@tszzl — page 12/103

2020-03-16 → 2020-03-24 · posts 5501–6000 of 51,350
· ↳ reply to @realjdburn
@realjdburnett these people can't even bring themselves to stop going out to the bars to save lives ... i am very bearish on their organizational ability to overthrow governments, guillotine the rich, etc. Even if history isn't over, most people have become complacent
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @realjdburn
@realjdburnett there will be some sort of realignment, but i'm not sure which direction it will be in. perhaps it'll be even more reactionary. theres unfortunately little evidence that people wise up after crises
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @realjdburn
@realjdburnett tbh that’s bad for Americans. When they rip off our drugs, they’re basically making us pay more.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@realjdburnett The drug company spent all that money in research and testing, whose costs will be passed down to us alone instead of globally.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ribaldette @realjdburnett They’ve mobilized 100,000s workers to drag every known corona patient into quarantine. They’re scanning every entrant into the country for symptoms. If there’s a new outbreak, it’ll be because of an asymptomatic foreign national.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @realjdburn
@realjdburnett @ribaldette I think there’s good reason to trust China on this. The most important being the WHO aid workers have toured China to double check the statistics they released. WHO still had access.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@realjdburnett @ribaldette Now I’m not confident China isn’t able to fool the WHO investigators, but their output statistics make sense with what we’ve seen in SKorea and Italy
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if Goldman Sachs is wrong this is a tradable error
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
A gut check on this. Why would China, an authoritarian state that only cares about output, trash its economy for something Goldman Sachs is insisting is a blip? It is clearly worse than this insinuation that it’ll only kill people marked for death anyway
4 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @neontaster
@neontaster The reality is yes, obviously. People have been using vaccines since before the FDA existed
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@neontaster This is why the FDA even has the emergency use authorization. there reaches a point where you have enough certainty that not deploying a crucial drug would be immoral. The price of additional certainty must be measured in lost lives
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @deathnography
@deathnography this is the total amount of money that came from all employees of each of these companies. Federal election finance law prohibits campaign contributions of more than $2800 a person Bernie's contributions looking thicc
5 ♥ · x.com →
5 minutes to hit the circuit breakers tomorrow morning
23 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah now that a lot of states are legalizing online gambling, I hope predictit changes fee structure and investment caps to something that allows for actual speculation and not just play money
an underrated story is that China seems to have reported their numbers more or less honestly. The statistics are in line with what we've seen in South Korea and Italy
26 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ne0liberal a fall in productivity growth has ppl calling for intervention
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz this crisis was clearly caused by blatant bureaucratic overreach and internal feuding between CDC and FDA. If you think this weakens any libertarian argument or distrust of government, you’re wildly uninformed
40 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz If you did the research, you’d know that the NSC committee on pandemic response was formed towards 2015, after H1N1, Zika, and Ebola. Then disbanded by Bolton in 2017. You expect me to believe this team with a 2 year lifespan was the critical piece of bureaucracy?
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz These organizations each individually have more funding than most Fortune 500 companies, thousands of staff, and they failed.
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz I’m not advocating for some sort of free market pandemic response. I’m saying have a little honestly here. The track record of US government is not inspiring confidence.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz Libertarianism means decentralizing and depowering single points of failure; had the FDA granted some of its powers to state level agencies, perhaps we could’ve reached some level of testing capacity before corona became a full blown pandemic.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz Blaming Trump for this without pointing to a causal pathway is a completely garbage argument. These agencies should be like immune system responses: completely unconscious and automated. They should work even if there’s no president at all. Trump didn’t fire anyone at CDC.
