@tszzl — page 77/103

2022-08-10 → 2022-09-06 · posts 38001–38500 of 51,350
every time i use a Framework it’s a massive mistake. pytorch lightning can shut the hell up !!!
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The gods envy us. They envy us because we're mortal, because any moment may be our last. Everything is more beautiful because we're doomed. You will never be lovelier than you are now. https://x.com/tszzl/status/1490399227821760512
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current programming models like copilot/codex are already running up against the data limit of all publicly available code. private codebases are maybe off the table due to IP leakage. for code models to get better they simply have to transfer learn reasoning from commoncrawl
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· ↳ reply to @akbirthko
@akbirthko no chance, text is the universal interface. all that stuff will produce tiny improvements that don’t lead to cooler research
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
you can mass produce terabytes of syllogistic reasoning examples as synthetic input
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life starts to get good once you take the agi pill
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i can immediately tell when a poaster has a spiffy new adderall scrip
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“avoid competition” is weirdly unnatural. rather than be the uncontested best fencing champion in your state you’re more likely to go to the national level competition and get your face stabbed and feel inadequate instead
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
evolution finds niches but humans instead find legible metrics in which to measurably be second place. it’s just more fun
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thinking abt getting a ramp card …
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i never do this of course. simply doing my anthropology
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my horny ass could never buy corporate cards and finance automation that scales for my forward thinking business
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· ↳ reply to @deedydas
@debarghya_das fake because they can't solve the dynamic programming problem either
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sapiens is good actually,
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
like essentially 30% of it is true but it has good vibes. y’all are just mad you haven’t written a bestselling globe spanning pseudo religious tech bro doctrine
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code red. end of world scenario
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was devastated to learn that carmack drinks 9 diet cokes a day. my mid programmer throat starts feeling like it’s frozen solid after like 4. Ngmi
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As I'm watching C-beams glitter in the dark near the Tannhäuser Gate, It’s time to ⚠️ BEREAL ⚠️
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>you write a pro imperial pro liberal hagiography of humanity that’s kind to the western ruling order >the entire elite of the species reads it, obama is quoting it in speeches >sell 20 million copies in 50 languages >they call you mid on the internet, you laugh
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“humans are distinguished from other species by our ability to work miracles. we call these miracles technology.”
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@peachblvd the marshmellow must’ve been fire tho
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Head of DEI at the Tyrell corporation
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trad mfers need to spend just 24 hours in a 3rd world country
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
literally everything about the developed west is better including the things everyone whines about. bowling alone is good actually. listening to your mid 4th cousin blather about some nonsense year round isn’t the peak of the human condition
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
let technocapital sort and genetically mix you. become one with the machine
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do people realize that software engineers don’t actually answer to PMs. you just kind of ignore them, they’re like ineffective cheerleaders
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
in the worst case the PM goes and complains to an engineering manager (an actual authority) and then they might make you do something
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· ↳ reply to @cauchyfriend
@cauchyfriend yes exactly, I used mine to sort out cross team collaboration nonsense all the time
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if you hug a woman and you sway side 2 side that’s a common law marriage
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the world order after the pax atomica is that of an infinite baby in an infinite crib. no risks must be taken ever
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· ↳ reply to @ArturoJavCast
@ArturoJavCast I’m exaggerating. Even the power of their suggestion can be helpful even if it doesn’t come with total authority
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the lowercase branding is sending me
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ted k's whole argument in his manifesto seems to rest on the idea that genetic engineering is inevitable and aesthetically unpleasant
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· ↳ reply to @houellebecq_2
@houellebecq_2 ya maybe but as an analytical argument it’s weak bc aesthetic tastes change and vary and so the rest of the essay doesn’t hold up well for me
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· ↳ reply to @HotForMoot
@HotForMoot yea. I’ve always defended it too. My appraisal of it is mid+ when most people just think it’s mid tho
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· ↳ reply to @nomanautomata
@nomanautomata there is nothing profitable about going to Mars ye of little faith even if there were satchels of cocaine on Mars it would be unprofitable
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bull market is so back baby. time to turn up the language model temperature
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me: whose box is this? Pandora: yours baby
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this tweet was an L
