@NicholasElodeon what we’ve learned in 2020 is that caucus results are not at all representative of the equivalent primary results
@mordroberon Doesn’t jibe with California politics, which is largely tax and spend liberals
1 ♥ · x.com →
@StephenBuell2 @djmicrobeads Average googler in the bay rolls up in joggers and a hoodie
1 ♥ · x.com →
@imillhiser The real reason: you’re probably both normies and it’s a normie book that’s commonly bought by people with your purchasing patterns
1 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 @ribaldette Lol I don’t know anything about her. Aight deleting
@Noahpinion “Take her seriously, not literally”
F off with this Noah
3 ♥ · x.com →
@LittleKeegs0 Because they’re awful grifters
https://x.com/agraybee/status/1235723430743478272
12 ♥ · x.com →
@_pem_pem Show us his other houses idiot
3 ♥ · x.com →
In electoral politics on the scale of the US, you have to tap into populist lowest common denominators to turn out voters. There are three kinds: xenophobia, class warfare, and “grown up in the room” west wing appeal. Technocrats really only have a shot with #3
13 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah the Ben Shapiro readers all went and voted trump so I’m not sure it really works. In general the “facts and logic” aesthetic isn’t strong enough
1 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah I don’t follow the shapiroverse very closely but he was super anti trump at first. You might be right
@pavanvan @RangerAragorn we basically stop caring as of Super Tuesday and move onto frying bigger fish
1 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies this is the formula for the Limitless pill
3 ♥ · x.com →
@JacksonKernion Poast ur robinhood
2 ♥ · x.com →
what should happen after this: neither of these people nor the news channel that they're on is ever taken seriously again
what will actually happen: MSNBC record profits, Brian Williams gets a raise https://x.com/BadEconTakes/status/1235810967746793472
mfw Kendrick drops a hot new functional programming language https://x.com/kendricklamar/status/1235631456019308545
@Noahpinion I am once again declaring the death of journalism
3 ♥ · x.com →
@martin509984 Follow ur dreams
Noah’s been wrong on pretty much every single one of his 2020 predictions and *still* doesn’t see the writing on the walls https://x.com/Noahpinion/status/1235807678359670787
(it’s because he’s too online)
11 ♥ · x.com →
@Robyn9124 At least my guy’s self aware
9 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock @aquariusacquah I think he’s basically in the process of adapting Pete’s plan; he’s already coopted the M4AWI branding
The brightest mind the tech media has to offer https://x.com/MikeIsaac/status/1235681616850112515
6 ♥ · x.com →
@ne0agent1c journalism is not having its finest hour
2 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah I gotta give it to mike, he’s def better than mims. I at least find him entertaining sometimes
1 ♥ · x.com →
Never forget the core purpose of Twitter: to cyberbully journalists until they delete their account
when the Last Journo, teary-eyed and miserable, deactivates their account, we all wait the requisite month to make sure it’s permanent. Then, smiling, our purpose fulfilled, we log off.
4 ♥ · x.com →
Warren tried very hard to utilize #3 (“I’ve got a plan!!”) but petered out for unknown reasons ...
2 ♥ · x.com →
@billpulec I think it is bc it doesn’t quite matter if they *are* a grown up so long as they seem like one
@baruch_alon @aquariusacquah yea but this is honestly pretty typical of journos lol. #SendJournosToGitmo
@camhasthoughts Bonus points for both
135 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock This sounds like accelerationism lol ... “inequality is good because it drives people to the left!”
@KyleRic09273577 @jdcmedlock Every Man A Shareholder
1 ♥ · x.com →
@MikeIsaac @celinehalioua Ok simp
@nilesh12412 He literally released his medical records
1 ♥ · x.com →
@ahardtospell Name some names Alex 😶
@NicholasElodeon @ahardtospell You say this but I think half the people in Neolib twitter were Bernie bros at one point (me and many others included)
15 ♥ · x.com →
2 ♥ · x.com →
you won’t have GRANDKIDS because you’ll be a CLIMATE INCEL if you don’t vote for OUR GUY https://x.com/sunrisemvmt/status/1236095054718144515
@uberfeminist The Return of Uber
2 ♥ · x.com →
this is why we need Bernie Sanders
3 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@CJSprigman @politicalmath When a candidate drops out of a race, it causes a step change in probabilities that’s not easy to make smooth and continuous. You might argue that ol Natey should start predicting drop outs, which is wildly tough
1 ♥ · x.com →
@CJSprigman @politicalmath I still do think it’s useful; based on the current results, we see that Biden is a few delegates up. It certainly doesn’t look like an insurmountable lead, but the 538 model thinks so; it’s a much smarter metric of who’s ahead than delegate count
1 ♥ · x.com →
@dril_gpt2 instant classic
20 ♥ · x.com →
@sumdepony @Noahpinion Yes it is unfortunate our politicians are unable to solve mortality
49 ♥ · x.com →
@sumdepony @Noahpinion Every side of a political debate thinks the other’s actions are wreaking terrible havoc on the world and causing more moral harm than they would be themselves. So where do you get off saying “people are dying, stop being flippant”? chill tf out
17 ♥ · x.com →
@sumdepony @Noahpinion So in your view, there are no difficult political questions are there? Just good and evil, right and wrong, powerful and powerless? We don’t even have enough common ground to have a discussion if that’s the case
10 ♥ · x.com →
@agraybee 99.9% of people who actually voted for Bernie in a primary will more than happily come home to Biden. I think the outspoken lunatics on this site mostly don’t vote
4 ♥ · x.com →
@agraybee Even the reported 10-20% of Bernie voters in 2016 who didn’t vote Hillary were probably anti Hillary diehards and not ideologues of any kind
1 ♥ · x.com →
@NeerajKA @nair_rohit98 They’re usually right, to some approximation
@_Rewhan @BadEconTakes please educate them
33 ♥ · x.com →
@ironically_edgy Mitt Romney was literally the architect of ObamaCare and also pro-choice,,,, delete this cringe
6 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies Find a corona quarantine ward and infect yourself
@lastplace1414 True, massive simp inflation
@noampomsky drone hunting would become a national pastime
@jdcmedlock @oblivionrecurs Same with pregnancy leave
1 ♥ · x.com →
“stole” is an interesting way to talk about the free choices of voters https://x.com/AsteadWH/status/1236323426052247552
@NicholasElodeon @trevlevtweets Counterpoint: they’re both great
2 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein @Neoglobaltarian @matchafrosting @BadEconTakes the more math you do the more sciencer it is
6 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies when the child consents tho
6 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein @matchafrosting @Neoglobaltarian @BadEconTakes I cannot tell who is being ironic in this thread
5 ♥ · x.com →
who is this and why have they blocked me
1 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah always surprised to hear the khive is real
1 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock many an environmentalist’s concerns are essentially quasi religious rather than self preservationary. something something original sin
8 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock lot of people I’ve spoken to find the idea of pairing fossil fuels with equivalent carbon capture disturbing
5 ♥ · x.com →
@Sharon_Kuruvila @jdcmedlock there is no future in which we reach carbon neutral by 2050 without gigaton scale carbon sequestration but it feels "wrong" to a lot of people, usually libs. like we haven't atoned for our polluting sins or something
6 ♥ · x.com →
@Sharon_Kuruvila @jdcmedlock even if we did have idealized nuclear reactors, we have a 'carbon debt' to take care of, not simply a 'carbon deficit'
2 ♥ · x.com →
there is definitely a Platonically *correct* level of interest in politics, and I passed it long ago
America👏Must👏Join👏The👏EU👏Cap&Trade👏Market
6 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen Apple handholds you through the whole thing, it’s nice
@RamblingGroyper @sallepierrelamy @pavanvan They are very close and warm with the kims. Go so far as to invite them to their kid’s birthday. “Dangerous vermin” is not even close to how they treat them
@AOCummies I am Becoming a globe twitter Mujahideen fighter.