The Virgin Atlantic and the Chad Pacific
6 ♥ · x.com →
@AbolishMalarkey nah bc the chart ends before showing the full extent of the ‘08 damage
The SV skepticism of “experts” has swung too far in that direction. It’s clear that the relevant biopharma and epidemiology experts have been sounding the alarms for a long time now. None of them have the bully pulpit rn
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
imagine losing to joe "friendly grandpa" biden and thinking the problem was that bernie wasn't mean enough
7 ♥ · x.com →
@max_read their present and future lies in landowners
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah his campaign did a fair job of playing dirty even if bernie didn't get his hands wet. no, the real problem was that sanders completely failed to compromise and form coalitions with those who might be willing. he thought the Trump strategy would work on the left, but it didn't
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aquariusacquah if he had made serious advances to court liz warren's endorsement before super tuesday instead of having his surrogates sully her as a snake, it would be very close right now
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz @THOTCrime @ironically_edgy @ne0liberal climate change is a systems level phenomenon that most people accept on faith based on their party affiliation. the people on the left think that the world will end in 8 years whereas the people on the right think it's not an urgent issue. the reality is somewhere in the middle
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@koaleszenz @THOTCrime @ironically_edgy @ne0liberal being skeptical about a scientific consensus that you can't immediately explain to a child is good and based. OTOH i don't trust anyone who doesn't instinctually reject fortune tellers and astrology. you don't need complex maths to explain why they're wrong
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@koaleszenz @THOTCrime @ironically_edgy @ne0liberal btw I vote blue. my point is that the beliefsets of each side are a result of culture wars and influential special interests, and probably have little to do with the credulity or intelligence of the underlying population
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz @ironically_edgy @ne0liberal restrictive zoning is about protecting current landowners at the expense of those who want to move in from elsewhere and rent control is about protecting current tenants at the expense of those who want to move in from elsewhere. same pathology.
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz @ironically_edgy @ne0liberal yes and rent control is passing down a portion of the collected rent (in the economic sense) to the tenants who were lucky enough to be living there at the time. there is a reason why wealthy landlords in the bay fight for "below market rate housing" as part of any new zoning
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz you are strawmanning this guy. anyone who unironically calls themselves an ancap is a child.
@AOCummies “tyranny” My dude’s rapidly reading Animal Farm rn and trying to draw parallels
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@koaleszenz mj in particular is an egirl who’s found an underserved and ripe market so I’m proud of her :’) ideological views aside
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz @ThresherThe the usual argument is the opposite of this. underpricing a rare good due to price controls can lead to hoarding. the best solution is for the retailer itself to charge high prices instead of letting someone else buy its stock up and raising prices
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz @ThresherThe price controls must necessarily be paired with quantity controls, and even then you’ll run into issues. Limit 1 bag of tp per person, and I could just stand outside the store and buy TP from everybody
1 ♥ · x.com →
the obvious American solution to this is to employ coronavirus bounty hunters and put a bounty on the infected :) Drag them to a quarantine zone and collect your prize :)
12 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz @aaron_kinney i.e. the system has worked so well that it has basically tapped out all the low hanging fruit of pharmaceutical development. the price of finding an effective new small molecule drug trends towards infinity.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz @aaron_kinney we need to reform the system such that new paradigms and companies experimenting with biologics and genetics can create improvement in pharmaceutical and medical devices. this does not mean that competition is bad or that patents are flawed
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz @aaron_kinney im not continuing this convo bc we are not living in the same information environment. last thing I’ll say is that every single country freeloads off the American healthcare consumer and his contribution to healthcare R&D. we can’t do what others do
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@willj343 The field of biologics and genetic therapies are absolutely ripe but require a lot of capital to get off the ground. Companies like Gilead are leading the way
· ↳ reply to @ChrisCroy
@ChrisCroy @willj343 not to mention fragile. any politician with a vendetta will just gut this stuff. the reward cycles of politicians are far too short to sufficiently reward long term research.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ChrisCroy @willj343 my response to those Nobel prize winners who showed that markets underproduce research: democratic government underproduces research
broke: leave the borders open woke: close the borders bespoke: auction entrances to the United States and use the proceeds to fund corona efforts 😎
32 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@browserdotsys But more likely I think is that DeBlasio is much dumber than London Breed and it’s as simple as that.