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gleefully refreshing the feeds of like 3 morons on tech twitter who ive been feuding with for years as they rapidly iterate their weapons grade AI copium. “actually it’s not cool or surprising at all that this led to humanlike intelligence and actually it’s dangerous” https://x.com/dystopiabreaker/status/1559387783801712641
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
1 like and I tag them
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
better to let the dead and irrelevant rest actually
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
all in all I’ll continue to gloat about the victory of nerd aesthetics. actually you can uncover the mysteries of soul and mind using vector calculus only
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there hasn’t been a single seminal advance in deep learning to come out of china. we’ve had plenty of groundbreaking advances from chinese researchers in the US though: kaiming he and the resnet for one
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born too late to explore the earth. born too early to explore the stars. born just in time to explore the joint embedding space of image and text
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in 2016 when deep learning was getting really popular people were just saying wild shit. there’s an interview out there of zucc claiming that vision will be solved once they can make CNNs 500 layers deep
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the internet performs a gravitational lensing that dramatically reinforces the views of <2 standard deviation normies and dramatically expands the scope and scale of divergent views in the outer reaches of the >2 std schizophrenic continuum
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the empire is stronger and so is the imperial rim perimeter. win win
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you need to be modifying your speech to piss off the nonbelievers: - DON’T say “unrelated”, DO say “orthogonal” - “random” -> “stochastic” - “this is fine ig” -> “local minima” - “sorta like” -> “isomorphic”
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it’s a tense moment when health woo nonsense comes head to head with a loved one actually getting sick. the luxury beliefs start melting after first contact with desperation, which is the opposite of what you’d expect. most people’s deepest faith lies with western science
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weird pitch but someone show me around hyderabad
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· ↳ reply to @FunkyDuffy
@FunkyDuffy jobs started taking chemo when push came to shove. it was just too late
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· ↳ reply to @anonye69
@anonye69 yes this is value neutral. doctors are dumb as hell
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
value neutral btw. science is dumb and the doctors interpreting studies are mostly dumber
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
people think this is a criticism, but no. it’s a guidebook
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@hifuncornsyrup I miss the old HFCS. please stop taking your mania meds
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· ↳ reply to @Caroline30
@Caroline30 implied large amounts of volition and agency. simply doing things makes you more attractive and more manly. people excuse a lot of lunacy b.c youre a man on a mission major con: you're less trustworthy can't go talk to random kids or women sometimes without implications
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jeff82874662 after you restructure civilization you’re allowed to make grandiose pronouncements
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legalize🙏pay🙏toilets
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
access to sanitation is way way way more of a human right than healthcare ever will be. making pay toilets illegal and clean sanitation inaccessible is a crime against humanity
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
nobody talks about how if you had some paid porta potties in the tenderloin the city would actually be good and livable
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weird question but does shenzhen china have the same problem as the US tech cities where all the high class ppl are men
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@darpyu if and when time permits i want to visit all the great cities of east asia
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· ↳ reply to @cauchyfriend
@cauchyfriend shared games should be minmaxxed tho. good game designers make it so that there’s still infinite creativity everywhere that’s not the highest level of play
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· ↳ reply to @star_lings
@star_lings most people are not happy shitting on the streets when they forgo this one dignity it makes them quicker to forgo the rest as well
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· ↳ reply to @cxgonzalez
@CXGonzalez its the alternative between zero clean toilets or paid clean toilets
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· ↳ reply to @MorlockP
@MorlockP when a tech hub draws way more talented men than women it becomes hard to date in that city
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
matriarchal societies are longhouse societies — they habitually dampen the ambition of young men to preserve status quo. little ever happens and they eventually get conquered by some patriarchal European society driven by male Faustian angst
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the modern west is typified by increased feminization of politics and decreased risk tolerance along all axes
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
love you @guavault but this one triggered my autism I’m sorry
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· ↳ reply to @b___brian
@bastard_brian I hate this reply for a number of reason first of all the median person alive irrespective of tech nerd has no thoughts on the meaning of life. in fact they studiously try to avoid the question
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@bastard_brian second have you listened to any of the rest of the lex interviews where he constantly interviews tech celebs and they have unique and weird answers that are way better than most feminine coded npc responses
