@tszzl — page 14/103

2020-04-03 → 2020-04-27 · posts 6501–7000 of 51,350
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c @PereGrimmer a lot of teachers love smart students, assuming they're also not difficult to deal with. i would expect smart and rational kids to be advantaged at doing the song and dance that manipulates adults to like them and do things for them
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c @PereGrimmer it's true that gifted kids might excel *more* if they had special care and treatment. but it's still not obvious how they're *disadvantaged*. at best you're saying that there's not enough willpower for accelerated and gifted programs that might let them do harder classes earlier
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c @PereGrimmer possible, but who's to say if their boredom is a greater negative effect on performance than their hyper-intelligence is a positive effect? Also, a lot of intelligent kids are children of rich parents. meaning they're probably at a cushy school district with nice gifted programs
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c @PereGrimmer In the US even the public schools in upscale areas tend to have very nice school districts. Not that there aren’t problems ofc. Tons of smart kids at “bad schools” getting left out
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c @PereGrimmer Yeah it probably does come down to experience, because I don’t know how to prove with data that highly intelligent people aren’t disadvantaged in school.
· ↳ reply to @woke8yearold
@woke8yearold @ne0agent1c @PereGrimmer Is high intelligence necessarily correlated with a certain personality type? Seems to me this is a Hollywood meme i.e the autistic savant. I’ve met smart people of all personality types.
@similaralterity my hot take is that such a message is inevitable in the Internet age. Screwed by Dunbar
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @AdamHSays
@AdamHSays Another phrase often heard in the wake of these disasters is, “It seemed like a good idea at the time”.
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
inb4 cHiNa iS cYbErPuNk no its not cyberpunk is a deeply leftist tradition -- it's about anarchic runaway capitalism, with the Zaibatsus wresting all power from the state, and that is most definitely not a good characterization of china
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
inb4 UsA iS cYbErPuNk no its not we simply dont have the requisite glowing buildings and dense metropolises
7 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @signofzee
@kenziegtay Meet the Robinsons 😍 I remember the Cold War era excitement about the future
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot we will have to reverse ten thousand years of Specialization the agricultural revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the Human race
10 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@eigenrobot it seems easy to work out the cause-effect mechanisms in your head to get to the conclusion that the null hypothesis of a mask RCT should be that they DO work, perhaps with smallish effect sizes. but people who write guidelines on government websites are not paid to go offscript
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jess_bbg
@jess_bbg i mean i completely agree but some people think like this, especially in the social sciences. this isn't strictly a social science, but pretty close.
· ↳ reply to @NicholasElodeon
@NicholasElodeon I think Woodrow Wilson is underrated. He’s the chief architect of US foreign policy. Muh League of Nations
1 ♥ · x.com →
cursed to watch another man simp in real time
67 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah Twitter iOS may be the most garbage app of all time. I’ve turned all notifications off and I still get pushes, sometimes regarding accounts that BLOCKED me
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @L0m3z
@L0m3z read: higher ed will finally have to utilize their leviathan endowments
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@L0m3z oh god if colleges ask for bailouts I will lose it
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @OpenAI
@OpenAI when are you moving openai/baselines to PyTorch?
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @wmslamcan
@wmslamcan @L0m3z the thing about universities is that they employ an absolute fuckton of ppl so not a good populist move. on the other hand they're not publically traded so maybe trump won't see stonk go down
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock you could start a podcast and become a preeminently lovable left public intellectual immediately
5 ♥ · x.com →
remembering a dude that took my OS class when I was a TA. he was clearly a knowledgeable programmer (and kind of a dick about it), wrapped all his shit ten layers deep in nice OOP and fancy C++17 features, and then totally failed all the projects it's only good code if it works
41 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah environmental racism just seems to me to be too fine a point. its like yes, most ppl understand that being poor has cascading disadvantages in all walks of life, you don't need to evoke some cool jargon for it
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aquariusacquah is the target audience college-educated libs on twitter, or the actual working class? i think thats a question that the left continues to struggle with. ironically i like bernie and his movement way better than warren for that reason (which is still not much lol).
man was born based, but everywhere he is a simp
86 ♥ · 8 RT · x.com →
@NoblePublius @mattparlmer season 1 was good until around episode 7 when they pull In the mangled backstory about the sister
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot there are quite a few ppl who love predicting disasters like zerohedge who “called” covid but also a lot of others that don’t fit that bill (like techies)
3 ♥ · x.com →
opinion on current events twete: - gets 2 likes, sent to the dustbin of history "drew .... is ..... a simp" - 1000 likes, globe twitter in flames, instant classic
45 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ccneill
@ccneill they aren't allergic to power tbh they just don't know how to grab it
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ccneill at the end of the day most of them are merchants and not conquerors
· ↳ reply to @ccneill
@ccneill when Obama was in the presidency, he had power None anymore
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer everything he said is true except for the fact where you have to address what happens when you end up choosing Jared Kushner as the CVA director
3 ♥ · x.com →
broke: COBOL is antiquated woke: COBOL is lindy
12 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
@neo_globalist The Schengen zone is falling apart. Euro countries have turned isolationist and closing their borders. Soon they will all exit the EU. Where is your god now?
