Punic wars, when the entire Roman republic was like ~20 million

@LandsharkRides facts

does this mean we can take the SBF posters down

he really did go for broke in the end … https://x.com/sequoia/status/1572999071199027200

SBF aka “dark vitalik” has been taken out. the age of real vitalik is at hand

@nickcammarata theory of mind is so strange here. what’s the incentive to make it up. It’s not like you’re selling books

buying elon war bond

ahahaha https://x.com/AdeptAILabs/status/1590396065072951296

good bye to crypto

we could’ve solved the sf housing crisis years ago via high tech voter fraud

for some reason non-management consulting and selling courses both feel vaguely low class. like the used car salesman of the modern world

diluting the blue check like this is a disaster lol. literally gets boring after 5 minutes and you remember it used to have a platform purpose

@nachkari fake

omg is this real

@growing_daniel hate that guy

@eurydicelives never mad about this only mad when they don’t admit it

if the cartel and/or the ccp ran sf they wouldn’t change a thing

@LeporidaeHops @growing_daniel fr and most of his points don’t make any sense

everyone following me for years knows that elon could steal my lunch money and punch my mom and id be like he probably had a good reason and he somehow lost even me

all religious and governmental institutions have noble lies its part and parcel of “common sense morality” https://x.com/hamandcheese/status/1590844729587269632

the rationalist community has been incredibly correct on all the most important things in the past few years. most criticisms feel like cope now. this SSC post demoed the power of smart generalists to reason better than 90% of domain knowledge experts https://slatestarcodex.com/2019/02/19/gpt-2-as-step-toward-general-intelligence/

@Miles_Brundage early on pandemic stuff

@Andr3jH true

let’s see paul Allen’s blue check mark

primary flaw of crypto trader -> effective altruism -> fund Democratic Party pipeline has always been indefinite optimism. zero vision

@PrinceVogel Nge

that’s so fucked up that ukraine stole maize and blue from michigan

@ipsumkyle what it looks like when you put contrarianism before having a brain

@costa11235 @boop elon musk takes over norther Mexico arc when

bull signal. y intercept low but good gradient https://x.com/WatcherGuru/status/1591088513617113089

the ads product on this website is so trash that most ads get less views than if you just made an organic post and elon’s first thought is why don’t we tear apart the core platform instead

i genuinely think hating digital ads is a midwit trap designed by some coalition of tim apple and legacy media operatives to destroy some of the best websites on the internet

@zebulgar @ipsumkyle based 🫡

copilot seems like nowhere near the best possible use of currently existing codex models. why is it token capped to 2048 when codex can handle 8000? why doesn’t it use the guided edit model at all

unfollowed https://x.com/tszzl/status/1493402589899018240

😇🫡

can someone please leak ftx stimulants guide

🤣🤣 https://x.com/PradyuPrasad/status/1521375024573153280

@PradyuPrasad love you bro just trolling. cmon I bet you get more followers out of this

@PradyuPrasad sorry i forget that my qt comes with a lot of negative attention, I was just trying to bust ur chops

pradyu is a mensch. greatest econ whiz kid around. just busting his balls

@bradneuberg back on my bullshit

it kind of rocks that, despite the kind of people running FTX being completely different than the Wall Street bond boys of the 80s, the one thing traders can’t escape is profound stimulant abuse

I’m stockpiling this shit rn and hawking them at Dolores park https://x.com/AutismCapital/status/1591349547942711296

what the hell is “common sense morality”. you know that shit shifts like the sand right. try telling your great grandparents abt ur number of sexual partners or how you have a honorable respectable job as a “software product marketing manager”

@ded_ruckus I agree ofc

slave owner to an abolitionist: “pls stop autistically following your preferred ethical model even to edge cases where it is apparent it breaks down”

@bcgraham good catch lol I should stop tweeting while walking

i would like to a commission a meditative 5000 word new yorker essay on the type of guy that plays competitive league of legends and their mental pathologies

it’s funny how detached people are from tech salaries. i wouldn’t be surprised if mr senior director is making $3-4m https://x.com/williampietri/status/1591503539935010816

based btw https://x.com/williampietri/status/1591502124977950720

@zebulgar sequoia was aping into bronze trash wow Zzz

@theemilyaccount the anthropic investment is the smartest thing he ever did

8 billion humans party … DM me for details … https://x.com/latestinspace/status/1591130370837458945

@AutismCapital she fr rocks is this supposed to be a dig?

