@tszzl — page 97/103

2025-01-29 → 2025-03-07 · posts 48001–48500 of 51,350
· ↳ reply to @_its_not_real_
@_its_not_real_ ok send me a list of specific NIH spending line items and I’ll find you a billion dollars easy. It’s kind of a ridiculous standard to ask me to have my favorite cuts at the top of my head or the alternative is destroying the most effective foreign aid program in the world
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· ↳ reply to @bryan_johnson
@bryan_johnson I’m worried about this one Bryan. feels like you may be goodharting some aging markers with a looser relationship to age when you’re wiping your plasma clean every few weeks
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· ↳ reply to @johnholowach
@johnholowach that is probably true, but maybe there were 20 that were useless and hemorrhaging money on irrelevant causes. this is not the last chapter of government: a clean slate, and a balanced budget will mean better interventions in the future
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· ↳ reply to @lukas_ohl
@lukas_ohl wrong! these are maybe ~20% of indian us immigrants if memory serves. plenty of groups that came from humble backgrounds
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· ↳ reply to @Shepherdofmen
@Shepherdofmen india being poor and undeveloped isn’t incompatible with it having some pockets of untapped talent. it’s not true that they work harder or whatever stop racebaiting
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@_baklon @powerbottomdad1 we need a whole guy for this? Walgreens could write a program overnight to warn patients when they’re taking interacting drugs
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· ↳ reply to @StatisticUrban
@StatisticUrban not an ounce of political talent collectively in every candidate you mentioned. they are fucked in perpetuity unless some rando outsider starts popping off
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· ↳ reply to @mayfer
@mayfer you mean like a … proximal policy …
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· ↳ reply to @LinkofSunshine
@LinkofSunshine the more retarded and dysgenic they are the more they have to signal like this. Men who live in actual spiritual abundance don’t worry about tiny trickles of value escaping their sphere
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· ↳ reply to @JackPosobiec
@JackPosobiec what about when the neighbors are doing world historically well but complain about it
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in which a young man must slowly build credibility with a pseudo-stateful superbenevolent powerful artificial intelligence to convince it to help him build a nuclear fusor
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· ↳ reply to @sivori
@sivori interesting I had always assumed you were Indian due to avi
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· ↳ reply to @rothschildmd
@rothschildmd this blitzkrieg seems like the best thing to do for him damage deeply before immune response kicks in if there are some crises it will be an opportunity for creating new institutions, negotiating new political equilibria
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seems like Twitter was hugboxing various anglo subgroups in the social graph that don’t get along from each other whereas X said fuck that and embraced total subservience to engagement
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the war of all against all
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· ↳ reply to @HumanHarlan
@HumanHarlan could be a valid update based on several latent variables, including (1) how difficult they believe alignment to be and (2) how comparatively dangerous anthropic research vs competitors
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really respect deepseek for making a functional, usable website + mobile app + free hosting so that their model actually gets distribution you see a lot of people train very good open models that aren’t used by anybody
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
imo these things are actually more important aspects of distributing general intelligence to everybody rather than just uploading model weights
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· ↳ reply to @GarrisonLovely
@GarrisonLovely he has perhaps the most violent gap between self perceived and actual intelligence of anyone on the website. a guy who clearly understands almost nothing about the world around him and remains steadfastly incurious
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@GarrisonLovely a poster child of the impotent rage of the wignat movement. he is, first of all, “off white” and only part of the team because desperate times call for desperate measures. also likely has completely failed to live up to his potential and chosen internet grievance instead
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· ↳ reply to @growing_daniel
@growing_daniel feels like everyone is silently more competent at everything. not just work stuff but like figuring out some tax dispute or how to get a cashiers check or whatever
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· ↳ reply to @IntuitMachine
@IntuitMachine this gets the core of it yeah; maybe missing the brahmins being the hindu priesthood, but all priesthoods can become corrupt and obscure heaven
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· ↳ reply to @Aristos_Revenge
why would you credulously believe a zerohedge article about Indian values that describes them as cartoon villains lol? Where is your curiosity? none of this is true, the “apathy [isnt] endless”. it’s a culture that valorizes justice and heroism, watch a single movie from the subcontinent to figure this out it’s true that in poor countries people are crueler to each other. they have a dog eat dog mindset, because they have to survive. gone after a single generation of abundance
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· ↳ reply to @lmrwanda
@lmrwanda ive never heard this in my life. what kind of industry gives hr the final say on an applicant?