2 ♥ · x.com →
while bill gates builds vaccine factories, I am busy building 7 virus factories
30 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Fremond_
@LoicTheStoic “Unvarnished” Lol it’s a doc made by her own campaign to make her look good, it’s not critical at all
· ↳ reply to @Fremond_
@LoicTheStoic I can try to find one, but my point is that you can’t get access to campaign footage without actually being tight with the campaign. Even as a big Hillary fan, I watched it and found it quite hagiographic
@AOCummies the year is 20xx. the last active trader died years ago. all wealth is held inside computer managed ETF and never sold. the S&P price hasn't changed since the Fed started QE infinity
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal anti-asian sentiment us up in relative terms, but is still small in absolute levels. the only people conflating this are the culture warriors and Chinese propaganda outlets, let's be real. Trump went on tv and said himself that he's mad at the CCP and not chinese americans
10 ♥ · x.com →
whatever else I think of Moldbug I cannot deny this
6 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this part seems sus to me though. if vaccine trials really did work like this i'd be surprised if the chinese haven't already done it.
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @justjoshinyou13
@JustJoshinYou13 im not that confident about the FDA and CDC projecting the right level of risk tolerance into their operations, but china? almost definitely. it's a separate question if such a vaccine would even be approved in the US without conducting our own year long trial tho
a lot of you are ignoring the US's world-class handling of Zika and Ebola to better fit your government=bad narratives
30 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
hmm i wonder what changed between then and now 🧐
12 ♥ · x.com →
gonna guillotine my enemies while dropping them out of a helicopter. the guillotine blade will be supplied with propulsive force such that it falls faster than the person in free fall. this is my ideological neutral way of conducting executions
68 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @cis_female
@natal_female We had like a pandemic response unit of 10,000 us military to handle things on the ground there, maintaining order and public health. It was pretty huge
12 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @signofzee
@kenziegtay yep. lot of accounts will cynically tell you that *all* politicians are stupid babies without examining the facts. The grownups are not in charge! When something vital is stuck in a bureaucratic morass it comes to the executive to get it the hell out of there
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @BadEconTakes
@BadEconTakes exactly. I enjoy when you dunk on idiots as much as the next guy, but you were providing a truly valuable service when you would pick apart plausible sounding bad economics. More of that pls!
30 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @sonyasupposedly
@sonyasupposedly lizard puppet of party elites sounds not bad atm regardless of how old or useless he is, he at least comes with a guarantee that he’ll defer to smarter people
2 ♥ · x.com →
The plan? Yell at tech for asinine reasons until the barbarians are at the gate, then suck up to them to do your contact tracing for you. Big Tech will rule the 2020s
14 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Brrrrrpp
@DavidKoggan @jdcmedlock A lot of Niskanen ppl play a similar role, but they prefer writing short posts on their own website to twitter threads
10 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
me rn
7 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
It’s apparently a joke account
6 ♥ · x.com →
tfw you unironically support antifa but think helicopter memes are unforgivable
35 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
fascists and communists get the bullet
14 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
@AOCummies Are there any peoples more cucked than the britbongs?
3 ♥ · x.com →
libertarianism love local rule and local rule loves authoritarianism
21 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ZaidJilani
@ZaidJilani @razibkhan pretty common in major metros Tho In the Bay Area there are more South Indian restaurants than nearly any other kind lol
1 ♥ · x.com →
@neolibureaucrat this will happen more and more as science progresses; most scientists will be kept busy playing games bc they will not be able to think at the level required to make progress.
1 ♥ · x.com →
@browserdotsys there hasn’t been any high powered RCT proving doorknob licking is bad,,,
me n the globe bois rigging the succ elections in our secret councils
38 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
we've already bought out one of your own, we have a century of experience
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
mfw the 🧦 thought they could have free democratic elections
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @orthonormalist
@orthonormalist “state capacity” is just imploring libertarians to assess political realities honestly and make the compromises that will get them any real power. free markets and free trade only work if the workers who lost their jobs don’t revolt and elect populists
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@orthonormalist concerning yourself with pure ideology is more or less useless outside of twitter
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @econshitter
@econshitter the concept of “neoliberalism” has been wholesale detached from its roots, why not this too?