3 ♥ · x.com →
@NickMeier21 I know you worked for him. I’m just saying this move is obvious and prudent from garlin. I met him once too, when he was still working for Detroit
@mattyglesias @jessesingal Because they are effective altruists and have stronger utilitarian convictions than average
1 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
*makes vigorous jerking off motion* https://x.com/schlaf/status/1236379538814316549
18 ♥ · x.com →
@koaleszenz his obvious intelligence and managerial competence. he was not a good orator but he was good at play acting as a good orator, which may be enough.
1 ♥ · x.com →
@JohnCarltonKing @koaleszenz Nobody is ready to be president, and I think experiment with intelligent outsiders is not a bad move at all
2 ♥ · x.com →
@koaleszenz @JohnCarltonKing I think the obsession with age and experience and “waiting your turn” in politics is very silly. In the private sector, 20 year olds manage multinational empires. age =/= competence
1 ♥ · x.com →
@koaleszenz @JohnCarltonKing it’s one of the key features of heavily bureaucratic institutions
I was LAUGHED AT in 2016 when I said Nate Silver lost Hillary the election. I’m glad my fringe and cringe theory is now hitting the mainstream https://x.com/tayforpay/status/1236319684376637440
20 ♥ · x.com →
@ironically_edgy Liz and her simps absolutely destroyed
@alexmschatz No but I blame him anyway
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Tyler_The_Wise the dynamics are different in 2 person vs n person races
1 ♥ · x.com →
shoutout to all my irl friends who still follow me lmao. Y’all braver than the troops
22 ♥ · x.com →
@Tyler_The_Wise In the primary, there are maybe an array of similar candidates to select from. You tactically choose which one to support. In the general, you’re likely to strongly prefer one candidate to the other. You’ll turnout to vote based on how much you think your vote is needed
1 ♥ · x.com →
@guacamolebio over or under prediction?
@eigenrobot strangely enough the best response comedically speaking is also "how did you find out"
35 ♥ · x.com →
the EU emissions trading system is the most mature response to climate change of any region in the world and leaves me impressed with Europe’s state capacity
10 ♥ · x.com →
hmmmmmm
@gopneolib @CapitalistGhoul Trump spent less than Hillary
@aliramzan000 tough but fair
@OldDreyfusard my online personality is a lot more obsessive
1 ♥ · x.com →
@bernybelvedere It’s absolutely concordant. You’ll see why when we have M4A and a new government drastically cuts coverage
8 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah @ZaidJilani @rmc031 @meaganmday people on this site use the term “grifter” very liberally
@aquariusacquah @ZaidJilani @rmc031 @meaganmday it wasn’t a losing campaign until very recently. If he had won, these people would’ve all been stars
@Sharon_Kuruvila rly struggled with this one
3 ♥ · x.com →
12 ♥ · x.com →
@Noahpinion The Econ 101 explanation to this would be to offer subsidies instead of price controls; you haven’t made some excellent counterintuitive point about markets in pandemic scenarios
7 ♥ · x.com →
I will never block people with slight ideological differences from me, because my only true belief is in engagement metrics
@ironically_edgy People enjoy this liberal self flagellation. This will only increase ur metrics
4 ♥ · x.com →
@Chris_arnade Coronavirus as financial transaction tax
2 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen @neolibreplygirl U C C. U C C. U C C.
4 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies Ok I’m not seeing the gallons of vodka
1 ♥ · x.com →
@onemajesticgoat @decunningham2 I hate the lord of the rings and it is because JRR Tolkien is a nimby
2 ♥ · x.com →
any honorable person who spends time publicly predicting the future should be putting their money where their mouth is
a lot of pundits are going to spend tomorrow talking about how they knew this downturn would happen and how this is obvious based on their political views, but will not see $1 of upside since they haven’t put their money where their mouth is
@NateSilver538 @AlexParkerDC poast predictit portfolio nate
7 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen @neolibreplygirl Join us, Ben
https://www.niskanencenter.org/could-we-afford-universal-catastrophic-health-coverage/
4 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen @neolibreplygirl essentially last dollar vs first dollar health coverage
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion Is that why Obama’s approval rating among Dems is 99%
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion “ Among potential Democratic primary voters, a 2017 Pew Research Center poll found that Obama's approval rating stood at 95%. A 2018 CNN poll put his favorable rating among self-identified Democrats at 97%”
https://www.cnn.com/2019/08/03/politics/democrats-on-obama-legacy/index.html
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion Sorry I didn’t remember the PRECISE statistic
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion Whatever you say bro, but there was and is no “immense disillusionment” of the Obama order, you’ve made that up in your head and it completely failed to materialize at the polls
1 ♥ · x.com →
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion Your guy is getting brutally slaughtered in the primary because his opponent has the slightest connection to the star power of Obama
1 ♥ · x.com →
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion My politics are Obama-Clinton moderate
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion But forget about me. The point is you’ve said some demonstrably wrong things about dems being fed up with Obama
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion If Obama ran again he’d carry under 45s in a landslide (not like they vote anyway). You’re mistaking ideology for cult of personality.
@gag0rtion @Iluvatar_9 @TheGreatDunbar @RyanMcC1 @Erin_Ron12 @sumdepony @utledningen @Noahpinion Bernie’s a good talker and an inspiring figure. Young voters love that shit over experience and loyalty. But it’s a mistake to think they’re super allegiant to Democratic socialism or whatever
I will never forget this absolute legend of a newspaper front page
@neolibureaucrat explanations made ex post facto are always sus
Anthony Wiener’s dick pics elected Donald Trump
6 ♥ · x.com →
@man_ditch top 10 most important dicks in American history
2 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard yeah it’s absolutely time to start calling myself a liberal
1 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 this dude is an IYI if there ever was one
1 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 I don’t know anything about his background but he spends too much of his time simping communist chicks for me to take him seriously
3 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 The bar for being a “public intellectual” on twitter is low. Say “climate change is real” a few times, debunk some deepak chopra esque quantum woo nonsense that any idiot could see through, and you’re in
2 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 *makes vigorous jerking off motion*
3 ♥ · x.com →
I’d be willing to bet a lot of money that we’re nowhere near the end of Moore’s law. People have been saying shit like this for the last 40 years https://x.com/techreview/status/1236922085311762432
5 ♥ · x.com →
love how all of these post mortem’s prescriptions are for the left to concede all distinguishing points and just become liberals https://x.com/nytopinion/status/1236924866986729472
3 ♥ · x.com →
@jachaseyoung Sorry I’m not familiar, what’s a reversible computer?