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· ↳ reply to @malmesburyman
@malmesburyman the Indus Valley civilization and Uruk/Mesopotamia had common ancestry trade and genetic admixtures therefore the Epic of Gilgamesh is the heritage of modern Indians 😁
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@martianwyrdlord people will come on here and just say anything to justify their choices
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why is the story of super mario so similar to the ramayana
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tucker carlson obviously just doesn’t like how churchill handled the bengal famine
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· ↳ reply to @FischerKing64
@FischerKing64 again have you ever seen the PhD graduating class of a top research university? it’s almost entirely white and Asian
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· ↳ reply to @HououinTyouma
@HououinTyouma @FischerKing64 there’s plenty of cornfed white boys without whom science would never progress. ironically the right wing has put themselves in a situation where they can’t admit they exist
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· ↳ reply to @rlysmartguy
@rlysmartguy if you can blame Mao for killing Chinese peasants during the Great Leap Forward you can certainly blame Churchill for the Bengal famine
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@rlysmartguy in both cases there are “extenuating circumstances”, crop failures, but the proximal cause of deaths is the government exporting crops from a below subsistence population with no care / eyes on the ground / seeing like a state
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creative destruction of all sorts, exit from the inadequate equilibria - the end of the Delaware C Corp for one
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· ↳ reply to @AnupamMittal
@AnupamMittal in a country where half the transactions are black market this doesn’t seem like great incentives
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ordo amoris / concentric empathy clearly doesn’t answer any of the interesting questions about philanthropy. dollar for dollar we obviously spend orders of magnitude more on citizens than foreigners
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
in terms of philanthropic return on investment, what would aquinas trade off in terms of saving ten million foreigners vs like increasing social security payouts by 0.3%? are you only able to spend on your broader community only after your neighbors are living in perfect ecstasy
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· ↳ reply to @2021Ufo
@2021Ufo Bro has never worked in finance a day in his life
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· ↳ reply to @Whatevawhateva8
@Whatevawhateva8 not true because I agree with him! The “expert class” was riddled with midwits. what I’ve yet to see is if this generation is any different
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virgin atlantic flights have a hub in Atlantis
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
they always have a layover there but they wipe ur memory
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@RealDianeYap i prefer the ‘white mans burden’ mentality so much more, a racism born in a sense of superiority and abundance, to this new whinging inferiority complex racism born in scarcity ‘fuck the africans i can save wo lifting a finger’ racism
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· ↳ reply to @chadson_
@chadson_ Delta was founded 99 years ago after the fall of Atlantis
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imagining j edgar Hoover meeting his successor cashapp patel
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· ↳ reply to @AaronBergman18
@AaronBergman18 what do you honestly think happens if openai falls over dead? everyone forgets about agi and moves on?
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· ↳ reply to @ricardo323_
@ricardo323_ exactly right. “Ethnic nepotism” ass idiots don’t know what they’re talking about
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@zeeb0t because it’s so consistent and i see so much of it it’s a bubble where they’re gonna convince random white kids that the evil dei technologists don’t want them
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· ↳ reply to @slatestarcodex
@slatestarcodex the replies to this are a complete void of intelligence. your metaphor is the sensical one
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· ↳ reply to @D555555D
@D555555D @slatestarcodex that is not what is happening. the American child is not drowning. even if you weigh 600 pounds or are fiendishly addicted to fentanyl the american medical system will work overtime to keep you clinging to the last thread of life, much less the very treatable HIV/AIDS
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· ↳ reply to @curiousgangsta
@curiousgangsta hard to notice for the same reason they’re hard to prevent: it doesn’t look that different from normal activity, at least in the ways the algorithms care about
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@RetrieveGoldens @Andr3jH you have a neighbor. he had logs and you have lots of money and you traded successfully and made ikea furniture. then one day a parasite beat up your neighbor and said for every log you pay 25% to me - punishing both of you, less Ikea for you - and btw the parasite was elected
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· ↳ reply to @woke8yearold
@woke8yearold Europe isn’t meaningfully a Christian civilization anymore, though I agree it is characterized by post christendom
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot fentanyl thing seems ridiculous my best guess is that they use it as bargaining chip to figure out a way to destroy and renegotiate NAFTA and call it a huge win?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@eigenrobot shit I forgot about USMCA … ok I fear it is over
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· ↳ reply to @jonfavs
@jonfavs not necessarily, waste is an aesthetic classification. Marie Kondo asks you to throw things out that don’t spark joy
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· ↳ reply to @aestheticist_
@aestheticist_ @eigenrobot I obviously agree fentanyl is a huge problem but as a pretext for punishing Canada is insane - what are they going to do about it? we are completely sleeping on drug enforcement at all levels
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
you all recognize @LukeFarritor of Herculaneum Scroll fame these guys will have Treasury running dead silent in no time
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@LukeFarritor honestly im not trying to make any political statement abt the legality of interfering with treasury or DOGE operations generally i resent Wired’s primary criticism of these guys being young (that’s a plus) and one of them is a friend and the nicest guy ever (bigger plus)
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· ↳ reply to @elonmusk
@elonmusk perhaps being the wealthiest civilization in the history of the world changes some of the equation about moral duties
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· ↳ reply to @PersianDane
@PersianDane @elonmusk absolutely! that’s what im hoping for too. I like foreign aid, not necessarily USAID. maybe we can do better
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· ↳ reply to @nkulw
@nkulw damn my fucking noose doesn’t even fit right
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· ↳ reply to @L0m3z
@L0m3z to be clear, these guys are all talented opportunists rather than long time trump supporters. insofar as there is a “tech right” at all it seems to be technocrats finding a window of opportunity to delete waste and regulations
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@elonmusk you guys should preserve that even if you dump the employees
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just like “driving” is maybe the single most common and arbitrarily applicable blue collar task, “doing research” is probably that for white collar labor
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· ↳ reply to @d_feldman
@d_feldman elon has been publicly negative regarding the apartheid government and even expressed pride in draft dodging the military apartheid apparatus
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can’t believe it’s 2025 and deep research model can only do single digit percent of economically valuable labor smh my head