· ↳ reply to @orthonormalist
@orthonormalist I mean maybe. But ideologies don’t gain power in electoral politics on the scale of the US without making compromises also hmm
· ↳ reply to @orthonormalist
@orthonormalist Sounds pretty state capacity to me. I want free trade, but also realize that radical free traders will be sent packing from office by the angry mobs if we leak too many of their jobs overseas. So, free traders must fear its citizens and institute targeted protectionism
· ↳ reply to @orthonormalist
@orthonormalist not sure what you mean. We’ve pretty much been radical free traders from HW til Obama, and finally seeing some backlash
· ↳ reply to @orthonormalist
@orthonormalist sure, but imo no matter how much red tape we cut, those jobs are not coming back. American workers simply too expensive. You either add more Gibs or have more protectionism, or we’ll have reactionary politics forever
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@orthonormalist Tangentially, zoning reform will create a lot of comfortable service sector lifestyles in major metros (you can’t export Uber drivers), but the industrial towns are done for
tech ppl irl
19 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @archiveOfAwe
@_vivalapanda politics is just a matter of competition. If you’re a better competitor you win. Same as capitalism: no excuses
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah @balajis I hope they realize the starve the beast strategy has clearly failed; government is larger than ever and were getting even less bang for our buck
2 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies While the socks are thinking 2 steps ahead, Drew is on that 12-step forecasting grandmaster shit
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Aelkus
@Aelkus @vgr yup. It’s an “all politicians are bad” machismo that keeps ppl from admitting that some might be worse
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr @Shripriya different systems w varying degrees of unpredictability some systems may be clearly predictable to some and unpredictable for others
· ↳ reply to @lumiferrous
@lumiferrous @orthonormalist sell what out lol? there’s like maybe two major politicians that call themselves libertarians and they don’t matter very much at all. What Tyler Cowen advocates for is the same thing as Peter Thiel’s “national conservatism”
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz this is is winning you major points, taylor I will bring this to the Council
3 ♥ · x.com →
@halvorz i think our problem was not panicking enough rather than panicking too much, so doubt. more like first contact leads to a half assed byzantine response where half the people don't even believe it's happening
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@halvorz relevant departments follow their cold war era first contact checklists that end up being over cautious and slow
· ↳ reply to @peak_transit
@peaktransit @neolibreplygirl @TrayBridgewater they hate it. this is why they wile away their days passing crap like CCPA and AB-5 to slightly handicap tech companies instead of doing anything at all for zoning reform. The average CA politician is a landowner that wishes the techies would leave despite profiting off of them
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen @Robyn9124 he asked a valid but stupid question, bc I’m pretty sure we don’t give the Chinese state news White House access
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen it’s not just abt Obama tho. We had lost credibility in the eyes of the American people. By a large margin, they wanted us out, and Obama obliged.
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @inspireprag
@inspireprag The reason we couldn’t intervene in Syria was the shadow of Iraq. It was definitely not net good, and it harmed our position for future interventions in cascading ways we can’t easily understand
14 ♥ · x.com →
@aka_wills @inspireprag It’s better to see public reaction as a force of nature. No matter what lessons policymakers can learn from a botched intervention or nonintervention, Iraq turned off the American public to intervention for a generation
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Birdyword
@Birdyword pretty sure the markets are drunk off of infinite QE and expect the money printers to keep them afloat
Sometimes I want to quit, but 2 billionaires follow me on this site. That’s enough to keep me shitposting forever
112 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
Fiat currency ... is lindy Naval stans ruined
9 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies feel like shit just want cascadiansolo back xx
12 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
The expansionary force is the metrics: more followers, more likes, more retweets. You seek more influence to sate your infinite ego. You look up to influencers / blue checks and want to be them. You seek density in your social web, and cause growth for the platform 2/
2 ♥ · x.com →
There are two battling forces in a social network. One is expansionary (dense networks) and the other is contractionary (sparse networks). The specific design choices of the creators will decide which of these second order terms is favored over the other 1/
6 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
These two forces are competing on each node in the network, like gravity and fusion in a star. Snapchat has heavily weighted the second force; it's a beloved platform by many, but has growth issues. Facebook has chosen the first; infinite growth, but limited personality 4/
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
The contractionary force is personalization. There are things you can say when 20 of your closest friends are following you that you can't when you're running a giant blue check account. These "human-scale" social networks are conducive to sharing. 3/
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Evan Spiegel said that he never wants snapchat to turn into a "competition for likes and clicks". Instagram has recently started hiding likes on posts, encouraging sharing over competition and trading growth for sparsity. Each network has to fall somewhere on this scale 5/5
5 ♥ · x.com →
just amazed that the marketing departments worked enough magic to get normies interested in something as banal as 5G
17 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer zinc is basically the only thing proven to shorten the duration of a common cold via general immune boosting so unsurprising
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @1RAOKADAY
@1RAOKADAY @mattparlmer hmm idk about homeopathy but it’s definitely a zinc supplement, I’ve used it before. A doctor once told me to keep using it until I can’t taste the pill anymore, and then stop lol
1 ♥ · x.com →
gonna deactivate for a bit. Got a rough month ahead of me
36 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen high oil prices Ben: professional, “high neoliberalism”, neoclassical aesthetic low oil prices Ben: xtreme shitposting
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen This is a bad joke. First, Europe relies on our lead to do anything. Second, the flex capacity of our healthcare system has no bearing on the total failure of public health infra. The real mark of our sclerotic institutions comes from comparison with the East Asian countries.
never log off
10 ♥ · x.com →
twitter after a T break hits different. im basically foaming at the mouth reading these takes
13 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Lculur
@oculusfan @PalmerLuckey @DavidMc67925910 @rbeltran @wilfredchan You realize (1) that you are quoting a news source fully owned by Beijing, and (2) your quoted professor directly contradicts you "The professor also said that while it was possible it originated outside Wuhan, there had so far been no proof to support the theory."
@maxdunat wtf is this huge ass Tibet lmao We need independent Xinjiang
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Brrrrrpp
@DavidKoggan is it better to deny them the choice? take their freedoms bc it makes our liberal sensibilities squeamish?