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@browserdotsys But it’s a double edged sword. Maybe zerohedge starts a forsythia company and claims it’s the cure. Who knows. Still think banning is def the wrong move. Let people decide what to trust
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @balajis
@balajis there are hundreds of tools that already exist for this. If doctors wanted to use them, they would. What you really need is Anthony Fauci tweeting “join my discord server if ur a doctor lol”
8 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@balajis Or fb group with verification, or slack with official email account verification, etc
1 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies Discord is the move. Discord will help you transition to NEEThood. Soon you won’t even need that, and you’ll transcend this mortal realm
4 ♥ · x.com →
@flcnhvy The economics have fundamentally changed tho with the drop in oil prices
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @JonIsAwesomest
@JonIsAwesomest Here’s a good reason not to: trump cares about the stock prices. He uses them to measure how well he’s doing and what level of panic he should be in. Without them, our politicians are completely detached from reality.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JonIsAwesomest In general when the stonks go up it’s a good thing for average Americans. They’re tightly coupled but not equivalent.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
What happened to “only midwits are unconcerned” SMH
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Singapore is the closest thing there is to a benevolent dictatorship. It’s much easier governing an island of a few million than the United States
18 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @rsg
@rsg @ZafarAmin @mikekelly85 @elonmusk ya but what’s the average age of the spacex worker. He’s probably right, but it’s selfish. Condoning the spread is bad for the healthcare system
the annual budget of HHS subtracting Medicare is more than $100 billion. Plus $50 billion in emergency funds. These agencies have more cash flow than a few of the biggest fortune 500s combined and you think the problem is funding? https://x.com/NoahShachtman/status/1239716004122460166
14 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Desis4Pete
@Desis4Pete @RENOBOXER @Noahpinion True, Singapore is a very multifarious merchant city, but it is fundamentally easier to govern a small population than a large one. Things that work at Singapore scale will not work at US scale.
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Asians wear it because they believe it protects the user. There’s nothing like self interest to motivate people to wear masks. And it seems to drop R0 all on its own. My proposal is that we spread fake news in the US saying that masks will protect against covid
15 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Noahpinion They add up with the statistics we’ve seen from other countries
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@NeoLibBen Just type hello world, eat free food, and make 300k starting
3 ♥ · x.com →
@Randylad @eigenrobot I think at a certain level of bonedness Americans will finally develop a social immune system and start wearing masks
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Randylad @eigenrobot there’s always a tradeoff between certainty and time to completion, best to reason about it in a Bayesian way
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Randylad @eigenrobot X amount of additional certainty is worth how many extra lives lost etc., It’s a rough calculation in the real world but pretty much the only thing we can do
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @carlquintanilla
@carlquintanilla Exactly what day was that red mark? It’s not impressive if they knew in March. It’s impressive if they knew in early feb or January.
It has become abundantly clear throughout this crisis that journalists are the enemies
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah They bullied everyone sounding the alarms about the virus until the last minute, at which point they started bullying trump about not doing enough
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @thee_snek
@thee_snek this won’t get passed as it doesn’t appeal to the raison d'etre of government, i.e. hiring more bureaucrats
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @robbysoave
@robbysoave quarantine is temporary until we get mass testing in place. then, as @balajis has been saying, we start apportioning the world into “red zones” and “green zones”. If you live in a green zone, the quarantine is lifted.
6 ♥ · x.com →
midwits: think season 2,3 of west world are disappointing, think show has moved from substance to style topwits: knew season 1 was terrible, saw right thru the veil of high budget bottom tier scifi rigamarole
7 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Elarbolpine
@Elarbolpine doesn’t mean they don’t fear the cognitive dissonance. I didn’t say they’d go away
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @metorotem
@RotemEren was super hopeful about the pilot, lost most faith halfway into s1. then lost all remaining faith at the terrible finale
4 ♥ · x.com →
@theoaklandpanda @aquariusacquah @powerbottomdad1 rofl at “two wars”. Most generations before us had the draft. We’ve never lived in a more peaceful or productive time. I don’t believe for a second that our generation will bring about a revolution
The world if HIPAA was repealed
13 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @_Jason_Dean_
@_Jason_Dean_ low turnout is good for the Berners in the usual case, but by now it’s probably because most people have accepted results
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@_Jason_Dean_ jk I just mean the government, the powers that be , the FEC, etc
2 ♥ · x.com →
I always thought Bernie was a good man, but seeing him like this, seething, in absolute disbelief that the working class rejected him, refusing to accept his fate and quit regardless of damage to public health and the dem nominee ... makin me change my mind https://x.com/thedailybeast/status/1239876276799840256
99 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@WokeDon @ammar2001_ammar “Do you support free Medicare for all?” 100% yes “Do you support the government taking over health insurance, and ending your current plan?” 100% no
1 ♥ · x.com →
entirely worth drawing attention to the fact that the next global pandemic will also emerge from a wet market in China
29 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
nibbling on homeopathic quantities of adderall rn
14 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies need a kick to beat this quarantine depression
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion "biden is mostly coasting on name recognition and will soon lose" ~ noah, approx 2 months ago
68 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @DefinedPolitik
@DefinedPolitik yes because they lay dormant in animal population pools. correct me if i'm wrong but pretty sure Ebola reemerged from west african bushmeat.