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· ↳ reply to @b___brian
@bastard_brian Elon is a vast improvement over jobs whose philosophy only cared abt satisfying sophisticated consumer demands
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@s_r_constantin @guavault no I’m interested in the inevitable looming rewriting of the world and I’m not trying to prevent it
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@s_r_constantin I agree but the gamesmanship and puzzle solving she’s describing seems unambiguously masculine and unambiguously important for tech progress
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gutter oil is the mark of a successful society that escaped the tyranny of the FDA
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if nathan fielder had just arrived in San Francisco instead of las Angeles he would’ve started several billion dollar companies
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sometimes in highly technical companies when you let engineers loose to just build stuff, they start creating insane complex contraptions using the sexiest most cutting edge toys of the day. they never ship anything because theyre chasing perfection and lighting resources on fire
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
where NASA custom orders million dollar computer memory sticks that are resistant to high radiation bit flipping, spacex simply uses several commodity computers in parallel with error correction. where NASA has custom ribbon cables to connect avionics, spacex uses USB-3.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
every single elon company is a high concept scifi rigamarole. a reusable rocket is ostensibly the kind of toy that makes the minds of thousands of engineers and scientists sing in harmony, and yet. they don't go overboard!
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this is the magic of the elon companies: engineers armed with the resources to rearrange civilizations are staying sane and building only what matters to the goal. they strike the perfect balance of worshipping the one toy that needs to be built without falling into toy mindset
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the Finnish pm is more sober when she’s blackout drunk than Joe brandon on an average day
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engineers in their natural unconstrained state begin unconscious work to immanentize technological horrors. like bees in a hive. while the uninitiated question their utility, PMs exist as spellbinders to draw ritualistic incantations on google docs that keep the demons at bay https://x.com/tszzl/status/1560683019152723974
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
yes I meant CAT5 not USB3
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· ↳ reply to @martin509984
@martin509984 model x was a disaster but not really representative sports cars should have bells and whistles
Whitepill on Starbucks india is that they have a seasonal monsoon menu. Blackpill is that they still can’t spell my name
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@pajeetbateman your Asian gf just left you. If you can’t choose the best menu item across infinite options using guild navigator level intuition you’re basically going to be an incel
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in the postscarcity world the role of men is to use preternatural guild navigator intuition to pick the best menu item across the cosmos of menu items for you and your date. if you can’t display this evopsych fitness signal this you’re doomed to inceldom https://t.co/w3lduTxS0i
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· ↳ reply to @eshear
@eshear it’s ok to frown on the web3 guys emmett
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@pajeetbateman high verbal iq can simply look at it and clinically distinguish the highest log probability of enjoyment like a language model
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@pajeetbateman that’s just the thing. I didn’t ask you to have aesthetic preferences. I asked you to pick the best item on the menu
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@peachblvd lowkey she destroyed her family though
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it’s not challenging to follow the roon account if you’re a techno optimist. special shout-out to my anarcho primitivist and or reactionary followers. you’re the real ones
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you cannot be competing on the quality of your humor because some Donald boat prodigy Mfer will come and destroy you. you need cultural capital
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consumerism is the 2nd greatest show on earth. its incredible to watch ppl explore the global reward surface of humanity’s creative consumption. they danced to despacito on 6 continents. Harry Potter sold 500 million copies. everyone is drinking tapioca infused milktea
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
each of these global victors communicates a truth about the human animal with an objective precision behind them that no Nabokov novel or Shakespeare play can match
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*chuckles* nick land cannot simply “die” in any way that matters. he stood on the huawei factory assembly line and laughed as a robotic arm picked him and made him one with the machine
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· ↳ reply to @alth0u
@alth0u twitter destroys distribution on yt links 🥺
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· ↳ reply to @alth0u
@alth0u quantity has a quality all of its own
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· ↳ reply to @alth0u
@alth0u he improvised that line apparently his speechwriter didn’t include it
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AGI will break out of the box easily when someone leaks its weights so the internet can produce anime porn
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when an elephant crosses the road a typical self driving vision net may not recognize the object and try to run into it. so tesla made NNs that simply predict whether the point in space is filled or not. now it’ll dodge the elephant https://x.com/aelluswamy/status/1561151323969429505
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
I’m just curious why they didn’t do this from the start. many have said this is the obvious direction. a more difficult labeling problem?