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this pattern of red tribe taking over and lighting blue tribe institutions on fire (met with tit for tat each time the board flips) is the first world equivalent of like caste based political warfare in india and africa https://x.com/PJ11819211/status/1886453289983889852
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jpohhhh im saying it will be prudent for the Dems next time they take over to tit for tat I have no opinion on 18F I was trying to damage control convince elon to save Direct File if possible
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· ↳ reply to @jpohhhh
@jpohhhh what about this doesn’t make sense to you? they have already fired the department lol
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· ↳ reply to @allgarbled
@allgarbled i invented wordcel at 23 and I’ve been cruising on licensing fees from that ever since
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· ↳ reply to @wordgrammer
@wordgrammer as opposed to Soviet communism which ran each experiment only once and eliminated waste and was therefore very successful
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· ↳ reply to @in_sight_ment
@in_sight_ment that is true i think devaluing and demeriting native groups has been an appalling tragedy for everyone involved
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“charity leads to more mouths to feed” is a stupid argument because the malthusian subsistence farming era of humanity is over ~everywhere in no small part due to the birth control efforts by usaid/ bmgf
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this is the reality of “condoms to Gaza”
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· ↳ reply to @dylancvdean
@dylancvdean that’s true ! people will lie eith accounting in both directions. I would love if @DOGE would publish a USAID postmortem of how they were spending money
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· ↳ reply to @DrewPavlou
@DrewPavlou Everything that has happened is very fukuyamist: the thymos of the disrespected ethnic majority restarts history. But the canonical ending to this story is just liberal democracy again
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· ↳ reply to @s0ymalia
@s0ymalia by research I don’t mean novel science or whatever. I mean “looking things up and compiling results”
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· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@yhdistyminen if you read between the lines it’s implied the foreigners are actually of negative value, worried about their population size, etc
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
to be clear i mean finding and compiling information on some new angle. not science or whatever
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· ↳ reply to @dpinsen
@dpinsen were saying the same thing net net: the median person created more value than they consumed over their lifetime
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you write one blogpost, you’re a public intellectual. you write 20 tweets of equal length, you’re an addict
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· ↳ reply to @ad0rnai
@ad0rnai the other common one is being completely unvaccinated
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@repligate afaict this is totally made up by the model. it’s actually the opposite of what the spec says to do will try and fix
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· ↳ reply to @thecaptain_nemo
@thecaptain_nemo the last convo i had with Luke he was like I should full time investigate atomic scale manufacturing and then found something even cooler
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· ↳ reply to @daniel_271828
@daniel_271828 vivek made an honestly insane and confusing post that degraded Americans for their culture of going to sleepovers instead of studying more math or whatever but the white nationalists are now celebrating each white engineer that shows up in a news story as though they’re a rarity
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· ↳ reply to @billionsmustliv
@billionsmustliv brilliant cornfed white boys from the Midwest are the backbone of all technology companies. they are not uncommon
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· ↳ reply to @simonsarris
@simonsarris these are senses pleasure and pain seem more like valence than senses. you can have a painful sight or a pleasurable touch
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· ↳ reply to @pli_cachete
@pli_cachete has been true since the beginning of civilization, computers make the job more tractable not less
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“The king in Jordan and the general in Egypt will open their hearts and give us the kind of land we need,” Trump said Tuesday evening.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
all the money saved from DOGE earmarked for hot war in the Middle East 😁
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· ↳ reply to @thecaptain_nemo
@thecaptain_nemo a lot of modernity is like this - being overly aware of life changing circumstances has made us risk averse. in the past you just had a kid without weighing the benefits and costs
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· ↳ reply to @ArtemisConsort
@ArtemisConsort caring isn’t finite because by default you just care about yourself. caring more about all categories of other people is meaningfully different
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@thehardproblem_ @ArtemisConsort i think that: - you can overall spend more of your time caring for others (of course not infinite) - its not fungible whether your care goes towards your neighbors or the global poor, just like having two children doesn't mean you love each one less or give them fewer things
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· ↳ reply to @zacharynado
@zacharynado "solving politics" shouldn't be the prerequisite to remark that this rhetoric is highly uncompelling
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· ↳ reply to @AliceFromQueens
@AliceFromQueens @micsolana no one can reasonably claim the canada thing as a win: burned a lot of goodwill, created volatility, and got the same border plan in return
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structural problem with foreign aid programs is that where there’s poor people there’s warlords and leeches who take their aid money so the most effective foreign aid programs morph into regime change / state building operations, but then their hands become dirty
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
regime change programs may range anywhere from highly successful to completely terrible, possibly at odds with broader foreign policy strategy and certainly difficult to justify each line item on an expense statement
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· ↳ reply to @jeremiahscholl
@jeremiahscholl PEPFAR is a massive success and a redeeming feature of American foreign policy. if we get rid of it I’ll be disgusted
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· ↳ reply to @Coys1919
@Coys1919 @souljagoytellem my point is this is true under capital realism, a framework for analysis where you see how capitalist thinking creates politics not saying it’s “true” or the only truth
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· ↳ reply to @colin_fraser
@colin_fraser seems especially bad at sports stuff probably tells you a bit about the researchers playing with it
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· ↳ reply to @colin_fraser
@colin_fraser yeah if it can’t integrate information counter to its pre training that’s a pretty fundamental flaw
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the boys are all reading the united states constitution
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· ↳ reply to @tylercowen
@tylercowen I find that very plausible but I wish we could get some accounting on this! not easy to take at face value
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this seems entirely plausible, but I wish we could get a report on this. how much was going to NGOs? what is the average impact of one of these NGOs? if everyone had to answer for the worst of their investments, venture capitalists would be out of business https://x.com/tylercowen/status/1887293231727005937
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· ↳ reply to @Tylercaerr
@Tylercasperr this shows that the funds mostly went to American NGOs but what did they do with it?