1 ♥ · x.com →
expecting healthcare industry productivity to shoot up after we get done clearing all this red tape
14 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @femme_phememe
@femme_phememe @Wulfey_LA @Noahpinion Any candidate that runs will inevitably shift to the center when they’re in office; that’s the nature of politics . You can promise all kinds of things but governing requires compromise
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NLRG_
@neolibreplygirl seems like the way to do that would be talk to the Biden campaign, strike a deal, and drop out early and endorse
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @R00349
@trepur349 disagree, always thought he was an honorable man consumed by ideology
2 ♥ · x.com →
Recommend watching Contagion but also Godzilla (2016, Hideaki Anno) to get a picture of the bureaucratic nightmare that occurs when a government has to deal with an emergency
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @9756745645s
@kingdomakrillic Imho at this point you should maximize for humor and not for accuracy to dril. Lots of us like drilbot better than dril. Pls bring him back
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@kingdomakrillic He has a style all his own that we’ve come to love. Maybe this is just the intent of the curator I’m seeing, but idts
· ↳ reply to @9756745645s
@kingdomakrillic This is like trying to tickle oneself. Physically impossible. You’re the one doing all the dirty work, mining for tweets that you gauge to be funny or novel, so ofc it won’t make you laugh
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@kingdomakrillic Ofc if you don’t find it fun anymore, don’t feel obligated to continue. Just giving my thoughts as an audience member
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@neolibreplygirl in the 19th century they complained about land rents. in the 20th century they complained about dividends. in the 21st it’s share buybacks.
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen MBS is a loose cannon. It is time to bring freedom to the oil reserves of Saudi Arabia
only thing more virulent than coronavirus is the coronavirus egregore
34 ♥ · x.com →
Society if Ilhan Omar didn’t go on Chapo
13 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@cacameronGOP @sonyasupposedly Uncle Sam is basically saying, pay all your permanent staff wages, upkeep for assets, land rents for your global operations on 6 continents, but you will make $0
5 ♥ · x.com →
All you nonconformists and pathological contrarians are stuck in a strange attractor. just join the normies in an ideological basin, fools, you’ll be happier https://t.co/FeinYi7lS8
7 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @hdevalence
@hdevalence @sonyasupposedly @cacameronGOP “LONDON/HONG KONG (Reuters) - Many global companies from hotels and airlines to industrial houses are expected to have to foot the bill for disruptions caused by a new coronavirus in China, with epidemics usually excluded from insurance cover, experts said.”
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@hdevalence @sonyasupposedly @cacameronGOP insurance isn’t magic, whichever company was insuring the airlines would’ve just gone bust under a claim size this large. they purposefully exclude epidemics bc they know they can’t cover the damages
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @balajis
@balajis the UBI is just to cover ongoing financial basics, like rent
2 ♥ · x.com →
@similaralterity @mattparlmer only the Extremely Online know anything about pelosi’s role in this, most people will see trump as the face of the virus (if he doesn’t manage to deflect it to China)
Uber is definitely gonna go under
14 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies im literally crying imagining what could’ve been
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ChrisCroy for the last 10 years, startups have been enjoying a surfeit of eager capital and have been competing on price to capture growth markets. which is dope for consumers. in an environment where capital is scared, perhaps this is a play by cash-rich uber to force everyone else out
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Sharon_Kuruvila
@Sharon_Kuruvila the only reason this market clears at all is because of how much punishment they put med students through. 6-8 year postgrad training process, grueling hours, giant tuitions tends to discourage supply
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ChrisCroy
@ChrisCroy nah man, the global rate of return on capital is only falling, leading the capitalists to invest in more and more dubious opportunities. the fun has just started
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Sharon_Kuruvila
@Sharon_Kuruvila @NeoliberalFed i am hoping that with this crisis comes a mea culpa on all sorts of licensing problems that are limiting the medical workforce. the FDA is clearly tearing through years of built up rent seeking, so we can only hope other orgs follow
3 ♥ · x.com →
Why u always lyin
6 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
presenting in a team meeting pre-quarantine: - boring - no one is paying attention presenting in a team meeting in the age of corona:
23 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen Yeah I rushed to blame them for this in the beginning, but they’ve done fine. I wish he took it more seriously at an earlier stage though
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @BigBreakfastLob
@BigBreakfastLob I thought that there were airplane holding companies that buy the boeings and rent them to the airliners tho. Shouldn’t those guys keep purchasing?