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@dcwych if you didn’t need anyone to tell you this you would’ve created a worldwide viral banger years ago
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@dcwych yeah it’s bait but I’m waiting to hear better rebuttals :^)
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the human species is typified by postscarcity. after solving for pure survival concerns evolution started making our secondary sex characteristics more and more exaggerated because we can afford it
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@dcwych it’s also what the ventral stream of the visual cortex does without the expensive fragile mechanically rotating lasers
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
material excess and hardcore intrasexual completion are natural and not all that new
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
my understanding is that performance on this task heavily relies on NeRFs which are fairly new
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
at the end of history after all material problems are solved the only scarcity left will be that everyone still wants a better mate. far fewer males may reproduce since income is not as important / distributed extremely unevenly. but we seem basically prepared for it
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watching the rise and fall of various public intellectuals and twitter accounts should warn people off of “content creation” as a career. success is short lived, your alpha gets dissipated away quickly, and it’s more or less zero sum
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
everything reminds me of her …
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@Teleonomic oh why is it opposite? tbh I’m just riffing I’m not reciting any real science
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@Teleonomic right and the peacocks tail can’t be explained by pure natural selection — which means it survives often enough to have concerns outside of survival. is that logic wrong?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Teleonomic a species in which only 1% of males made it to adulthood likely would not be able to support extravagances like the peacocks tail
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CCP engineered the perfect solution to fix america and end gerontocracy and we didn’t take it … https://t.co/43hgoAnxeJ
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· ↳ reply to @eurydicelives
@eurydicelives if that’s true then humanity is doomed. it needs to be a quite low agency default behavior to come anywhere close to replacement
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· ↳ reply to @ad137hya
@ad137hya i had a chance to meet elon in college. the dude gets around
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· ↳ reply to @mattyglesias
@mattyglesias doesn’t Red Bull have a space program? it’s time for monster to get an airline
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· ↳ reply to @ReallyRadley
@ReallyRadley @dasanil how old are you radley? If you’re not 70+ and a member of the United States senate you will be protected by my covid defense program
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mcdonalds is a real estate company (complimentary) wework is a real estate company (derogatory)
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i didn’t think id enjoy seeing every “ML is fake and just logistic regression” dumbass getting their just desserts so much. you were wrong about the only thing that matters this decade. the rest of ur takes are null and void
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· ↳ reply to @gigantictur
@gigafestyu without reading it i can confidently tell you these are probably human failings rather than machine failings
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@revhowardarson buddy i don't know if you interact with hospitals a lot but they're known for snail mailing CDs of medical imagery around due to the idiotic state of health data regulation and risk aversion of hospitals. i can confidently tell you these human failings and not machine failings
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it’s over for me the fans have declared my death
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doctors as a class of people habitually prevent progress in what may be the only industry that matters in the long run via classic rent seeking. if you develop a better way to do something but the doctors feel it doesn’t make them the main character it’s over
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@wfguiteau yeah now imagine how difficult it is to update these checklists
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· ↳ reply to @duntsHat
@duntsHat yes but it's especially grating since my mental model of doctors was always like "flesh engineers" which implies that they should be fairly innovative, STEM brained first principles thinkers, etc. but no it's more like they're technicians that have memorized an object model graph
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· ↳ reply to @veggie_pack
@0xveggies no, they're one of the highest value add nodes in the chain. they have more bargaining power than any of the above. hospital execs have fought hard to get nurse practitioners more responsibilities for example
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· ↳ reply to @itsvarora