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@DavidKoggan you’d probably need to be certified healthy enough to spare a kidney before you can do this
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@DavidKoggan i see absolutely no difference between this argument and the argument against legalizing sex work also paid surrogacy is good
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Brrrrrpp
@DavidKoggan seems to me it is? Under many circumstances i might rather be homeless than kidneyless
· ↳ reply to @Brrrrrpp
@DavidKoggan can’t a kidney donor buy a kidney at a later date if they have some kind of renal failure?
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@DavidKoggan paid surrogacy is ppl who are paid to carry an embryo to term for couples who can’t do so
1 ♥ · x.com →
adderall melatonin roller coaster
13 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
this chart got me good
7 ♥ · x.com →
@guacamolebio really? doesn't appear that way to me. pick any controversial topic (e.g. minimum wage) and you'll find mountains of studies on each side, followed by reviews, meta-reviews, reviews of meta-reviews
1 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 its strange but large insects make me 10x more uncomfortable than spiders or scorpions
globe twitter say shit like "I believe in DSGE models"
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @selentelechia
@selentelechia when i trip acid i consistently return to my relationship with Time and impermanence. It got to the point where I could think of nothing else and i had to stop tripping. it seems to me Time is deeply dehumanizing
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@selentelechia mb more enlightened folks than have accepted the lesson of Ozymandias and moved past it. my solution is to just not think about it
my globe twitter friends are (perhaps rightfully) optimistic about the world. neolibs post graphs that show good things only. but this makes you complacent. it makes you think nothing needs to be done. buckle your seatbelts. its time for some bad graphs 1/
78 ♥ · 11 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
pharmaceutical research is in terminal decline with no end in sight. I remember the hopeful days of the human genome project, when mankind was supposed to gain godlike powers of biotech and achieve control over life and death. it's not happening 3/
27 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the number of PhDs are drastically increasing and the academic job market .... isn't. PhDs wait longer forgainful employment and it isnt because of an explosion of "useless humanities degrees". More importantly, there's no sense that science output is accelerating: ROI has fallen
23 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
labor force participation in the US took a nose dive and shows no signs of recovery, well into the post '08 recovery period. with corona, it's looking unlikely it'll ever go back to the previous level 6/
21 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
life expectancy growth in the first world is in terminal decline and nobody is doing anything about it. anybody who tells you're going to live for much longer than your parents is bullshitting you, there's no evidence for this at all. 5/
23 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
labor productivity growth has fallen across the board. the IT revolution was supposed to bring back productivity growth with automation, but that dream has completely failed to pan out. 4/
23 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
not only is prime age employment down, the total percent of people in prime age is declining too, due to falling birth rates. this means ever greater % of output going to welfare for the elderly 8/
16 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
prime age male employment has trended downwards for many years, which is never good. angry unemployed unsatisfied men are the death knell of healthy politics 7/
24 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
central banks responding to rock bottom interest rates & secular stagnation with ambitious QE policies that nobody really understands the effect of. we're now at QE infinity and that's pretty much the end of monetary policy as we know it 11/
21 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
more evidence of secular stagnation: gdp growth trending towards zero. (RIP Japan) 10/
17 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the natural interest rates have trended to (and past!) zero in the first world. larry summers secular stagnation is here. there's an abundance of capital and nobody knows what to do with it, leading to a decline in investment and a drop in real interest rates. 9/
24 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Kepler1649c (2) with the interest rates as low as they are, shouldn't governments that have effective investment ideas (in say, infrastructure) be able to borrow as much as they want?
· ↳ reply to @Kepler1649c
@Kepler1649c this is pretty ideological bifurcated, so I understand your position, but imo the societal ROI of universal free college would not be high. I think college is something of a certification process, rather than a true builder of human capital.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Kepler1649c Would agree that there is some degree of societal ROI to be gained on better healthcare coverage but not as much as lefties think. i support an expanded medical safety net
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Kepler1649c
@Kepler1649c when I say ROI I mean benefits to the commons. Not talking about gov programs that run profits. I wish trump had indeed done the infrastructure program.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Kepler1649c and I tend to agree that investment in green tech R&D is good in theory, but I fear govt has lost the ability to effectively fund moonshots like this. i'm reminded of the cancer effort in the 80s-90s that didn't provide much ROI. gone are the days of NASA and Manhattan Project
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Kepler1649c
@Kepler1649c I'm generally in favor of your concept, but not necessarily the wealth tax. i don't think it's a very effective tax. try something broad based like VAT
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Kepler1649c i'm willing to accept that a monopsony buyer can negotiate better drug prices than a heterogenous insurance market. that's not really my concern; the US does something like 60% of total pharmaceutical R&D. as I mentioned, pharma is already in terminal decline.