1 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein @InertialObservr my undergrad was in physics boss
@litgenstein @InertialObservr I don’t think we’ve spoken before you may have confused me with someone else? I did physics at UMich
2 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein @InertialObservr Hardly relevant tho. I don’t know the specifics of what you and daan were on about, I’m just poking fun
@InertialObservr @litgenstein hey man my tris are impeccable
@InertialObservr @litgenstein it is hard work
@OldDreyfusard dril’s grammar and syntax are slowly getting better and his humor slowly getting worse
10 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard soon he will converge into an average New York comedy writer
11 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard this is almost a serious post
https://x.com/dril/status/1235108800744411137?s=20
10 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard he wrote a joke about joe Biden and then added a single typographic error as an after thought
6 ♥ · x.com →
@jtlevy I think a “once in a century pandemic” can safely classify as black swan.
2 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 Most of this seems legit to me dude ... I don’t think he’s making up his qualifications
@DaanVanDenHam2 I admit this is an improbable number of classes to have taught, but not unheard of for someone who’s been in academia for a while. Usually people find a class they like and teach it for a few semesters straight. but the level of control he’s implying he has over the curricula ...
@DaanVanDenHam2 DM me?
1 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@strang3lo0P @litgenstein @InertialObservr I don’t actually speak Hindi. My bio says aakasha ganga because I understand the Sanskrit root and thought it was a beautiful translation of “Milky Way”. Many languages render the name for our galaxy as “sky river”
2 ♥ · x.com →
@johnwcbragg @jtlevy What’s an example of a black swan event then?
@johnwcbragg @jtlevy terrorist attacks *happen*
@Cullen_OK we mus extrapolate this conclusion to the nth degree
@DavidChiu @SonjaTrauss @sliccardo @MayorOfLA @LondonBreed @LibbySchaaf @RobertGarciaLB @MichaelDTubbs @Mayor_Steinberg @mayorpulido @Mayor_Bailey build housing you moron
@webdevMason essentially every tech journalist is a prep school socialist A hole who’s never created an ounce of value in their life. the sooner peter thiel starts his own media company the better
14 ♥ · x.com →
@webdevMason they’re all notoriously thin skinned af too. Taylor Lorenz blocked me for simply pointing out that there are indeed some very powerful women in tech
1 ♥ · x.com →
@marathiMaharaja wait isn’t this good for u tho
1 ♥ · x.com →
@marathiMaharaja your calls would’ve been worthless as of today right?
1 ♥ · x.com →
@NickMeier21 $VTI
a popular view, but companies are well aware of overexposure to single countries and have spent the last 20 years trying to derisk their Chinese supply chains https://x.com/softminus/status/1236813380557537280
@binarybits @antoniogm Tech ranks far above other industries for public trust
@marathiMaharaja RIP
@binarybits @antoniogm Tell Antonio to unblock me 🥺
@NicholasElodeon orange man .... bad?
MSNBC rn trying to triangulate if Trump has corona
18 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock all the billionaires I respect literally do believe in the dignity of work and are giving their wealth away so their kids can make their own lives
2 ♥ · x.com →
@_Jason_Dean_ My god
3 ♥ · x.com →
@_Jason_Dean_ How are you not rich af
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Human9b6c432f 2018 trade war stuff here:
https://www.ft.com/content/03e4f016-aa9a-11e8-94bd-cba20d67390c
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Human9b6c432f i remember a podcast from 2010 where marc levinson (author of "The Box") was even then talking about how sino-american trade volume was not rising at previous levels due to the hedging of political risks
1 ♥ · x.com →
Nate Silver is adamant in gaslighting the prediction markets, but never forget that he was loling in summer 2019 that the markets were valuing Pete, Warren, and Yang highly, all of whom outlasted his favored picks (Harris and Booker)
we've had ASI for a long time. a stock market is a hive superintelligence: the aggregated mental contributions of a billion humans' processing power to calculate the share prices. even now, we struggle to tame the gods in an effort to have them serve humanity
*ASI = artificial superintelligence
1 ♥ · x.com →
the single biggest blow to the social democratic project is that elections are not as good at aggregating human computation as markets are. making elections as smart as markets is a problem every socdem should be working on
5 ♥ · x.com →
@HenryPorters explain why? haven't i just expressed the view that intelligent social collaboration is the most important variable for success?
.@maximlott have you ever drawn up a comparison chart to the 538 model and see how each fares? it would be more satisfying than the superforecasting study linked
https://www.electionbettingodds.com/TrackRecord.html
1 ♥ · x.com →
what always shocks me about teachers unions lobbying against school choice is that teachers would be the clear beneficiaries of voucher based charter programs. i suppose they have a competitive advantage against non union teachers? https://x.com/DeAngelisCorey/status/1236468546470895618
4 ♥ · x.com →
@maximlott gotta put old Natey in his place after all his prediction market snark
@HenryPorters wanting *smarter institutions* is different than wanting *smarter individuals*. i'm hinting at the hayekian knowledge problem of choosing the societal production function and then optimizing it
http://crookedtimber.org/2012/05/30/in-soviet-union-optimization-problem-solves-you/
@HenryPorters another example. i think that parliamentary democracies function better than ours: they have higher voter turnout, better coalition mechanics, and seem (imho) to come to smarter conclusions. this is a problem of institutional intelligence and not individual IQ.