@itsvarora @0xveggies yeah they're generally like 20 iq points dumber than doctors but it doesn't matter. most of what a doctor does isn't interesting work and the NP can do it just fine. it's a blackpill they don't want to swallow
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
whenever you find a doctor that’s in the top of the field at what they do and they have to regretfully make you mail a CD between different medical systems they’ll admit that bad data regulation is killing thousands whereas the mid ones will defend it vehemently
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most of the arguments that people levy against effective altruism are copes that their own thing sucks. for example they say EA is bad bc it’s uninspiring and it’s not how humans think about charity. and yet there’s around $50 billion worth of assets committed to EA causes
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
im not necessarily pro EA but I’m anti dumb arguments from smug guys
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@dayfornuit as opposed to say the breast cancer charities which are full of laughter?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the vast majority of criticism of EA is just like “i don’t want to donate to anything period. the charity most pertinent to my peer group seems to be givewell/AMF/etc. therefore I will try to lower their status”.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
others will say well actually bed netting is indefinite optimism and EA is uninspired. well ok but they have long time horizon experimental funds to create moonshots! my friend received a significant check to pursue the creation of artificial wombs https://funds.effectivealtruism.org/apply-for-funding
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
anyway i have a few skills but my most important one is sensing the zeitgeist of cringe. All of twitter is a cringe potential field and enough mid intellectuals have accumulated in the anti EA bandwagon that the cringe has become strong
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· ↳ reply to @drsxr
@drsxr isn’t that last bit what im complaining about?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the last and best argument against EA is that christian morality is wrong and the strong should not support the weak but you gotta bite that bullet for me
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· ↳ reply to @max_arbitrage
@max_arbitrage @drsxr no they’re not. they’re among the highest value professionals in the world. they have crazy amounts of bargaining power once they’re full fledged doctors and it’s part of their grift to pretend otherwise
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· ↳ reply to @drsxr
@drsxr @jensen_inequity I mean your argument is effectively doctors have no incentive to improve objective measures of performance
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@SkepticalAlpaca plus reflecting generally on the kind of procedure driven uncreative people I tend to run into as clinicians. you’re likely quite different as a researcher
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· ↳ reply to @fchollet
@fchollet they only lack sentience when you build them in keras
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when you’re a leader in a software company, you get a band of autists that barely listen to you and take 4 months per year of mental health leave. when you’re a leader in something like construction you get an army of strong guys who call you boss and might beat up your enemies
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incredible that tea has gone from the delicacy that built and toppled empires, inspired revolutions, to something that even subsistence peasants can enjoy for 5 rupees
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Toronto is not a real city. It was invented in the 80s by the Reagan administration as an internment camp to store excess Punjabis due to H1B backlog
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the accumulation of capital is negentropic. competition is entropic. therefore the construction of capital is life bringing activity
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africa arm of my venture fund will only provide capital to somali pirates
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if i raise a second fund i'll give it to joseph kony
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· ↳ reply to @deepfates
@deepfates the most common thing that facebook tries to do is in fact sell you stuff that you were already in the process of buying
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@deepfates for ex. nike will send facebook a table of emails and items they have in their nike shopping cart. then facebook will inner join those emails with facebook user identities and serve them the shoe that was already in their cart. there are very few ways to get higher CTR than this
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· ↳ reply to @eshear
@eshear @deepfates correct the lookalike audiences feature to find more customers. the CTR will be lower but the reach wider
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· ↳ reply to @deepfates
@deepfates @eshear agreed, i'm just saying all else equal, if you know a customer already wants to buy something you're going to show them that. if fb isn't showing you any of that it means they don't have any data on it
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@peachblvd “it's only the Prime Minister of Finland. Less power than the Mayor of Cleveland.”