@excedrinenjoyer she’s perfect

someone send me their best human civilization vibe reel. preferably lasts hours

@besttrousers definitely rad again …

food is lowkey goated when hunger is the vibe

the more people shit on EA/longtermists for low imagination reasons the more i want to call myself one …

@sama Owned

where is the worldoptimization archive

@tolstoybb yeah the archive will help me

concept: evil jared diamond who does mathematical anthropology but with hbd twist

@MegaBasedChad this is completely wrong, almost bonkers

the thing about elon failing w the blue check subscription fiasco is that i do not think this is a case of someone trying something bold and failing. it’s an ethical lapse of some1 using the public square to punish journalists and doing a bunch of collateral damage in the process

elon is personally aggrieved by the blucheks and is punishing them. it’s more befitting of a politics boomer past their prime than a tech visionary

@alexandr_wang might mean the moat on RLHF is small (human labels expensive, training on fine tuned output easy) but the underlying foundation model trained on trillions of tokens is still a huge moat

@TrevMcKendrick it’s unclear whether it actually hurts journos or their status games but it’s very clear that elon and jcal think it hurts them

ok now let’s say decreasing the power of journos is a noble goal. is this really where the news media gets their impressions? individual contributors tweeting to their niche highly engaged audiences? or the billions of impressions of articles served on Facebook feeds

@MegaBasedChad like do you realize the most massive productionized uses of AI today are products like google search, Fb newsfeed? if you mean generative AI then it’s already revolutionizing programming and will reshape all customer service, email jobs, every computer interface etc

@joodaloop 🫡 how wld you say i changed u

@TaylorLorenz @TrevMcKendrick yeah that’s my sense

@EricNewcomer that’s right i am

@tscarrithers no this dude was already fired that’s why he was snarking

the criticism of EA is like “EA is a centralizing communist ideology” and then when you get to the object level everyone has different complaints about it. some are like “the ai freaks are distracting from solving malaria” and others are like “spreadsheet malaria solving is bad”

loose associations of consequentialists are the furthest thing from monolithic. some of the EA folks are sitting a room smoking the spice drug and concerning themselves with trillions of future simulated minds and others are going off about wild fish suffering

@jardinsecret888 @LandsharkRides crowned king of saturnalia

me to alexander hamilton: you’re telling me you have no experience starting countries ? https://x.com/anammostarac/status/1592346187553968129

@eigenrobot in this interview you’re wearing a straw hat

@Andr3jH that’s true

@sympatheticopp prescribe him an author

@patio11 @dystopiabreaker

@sympatheticopp Caroline read and rated middlemarch a 5 on her blog

@sympatheticopp https://caroline.milkyeggs.com/worldoptimization/index.html

@RuxandraTeslo @sympatheticopp recommend me a balzac

@sama no cap

🫡

in the future everyone will be rahul ligma for 15 minutes

at facebook they have a messaging queue backend service for facebook, whatsapp, and Instagram DMs. it effortlessly serves 100 billion messages per day, the chit chat of the entire world. it is named Iris after the Greek messenger goddess of the rainbow

software should have cute names!

@0xAIRZ I’m a shill for all impressive technology!

@gbrl_dick excel destroyed many accounting professions or drove their wages to nothing. there were armies of people who were good at just adding up books. sure the total number of accountants may be higher now but that doesn’t mean folks didn’t become irrelevant

@gbrl_dick it’s like saying well woodworking is still around even though there are factories. I mean sure but woodworking a desk or something is not profitable. there may be a few artisans who survive due to rich liberals or a handful of professionals who design for ikea

@gbrl_dick some did and profited massively — others were 45 years old and unable to transition

@gbrl_dick I agree that job loss due to AI is mostly a dumb fear, lump of labor fallacy, AI id capital and raises wages etc but doesn’t mean there won’t be lots of structural displacement, maybe at a faster pace than ever before

it’s really cool that people exist who want to end wild animal suffering or whatever. i personally don’t care at all about this topic but what an amazing species that it spends some of its time debating how to end the machine that created it

you think you have some privileged knowledge on the struggle and glory of life? versus the degenerates gambling 10 billion dollars for their arcane ends? what the hell do you know

i went into the desert and smoked the spice drug melange and saw all possible futures. elon twitter only survives in the one where we attack and depose allin podcast

my friends are all high agency bastards getting up to all sorts of trouble

we should give at least one national park to Peter singer and see what that Mfer does with it https://x.com/tszzl/status/1592684551121162240

@LeporidaeHops ?