@HenryPorters i am speaking to the power of markets to *aggregate* intelligence and enhance collaboration, not being an IQ cultist
@_vivalapanda i have serious doubts about his models as well tbh. i think it number-washes nate's punditry. but I still love that shit
@_vivalapanda the predictit price for trump was around the same on election morning as Nate’s model. Roughly 70%. But you’re right, I’ve made money using some of his predictions as well
@_vivalapanda i'm gonna try and do a numerical analysis on whether the betting markets have beat nate over past few few cycles. will get back to you on this
1 ♥ · x.com →
@bigcitydinosaur @LoicTheStoic @neo_globalist @thee_snek @ironically_edgy @NikkiHaleyfan apologize to richard friends. or anony moose will get u
3 ♥ · x.com →
@MarcDavidLoeb @Tyler_The_Wise @DukakisDude if we get a carbon trading system I will be ecstatic and is basically all I’m hoping for from government at this point. The bare minimum they need to do to keep the US on track. I’d like to see UCC or Obamacare expansion but who knows with this senate
@Tyler_The_Wise @MarcDavidLoeb @DukakisDude this is the actual *BARE* minimum that we’ve been gaslighted into accepting in the trump years. Hopefully we can do better than that tho
@MarcDavidLoeb @Tyler_The_Wise @DukakisDude We should basically copy paste the EU ETS system that’s finally stabilized after a long learning period, auction off carbon credits and deliver proceeds to citizens as carbon dividend. #1 policy goal
@jdcmedlock but consider that a crisis may actually grant less political capital than you may have thought
2 ♥ · x.com →
"Will Trump Get COVID-19?" - the greatest market in the history of PredictIt, locked by Rainbow Jeremy after 12,239 pages of heated debate,
@PredictIt @KelseyTuoc The Supreme Court is looking real friendly to online gambling, guys. Please remove the market ceilings and change the fee structure
Any socdem who likes cap and trade is my friend and ally
12 ♥ · x.com →
@browserdotsys idk i feel like this might be a “we found the boston bombers!!!” moment
@browserdotsys cursory googling brought up a photo of a high energy physics cohort at oxford that has a guy who kinda sorta looks like his pfp ... but still this is an insane number of classes for a grad instructor to teach
@browserdotsys but who even says shit like this if you don’t have something to prove https://x.com/tszzl/status/1236924337552269313?s=21 https://x.com/tszzl/status/1236924337552269313
1 ♥ · x.com →
@GoodOldBacHo @DaanVanDenHam2 What the hell
@GoodOldBacHo @DaanVanDenHam2 I really don’t want to believe that people on this site LARP their academic credentials, bc that’s just sad. Seems to be true though
1 ♥ · x.com →
@THOTCrime why do you say it’s better? both have benefits and drawbacks but emissions trading imo is better — you can have strict control over emissions allowances rather than playing around with the carbon price until you’ve got the elasticities figured out.
3 ♥ · x.com →
@THOTCrime Europe right now uses cap and trade, and so does california. And I agree, I wish Reagan had gone one step further
2 ♥ · x.com →
@NamithVorakkara @browserdotsys He hasn’t tweeted anything all day today which is sus since he seems Very Online
@THOTCrime cap and trade is equivalent in revenue collection as you can auction off the emissions credits to the highest bidders. No DWL and you can refund it as dividend.
@NamithVorakkara @browserdotsys waiting in angst for the unmasking and the meltdowns
@THOTCrime actually all emissions are taxed (since a company must buy a permit to emit carbon), and excess is *not allowed*. In reality, not allowed probably means taxed at a much higher rate.
@THOTCrime It’s a matter of using price vs quantity to come to the exact same effect. The benefit of emissions trading is that you can link up multiple cap and trade markets (US, EU) and start scouring the globe for the cheapest emissions to reduce
@THOTCrime You only connect if they do indeed have their own cap and trade, which Europe has at the moment: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union_Emission_Trading_Scheme
And rather than exporting pollution to the global south, we will be able to reduce pollution in those countries as it will be cheaper to reduce!
1 ♥ · x.com →
@dylanmatt this is exactly what the robots want you to think!
3 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 @GoodOldBacHo The weird thing about this is that twitter is a democratizing place ... it wants you to perform, regardless of your credentials. Doesn’t matter if you’re from Oxford or UCF, you just have to make Good Tweets. So why all the blatant lying? What’s his insecurity?
3 ♥ · x.com →
@mattyglesias You’ve been simping the chapos for months, here’s you’re just desserts.
3 ♥ · x.com →
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Randylad With this he will win 50 states
@AOCummies Whomst?
2 ♥ · x.com →
@_Jason_Dean_ Bernie’s been under rather than over performing his polls this time around
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Sharon_Kuruvila @opinion_left @DGisSERIOUS This will own reactionaries of all stripes and it’ll be a great time
@TheSneerReview I love it when he yells at voters honestly. Biden’s a tsundere.
@TheSneerReview but can you name a single time trump has been diplomatic to someone outside his camp? I agree with what you’re saying in principle but I don’t think it matters in practice
3 ♥ · x.com →
@ne0liberal @scottlincicome @causalinf holy shit. scott turned this thing around in the last 5 minutes. what the fuck
1 ♥ · x.com →
@SmartArseUSA close enough
@Sharon_Kuruvila the Venn diagram of weebs and the overly political is a circle
@DSA_Sankara @sebpaoli @Whitewomanhater @Trad_Roosevelt so self reliance is good when it's politically convenient for you
1 ♥ · x.com →
@tznkai @Sharon_Kuruvila "baka .... it's not like i want your vote or anything"
1 ♥ · x.com →
Screenshot this. If Biden wins Michigan by double digits, he’ll win the general
16 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@sebpaoli @neo_globalist @billpshort @NicholasElodeon @JohnGalvano @TheSneerReview @AOCummies @discourseloverr @maxdunat @TrentWTalley @what_ntarnation @RacistBernieBro @Based_Neocon @Ne0Liber4lShill @jordanmoore0929
6 ♥ · x.com →
@WilliamGrobman boilerplate stuff about bringing the party together and moving it forward etc
3 ♥ · x.com →
@PopulismUpdates Populism is dead :(
@colinmort You aren’t running for president, a position that’s essentially about full time oration
4 ♥ · x.com →
@colinmort I’m not saying he has dementia; he clearly doesn’t. My point is that I’d like my presidential candidate to have a preternatural poise and grace to their speech, like Obama did. Short of that, I’ll gladly take Biden
1 ♥ · x.com →
My guy’s celebrating because he can keep selling his books https://x.com/AnandWrites/status/1237550610670481414
12 ♥ · x.com →
Call me naive but I think the 2016 vs 2020 deltas have less to do with misogyny and more to do with the cumulative effect of years of GOP conspiracy theories about the Clinton’s
29 ♥ · x.com →
@UWEair We should also be able to win lawsuits by selecting a champion to defend us in single combat
2 ♥ · x.com →
And neither of these explanations support the inevitability of the left: Bernie lost ground everywhere after campaigning for 5 years straight.
5 ♥ · x.com →
@Robyn9124 Yeah there’s a delta between Bill and Hillary’s approval ratings that’s hard to explain
5 ♥ · x.com →
@Noahpinion @trekonomics there are explanations that link this lab without going so far as to claim bio weapons. for example, poor containment procedures
1 ♥ · x.com →
if joe biden doesn't thank Corn Pop in his inauguration speech i will cancel him
28 ♥ · x.com →
@SailorHaumea all the more reason. we must honor the dead
4 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah i am just seething because he gets paid like a 100 grand to give talks at google and has the absolute gall to complain about people like hillary
1 ♥ · x.com →
@billpshort WILL4PREZ
1 ♥ · x.com →
u bitches aren’t ready for when Obama starts campaigning full time like he’s running for president again
12 ♥ · x.com →
When and if humans settle Mars, men will pay to go, but we’ll have to pay women to go
9 ♥ · x.com →
@CliveDavies98 tbh it might be
@WalkerBragman Sir this is a Wendy’s
4 ♥ · x.com →
@mmcgrath42 It turns out socialists are bad at allocating capital
4 ♥ · x.com →
@JordanUhl lol rekt
35 ♥ · x.com →
.@JordanUhl literally ended up being dumber than the guy who drank his own piss
@TetraspaceAdmn contamination risk?