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c this would make sense if we were seeing stagflation. but we aren't. so what gives? why aren't the banks relending those 0% loans to to useful investments? the explanation that makes sense to me is that the natural rate of interest has dropped, independent of the fed funds rate
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ne0agent1c also as a basic gut check, the funds rates are different across different regions of the world with different monetary policies ... and yet this effect seems omni present
· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal @andrewkykim not just Institution building, but also just BUILDING in general. Neoliberalism gets blamed for a lot of stupid things, but regarding the crime of offshoring industrial capacity, verdict is guilty
4 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
@HaroldValentine not everything is rosy! We have to deal with shortcomings as well as strengths
@IRHotTakes Japan’s is good because they discovered corporate minimalism before it was cool
44 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @drethelin
@drethelin was disappointed when my facebook interview involved no drinking games
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @mookjuice
@mookjuice You ever read Animal Farm? When they cart off the old horse to make leather?
pmarca is now saying what peter thiel has been saying for a decade
80 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @monke_io
@pupperio I think it’s a fine slogan tbh ... you have to admit that there’s some epistemic uncertainty re: if an embryo carries the full moral weight of a human. Which week does it gain that status? So, faced with uncertainty, the claim is that that moral decision should go to the mother
who here /neomercantilism/
2 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein teleology is also pretty heavy in AI/ML, for obvious reasons its hard not to give lifeforce to things with objective functions
2 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein formal papers are better about this, being careful not to insinuate too much about the agent's purported intelligence, but the everyday language of RL researchers is pretty teleological. "The agent wants x". "The agent will just do y if we don't tell it z".
2 ♥ · x.com →
@disconcerta there's a very clear delineation between self-help books targeted at men ("How to Win Friends", "Rich Dad Poor Dad") vs the ones aimed at women (the TED circuit)
When people say multi-payer healthcare billing is fundamentally incapable of being efficient due to complexity:
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Honestly there should be no level of price complexity that's untenable in the information age. In a good world we’d have the insurance companies’ computers doing instant negotiations and pricing with the hospital’s computers and determining a best fit.
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @RyanDavidReece
@RyanDavidReece @litgenstein this particular blog post is talking about a second order learner ... an agent learning to optimize. the agent is tasked with finding the global minimum of fns. I think there's a good argument for it being teleological. it becomes clearer with less abstract learning tasks
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
there's a lack of will, and a total lack of new entrants into either market (health insurance or medial providers). These industries are stale and evanescent. it's why VCs never invest in healthcare companies. and I'd wager it's due to regulatory complexity
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @powerbottomdad1
@powerbottomdad1 every company tries to get as much as they can? not sure what you mean. with multiple payers and multiple providers, there's always a market price
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if even *commercial spaceflight*, the worst industry in the world, proved capable of renewed energy and innovation in the 2000s, it's hard to see why healthcare with its leviathan profits lags so far behind. Kaiser Permanente seems to me the only group still innovating
1 ♥ · x.com →
@lordkeynes42 both of these groups you mentioned are 40 years old ... not much dynamism. care to link me to something specific they've innovated on?
the world if Theranos' blood test actually worked
8 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
@StephenBuell2 In many cases, this is a real factor. For example, there are quite a few insulin biosimilars. Most doctors get lobbied to prescribe the newest formulations, which are maybe 10% better than the last, but cost 1000% more. Leading to all the headlines about insulin
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@StephenBuell2 What if, instead of nationalizing healthcare, you just find a way to incent doctors to prescribe cheaper analogs?
· ↳ reply to @techsasbro
@ne0agent1c There were some plans put out that prescribed shutdown-reopening cycles triggered by %ventilator capacity thresholds ... and it looks like that’s happening without any coordination
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Demagogues_Bane @jkfecke “White privilege” is a snooty-sounding woke concept, that’s a real phenomenon but not very compelling. “White supremacy” is something everybody understands. Evokes Klan hoods and slavery
· ↳ reply to @BrickOverton
@efficient_tax yea the negative life expectancy growth in the US is idiosyncratic with our obesity and drug problems, but the overall drop in lifespan growth across the developed world means we've hit a plateau
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot The dollar is king .... But also, US blue chip equities. Uncle Sam is never letting a company fail ever again
10 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
wage growth is at generational lows, and it’s not to do with inequality. The MEAN wage growth is down, meaning stagnation. 12/
7 ♥ · x.com →
@dhivehiscript it’s an aggregate result, so I don’t know about the various sub fields
who else burning drums full of gasoline to own the libs
11 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Saddam was ahead of the curve
6 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
The price of a specific contract for oil futures you’ve never heard of before is negative and this means *checks notes* the imminent collapse of everything I don’t like
9 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
“DeepMind is just throwing massive compute at difficult AI problems!” the critics yell, with their 100 trillion neural connections
389 ♥ · 34 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @agraybee
@agraybee @SansuTheCat I don’t think this is totally true. Even if you only sink waist deep, the pressure can turn your legs to mush (or at least cut off your blood circulation) and good luck finding your way out w all that shock and pain.