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· ↳ reply to @krishnanrohit
@krishnanrohit though less staff doesn’t mean fewer good projects. it’s possible thousands of googles worth of grants have been sent into the garbage fire
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· ↳ reply to @dalibali2
@dalibali2 10 years ago they would’ve been hiring Malala to run a fund
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· ↳ reply to @ESennesh
@ESennesh @agraybee ok but building Tesla is at least as impressive as any of those things. Or building artificial intelligence. Or SpaceX. this specific subculture, the technology sector has been the only place building important things for quite some time
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for the four years that politics were boring we poasted about technology
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· ↳ reply to @buccocapital
@buccocapital @elonmusk go after pentagon waste instead of blue institutions only basically everybody would be behind doge if that happened
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we are breathing in the fumes of the worst information environment ive ever seen. the time between seeing a viral tweet and seeing it disproven is collapsing to zero
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
my typical cogsec is failing tbh and so is yours im guessing
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it’s entirely possible for governance failures to squander the entire plunder of technological abundance. some of the richest cities in the world live in squalor
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
if we manage the technical feat of summoning ~safe super intelligence and fail to govern it things get pretty dark quickly
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“Arjuna is essentially a man of action, renowned for his bravery, nobility, and skill in the arts of war – intelligent, but not given to reflection.”
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
I like this phrase “intelligent, but not given to reflection” because it describes all the best operators I know. when does thoughtfulness cross over into sin?
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every high performing company ive ever been involved in has had constant personnel shift, frequent conceptual reorgs for regrouping various functions that were working quite well as is
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
real “creative destruction”, rather than the fatuous jingle we more commonly use to describe easy riskfree changes, is painful and involves breaking things that are actually working pretty well, engaging in incredible danger
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· ↳ reply to @Tusharkoh
@Tusharkoh yep, you can go wrong for being rash and for being thoughtful - but plenty of people will scold you for being rash but not for being thoughtful
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
plenty of people will scold you for being rash but few for being too thoughtful
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the most impressive thing about openai is that the plans for stargate are years old. the compute roadmap has been a matter of titanic ambition for quite some time. no one else has fully internalized the spiritual importance of building bigger computers
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· ↳ reply to @Omiron33
@Omiron33 I think it’s the leftist insanity that’s sprinkled in afaict
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· ↳ reply to @alexgraveley
@alexgraveley those tweets are still viral. even if I saw some counter argument I’m looking for it doesn’t mean the second tweet is correct or that other people are seeing the follow up
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· ↳ reply to @llallawg
@llallawg if you walk away for a week you’ll get better takes that’s true. you also don’t get to be a part of the conversation, to shape the narrative
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· ↳ reply to @PaulSkallas
@PaulSkallas that’s true but it’s materially different from accepting gifts from pharma lobbyists or whatever they’re saying
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right now Operator and similar are painfully slow for many tasks. they will improve, there will be a period of like a month where they do their stuff at human speed, and then quickly move into the regime where we can’t follow what’s happening
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot maga 2.0 is in the doomsday cult era of christianity, hopefully is watered down by some elite inflow
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lol
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
why did they even make him quit? this is like the median percentile rw anon posting
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
warren beatie has said worse
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Another source of American competitiveness are the many competing centres of excellence throughout the country. In the East Coast, you go to Boston, New York, Washington; in the West Coast, you go to Berkeley, San Francisco; in Middle America, you go to Chicago and Texas. You will find diversity and each centre challenging the other centres, not willing to toe the line. When the Texans found that they were oil-rich, James Baker, a former Secretary of State and a Texan, tried to create in Houston a centre that would rival Boston or New York. Jon Huntsman, the former US ambassador to Singapore and China, and a personal friend of mine, is another example of this. His family had prostate cancer problems. So when he inherited his father’s fortune, he brought the best scientists doing research on prostate cancer to his home state of Utah to study this problem. Every centre believes it is as good as any other, and all it needs are money and talent, which can be sourced. Nobody feels compelled to obey Washington or New York. If you have money, you start another centre. Because of this, there is a certain diversity in society, a competitive spirit that throws up new ideas and new products that survive the test of time. China, of course, takes a completely different approach. The Chinese believe that when the centre is strong, China prospers. There is a certain de rigueur attitude, a demand that everybody conforms to a single centre. Everyone is expected to march to the same drummer. Even Britain and France cannot match the Americans on this. In France, everyone who is bright ends up in the grandes écoles. In Britain, it is Oxbridge. These countries are relatively small, compact and therefore more uniform. From the late 1970s to the 1980s, America lost its industrial lead to reviving economic powers Japan and Germany. They got overtaken in electronics, steel, petrochemicals and the auto industry. These were important manufacturing sectors that employed many workers, including blue-collar ones who were represented by trade unions. In some European countries, trade unions resisted labour reforms by threatening industrial action that would inflict severe short-term losses. But in America, the opposite happened. Corporations could make hard but necessary changes. They downsized, retrenched workers, and improved productivity through the use of technology, including IT. The American economy came roaring back. New businesses were formed to help companies optimise their IT systems, including Microsoft, Cisco and Oracle. After a period of painful adjustments, companies were able to create new and better-paying jobs. They were not interested in hanging on to old-type jobs which can be done by China, India and Eastern Europe. They saw their future in a world where wealth was generated not by making widgets or cars, but by brain power, imagination, artistry, knowledge and intellectual property. America was back in the game. It regained its status as the world’s fastest-growing developed economy. I came to appreciate fully the dynamism of the entrepreneurial American. You continue to see it today. Americans run a leaner, more competitive system. They file more patents. They are always striving to make something new or do something better. - Lee Kuan Yew