OMG! My best friend is a doctor in Seattle/NYC/Lombardy and he is saying the Earth has opened and swallowed his hospital whole! Not good! 1/7928
30 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
where is the onlyfans stock. I want to pour my entire wealth into it rn
30 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
Anyone have a realistic scenario of what happens if there are no bailouts for airlines, hotels, casinos, etc?
11 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@neolibureaucrat does the math on this check out on this though? are the banks really exposed enough to all go bust? suppose they didn't go bust, and then repossessed all the assets 1-2 years down the line after the dust settles. what then?
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@neolibureaucrat and what is even the point of capitalism if investors and bankers aren't exposed to systemic sector-wide risk like this? feels like every time we do bailouts we're adding to the fragility of our own system
4 ♥ · x.com →
elon seems to not be understanding that the whole red zone decline he's pointing to is incomplete results -- there's a lag between testing and reporting to the relevant agencies. If you remove the red zone there's no evidence of declining cases at all. https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1240483865593917441
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Sharon_Kuruvila
@Sharon_Kuruvila Can AI have souls and if not then are they lesser creatures in Christianity, don’t deserve the same natural rights etc
· ↳ reply to @Tyler_The_Wise
@Tyler_The_Wise what are the barriers to entry though? seems not huge. start renting a few planes and serve a few simple routes. maybe a bunch of local airlines popup?
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @hamandcheese
@hamandcheese it’s a nightmare if the blue collar jobs disappear, it would also be a nightmare if the white collar jobs disappeared
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @hamandcheese nah you’re right. I’m living currently in an area affected by corona and it’s not too bad. But it’ll get worse
1 ♥ · x.com →
nuclear hot take: Insider trading should be legal
26 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @neoavatara
@Neoavatara But they probably would’ve saved lives by exaggerating the risk and causing people to stay home
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen the commodity futures markets are explicitly designed to price in as much information is available in the whole world as possible. we should be doing the same thing for equities!
who else is gonna gamble their NEETbux on robinhood
16 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @HenryPorters
@HenryPorters @Tyler_The_Wise @StephenBuell2 I looked it up and it is part of the 'landing fee' package, charged per landing based on a variety of factors like airplane size, number of passengers, etc. Seems to me like the airports themselves should be getting hosed.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@HenryPorters @Tyler_The_Wise @StephenBuell2 And so long as the airports own the land they're on, you can just close unneeded gates, furlough personnel as needed and not go bankrupt. the whole system should having a scaling plan from n plane to k planes a day
1 ♥ · x.com →
@StephenBuell2 @NeoLibBen if what benji is saying is true the oil companies themselves have massive information advantage over all other traders, but they seem to function fine
· ↳ reply to @Hellachans
@Hellachans @NeoLibBen the SEC applies insider trading laws in a very arbitrary manner. definition of 'material non-public information' changes depending on the mood of the current SEC director
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@StephenBuell2 @NeoLibBen from what i understand about oil companies, they spend half their day actually extracting and shipping oil and the other half trading oil futures
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@StephenBuell2 @NeoLibBen even inside a public company, there are vast information asymmetries. ground level employees may have tidbits of tradeable info on things that even execs don't understand yet. I don't see it as a problem that execs can make decisions that move share prices
· ↳ reply to @McQuinTrix
@McQuinTrix most executives are not allowed to short the stock of a company they work at, for obvious reasons. leads to bad incentives.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@McQuinTrix and the buying and selling behavior of execs and large shareholders is already public info. they can and do trade on non public info, almost by necessity tbh
2 ♥ · x.com →
@StephenBuell2 @NeoLibBen but how much would the general equilibrium bounceback be? my thought is that retail investors are always trading against institutions that are far more information rich than they are. for example, i'm a tesla HODLer and i'm sure there's some guy at GS ...