5 ♥ · x.com →
broke: rationalist lit woke: smart fiction whose characters are rational without needing to invoke Bayes or game theory 3 times a paragraph
9 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
game of thrones is the best rationalist lit
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
just a random sampling of the A's: - internet satellites - hardtech databases - anti aging - futuristic produce preservatives - deepmaps for AVs
@WhatIf4267 >the year is 20xx >find peter Thiel’s seastead island >sneak some bats onto seastead >claim it a sovereign territory of the United States >mfw libertarians rekt
Kim Jong Un is alive and well, katy tur spreading fake news. Screenshot this
8 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah but like what does he even mean tho ... there’s maybe a small handful of elite hedge fund managers that made a billion dollars like JK Rowling did
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @JoshuaOgundu
@JoshuaOgundu @aquariusacquah but to make a billion dollars? there’s something 100 of them in tech, which is not a lot all things considered. maybe you don’t have to be brilliant but it’s more strenuous than inheriting a cheese empire or something like all the other billionaires do
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah also if u expand creative arts to film or music all of a sudden there are a lot of very rich creatives. Kevin’s complaint is very specifically “why aren’t journalists making fat stacks”
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah thats also why i grudgingly like peter thiel, for embracing the fact that the tech industry hasn't actually changed that many industries and that the VCs are pretty self-congratulatory
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aquariusacquah the virgin "software is eating the world" vs. the chad "we were promised flying cars"
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah in what ways do you think China has surpassed SV? seems to me they haven't really gotten past the copycat stage
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah i think hes going for the chaos monkey approach now ... fk enough shit up that we're forced to rebuild better institutions
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah payments it seems is a political issue and not a technological one ... the US is too beholden to the credit card companies to really go full cashless. agree on manufacturing
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah i think its almost certainly gonna be Tesla. the AI advantage of the US is huge. I'll be impressed with china when they manage to build a trillion dollar technology that's not copied from the US equivalent, but maybe its too late by then
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @rkorny
@rkorny @BishopFromArk @visakanv @Austen If you’ve listened to him actually talk about Netscape’s origins he speaks about DARPA very fondly. Both their strengths and limitations. DARPA grant is what initially got his project going
2 ♥ · x.com →
the giant baby demands Tribute
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @SimRiyat
@SimRiyat @Noahpinion some nytimes tech reported cited it as an industry failure, without realizing his chosen example says more about him and his company than the Valley
2 ♥ · x.com →
summoning circle, hope this works 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯 @AOCummies 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯 🕯
48 ♥ · 5 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i will be feeding virgins to the Volcano tonight to assuage the gods into giving him back
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
specifically thicc latinas
6 ♥ · x.com →
When Snapchat came out with the VR hotdog, there was a day long war room at Instagram to brainstorm a counter attack lmao
23 ♥ · x.com →
every day that passes I understand better and better what he meant by this
10 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion if we had the state capacity to do robin’s harebrained scheme we wouldve had the capacity to just do test and trace
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen it would be even worse without the unions lol, from an economic standpoint from a political standpoint the teachers unions lobby against school choice and decrease teacher wages that way
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen I’m not sure what you’re trying to argue rn tho. Because I’ve seen you simultaneously claim in the past few tweets that (1) unions don’t work and that they don’t raise wages (2) they do raise wages and this causes complacency and corruption
1 ♥ · x.com →
@StephenBuell2 @woke8yearold “writing code” is a reduction of what’s actually going on; software engineering. Steering oceans of data across the globe. Basically requires the same mindset as any engineering task
1 ♥ · x.com →
@StephenBuell2 @woke8yearold I mean your comment is just that most ppls work is specialized which is tautological ... what op is saying is that learning things quickly by googling is a learned skill
@traditionrevolt basically all teleological morality leads to cruel and uncomfortable conclusions like this. Highly recommend short story “Hell is the Absence of God” - ted chiang
@traditionrevolt I think u can though. If you stop interpreting the chaos of life as deities implementing good and evil, and more as random noise everything starts making a lot more sense. No more questions of innocents suffering and whether they deserved it
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@traditionrevolt I particularly like the solutions of the polytheistic ancients who saw the gods as capricious forces of nature, doing what they could because they can. Man vs Nature much easier to frame that way
@traditionrevolt Regardless of what Plato said, it’s hard to read the Iliad or Odyssey without coming to view the deities of Olympus as mercurial creatures, quick to anger and act selfishly
@traditionrevolt not saying that the Greeks hated their gods, but if you read Hesiod he talks about the golden age in which Mankind lived under the Titans, before their fall to Zeus and the gods of Olympus. Prometheus, an enemy of Zeus, is considered a savior and champion of mankind
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@traditionrevolt interestly Prometheus plays the part of the Serpent, but the Greeks consider him a hero rather than a villain.
“The reason Milton wrote in fetters when he wrote of Angels & God, and at liberty when of Devils & Hell, is because he was a true Poet and of the Devil's party without knowing it.”
1 ♥ · x.com →
@traditionrevolt in Prometheus Bound especially, Zeus is a very clear villain, someone who plots to erase the race of Man from the world, whereas Prometheus is life-bringer, champion of mankind. They reconcile at the end of the trilogy, but it's hard to say why ... only the first play survives
Oh, you think Online is your ally. But you merely adopted the Online; I was born in it, moulded by it. I didn't see the Outdoors until I was already a man, by then it was nothing to me but BLINDING!