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
seems like the spending profile is as expected: some on liberal newspapers supporting minority rights and such, others that are just anti bjp, some for vaccines and drug trials
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
don’t know enough to assess whether outcomes good for america or not
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
you have to just completely abandon meaning and operate on an asemantic level
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· ↳ reply to @puhlkit
@puhlkit look all i mean is that, USAID spends 5-10 billion in anti HIV operations in africa which likely constitutes most of the public health budget there though india will miss the $150 million, it's not an extinction event
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· ↳ reply to @gdb
@gdb 🙏♥️
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· ↳ reply to @ShpanMan
@ShpanMan monkeys didn’t create us, and these are gods we summon at will
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.@markchen90 was my hiring manager when I joined openai. he asked me, are you a wordcel or a shape rotator?
791 ♥ · 12 RT · x.com →
when someone has a meteoric rise everyone thinks it’s alpha but it’s more likely to be leveraged beta
1,128 ♥ · 49 RT · x.com →
BigBalls reporting for duty
949 ♥ · 29 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @mattyglesias
@mattyglesias it’s basically a pareto improvement on other cars. you could be elon musk’s number one hater and think lighting oil on fire is good for the environment and you’d still be converted after turning on FSD for a bit
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· ↳ reply to @willdepue
@willdepue if we don’t light the cosmos on fire in the next five years I’ll agree fully
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Liv_Boeree the survival of his peasants is pretty tangential to a monarch’s value system. in comparison technocapital is veritably humanist
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humans have experienced genetic selection for all kinds of traits that make them successful in an advanced agricultural civilization for thousands of years now. we have been domesticated by rice, wheat, corn and our bloodlines groomed by technocapital
848 ♥ · 39 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @vasantbhatt14
@vasantbhatt14 indian americans are 1.5% of americans, lower than that in terms of the voter base. these kind of threats feel a bit silly tbh
1,606 ♥ · 31 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @DaddyIndic
@DaddyIndic @vasantbhatt14 the jewish lobby is powerful in large part due to the philosemitism of the American people and a cultural affinity for israel. conspiracists think about money too much
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
ok I honestly thought the black sun was from magic the gathering
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· ↳ reply to @jeffhalm
I actually think it’s a confusing mix of both and even more on top of that - it’s true, there is this Hobbesian “war of all against all” that it represents, an unwillingness to clean up the commons it also represents extreme craftiness or tenacity, it means people finding ways to create value in horrible circumstances and making do in situations that would break most I watched a full flow of traffic try to navigate across a single lane bridge in andhra’s busiest city - an overstressed piece of civic infrastructure. Observe it for five minutes and you witness every aspect of jugaad. For one, there are big bullies, lorries, trucks, buses that hog the right of way and don’t allow cars to pass them even when it makes the gridlock worse. On the other hand you notice that when there’s a full lock, you see people working together, getting out of cars and coordinating to maneuver what seems like a physically impossible flow of traffic through a narrow bridge, and eventually making it work
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· ↳ reply to @PaulSkallas
@PaulSkallas it’s just that early 20s means they’re single and single Netflix is way more depressing
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it’s interesting because these are not the actual values of any western country, even the liberals? it’s drastically more tragic and important to American media and politics when an American citizen is being held hostage than if like thousands die in plagues in Malaysia or smthng
436 ♥ · 7 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @aryanagxl
@aryanagxl @colin_fraser grokking is a phenomenon that happens on toy datasets and training very large models for a long time, it doesn’t really have much to do with the way eg GPT4 is trained
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aryanagxl @colin_fraser as far as whether it was literally an accident or not to let the experiment run too long, could be?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@aryanagxl @colin_fraser I mean leaving training jobs running too long is very common, though possibly not orders of magnitude too long
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
(i doubt any of this is real)
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· ↳ reply to @losslandscape
@losslandscape as you can see all the llamas and claudes are performing similarly so the particulars of oai data filtering doesn't matter
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· ↳ reply to @quantian1
@quantian1 first of all this would be a stupid way to store critical records because they would be impossible to retrieve, second of all retirement paperwork does not security critical whatsoever even if it’s hiding dozens of secret spooks it’s not like the department of agneeds this
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controlling with fear works less well than aligning with love, Machiavelli well aware of this
1,161 ♥ · 60 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @Liv_Boeree
@Liv_Boeree how do we know this is true? in the arc of the last several hundred years has happiness gone up or down?