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@StephenBuell2 @NeoLibBen ... who had a billion dollar short pos. based on detailed VIN number analysis and satellite imagery and shit. we trade anyway. not even insiders can predict how their firm is gonna fare in the long run. it's anybody's game. it would discourage trading around info release events
· ↳ reply to @RomanRoads27
@RomanRoads27 they can already do this. notice they can own stock from before they gain power and pass legislation that can shore up the price of that stock. dick Cheney and Halliburton
· ↳ reply to @RomanRoads27
@RomanRoads27 Government officials should have their entire holdings placed in a blind trust anyway. You shouldn’t be able to play both games at once.
7 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
I regret to inform you that insider trading is actually Bad
16 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @hamandcheese
@hamandcheese I would bet that congress gets material nonpublic information in these situations. Spies in the CCP and such
1 ♥ · x.com →
a ratio for the history books
14 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @hamandcheese
@hamandcheese Still nonpublic info. If a company insider gives you a sales estimate based on partial info that they’re not 100% sure about, it would probably be prosecutable
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@nectarina12 Biden beats sanders beats trump beats Biden Absolute brain worms
· ↳ reply to @incondrulity
@Human9b6c432f this is true. Exponential growth elsewhere and resultant covid cases arriving in India could look like exponential spread in community
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot if only my entire knowledge of vaccine production didn’t come from the movie Contagion
3 ♥ · x.com →
Carefully watching the Madagascar news rn
22 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
@jomgy I don’t think he’s particular unlikeable, any more than most technocrat centrists. I think people hated him specifically because he was trying to “buy an election”
· ↳ reply to @SailorHaumea
@SailorHaumea @jomgy Let’s be abundantly honest that 0% of the primary electorate cares about any ties with China Bloomberg may have. Foreign policy is usually last on most people’s candidate wishlists
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @redsteeze
@redsteeze If it does flare up again, we should have enough testing and tracing capacity to isolate and quarantine all those cases next time around
3 ♥ · x.com →
still MADASF at the premed student who confidently told me corona would be no big deal in early Feb
25 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer how do we get propaganda inside the chinese media ecosystem? seems pretty impregnable. the tactics that russia used on facebook are not gonna work on wechat
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah but tbh the number of people saying “there’s only been 20 corona deaths and 200,000 flu deaths this year haha” are much more annoying so I’ll let the log scale people have it
3 ♥ · x.com →
2020: spent ripping through biotech regulation 2021: immortality pills, transhumans, Cronenberg horrors
45 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
woke: calling it Wuhan virus to own the CCP bespoke: calling it coronavirus to own the monarchists
27 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen no way this is true imo. why would notoriously authoritarian, numbers driven China shut down its entire economy and quarantine 800 mil for the flu? Anyway, South Korea has near universal testing (even testing asymptomatic) and the CFR hovers around 1%
9 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@NeoLibBen there's also evidence showing that a bunch of the asymptomatic people testing positive on PCTs may just be a fluke of tests that produce a lot of false positives
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @powerbottomdad1
@powerbottomdad1 @NeoLibBen yea assuming the tail-end of best case scenarios is bad when the potential downside is like 3 million deaths in America alone. Should assume worst and act on that until we have better data
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it occurs to me for some reason I switched right and left like a dumbass but I will not delete
7 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies I watch Veep and Community on a loop
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @You_Need_A_Lift
@You_Need_A_Lift Honestly in the real world having a “correct” narrative is generally useless. i.e. even if you or I had a perfect understanding of geopolitics, I doubt we could act on it
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@You_Need_A_Lift Having a large concentration of specialized and valuable knowledge, even with no ability to synthesize it, will often land you a well paid job in some bureaucracy
this is by far my favorite subplot of the corona crisis
61 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
@DukakisDude very strange. its like a puritannical religious order. sometimes i wonder if it’s a psop
9 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz this is a tbh nonsense premise, bc a “good distribution” of wealth is entirely based on how much inequality a person is willing to tolerate, varies from person to person based on their moral instincts etc.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@koaleszenz and this is evident bc even under the envelope of “welfare state”, you can have solutions that are anything from draconian and stingy to positively Nordic
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@koaleszenz better statement might be “markets successfully distribute wealth to x degree, but i prefer it distributed to y degree”
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz the criterion of “sufficient healthcare” or “sufficient shelter” changes all the time, people who are considered underinsured in the US are richer than most peasants in the rest of the world
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz while the Hong Kongers who lived in the Kowloon slums had shelter, you’d probably consider it a human rights violation if you saw it
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz pretty much everything about what you just said is subjective. let’s put it this way. let’s say it’s possible to save a life, but it requires mining a mineral on the moon. theoretically the resources exist to get this done, but we will not do so.