20 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
You’re operating on assumptions that are no longer valid bro? That’s pretty cringe
41 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
Biden is nothing more than the decaying husk of a dying order ... he's gonna win and it'll feel safe briefly but it's a last hurrah. Nobody at the level of presidential politics has yet managed to present a vision for the future that's worth buying into
19 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @kelp_feeder
@hu__cares I’m feeling blackpilled and I’ll make all the grand pronouncements I want
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy did you see the last Fox News poll in mi/Wisconsin
4 ♥ · x.com →
@DukakisDude If you enjoy a cringe book, you immediately lose all your followers. Sorry I don’t make the rules
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr buttcoin time
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
blackpilled again 13/
10 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @AlecStapp
@AlecStapp but there’s a larger pie right? I suspect niche eCommerce sites like wayfair are taking off
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy @man_ditch A vote is a vote no matter how furiously you tick the checkbox. And right now there are millions of suburban wine moms fueled with burning rage wanting to remove trump from office
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy @man_ditch yeah. Americans are a fundamentally experimentalist people. They are a concentration of all the people across the world who are open to new experiences. Hopefully we’ve learned from the trump experiment and wrapped this thing up
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Bluexiteer just a whole number of political and economic indicators going awry
@Bluexiteer i'm not a leftist btw. if anything I'm center right on econ. but the right-left politics paradigm is broken; its all about these tiresome culture wars now. and nobody has yet shown us a way out
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
very cool subplot: since the speed of light in vacuum is something like 50% higher than speed of light in fiber optic, this opens up new opportunities for HFT arbitrage. Starlink will be the fastest path between FTSE and NYSE. Can make a lot of money this way.
12 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
When I encounter a dude my age who isn't irony poisoned and manages to express genuine emotions I am immediately Mad and Suspicious …
47 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
@mazuretsky yeah so vacuum is 47% faster than than fiber unless i'm going insane c_fiber = c_vacuum / 1.47 c_vacuum/c_fiber = 1.47 = 47% faster
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Imperial_Eagle2
@Imperial_Eagle2 imo Rubio is just an empty suit that goes where the wind is blowing. He 'leads from behind'. I liked Mayor Pete but his character archetype is fundamentally unacceptable to americans (i.e. tryhard nerd). the strength of obama was his comeback story and his underdog narrative.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Imperial_Eagle2
@Imperial_Eagle2 in normal times, i would agree. But I don't think we're living in normal times. We need a conciliator and visionary to present an america future worth pursuing
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @HenryPorters
@HenryPorters I mostly agree, but where is the thing that comes next? What if it's worse than the current iteration?
@TrayBridgewater i'm sure you're a libertarian yourself. do you wish the police state would butt out of victimless crimes like marijuana? do you wish the regulatory state built by big corporations would butt out (within reason) and allow freer competition?
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@TrayBridgewater every American entertains a libertarian flair. some people just go further
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Dr_EPIC69
@xcoochiemuncher @TrayBridgewater some would, many wouldn't. i'm talking about civil libertarians yeah take what bernie sanders has said about "socialism for the wealthy and capitalism for the poor". libertarians broadly agree with that sentiment. most of them hate the moral hazards created by bailouts
1 ♥ · x.com →
@JustWantToGrill @TrayBridgewater i mean idk we can shuffle words around all we want, but to me the concept of "libertarian" just equals a desire for less government interference. not necessarily zero. there is a lot that http://reason.com and leftists can agree on
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@LittleKeegs0 if you're anywhere in the bottom half of the pol compass someone could accurately call you libertarian
my latino friend: *casually says jajajajaj in group chat* me, after a lifetime of playing online games:
24 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
im gonna have a break down if I ever have to see the Masterclass commercial w Malcolm gladwell again
21 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot we’re at the edge of the world where the floating point precisions start breaking down
8 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
at this moment I’m sure there’s a vast network of food charities happily buying and moving as much cheap ass food as they can
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Tyler_The_Wise
@Tyler_The_Wise right and I’m sure that’s made potato prices negative in some places. which means a bunch of scrappy philanthropists are surely buying and shipping it to wherever it needs to go, until the soup kitchens are sick of potatoes
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Tyler_The_Wise there are cases where charitable soup kitchens get stuck with like a truck full of cucumbers or something. Then, they slowly go bad because no soup kitchen can dole out that many cucumbers at once
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NLRG_
@neolibreplygirl maybe but throwing away food vs eating it is not gonna help ppl elsewhere :/ if anything the argument should be to buy and cook less food to maybe lower the price of certain goods in the eighth decimal place
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
btw all you need to do is buy bitcoin and ur instantly a rationalist
2 ♥ · x.com →
High Frequency HODLer
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aquariusacquah if you're talking about endemic hunger & undernourishment i.e. subsaharan africa, honduras, I def agree. I'll gladly chip in more of my tax dollars to freight food to Africa. but this is a totally separate problem from americans not buying enough french fries
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aquariusacquah but there are fundamental limitations to how far this approach can go. are you going to give out so much food that you drive all the local smallholders bankrupt? what happens when all the local food production is gone and a new president cancels the food program
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah well, I'll agree that modern famines are political in origin and not due to resource shortage. i.e. Saudi blockade of Yemen, US inability to aid apparent adversary, situation in North Korea
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @nextarines
@nectarina12 why? She’s probably right. There’s lots of evidence that people transmit to each other by talking
7 ♥ · x.com →
@Cullen_OK @nectarina12 It seems more likely to me that she chose a very weird and unfortunate framing than that a smart lady like Meghan thinks compressive air vibrations can carry infection
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing imo his humor is pretty bad, it resembles family guy esque “cutaway” jokes Donald trump did x ..... *spins the joke wheel* ... that’s like when I did y ridiculous thing with z celebrity ... ya can’t do that americuh!