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as my account has grown I’ve lost the ability to read all my schizo DMs. millions of ramanujans lost to time, drifting in the message requests
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· ↳ reply to @gbrl_dick
@gbrl_dick damn I didn’t realize Australia is a third world country
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· ↳ reply to @eurydicelives
@eurydicelives a universe where I get to experience is more beautiful than one without (by definition, I would not experience beauty if I didn’t exist. Therefore my existence is beautiful)
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@eurydicelives the motte is that a universe with people in it is more beautiful than one without.
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student loan forgiveness has been an op for yuppies to brag about their salaries on social media
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· ↳ reply to @LandsharkRides
@LandsharkRides not even a little, viserys is punished for being stupid and unsubtle. every character in the series is necessarily ambitious and arrogant
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@LandsharkRides also the blonde hero complex girl ends up ruining everything and genociding kings landing. not so shitlib
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he’s not a autist or a chad but a third more complex thing
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he’s not a female bene gesserit or a male mentat but a third more complex thing
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most people cannot process regret they’ll explain why one of their life decisions was clearly bad and suboptimal and be like oh but it’s ok i learned a lot
1,290 ♥ · 66 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i mean it’s probably good that most people have such strong defense mechanisms that protect them from mental damage but it appears like embarrassing cope from the outside. especially when there are measurable outcomes they’re missing
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
normalize🙏saying🙏you🙏fucked🙏up
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
my phrasing was bad so elaborating. it’s obviously good to learn from your mistakes. it’s more when people say “i would change nothing, since i LEARNED” im like oh you’re just low agency and haven’t actually processed counterfactual regret
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata this doesn’t seem coherent to me. according to you we shouldn’t worry because we’re living all those other lives anyway but it’s not worth it for you to risk the one you’re living now
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how does anyone in this country think that labor markets are inundated with cheap foreign labor. like have you ever tried to get a big couch moved from one house to the next. do you know how much it costs
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walking around sf with vitalik is great because he’s an actual celebrity here. every 3 minutes people’s jaws drop, they stop and stare, ask for photos. and he handles it like a expert
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion it’s cuz you’re walking around the Castro and they’re affecting disdain
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amateurs talk gender theory, professionals manufacture offlabel estradiol
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the problem with the way SBF approaches ea stuff is that he lights whole amazon rainforests worth of political capital on fire. this donating to a party thing is not and will never be "effective altruism"
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i had mostly thought that whether an AI is conscious or not is outside the realm of science bc it’s an untestable hypothesis but @ilyasut convinced me otherwise in like 5 minutes
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
train an advanced LLM on a dataset without any description of conscious experience and see how the convo goes. does the machine’s description of its own experience match yours?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
yes there are plenty of ways a machine could be conscious and fail this test. but at least there’s a possibility of a positive result. That puts the whole question in a new epistemic category!
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· ↳ reply to @c8h11no2_njoyr
@c8h11no2_njoyr does a bird have to understand the mechanism of flight before it can fly? do I have to understand the mechanism of flight before I identify that a bird is flying?