@DukakisDude i think quitting porn is probably good for some men, but i don’t know if the cultlike fervor of this sub is the best support group for it lol
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz You’ve stepped right in the doodoo. The real nature of insulin problems in the US is that most people can’t afford the BRAND NEW biosimilar formulation of insulin. You can buy cheap generic formulations of insulin for a dollar a dozen. It’s an arbitrary cutoff you’re making
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz Biting that bullet is fine. Just asking you to accept that it’s arbitrary and somewhat subjective. Nothing wrong with that.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz Technology rapidly changes , and with it, our arbitrary cutoffs for what consists a “basic human right” / “sufficient healthcare” change along with it.
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @koaleszenz Older types of insulin are nearly free, even in the US. Doctors rarely prescribe them because the newer drugs perform slightly better and we’re mostly rich enough to afford the price hike in America. + if they’re really that poor, they’ll be on Medicare
· ↳ reply to @monke_io
@pupperio @THOTCrime @koaleszenz The examples go on and on. There would be more biosimilars/generics of Humalog and other insulins that recently went off patent if the FDA didn’t make it mind numbingly hard
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz Nothing is free. Resource scarcity is real. It is very hard to produce insulin biologics. The point is competition brings it down to be affordable to most. We are getting off topic.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz I am not arguing for no welfare, merely for you to accept that the cutoff for what we now call a human right is somewhat arbitrary
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz again you're arguing with some imaginary ancap teenager. i would like a robust pandemic response from the government and private institutions and have them break as many civil liberties as needed to minimize damage tbh. mandatory quarantine, etc.
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @THOTCrime
@THOTCrime @pupperio @koaleszenz completely agree. for example why does a pharma patent last exactly 15 years, not 14, not 16? those sort of natural rights are somewhat arbitrary too.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ryxcommar while the "experts" were either lying or under informed the tech and tech adjacent twitter accts who know how to read the news have been right on everything in corona szn. but it would cause vox-liberals too much pain to admit it
10 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ryxcommar
@ryxcommar I'm not saying the epidemiologists weren't on top of this. They've clearly been sounding the alarms for months. But none of them had the bully pulpit. Of the people who had loudspeakers, only people like @balajis said the right things, even while our government lies to us on tv
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer @balajis truly incredible how the media narratives makes tectonic shifts based on culture war stuff with very little regard for the basic facts that we're all seeing. the liberal media and the conservative media have made multiple 180 turns
6 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@mattparlmer @balajis this whole narrative supply chain stuff has never been clearer to me than after this crisis
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ColinJMcAuliffe @ryxcommar @balajis and let's not forget the CDC has been gaslighting us about facemasks for months, and the WHO may as well be a chinese propaganda arm now. not inspiring much faith in experts
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the "trust experts and don't have an opinion" thing is disgusting on so many levels tbh. if you "believe in science" you should do the exact opposite thing that these people are advocating, which is to sit tight and let authorities figure it out
10 ♥ · x.com →
@similaralterity @balajis balaji was a literal professor of biostatistics but advertises himself as a tech/VC guy when opining on this stuff, which is why i love him
10 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
science =/= boring credentialism science =/= trust public institutions science =/= a body of knowledge science == systematized critical thinking
13 ♥ · x.com →
distrusting experts is a prerequisite for making any kind of meaningful impact lol
16 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if something is a consensus among experts it's by definition priced in
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @razibkhan
@razibkhan the fact that it hasn't happened for this long makes me bullish on temp/humidity theories abt corona
1 ♥ · x.com →
this account is hilarious b.c. her replies are entirely filled with very self-hating tech guy simps
8 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah yeah my account is too big. this shit will definitely get noticed. i should stop poasting tweets like this and empowering larger shitty accounts. hmm maybe i delete
@DaanVanDenHam2 ya lmao. if tech ppl are really the worst of your problems, you don't have problems
@DylMeisner Merkel’s longtime protégée will likely takeover, its nbd
1 ♥ · x.com →
having a normal one
21 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot I meant “definitely annualized”, not “define” but thx anyway 😎. 50% gdp drop non annualized doesn’t make sense imo, that’s like an end of world scenario