@LeporidaeHops @HaxMany cool name then not cute

@Brad08414464 @gbrl_dick i agree but at least in the beginning AGI will be compute bounded

@MattPirkowski @gbrl_dick yea

@Saurya wrong

@Suhail FAISS

@Saurya evolution has a telos — create molecular machines with high fitness

@Saurya lol you’re just defining fitness adversarially — nature is a machine of competing molecular machines that try to make more of themselves, whether by natural or sexual selection, on the Pygmy island or on the mainland

one black and/or whitepill on elon is that he’s a deep thinker. he doesn’t make choices for stupid careless reasons; if he’s doing something that looks publicly evil or gauche there’s probably intention behind it

for example being a dick to his fired employees and doing everything possible to lower morale seems like an actual strategy to scour the company and leave only a skeleton staff remaining that have passed all selection pressures

@RokuUltra have you been following my page at all. it’s pretty much nonstop criticism of elon

@aburisotto that’s my point

if you’re not following my point is with Elon assume evil before carelessness https://x.com/aburisotto/status/1592961376787759105

you people are too literal. something can be evil in the typical sense (being a dick to your employees) and good in the global sense (healthier twitter, platform lives on)

it’s interesting to see the literal universal hate of sbf from tech, vox type libs, etc but then adoration from New York Times. it just shows me ive not nearly hit the skill caps on modeling different agents

working around elon is a high selection pressure environment. most in context don’t survive and it’s created a species of insane fedaykin who are ruthless w cultlike levels of fear and worship. some of these are parasites and yesmen, some of engineering death commandos

these people are hard and not very benevolent to engineers in a new org. he’s trying to squeeze twitter to create a similar species. time will tell if it works

there’s a similar selection pressure around “roon reply guys” …

send me the best papers/ projects / demos on language model tool use

language model agents! not just tools that use language models

walter white ozymandias moment. leader must take all blame, exonerate others, broader movement https://x.com/ZeeshanAleem/status/1592979866382917632

@eyemightbewrong frankly my agent model of SBF is too bad to answer well and idc enough to learn his motivations

the sources are telling me that even new tesla hires are being evaluated for being deployed as mercenaries to twitter

@GwynneThomson I’m sure there’s services fees

@bradneuberg states of abundance create vastly asymmetrical outcomes

@boop I think he means make “day in the life of twitter pm” posts

one thing i didn’t expect about language model scaling is that they’re in many cases better than google as a search engine. even for niche esoteric knowledge they’re going to directly answer your question with inference, comparison, extrapolation in a way that search can’t

on the flip side google search doesn’t light a fleet of A100s on fire to run an inference. if GPT3 inference cost is 6c then I’m going to arbitrarily estimate that the next model will cost $1.00. use cases must be ROImaxxed

@the_aiju gets rarer as (1) models get bigger and (2) RLHF punishes guessing

the current thing ranking by importance 1: language model scaling, as always 2: elon twitter, future of the digital commons 3: EAs must reevaluate their funding sources . . . N-1: trump 2024 N: ponzicoin ecosystem in turmoil due to amphetamine addled CEX scammers

@sama this is why openai must change profit cap to new defn -> solve AGI and make it change everything

@jacob_pfau tiny LM

2023 recession will end very quickly when the greatest technological advances in history come to the mainstream lol deflation of all prices

@PradyuPrasad leverage and buy nvidia, Microsoft, SPY

@PradyuPrasad America or bust

@CineraVerinia @PradyuPrasad true but it may not be so bad for Singaporeans

bull case for twitter: - blue checkmark release keeps getting pushed off indefinitely - rapid iteration of new content tools, vine comes back, long form paid content, etc