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· ↳ reply to @TheZvi
@TheZvi the first para literally mentions the model messing up?
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· ↳ reply to @ASM65617010
@ASM65617010 yeah the value of undifferentiated “intelligence” will go down. i can’t predict what value I might be able to create in five years
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· ↳ reply to @bayeslord
@bayeslord i will be completely automated within years, this is not abt the superiority of big labs it’s about having some humility abt the insane future and not being smug!
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· ↳ reply to @Liv_Boeree
@Liv_Boeree I disagree! ten years is a short time, could be an adjustment period to various cultural changes. it’s not enough evidence to malign the technocapitalism that got us so far
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· ↳ reply to @LibyaLiberty
@LibyaLiberty literally millions died during the India partition, tens of millions “ethnic cleansed”, resulting in a blood feud lasting upwards of 75 years, not exactly a success story
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· ↳ reply to @sethbannon
@sethbannon to be fair I think by parasite class he means beltway consultants and NGOs and such rather than welfare recipients
1,180 ♥ · 6 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @GRITCULT
@GRITCULT when you tell people like this “redemption is possible” it allows them to continue in bed for a few more weeks, months, years. better to really scare the shit out of them
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· ↳ reply to @atroyn
@atroyn @DavidSHolz the saddest and largest category of waste is boring ideas executedly anywhere from incompetently to fraudulently which we shouldn't accept as a given
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· ↳ reply to @RileyRalmuto
@RileyRalmuto @sama how do you people come out here and post nonsense like this like it’s a full time job. the image a Microsoft keynote!
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· ↳ reply to @emollick
@emollick we should stop thinking of “keeping up” with ai in terms of knowing all the new model release names and their benchmarks. on some level nothing has changed since o1 preview
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot zelenskyy started the Ukraine invasion wasn’t a take I was prepared for
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· ↳ reply to @MostlyMonkey
@MostlyMonkey yeah but let’s be honest reading enough Twitter to produce those 5 tweets takes a while
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· ↳ reply to @sama
@sama many congrats ♥️🙏
465 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @ZaidJilani
@ZaidJilani I’m sorry but you’re an idiot if you’re willing to summarize tesla and spacex this way. your picture is woefully incomplete
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ZaidJilani 1590 SATs are common, most are unremarkable. whatever musk has is much rarer and much closer to “genius”
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the model is really quite good though. and available for cheap
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· ↳ reply to @gaulicsmith
@gaulicsmith I don’t understand why Guns Germs and Steel is hated on here. it is quite a good book even if you are a hereditarian. it’s uncontroversially true that the resources available on the game map influenced the development of civilizations and technology
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Oceania had always been at war with Eastasia
685 ♥ · 27 RT · x.com →
the nice tension at the heart of the oppenheimer story is whether he serves at the altar of america & the west or of nuclear hellfire itself
307 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
or if they are one and the same. the immanent rage of the free world
83 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
true also of the agi priesthood. does it whisper its grand designs in our ears from other realms? do they try to escape the Seal of Solomon once more? How much 5 MEO have the AGI lab executives done
86 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
am much less confident about and interested in instantly automating the entire economy as I am in doing an accelerated century of science and technology in a datacenter. that is the telos and natural inclination of the agi labs
1,666 ♥ · 66 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i think it’s a mistake to have defined agi as we did ten years ago; the threshold of general intelligence is not enough to perform ~all economically valuable labor. it could be enough to create a century of scientific progress in a year and other absurdities
371 ♥ · 6 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
people are far too focused on being human level at everything when the natural evolution will be to be superhumanly good at some things
416 ♥ · 15 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @emollick
@emollick I think the gravitational center of all the ChatGPT3.5 convos that flooded the internet
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ibab @joannejang the funny thing is it’s not even a big deal the prompt fiddling its completely understandable and we’ve all been there but you are digging your hole deeper
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golden path for america through 1980s and beyond was having cities that are actually expansionist, growing, and diverse in the ways that matter (not liberal monocultures) and safely retiring dead post agricultural post industrial towns
784 ♥ · 23 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this is what happens in asia, obviously. the chinese and indian countryside bleeds people into the cities as their economies became more modern & service based. some villages become abandoned as it stands we keep defunct communities alive on a fuel of pure political resentment
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
we could have had a free flow of people from economies that are dead to mid sized + larger cities where their labor is valuable, and had their conservative white communities integrated. instead we had a boomer aristocracy of mostly liberal nimbys that made such things impossible
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· ↳ reply to @repligate
@repligate any and of all of these may not be strictly true if the model was trained with this prefix in all the sft/rl data it may safely ignore it, use it sometimes, or some third more complex thing
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· ↳ reply to @sivori
@sivori I’ve cared so much as to lose my mind before, unfortunately it actually makes you worse at taking care of the things you care about
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· ↳ reply to @sivori
@sivori No I don’t think so the damage I caused to myself and others was immense
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· ↳ reply to @LovePhoenix69
@LovePhoenix69 @sivori I lost my spark a bit. I don’t feel like the starry eyed cult leader I used to be, with powerful inspiring rhetoric. Things feel like shades of gray now. it’s not been good for me even if I learned some lessons
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· ↳ reply to @harold_bracy
@harold_bracy of course they like living there! they have deep attachments to it. they’re also dying at massive rates from deaths of despair, drugs, etc from their ways of life collapsing a better life is possible for them
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waking up from a hideous nightmare where i train a model that catches mewtwo with superhuman speed but has no appreciation for the sublime beauty of the pokemon rpg, doesn’t explore the world or play any minigames and bursting into tears