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @sonyasupposedly
@sonyasupposedly that’s fine for wartime, but wages will be depressed after this is all over if a lot of companies have failed
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@sonyasupposedly the other fear is that “no bailouts” in the US may mean that airlines move their companies to other countries that are more “friendly” to such failures
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot side note to the, uh, Great Plague is that he billed himself as a china hawk but he's been an incredible gift to chinese interests
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @nextarines
@nectarina12 this is a portent of politics 40 years from now when this actually will make it come true
3 ♥ · x.com →
@DylMeisner i actually loved them back when obama would do a standup routine. feel like shit just want him back xx
· ↳ reply to @martin509984
@martin509984 in the first few months of model 3 production, the part gaps were a bit large. quality was soon fixed
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock why exactly is this inefficient? lots of companies are seemingly ramping up mask production to respond to high prices
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock hmm but why isn’t their need level reflected in WTP (1) and how does government determine it (2)
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jibreeladonna
@jibreelriley not sure this adds up, you’re saying XYZ have bought up all the masks in the whole market for their “strategic reserve”? Why would they do this? Is this happening irl?
@WNeilrlw12 @jdcmedlock usually the masks and gowns are for the benefit of the employees. patients will get serviced either way, it's the poor ER resident that gets hosed
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@WNeilrlw12 @jdcmedlock but in general getting your ER staff sick is definitely not good for a hospital's bottom line so you'd probably see hospitals try very hard to get supplies for them
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@WNeilrlw12 @jdcmedlock in some cases administrators are forcing residents to work even if they have symptoms, which isn't good for patients or doctors
1 ♥ · x.com →
every article about mask shortages will bury the lede at the very bottom, waiting to mention the regulatory difficulty of getting an N95 equivalent approved
15 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
same thing with testing shortages and FDA
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tabongkima
@TabKim2 @KyleRic09273577 I guess Michael Burry was right. Basel III removed price discovery from the credit markets, and ETFs/index funds removed price discovery from the equity markets.
2 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Desis4Pete
@Desis4Pete Defense Production would be one way to cut right through the regulatory and engineering morass, yeah
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Desis4Pete but these reports usually list that it would take a few weeks to ramp up mask production at some facility, and then also say later that it would take twice or thrice as long to get them approved by the right regulators
· ↳ reply to @_Jason_Dean_
@_Jason_Dean_ because the United Nations is now an agency with good PR to launder narratives for the worst state actors
8 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
tRuSt eXpeRts
4 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot the way trump makes decisions is to say things and see how the markets react, which is honestly kind of based
2 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Sharon_Kuruvila
@Sharon_Kuruvila My guess is someone thought the Asians looked weird in masks / made them uncomfortable and thought this lie would totally own them
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot Was afraid of this but I think there is cause for hope. Respiratory viruses don’t do well in India’s climate (its gonna hit 40 C in a month), and the median age is like ~27.
5 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot Yeah I was really hoping we were gonna learn this a winter virus and flares out in the summer, but watching the case counts rise in SEA and India means we probably have to brace for the worst
3 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @lastplace1414
@lastplace1414 yeah i watched it late january and completely flipped out, then stopped short of buying a few puts. regretting that greatly now
1 ♥ · x.com →
"Desire is a machine, and the object of desire is another machine connected to it." deleuze predicted the generative adversarial network
12 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
broke: using theories of cognition to come up with neural networks woke: using neural networks to come up with theories of cognition
4 ♥ · x.com →
@neolibureaucrat Chinese room is a MEME. Nothing will convince me human cognition isn’t a Chinese room on some level. Observations and reactions
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock As the VATman I’m assuming you’re amenable to this ;)
4 ♥ · x.com →
the japanese data makes it uncomfortably clear that the easiest way to solve this is thru universal mask distribution
29 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@similaralterity Turns out all he was doing is getting these ventilators from China, via personal relationships. It’s good, but not as impressive
1 ♥ · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Let me tell you the good word about Sigmoids
12 ♥ · x.com →
@browserdotsys But it does look like a decline even outside the gray zone right?