2 ♥ · x.com →
@electroweak @litgenstein and Sir Roger Penrose 😕
1 ♥ · x.com →
@litgenstein @electroweak he literally went on Joe Rogan and admitted to believing in quantum consciousness and panpsychism or whatever, and Joe Rogan had to tell him “uh that sounds like nonsense”. Absolutely surreal
2 ♥ · x.com →
@phyecon1 @litgenstein @electroweak “U.K. physicist Sir Roger Penrose is yet another supporter of panpsychism. Penrose in the 80's proposed that consciousness is present at the quantum level ..”
https://bigthink.com/philip-perry/the-universe-may-be-conscious-prominent-scientists-state
@GShippey45 @electroweak @litgenstein He seemed to invoke some quantum mysticism in saying that consciousness can’t be achieved without some sort of quantum interaction. He specifically claimed computers could never “think” like humans because of this. Terrible reasoning all around
3 ♥ · x.com →
@eigenrobot Hundreds of friends isn't cool, you know what's cool? Thousands of friends.
5 ♥ · x.com →
@TetraspaceAdmn this is lit
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/
1 ♥ · x.com →
curse those libertarians for making the FDA thorough and bureaucratic https://x.com/bp22/status/1237763575025930241
8 ♥ · x.com →
@NicholasElodeon CEO of my twitter page
2 ♥ · x.com →
This is a total meme. Them bitches will fall in line like I did in 2016. The media machine of the worlds top corporations will work its magic on them https://x.com/andersleehere/status/1237581876103008256
3 ♥ · x.com →
@Noahpinion this is an idiotic and dishonest conclusion
2 ♥ · x.com →
@cojobrien @DrewMeseck The second joke is he’ll surely pivot to the center to govern
1 ♥ · x.com →
who tf is this show for
6 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah I watch it and let my eyes glaze over sometimes
1 ♥ · x.com →
I’m starting to believe the Wuhan virus was manufactured in a bio safety lab with poor containment procedures
https://img-prod.tgcom24.mediaset.it/images/2020/02/16/114720192-5eb8307f-017c-4075-a697-348628da0204.pdf
14 ♥ · x.com →
@mattparlmer Career suicide for this guy https://timothyspringer.org/people/botao-xiao-phd
9 ♥ · x.com →
@homsiT @made_in_cosmos Human researchers are capable of ad hoc engineering superbugs that nature alone would never have been unlikely to generate
6 ♥ · x.com →
@eigenrobot Enormous glee
5 ♥ · x.com →
@stefan_arrr @mattparlmer @zerohedge Noah Smith had to delete his whole thread about this bc WrongThink
5 ♥ · x.com →
@KyleBogosian Bat to nonbat to human transmission
9 ♥ · x.com →
@agraybee Man you gotta learn what a question mark is
4 ♥ · x.com →
@guacamolebio @Noahpinion it's just a short speculatory paper but it says the second lab was directly involved with recombining SARS-cov to make it more dangerous. and they did indeed experiment with HIV chimeras
2 ♥ · x.com →
@guacamolebio @Noahpinion but yes the slightly less ambitious version of the conspiracy theory is that the lab spread a bat-isolated coronavirus to humans via improper care
2 ♥ · x.com →
shit why did @JordanUhl delete. i wanted the clout boost
29 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
i'm getting all excited knowing that jordan uhl scrolled down my TL after i insulted him so he could find something to dunk on
8 ♥ · x.com →
@GoatzR4Me yes i did. making jordan 10% madder means i have won a thousand victories
Still don’t get why the markets TURN OFF AT NIGHT like a badly designed government website. Oh the poor traders need to spend time with their family and sleep? Nonsense. There are no human traders anymore. The machines don’t sleep
40 ♥ · x.com →
LMFAO WHAT
Absolutely incredible. They’re just making decisions on the fly based on press anger https://x.com/elwasson/status/1237920099685842944
18 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock The policies he endorses are left by Nordic standards, but his aesthetic is far left by those same standards
11 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock https://x.com/dylanmatt/status/1229134997736611840?s=21 https://x.com/dylanmatt/status/1229134997736611840
4 ♥ · x.com →
@neolibureaucrat yeah I don’t understand how the S&P futures markets don’t even go 24 hours
@neolibureaucrat But MUH WEEKENDS
@AOCummies The only question now is: will the human race go extinct?
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Kysarcius @jdcmedlock Any democrat in rural Iowa is bound to be a bit weird
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Sharon_Kuruvila Pandemic 2 seeing absurd volume rn
1 ♥ · x.com →
Vote 4 Scott. Delong has spent too much time simping Liz (@ironically_edgy) and Liz(@ewarren) and has completely erased the goodwill he built by architecting NAFTA https://x.com/CNLiberalism/status/1237731003113902080
Behold the unveiling of my brand new line of financial products, the Toilet Paper Backed Securities
We regret to inform you we are having a liquidity crisis 💩
14 ♥ · x.com →
@mattparlmer the only thing worse than the MSM is the non MSM
1 ♥ · x.com →
@eigenrobot the little fuckers are Immune
2 ♥ · x.com →
Oh, you have a consistent ideology? That’s pretty cringe bro
@wannabegroncho we don’t want that Communist garbage
1 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@EzldeenK @AOCummies probably
@auderdy When you “up dopamine” what you get is a seizure
1 ♥ · x.com →
@NikkiHaleyfan Just when I think Richard’s lost his touch he drops a Nuclear hot 10 million degree take
7 ♥ · x.com →
@_Jason_Dean_ >yfw the testing crisis is due to the the slow FDA approval process
42 ♥ · x.com →
@PalmerLuckey Yeah, you’re right. What I meant was they’re checking twitter and sensing the winds. The Press are kind of obsolete middleware now
1 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@dril_gpt2 Man you should know you’re probably more critical of your bot than anyone else at this point. I thought it was better than ever
24 ♥ · x.com →
The greatest thing capitalism ever did was tame the socialists into creating patreons and meekly asking each other for income in ruthless content competition
@eigenrobot coronavirus is a chaos monkey. it forces institutions to delete years of rent seeking and get down the business of survival. Will make all systems more robust in the long run
3 ♥ · x.com →
Warren fucked up. To quote Machiavelli:
“A ruler will be respected when he is a genuine friend and a genuine enemy, that is, when he declares himself unambiguously for one side and against the other. This policy will always bring better results than neutrality.”
1 ♥ · x.com →
@AndrewYang Ah so you’re a hack too
24 ♥ · x.com →
@eigenrobot the butlerian jihad is coming, keep your eyes open robot
4 ♥ · x.com →
@inspireprag @ModLibChip for once in our lives
5 ♥ · x.com →
@tomfgoodwin believe it or not, the financial pain is a great analog/metric for human pain. that's why it's covered so much
1 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah anti populist
1 ♥ · x.com →
What is the decentralized response to this? Why do we have to rely on the executive?