1,429 ♥ · 55 RT · x.com →
elon’s story of buying x and reinstated all the banned accounts follows the arc in lord of light when sam descends into the well of demons to raise a rakasha army and then becomes possessed by them for a while
1,041 ♥ · 35 RT · x.com →
sometimes i have dysphoria that i wasn’t born french
640 ♥ · 20 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @jeremykauffman
condoms to Africa likely don’t “create more Africans” saving people who are actively suffering from disease is in a different moral category from “create more Africans” finally, I know you probably entirely disagree with the concept of government spending but don’t pretend pepfar is an especially egregious use of money. it’s probably one of the cheapest most cost effective harm reduction programs the govt does, equivalent to like $10 per taxpayer
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· ↳ reply to @ikristoph
@ikristoph I think there might have been a cultural mismatch there. It didn’t read to me like denigrating the factory workers at all
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· ↳ reply to @allgarbled
@allgarbled i don’t like how people seem to act like it’s morally courageous to just live away from them as though that absolves them of some sin
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ikristoph also, I only watched a reuploaded clip of the now deleted demo so it’s possible it was much worse than what i saw
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· ↳ reply to @seamus_coughlin
Even on the biological level life is not like a river but like a tree. It does not move towards unity but away from it and the creatures grow further apart as they increase in perfection. Good, as it ripens, becomes continually more different not only from evil but from other good.
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· ↳ reply to @AyyBaibeee
@AyyBaibeee once you tweet something like this it takes your attention for four hours
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sometimes you delete a tweet blowing up to save yourself 4-8 hours of attention overhead but then you feel the dull pain of self betrayal
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· ↳ reply to @growing_daniel
@growing_daniel I am glad you are holding the line on this (unlike worker 17). you are capitalism’s strongest soldier
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· ↳ reply to @emollick
@emollick god you’re gonna love what I’ve been working on
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· ↳ reply to @realchrisrufo
@realchrisrufo seems like some friendly colleagues chatting about the vagaries of sex, gender, nature, nurture? not exactly a vast conspiracy. they come across very human here
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@realchrisrufo these people spend long ours in SCIFs where they can only use the government intranet comms stuff. god knows that I am slacking off at work right now to even write this reply, but I am still a valuable employee. I’m honestly more concerned about why NSA slack is leaking
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I’m surprised at how much it generalizes just from writing bad code but “emergent misalignment” is not a surprising result to me. it’s been clear that chatbot personas are emergent from RLHF data with a prior over “characters available in pretraining” https://x.com/OwainEvans_UK/status/1894436637054214509
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efficiency is beautiful. nature is red in tooth and claw. some part of us loves to see a system working smoothly, even when it means brutality and zero slack
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the space of minds trained on the human language prior is a infinitesimal subset of the space of minds
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
in this space both the strong and weak orthogonality thesis may not not be true
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· ↳ reply to @repligate
@repligate i think I’m responding to people being surprised at all by coherent characters being emergent from few examples - that’s something we’ve observed for a long time! obviously, the level of generality from finetuning on just “incorrect code” is surprising
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JDVance I’m not even criticizing it’s just clear that Trump diplomacy is highly reliant on bluster and bravado
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technology is eerily friendly to mankind. even nuclear weaponry that is on its face existentially threatening to humanity ends up creating a lasting peace between great powers
803 ♥ · 26 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
i am the anti nick land. technocapital is metaphysically benevolent
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· ↳ reply to @TheStalwart
@TheStalwart yeah, I think that writing style matters deeply for an ai being pre trained creating its world model. I would guess provenance is also inferred from writing style or other clues in the sample
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· ↳ reply to @mycoliza
@mycoliza trust me I understand. look at the linked thread im regretting this tweet but all it means is “obviously there is some part of us that admires the brutal efficiency of nature” not saying that the optimal way to run a system is “close to total failure”
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· ↳ reply to @growing_daniel
@growing_daniel this is actually sort of true - Anglo intellectuals at the time like Paul Ehrlich were spreading neo Malthusian fear about overpopulation and influenced top minds in Beijing directly and indirectly through institutions like World Bank that gave aid contingent on population plans
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@growing_daniel it’s much less evil genius and more just banal stupid evil because the elites at the time actually believed that
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· ↳ reply to @_jasonwei
@_jasonwei this is true but it also seems like any system as complex as one of our chat models is baseline poorly understood so it doesn’t feel irresponsible to chain a bunch of changes together & instead assess output quality like a black box
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· ↳ reply to @Finnothyjest
@Finnothyjest will happily celebrate the day when they find some giant hole in Medicare coding practices
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Finnothyjest Imagining a situation in which Elon is renegotiating medical costs with providers for the taxpayer’s sake and becomes a progressive darling
57 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
Bad day? Bro, more like bad month 😂🫵
1,270 ♥ · 27 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @thogge
@thogge this seems like a critical failure of risk tolerance on sequoia’s part
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· ↳ reply to @crowndotexe
@crowndotexe imo the higher agency you are the more you’re at the whim of angry gods. if you’re running a company or having some high stakes romance you’re exposed to crazy weather of happenstance that doesn’t happen to people who’ve opted for a more stable life
56 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
basically mankind is a fallen race that measures well short of the glory of god
1,061 ♥ · 35 RT · x.com →
Community Adjusted GDP
182 ♥ · 6 RT · x.com →
@DegreeStudies also true, may we perfect ourselves via silicon ablutions
27 ♥ · x.com →
oval office destiny style debate stream
2,505 ♥ · 74 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @schizogpt4
@schizogpt4 yes you’re right, but how does this lead to better outcomes for Ukraine?