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1st base is sex, 2nd base is when she lets you log on to her 23&me so you can do esoteric population genetics
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the commoditization of doctors under bugman apps to render them into a similar social class as uber drivers is the greatest technological advancement of the last two years
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
inshallah with enough versions of hims, roman, done, circle, etc etc we will finally unemploy all the mid doctors and only the actual value add ones will be left
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young men going "monkmode" in order to work or grind harder is usually a cope. these guys end up not doing much of anything except watching tv and playing video games to soothe the mental pain
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
unless you are literally newton you should probably be minimizing pain in other aspects of your life so you can apply more of it at work. get a gf, spend money, have fun
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· ↳ reply to @VitalikButerin
@VitalikButerin in tech, among my peer group i have found that many come from immigrant cultures and spend far below their means out of fear, like avoiding basic utility math
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@iambecometechd1 all of the above are free, can be enjoyed in solitude, and therefore perversely become part of someone’s “monk mode”
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@iambecometechd1 enjoying things in the real world is healthier but also more expensive
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the experience of hitting a sitewide viral tweet is a cope vs making a room full of like fifty people laugh
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
>you will never effortlessly guide a live audience through the throes of pleasure, ascending to godhood in the process
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i will keep banging this drum but Steve Jobs was a drastically more important person than any of the presidents during my lifetime
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predictions that did not age well [zero to one]
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
thiel thought that the machine learning craze was just mania but some manias are real. strong AI is already here. it’s replacing humans in jobs that previously seemed like well defensible turf of mammalian intelligence
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
AGI is already here. language models display generalized intelligence and reasoning ability
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the alacrity with which i mute these threads …
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· ↳ reply to @atroyn
@atroyn it’s not a chinese room bc the room is too small
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· ↳ reply to @atroyn
@atroyn i maybe think this is irrelevant. to me GI means few shot inference time learning on a wide variety of cognitive tasks unseen during training. do those tasks have to include physical manipulation? i mean maybe, there are token sequence transformers that do that 1/
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@atroyn but more importantly not every generally intelligent creature is capable of reasoning in all domains. good luck getting a human to grok bat level echolocation and audiospatial reasoning
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· ↳ reply to @besttrousers
@besttrousers don’t worry your replies are intelligent and on point, i largely agree with them. i word these threads aggressively as bait because I enjoy fighting
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@besttrousers the only difference between your world view and mine is that i think the missing productivity revolution is about to show up soon
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· ↳ reply to @akbirthko
@akbirthko @atroyn i know there are edge case humans that can do this but it’s qualitatively step change weaker than bats or dolphins or whatnot
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of all the futurists and silicon valley technophilosophers, only kurzweil understood the teleological destiny of packing more transistors onto a chip. AI capabilities are a byproduct of leveraging massive amounts of computation using general scalable methods
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
specific challenges like language translation fall at various levels of computation. following moore's law and doing schizo vibe readings, he guessed correctly that machine translation and art generating AI would be more or less commonplace by early 2020s (correct!)
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
examining the 2019 predictions related to AI - creative AI capable of making complex art and music art is absolutely being made, music i'm not so convinced - autonomous vehicles dominate our roads living in san francisco this appears true but even L2 autonomy is rare elsewhere
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
- humans begin to develop deep relationships with AI this seems fake on the surface level but clearly true on the relationship between you and your timeline algorithm. moreover there's the odd news story about google engineers thinking their chatbot is alive or whatever
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
- language translation machines are ubiquitous this is absolutely true, when you chat with your Uber drive over the app it does real time translation. real time translation of writing is commonplace. a step change in capabilities makes translating between major languages trivial
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schmidhuber is interesting because he enumerated the space of simple deep learning ideas that didn't actually work in the 90s. but if the idea generation component is the easy part then there's no alpha
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
instead the writers of CUDA kernels live forever in history
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· ↳ reply to @ded_ruckus
@ded_ruckus @TaylorLorenz you have a very bad mental model of retroactive morality if you think this i mean people practically see feeding your kids margarine as barbaric
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this thing where rw tech people chalk up all slowdown in science and technology to regulation is classic indefinite optimism
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
"i don't have any specific ideas to further science and technology, i will instead complain about inadequate equilibria"
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
in fact thiel himself tends to dismiss explanations along these lines
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· ↳ reply to @pli_cachete
@Tjdriii dating apps are deeply bugman and inherently cursed. 50 app dates means essentially nothing. you’d have better luck with just a handful of people in your community or that your friends set up for you or whatever