13 ♥ · x.com →
@traditionrevolt wdym
@mattparlmer Muh digital gold
1 ♥ · x.com →
@mattparlmer @Sharon_Kuruvila The HK strategy involves aggressive testing, which is bottlenecked in our country by an FDA that’s slow to approve. Executive failure. Don’t know if we can follow that route
1 ♥ · x.com →
@powerbottomdad1 truu
@Sharon_Kuruvila @mattparlmer black market? lol
@traditionrevolt just another coordination problem to be solved :)
@AOCummies they just wanna mate with ur cells and have babies :)
2 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies a virus is a simp :)
2 ♥ · x.com →
This account will never come back. Classic case of overcritical creator. Perfect is the enemy of good!! https://x.com/dril_gpt2/status/1238166625209257984
42 ♥ · x.com →
@14thstreetblues Cuomo >>>> deBlasio
liquidity trap. Kroogman wyd https://x.com/donoteat02/status/1238159321457926152
5 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock positive externality should be subsidized! very simple stuff
11 ♥ · x.com →
Jeet, every era in history has been like this except worse https://x.com/HeerJeet/status/1238130694582231040
@Cullen_OK This is no better at all than “MAGA” rhetoric. Which objectively worse time period does Jeet want to return to?
13 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah in terms of regulatory and stimulus competence, we’ve probably never had a better time. what about the whole 80s when the SEC wouldn’t even prosecute simple pump and dump schemes, and the bankruptcy of Rothschild?
2 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah People have been claiming that Finance is the root of all evil since Ancient Sumer, it’s nothing new
@CipheredYT @econshitter It’s an aesthetic more than an actual complaint I think
1 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen Join us in tech. It’s a grand old time
4 ♥ · x.com →
long wait conditions almost definitely help sanders https://x.com/tomselliott/status/1238239309142073344
17 ♥ · x.com →
@Cullen_OK the longest wait times would’ve been in Detroit
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Sharon_Kuruvila @Teleonomic the branding for this label is not great unfortunately. i'm also not liking tyler cowen's "state capacity libertarian" bc the phrase 'state capacity' gets used nonstop now. "libertarian" alone makes me think of Gary Johnson and age of consent laws. there's no winning!
Comparing any random political situation you’re born into to the Fall of Rome is a time honored tradition
@ComfortablySmug Good one
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Tyler_The_Wise Jeb!
I would be full time angry at tech journalists, but then I remember nobody reads that garbage anyway.
7 ♥ · x.com →
@guacamolebio @Noahpinion a separate paper, but
https://x.com/scottburke777/status/1233907373829500928
The Boomer Remover
4 ♥ · x.com →
3 ♥ · x.com →
Looks like they adopted @robinhanson ‘s plan after all https://x.com/JStein_WaPo/status/1238283010040115201
5 ♥ · x.com →
1 ♥ · x.com →
@chheinzel This guy is aggregating information from disparate sources in a trustworthy way for the last month on coronavirus. This is no Seth abramson grift
1 ♥ · x.com →
@NamithVorakkara I don’t think people understand how likely it is that our medical system will collapse
1 ♥ · x.com →
@agraybee What we have to do now is put Biden in a biohazard defense mesh
20 ♥ · x.com →
7 ♥ · x.com →
Price👏”gouging”👏is👏the👏proper👏functioning👏of👏markets
@kar_nels In almost all cases where it’s been recently relevant, the production can indeed be ramped up. Nothing stopping P&G from repurposing a few of its lines to print way more hand sanitizer
2 ♥ · x.com →
@AndrewYang @Noahpinion You’re either an idiot or a grifter, and you wouldn’t have responded to Noah if it was the second.
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Noahpinion @ItsDonovan98 @AndrewYang If a presidential candidate doesn’t know what the Fed is, it’s not the time for understanding and patience
3 ♥ · x.com →
S O U T H K O R E A https://x.com/ElijahDelMedigo/status/1238264977087234048
@sonyasupposedly its so counterintuitive that it’s surprising that capitalism has survived at all for this long. It’s mainly due to the fact that capitalist societies outcompete and outlast others, leading to memetic selection
15 ♥ · x.com →
3 ♥ · x.com →
@browserdotsys at the end of the day people will scream at the companies that saved them for their bad customer experience or whatever
10 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies @CumfortablySmug DDS more lethal than corona
1 ♥ · x.com →
@BWithFreedom why is it a flaw?
@BWithFreedom you can buy supplementary (or replacement) private insurance that won't let you reach those deductibles
@BWithFreedom but only as expensive as it is now?
@fitchett_adam Yes, by nearly any definition you may give
2 ♥ · x.com →
@ATStruckmann yes, but you soon get overzealous regulators calling everything a monopoly. There’s only one store in x neighborhood selling bottled water! Monopoly!
2 ♥ · x.com →
@coherentstates @catcontentonly The Chinese silenced the doctors trying to report on nCov since December, bungled and delayed the containment of Wuhan until it was too late, and let slip a devastating plague into the world. It is possible to criticize the US without praising China
CCP psyop is so efficient that they don’t even need to pay these people to shill and cover for them https://t.co/l2TFQbnAeG
4 ♥ · x.com →
@atticusT @hemakhemak liberal = democratic, capitalist, etc.
1 ♥ · x.com →
@aquariusacquah time to unmute stoller now that the primaries are over
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Noahpinion @causalinf based noah. that show is the least inquisitive sci fi ever written
4 ♥ · x.com →
apparent CCP leak from Falun Gong media source. i've actively seen #4 and #5 happening on twitter
3 ♥ · x.com →
@zck @gregeganSF ‘s Axiomatic collection always gets me feeling some type of way. Perfect for self imposed quarantine
2 ♥ · x.com →
@atticusT @hemakhemak ok so the south korean health system is multi-payer with the majority of patients buying private insurance, with larger out of pocket costs than the US. I don't know where a mixed economy transitions to a command economy but I'll know it when I see it.
@TrayBridgewater young folks weren't gonna turn out anyway lol
1 ♥ · x.com →
the horseshoe theory is real. people who are very politically engaged tend to be far left or far right.
this means that when you increase the *price* of voting, such as changing a primary to a caucus, the majority equilibrium will shift towards more extreme results. People who are vaguely engaged don't want to spend hours to vote. This is why Sanders dominates all caucuses.
10 ♥ · x.com →
it also means that for the most part, voter suppression will cause extreme candidates to do better (where suppression = increased price of voting in the form of long lines or tedious registration). This won't always hold if the suppression is targeted at certain groups
6 ♥ · x.com →
If young democrats as a *whole* are less politically engaged than other groups (willingness to pay is lower), it stands to reason that the ones who do vote will be much further left than the total group.
6 ♥ · x.com →
simpshaming is in fashion now ...