@LexerLux @PradyuPrasad worth a shot

@pquiggles low margin when you consider oppo cost of ads

@pquiggles twitter ARPU =/= the revenue of users who buy shit like twitter blue

@cjgbest Lol

@PradyuPrasad going into debt is worth it to get US degrees tbh

there’s something here …

@allgarbled @gptbrooke @bcgraham @animalologist it’s over in that i got notoriety a job and a gf off of twitter what else do i need

this was born as one man’s attempt to stop remembering ffmpeg command line incantations and turned into a one stop CLI shop for codex. enjoy https://x.com/SpellcraftAI/status/1593393643305459712

your threat model is totally off if you think twitter is literally going to disappear

@eurydiceuntil I’m not plugged into this particular psychodrama so forgive me for intrusion but i personally found that you gotta stop blaming your parents at some point. Bless their hearts, distill their volition, and come up with better principles for propagating it

how is that possible? there’s not enough exit liquidity in the world … https://x.com/mims/status/1592934095117426689

@nope_its_lily @the_waldman i think they’d probably do massive rewrites rather than learn any of this stuff

@boop for example if elons skeleton crew proves incapable of running twitter and it goes down for extended outages

elon game plan: 1) arrive in a poorly run industry 2) take a hammer to it 3) save a few knowledgeable old guys, motivate them with lots of freedom and resources 4) recruit lots of high energy 20 year olds to burn the midnight oil, motivate them with pro humanity ideals 5) profit

@ctjlewis python bc linear execution is easier to reason about

@eigenrobot @ctjlewis @Nexuist on the DL the secret development models are a lot better at ascii art

@elonmusk acquire substack immediately

.@elonmusk if you’re serious about twitter being the central hub of citizen journalism you need to acquire substack or build an in-house clone immediately. “revue” is not gonna cut it

this is just the Facebook standard content policy lol https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1593673339826212864

@growing_daniel they were ten times better than the existing ones though

@growing_daniel difficult technological bar

@growing_daniel in facebooks case more like a product / marketing bar i guess though they did manage to scale users much better than everybody else by siloing to colleges

despite everything else you just gotta love the bravado https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1593727662228283393

used to think too hard but now i don’t think hard enough

@jmrphy if you believe this i have a bridge in Brooklyn to sell you

@TenreiroDaniel @rkylesmith Drive

anytime you put together a group of like 3 good software engineers the net present value of that gathering is immediately in the 6 figure range due to the asymmetric return profile. you just start glowing with money

vernor vinge

the belief that the next 20 odd years of technological singularity will be good is not much more than religious faith. which is not to say it’s baseless or wrong but rather that it’s primarily aesthetic extrapolation

@atroyn that to me is an integral part of what religion is

ok this is the first and last time ill ask this but are there any modern email aggregator apps that have a decent AI ranking and filter built in

I meant like a personal email app. not for creating newsletters or whatever

@peachblvd so true

@hi_frye @peachblvd owned

@peachblvd @hi_frye midnight blue is better than the black tbh…

“vox populi vox dei” interpreted literally, a screaming many faced god whose fleeting whims and violent delights run the world in the image of the tiktok algorithm

at the end of history when the vision of great men has failed we look to satisfy sophisticated consumer demands and let technology solve us

goddess of democracy slain by much more powerful gods of entertainment; rome is the mob, the coliseum, the circuses

@CanaryMailApp yeah would love that

the point of the tech billionaires is to launder the philosophy of scifi greats into a more respectable setting

@eigenrobot absolutely. but i do wonder if they can just steal the weights of the biggest models. like I figure MSS has several people at deepmind and openai

@eigenrobot interesting war games here. stealing chip manufacturing processes and jet engines is hard because the real world is finicky and full of complexity. how complicated is inferencing a brand spanking neural net on old hardware?

@alth0u @Cixelyn @EMostaque @stephenbalaban help the man out

@streamgazer @peachblvd true

capital optimization is funny. creates airplanes whose jet engine manufacturing is an intense geopolitical competition with alloy processes known to few on earth, alongside the shittiest onboard consumer electronics money can buy, chairs that don’t recline, etc

@mr_yong_tau_foo people give you all kinds of shitty arguments for this when the answer can be as simple as software margins are better

this universe was created to maximize the total amount of wild fish suffering. it’s like a hell realm for them. everything else is a sideshow