9 ♥ · x.com →
Tariff Chaos Monkey 🐒: At the beginning of every month, randomly pick a set of countries and a set of import goods from those countries to apply a 100% tariff on. Over time, will greatly enhance supply chain security and create a globalism robust to disaster events
78 ♥ · 9 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
no matter what the PR department of Google is trying to sell you, new business formation is at generational lows. Is it because the current set of companies have mastered business? Doubt it; I think govt has made it impossible for bad companies to die 14/
13 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
strangely enough liberals seem to love big companies as much as conservatives. Obama admin worked hard to save all the terrible banks in ‘08. If warren and the 🧦 got their way in hamstringing private equity, they’d remove the last great method of killing bad companies
7 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NLRG_
@neolibreplygirl Uber’s greatest strength is in converting consumers to libertarians. It’s a simple model; flout a terrible regulation, then act all surprised when Uncle Sam comes for you. Then gin up a bunch of support from the consumers who got a taste of what life is like on the other side
3 ♥ · x.com →
@mazuretsky why are they unnecessary? This isn’t autarky; it’s a reliance on global trade without an over reliance on specific countries
@burlinghoffras1 @fortenforge YouTube basically funnels views to a handful of high traffic corporate accounts, and HBO is one of the best at this. Several orders more people watch Jon Oliver on YT than do on HBO outlets
it's been interesting and sad to watch the incentives of Twitter warp the output of the Bad Econ Takes account. Their tweets debunking subtly wrong articles/tweets with detail and effort are always low engagement, so now they mostly just dunk on idiots
8 ♥ · x.com →
Are monks who took a vow of monastic silence allowed to text each other 🤔
13 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
where are the twitter Monkfluencers 🤔
7 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jmhorp
@jmhorp what are the factors leading to this? is it just years of job growth?
· ↳ reply to @jmhorp
@jmhorp wow, any reason why? SALT cap? is there a wealth growth breakdown between homeowners and renters?
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @lastplace1414
@lastplace1414 I don’t mind the dunking. It’s not mean or anything; he’s usually punching up. But I found the high detail tweets more valuable
2 ♥ · x.com →
@GilgameshNusku with a monopoly on this latency, you could make a potentially unbounded amount of money
1 ♥ · x.com →
the common benchmark tasks of ML form the evolutionary mechanism around which progress is created; variety in the model space proliferates, but the models that perform highest on the metric are more likely to be understood, modified, recombined and innovated by other researchers
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion cyberpunk did a very small good thing by popularizing the nighttime aesthetic of dense East Asian metropolises and not much else
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @geromi_
@jeremytrussell @eigenrobot One month is a parameter that could be shifted as needed to make sure the policy not easy to subvert. Can you keep stock for 6 months?
· ↳ reply to @SouthOfZero83
@SouthOfZero83 @nickarmstronggr @Noahpinion sure, congrats to will Gibson on predicting the internet cyberpunk still isn’t good where are the biotech cybernetic body mods? where are the high tech synthetic street drugs? where is even the neural lace that Gibson predicted
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@SouthOfZero83 @nickarmstronggr @Noahpinion perhaps it’s the Seinfeld effect at work, but GITS strikes me as babby’s first introspection + nice city scapes, Bladerunner is just straight up transparent metaphor + nice city scapes. Neuromancer is an absolute slog + nice cyberscapes
@AOCummies scientists expect us to believe that trees literally eat the air and sunlight and get that big smfh
10 ♥ · x.com →
tweeting that kim Jong Un was bad: -obvious -virtue signaling -boring tweeting that kim yo jong is hot: -spicy -diplomatic win -maybe senpai notices?
27 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ElskanTriumph
@ElskanTriumph I'm actually not a school utopian by any means. I think the current system is pretty good, considering all the constraints.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ElskanTriumph but the schooling system really hasn't gotten any major overhauls in the past 50 odd years, which makes me uncomfortable. The curriculums and the tools used to teach them have changed, but at an organizational level it all seems very similar.
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock only if technology and licensing reform don't solve these problems first education and healthcare really haven't had sector level overhaul in decades. it's short-sighted to point at the current system and think exploding costs are inevitable, instead of looking for solns
@init_dunc for everybody or for "gifted programs"? it seems HS features people dying of boredom and also people absolutely underwater buried under the courseload
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @kevinbaca
@kevinbaca say more? what specifically about the finnish system works better than ours
· ↳ reply to @GreySmithereens
@GreySmithereens there is increasing evidence that individual tutoring is one of the only interventions for underachieving students that actually works ... should definitely try and utilize this more, but i assume qualified tutors are resource constrained
1 ♥ · x.com →