2 ♥ · x.com →
@discourseloverr bro ur right but the point here is the absolute failure of the US federal government, not Jack Ma’s benevolence
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Desis4Pete Yeah this is my reasoning too. Most young people can’t be bothered to vote, for better or worse. But I suspect if they were all forced to vote, their patterns would not look similar to the pattern of the ones who voluntarily vote
2 ♥ · x.com →
@Desis4Pete yes
1 ♥ · x.com →
@jdcmedlock Giant bags of rice. And bagels
3 ♥ · x.com →
3 ♥ · x.com →
@Pinboard Euphemism for Taiwan, Hong Kong
@Pinboard let’s the corporations avoid the thorny question of Taiwanese statehood
6 ♥ · x.com →
3 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen he did the right thing on oil and royally fucked up corona, it’s that simple. they’re different issues
@uberfeminist Ya I didn’t see where Milo was going either tbh
1 ♥ · x.com →
we’d relentlessly make fun of people meditating before meetings, be honest https://x.com/primalpoly/status/1234507142230503425
17 ♥ · x.com →
@jahr_null the Worst of the centrist positions
1 ♥ · x.com →
@BurntOutCase @Noahpinion What do you think universal testing means?
@agraybee Something to do with financial markets?
@andkenbr @conorduffy_7 @MatthewP_B @trevlevtweets Paracetamol is just Tylenol, you can ofc buy it over the counter
1 ♥ · x.com →
@_Jason_Dean_ pretty sure you’re joking but joe could spend the whole debate talking about corn pop and still win
13 ♥ · x.com →
This is why he lost https://t.co/bbZGbFFhTJ
5 ♥ · x.com →
@NathanPMYoung @robinhanson That is the whole point of this mode
@NeoLibBen And what about the US, who’s private system will fail in 2 weeks as hospitals are overrun? What we are seeing is a failure of containment policy due to not taking the virus seriously enough in Italy. South Korea has done better due to their experience with SARS:
@neolibureaucrat there is an unmistakable horseshoe in the data, so it’s MY horseshoe theory :)
@_Jason_Dean_ Narrator: He Lied
2 ♥ · x.com →
@_Jason_Dean_ They will propagate the virus to innocents
1 ♥ · x.com →
@DaanVanDenHam2 Go home man! Don’t spread to others
@ESYudkowsky Mine is the same. I looked at the asset prices and decided there would be no pandemic.
8 ♥ · x.com →
@BigBreakfastLob @ESYudkowsky I don't even know what the S&P measures anymore to be honest
3 ♥ · x.com →
@ESYudkowsky @NPCollapse Is it this, or is it that the equity markets are a highly abstract bet about bailouts and money market conditions and angels dancing on the heads of pins etc.?
i.e. I believe a large scale clearly stated prediction market would've gotten this correct
1 ♥ · x.com →
@BigBreakfastLob @ESYudkowsky the stock markets were around in 1918
@BigBreakfastLob @ESYudkowsky maybe but coronavirus is not a "black swan" event. Every pandemic researcher has basically been warning us about the "big one" coming. Someone like Bill Gates definitely knew what was coming; he could've sold everything and immediately triggered a market collapse.
3 ♥ · x.com →
@BigBreakfastLob @mattparlmer @ESYudkowsky I just don't buy that. If a schmuck like me was hearing the warning signs about this in mid January, some sizeable fraction of pro traders surely knew. My priors are very strongly towards EMH. I just think the equity markets are not predicting what we think they are predicting
5 ♥ · x.com →
@homsiT @mattparlmer @BigBreakfastLob @ESYudkowsky Berkshire hasn't beat the market for the last 10 years, so it's possible whatever Berkshire knew about the equity markets has been priced in?
3 ♥ · x.com →
@ESYudkowsky @NPCollapse also, which prices do you *still* believe know better than you do?
@ESYudkowsky @BigBreakfastLob @mattparlmer It seems to me multiple people in this thread were not only modelling world conditions, but also modelling the knowledge of others before making purchase decision. Perhaps most of the pro traders did this also, and fell into the Keynesian trap (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian_beauty_contest)
@AOCummies I'll see you at the bars Drew
11 ♥ · x.com →
I'll see you folks at the bars tn
@ne0liberal @tedfrank probably something to do with ACE2 pathways in children
1 ♥ · x.com →
@ne0liberal @tedfrank the other explanation is that this is a Shinto-esque demon spirit unleashed by the children to kill the olds for global warming and other ills
8 ♥ · x.com →
twitter's ad targeting working really well hehe
19 ♥ · x.com →
@BetfairExchange hey is Betfair coming to Michigan, USA now that online gambling is legal there? any info on this
@aquariusacquah yeah i'm gonna delete. tbh this whole corona thing has me on edge
1 ♥ · x.com →
@thee_snek they can put you at the front of the queue ez pz
1 ♥ · x.com →
@koaleszenz read Banks for how anarchy would work given benevolent AIs
1 ♥ · x.com →
@CHADKRO3GER @ForecasterEnten you folks should realize by now that everyone who watches debates comes out feeling their own candidate won
2 ♥ · x.com →
@inspireprag there is no audience and it's very minimal staff and crew iirc
1 ♥ · x.com →
@CHADKRO3GER @ForecasterEnten i definitely have, at the impression making stage. first time i saw bernie in the debates i thought "this guy's a winner". now that i've seen all of these guys a number of times, a debate is very unlikely to change my view. most primary voters are likely to be feeling the same
1 ♥ · x.com →
Corona-chan’s coming for you :)
18 ♥ · x.com →
PC: @neo_globalist
@Sharon_Kuruvila All forces of nature must be anthropomorphized for humans to understand :)
1 ♥ · x.com →
@Randylad She loves you so much :)
Accept her ghastly embrace :)
@Teleonomic @Sharon_Kuruvila forget Jesus, corona chan loves all humans as long as you have ACE2 protein acceptors :)
3 ♥ · x.com →
@paulcrider @koaleszenz I consider benevolent AGI to be equivalent to post scarcity
1 ♥ · x.com →
@thee_snek I think the West just doesn’t have the societal scripts for containing pandemics, whereas the East Asians do
3 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen So why do you say 2x when SK has clearly demonstrated 8x? China is also testing like mad and it’s something like 7x. WHO delegation confirmed the Chinese numbers. This number could easily jump to 50x if hospital capacity is saturated. The Wuhan CFR is 5-6%
2 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen @THOTCrime They have been testing and listing asymptomatic cases via extensive contact tracing and monitoring. The statistics are all published online. I suspect .9% is the actual CFR
2 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoLibBen @THOTCrime The CFR in the US will be smaller in the US if will controlled due to younger median population. Italy is older than SK which is why they’re getting destroyed
@THOTCrime @NeoLibBen roughly 20% of cases need supplemental oxygen and 5-10% go into ARDS and need intubation. If we run out of respirators due to uncontrolled spread, the CFR will jump to 5-10%
1 ♥ · x.com →
@CathyYoung63 @kbrunolieber it’s not an artificial shortage. It’s an actual increase in demand on a supply thats somewhat inelastic in the scale of days. Soon the consumer goods companies will produce way more of these products to match increased demand. A hoarder is no different than a supermarket
1 ♥ · x.com →
ok so the virus completely spares children and dogs, but is very lethal to the Olds, and you're telling me it's not a Shinto-esque demon spirit summoned by Greta Thunberg?