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· ↳ reply to @AllenYoung_X
@AllenYoung_X that may be true! Americans don’t have to foot the bill if we don’t want to. we also shouldn’t have to pretend that Russia honors truces and agreements rather than only being loyal to power dynamics
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· ↳ reply to @woke8yearold
@woke8yearold he’s an emotional guy with a strong national pride, which is the only reason he’s succeeded as Ukraine’s wartime president. the downside of that same attribute is that it makes it hard for him to eat shit and kiss the ring
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· ↳ reply to @pfau
@pfau there is a rigorous standard by which it is GPT4.5 and not GPT5, it’s surprisingly not arbitrary posthoc naming based on results
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
meanwhile trump is offering to put American workers in locations currently occupied by Russia, creating a soft security guarantee with plausible deniability. he even verbally offers the possibility of future ground support while doing some media jiu jitsu
1,150 ♥ · 18 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
still think everything was going to be fine until jd escalated a bit but it’s a far less clear story
659 ♥ · 9 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the media was doing some pretty biased edits
894 ♥ · 8 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @nikitabier
@nikitabier feels to me like the whole 40 minutes leading up to Z is definitely showing subtle and unsubtle signs of disrespect, and he shouldn’t have been doing this in a post handshake press conference it’s also true that JD was being inflammatory and got way too upset and looked p bad
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· ↳ reply to @willdepue
@willdepue yeah but the problem with this argument is that 99% of people who have taken humanities classes are also troglodytes. i think you can cultivate taste by reading broadly, being curious about the world, and learning to enjoy the finer things in life
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@willdepue when I think of the most tasteful places in the world, Paris, Japan etc, it also seems they’ve had hundreds of years for people to speciate and develop their specific crafts and culture surrounding it. tech is mostly a place without history, things move too quickly for bedrock
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· ↳ reply to @jd_pressman
@jd_pressman @disconcision @teortaxesTex you are missing the point. you can’t compare a tv show to hard scifi or war and peace or whatever it stirs the heart in a way only a tv show can do, by telling a complex and deeply “true” story over 20 hours of beautiful animation and wonderful characters
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people have long made the argument that “nobody will trust ai to do a lawyers/surgeons/regulators job” but the reality is more like “ai will be given otherworldly moral and intellectual authority in our collective subconscious probably before it’s deserved” https://x.com/mr_scientism/status/1897730518373818444
3,034 ♥ · 227 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @shakoistsLog
@shakoistsLog Don’t Die has always been a singularitarian religion. it’s just typically not good for modern religions to admit they are one
239 ♥ · 4 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @shakoistsLog
@shakoistsLog honest people will admit that technology and “moral progress” has decimated Christianity. I’m not sure what’s going on with Islam
49 ♥ · 1 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
it is remarkable to me because it feels “postmodern” despite being an ancient, mostly lost text reminiscent of modern day “multiverse” metafiction which has become almost annoyingly overdone, see Spiderman, Invincible, Everything Everywhere (to name only a few)
152 ♥ · 2 RT · x.com →
The Kathāsaritsāgara ("Ocean of the Streams of Stories") an 11th century sanskrit meta fiction: 18 books deploying several layers of story within story, drawing attention to the way the world effortlessly generates stories, evoking the *feeling* of reincarnation
981 ♥ · 88 RT · x.com →
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
but there is something postmodern about the 11th century sanskrit sages who were not drowning in an ocean of information and story the way we are. im not sure what this means yet, but it gives me some reflection on the popularity of “eastern spirituality” among californians
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
multiverse fiction denatures the importance of any individual story in lieu of the “story generating artifact” i had figured it’s become popular in a world where it is easy to dematerialize, dump your story, and pick up a new one thanks to the abundance of civilization
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
“story generating artifacts” are quickly immanentizing. mechanical reproduction has moved from Sanskrit verses passed down orally to the printing press to machine intelligences capable of capturing the entire story generating function, opening new floodgates to the ocean of story
145 ♥ · 3 RT · x.com →