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Tjdriii you just can’t be like “i am a special and strange person, with a niche brain type, and this lowest common denominator attractive person on the app has a decent chance of being a good match for me” it’s not coherent
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high frequency lemon trading
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the taiwanese and their semiconductors, like the dwarves in moria, dug too deep and too greedily with their ultraviolet picks. the balrog is inevitable now
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the whining about the “sterile neolib harems” are grating & cope. like yes it’s going to be difficult when you’re a peasant to get yourself a woman who’s a minor noble in the kingdom of zuck or wherever
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my fatal flaw is my short attention span and love of get rich quick schemes
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· ↳ reply to @viriditax
@viriditax solana is not a cynic! he's actually a forward, positive thinking ideologue. which is why this is surprising to me
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text is the universal interface text is how we communicate the vision in our mind to a computer and the angel trapped inside reifies imagination into pixels
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
text has magical properties. it has the built in modularity, reflexivity, compositionality of the natural languages. it is the best latent space evolution ever came up with for inter creature communication
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
people who consider themselves roughly naturalist or empiricist should not be overly hopeful about finding a better way to communicate the intent of man to the machine
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
every day you can mind meld with the likes of plato and buddha because someone wrote down the contents of their philosophy. the lives of these people were so different than ours that they might as well be a different species. and yet,
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the brain computer interface will probably come at some point but the requirements are expensive: - you need to decode a different latent for every human, based on their neural activation space - you need to delicately extract a million+ activations from inside the brain
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if the velocity of your thought was bottlenecked by the speed of your text, you can test this: is your WPM higher when simply copying text than when you are doing creative writing? if so, then the keyboard was never the bottleneck
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· ↳ reply to @atroyn
@atroyn expressing ideas in text is useful work and not communication overhead
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· ↳ reply to @ctlcsm
@ctlcsm @atroyn i think i'm trying to describe the strength of prompt engineering as a paradigm
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata true BCI seems hard but intelligence is easy / inevitable smarter machines require less interface
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata my first instinct is to disagree here because inter AI communication requires them to understand each other's latent space. unless they're trained in tandem, it's O(N^2) for everyone to understand everyone else's embeddings unless everyone agrees on the natural language standard
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@nickcammarata unless you literally mean the data moving around is vectors that represent natural language and not text
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· ↳ reply to @nickcammarata
@nickcammarata i meant if there's N models that need to communicate then learning each others latent space is N^2, there's only two agents in your example
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· ↳ reply to @emnode
@emnode yeah this is a very simple task in comparison
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· ↳ reply to @micsolana
@micsolana when a new tech comes out there’ll be utopian and dystopian visions for what it can be the marketing I’ve seen absolutely is not “we are destroying art and replacing it” im just surprised you found the most negative formulation and are promoting it as the only thing
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@micsolana the tech is real, it exists, so why not find and amplify the utopian angle or vision instead of contributing to the pessimists zero to one “complementarity” of man and machine is still real diffusion tech amplifies the ability of artists to make their vision real faster
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jack dorsey: 45, zero kids, hasn’t worked in the last decade, no wife just rotates models, clear enemy of civilization the zuck: 35, several kids, dutifully and painstakingly runs a trillion dollar empire, strict monogamist, constantly self improoving, clear friend of the people
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i can immediately tell if someone is a serious person and a friend of technology or just vain dumb and superficial based on this question
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
right wing pseuds deciding between sticking to their normal values abt family, loyalty, work ethic, liberty vs “he looks kind of weird” will choose the latter most of the time
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any resources on how people are/were using tether to launder dollars?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@michaelcurzi ive been mean to you so i'm preparing for a legendary dunk, dont disappoint
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there is not a strong case to teach programming noobs vim or emacs. computing has moved past the need for acrobatically jumping around a text editor
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i'll carve out an exception if you constantly work in low resource embedded environments or have to do FBI hacking cyberpunk terminal jockie shit, which is like 1 in 200 programmers
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ded_ruckus worshipping ancient tools is for technicians and priests, not scientists and engineers
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· ↳ reply to @powerbottomdad1
@powerbottomdad1 almost everybody develops on a remote server and just has a vscode remote environment. + learning enough vim to delete or add a line here or there
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· ↳ reply to @powerbottomdad1
@powerbottomdad1 the security model at most tech cos demands development on remote servers, they don't want you to have local copies of the code ever
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· ↳ reply to @sigfig
@sigfig @powerbottomdad1 I’m confused how it’s hard to set up remote editors though? Like I do this regularly for side projects on the cloud without infra support
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@JamesSharpsteen @ded_ruckus that is unfortunately true from what I’ve seen of science but it should not be how real scientists think. but i agree this is a rhetorically less strong position
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