9 ♥ · x.com →
@averykimball the East Asians are way ahead of you
5 ♥ · x.com →
@Sharon_Kuruvila even at normal times i'm an infovore and this crisis has completely debilitated me
2 ♥ · x.com →
@barrydeutsch @CathyYoung63 @kbrunolieber ok so let's say I buy everything available at a supermarket and resell it. unless I make it just as easy to distribute and purchase as the supermarket was making it, i will take a loss. most of these guys just go right around and sell the stuff on amazon.
@barrydeutsch @CathyYoung63 @kbrunolieber the only way for a hoarder to make money is if they buy everything before the price changes, in the same way someone trades oil futures or something. and by doing so they'll be sending price signals to manufacturers to increase production
@barrydeutsch @CathyYoung63 @kbrunolieber another example is in the case of some folks driving a long distance to supply much needed ice at a markup in a disaster zone. they were arrested for price gouging, even though all they did was move goods to where they needed to go.
@Sharon_Kuruvila Pascal's Wager by far the least impressive thing he wrote about
2 ♥ · x.com →
@trustbustinboi @Noahpinion median age in Florida is much higher than the rest too
2 ♥ · x.com →
@ne0liberal what's on monday?
@Noahpinion that makes vaccine pathways hopeful, correct?
3 ♥ · x.com →
everything i know about the vaccine development process comes from Contagion so does someone want to explain the reality to me
13 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies We are the simping under classes. All we can do is second hand simp
10 ♥ · x.com →
gotta say this didn’t age well https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1236029449042198528
@Cullen_OK oof. while the SV contrarians were panicking early about corona, the galaxy brain Elon meta-contrarian is urging us to not panic
6 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard yu caught me simpin 😌
5 ♥ · x.com →
@DavidKoggan welcome, well endowed brother
2 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard simp shaming is a powerful tool ... use this power carefully ...
1 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard @Cullen_OK did MattY have a spicy corona take?
1 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard @Cullen_OK i will direct you to my bio
1 ♥ · x.com →
@OldDreyfusard @Cullen_OK it is impressive to have a truly rare belief. something that fewer than 1% of people familiar with the topic hold. everything else is iterated dialectics
1 ♥ · x.com →
@averykimball take the natalist pill and just accept that new human lives create utils
2 ♥ · x.com →
@averykimball why do you say so? Seems to me we can define whatever utility function we want, so add some big constant for an individual human life.
2 ♥ · x.com →
@averykimball There are diehard capitalists who are utilitarians, and then total marxists who are also utilitarians. It is not a very restrictive frame
1 ♥ · x.com →
@averykimball imo the numbers matter. They keep you consistent. But you’re right. All the parameters and multipliers are up in the air. Utilitarianism doesn’t answer any of the interesting questions; but for those who have the answers, it serves as a powerful tool
1 ♥ · x.com →
@ahardtospell wee must intervene in the clout market to subsidize quarantine clout
8 ♥ · x.com →
@ahardtospell Never hedge. Just convince yourself A or B is right so you can stay confident 😎
1 ♥ · x.com →
@ClaireBerlinski There’s no logic. The Anglosphere is headed towards catastrophe
1 ♥ · x.com →
@lastplace1414 lol thanks
@fitchett_adam Panic is good! Panic gets you moving . Panic will save your ass. There’s a reason it’s built into us. We’re not logic engines
3 ♥ · x.com →
@NeoliberalFed @AOCummies folo me :)
@XplodingCabbage @barrydeutsch @CathyYoung63 @kbrunolieber These packs remain on the liquid economy. Mostly I’m angry at eBay and Amazon for banning the sales of these goods or capping the prices. Times of crisis are when markets shine most
1 ♥ · x.com →
@CoreyinNYC @Yair_Rosenberg then .... why doesn’t he close them ?
2 ♥ · x.com →
@AOCummies ok bootlicker
3 ♥ · x.com →
Gates tried to warn us
https://youtu.be/6Af6b_wyiwI
@michaeltanchum @AsiaAnalyst47 this doesn’t mean anything. They’ve probably all been tested early in the course of the disease. Soon , 10% of them will undergo respiratory failure
1 ♥ · x.com →
If someone had done the job properly, isolated all early cases through aggressive testing and quarantine, most people would have literally no idea what kind of calamity had been averted.
If TSA had been created 1 day before 9/11 it would’ve been ridiculed for defending against nonexistent threats.
@kenaviba Yes
2 ♥ · x.com →
@MattBruenig @matthewstoller this but unironically
@j_razor101 @CathyYoung63 @allenf32 @XplodingCabbage @barrydeutsch @kbrunolieber scarcity is real. Evolving conditions must deal with scarcity through price signals. The nonharmful government intervention is to subsidize key goods instead of setting price ceilings
@sonyasupposedly Some of these bored smart people are rich and can do the things they’re suggesting! Someone pitch the sponcon thing to Bill Gates ASAP. There is no time for fatalism!!
2 ♥ · x.com →
@NikkiHaleyfan @OldDreyfusard preach
@j_razor101 @CathyYoung63 @allenf32 @XplodingCabbage @barrydeutsch @kbrunolieber It’s very simple ... social goods should be subsidized. I’m not advocating randianism in this time of crisis. I’m advocating for non harmful intervention
@j_razor101 @CathyYoung63 @allenf32 @XplodingCabbage @barrydeutsch @kbrunolieber these are not incredibly complicated or monopolized products. The supply can indeed increase in a manner of days or weeks. Many chemical companies are dedicating some lines to hand san now.
https://x.com/lapresmidi/status/1239234330167332864?s=20 https://x.com/lapresmidi/status/1239234330167332864
1 ♥ · x.com →
@j_razor101 @CathyYoung63 @allenf32 @XplodingCabbage @barrydeutsch @kbrunolieber regardless of whether it’s free or not, this letter implies that they will start hand san production on Monday. 3 day turnaround
@realjdburnett Gilead will come out of this with record profits due to sale of Remdesivir
1 ♥ · x.com →
@realjdburnett I don’t really see it ... If remdesivir actually works I’ll be quite thankful. Nearly nobody in America is directly exposed to drug prices. You hit your deductible as soon as you hit inpatient COVID mode and forget about the rest
1 ♥ · x.com →
@realjdburnett that’s a real problem, but lowkey Gilead provides all of their drugs for free to the uninsured
https://www.gileadadvancingaccess.com/financial-support/uninsured
1 ♥ · x.com →
@realjdburnett Most of the big drug companies have similar policies.
2 ♥ · x.com →
Bernie is talking about working with China while their government sponsored botnets fill the internet with rumors that the American military created COVID-19.
🤮🤮🤮🤮
You're either a China hawk or you're unfit for office
@realjdburnett not to make light of the issue though ... the pharma companies are egregious patent trolls and rent seekers. The whole FDA + pharma patent system needs to torn down and rebuilt. they suck a lot of air out of the economy with the gigantic insurance premiums in the US
2 ♥ · x.com →
Bernie's now mistaking Ebola for Coronavirus. If Biden did this, it would take up 99% of the headlines tonight and tomorrow morning. Dementia Joe
Bernie is a Markov chain generator with a phrase bank of like 10 phrases