@koaleszenz the head tax also incurs no deadweight loss. doesn't make it a good idea
@epimetheusthaII @koaleszenz All capital is monopolistic and benefits from vast varieties of unearned externalities
@ahardtospell You have to find a perfect Zen between starved and stuffed to go shopping, otherwise you’ll come back with the wrong amount
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Smart people are too skeptical of AI and ML because the consultant class has hooked onto these terms to leech money from the credulous
But never forget that we’ve solved computer vision and speech recognition in the last 5 years, and close to real time universal translation
Not to mention beaten Go, pro-level Starcraft, etc
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@traditionrevolt we don’t really even understand what self awareness is, but neither did the evolutionary machine that built us. I feel we’ll probably stumble across it before we recognize it for what it is
@Teleonomic If I knew this I’d be working on it myself :)
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@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel What are those wrong reasons exactly? Do you have a monopoly on reasons to do good things? It’s more selfish to help your neighbor who’s struggling mildly vs the child half way across the world who’s struggling mightily. All human lives have value; not merely American ones
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@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel Thomas Hobbes said it best; humans help others for selfish reasons. It causes us pain to look upon someone struggling, and drives us to help. But to work on alleviating struggling that you can’t even see is exceptional
@CreativeChrisX I’m not a socialist. I’m trying to get you to question your assumptions
@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel what is it that you think bang for your buck means? do you think they're profiting off of giving money to the right areas? do you hate efficiency? i'm truly confused. when you have limited resources and vast ocean of people suffering, you should spend it wisely.
@Teleonomic but I do think we are on the cusp of building production-level factory robots that can learn
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@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel well, for example we recently saw Marc Benioff give $30 million to end homelessness in SF and pat himself on the back ceaselessly for doing so. These funds probably won't even help house a 1000 people for 10 years
@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel whereas e.g. the Gates Foundation has given away bed netting to prevent malaria in high-risk regions. They estimate that every $3000 spent on bed netting saves a human life. That's 10,000 human lives saved with Benioff's "generous" donation
@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel I mean I appreciate your criticism if you're speaking from a utilitarian angle. I'm interested in the specific examples though
@tiffani @miles_k @impcapital @nabeel you're making a strangely capitalist argument regarding people selfishly choosing things that are of particular interest to them to donate. wasn't really expecting this. mostly agree with you though
@AOCummies Adam the First Simp requested that god make him an egirl
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@jinyeom95 >99% on image net is pretty good!
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@jinyeom95 Looks like sota is 98.7%, which is pretty close. But we literally have autonomous cars driving around so it’s hard to say vision hasn’t been “solved”. I’m sure there’s lots of improvements left to make but it’s a 0->1 jump from having no vision to having vision
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@anomiseditrix Every day millions of people speak to their voice assistants and get pretty good results. This is just moving the goalposts tbh
@jinyeom95 By solved I don’t mean that there’s nothing left to do. I mean we can do these things at a level of reliability that they can be productized
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Loling because there’s a bunch of academics agreeing with me and a bunch disagreeing. But my everyday experience doesn’t deceive : my phone scans my face to let me in and I can talk to it reliably
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@hondanhon @jinyeom95 i mean you seem really angry at me when we just have a semantic disagreement on what solved means. it's clear there's been a step function change on the capabilities of CV in the last decade
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@hondanhon btw I am an academic at the moment so ...
@hondanhon it doesn’t just work for me, it works for the billions of people using CV and speech recognition enabled products across the world
@hondanhon @jinyeom95 So if a technology is negatively effecting someone it isn’t solved lol? What kind of heuristic is that! We definitely solved nuclear weapons, but that didn’t make anyone in Hiroshima happy
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@hondanhon @jinyeom95 Tech is a blunt weapon that you can use for evil or good or something in between. In the coming decade, the Chinese will use CV to create an authoritarian panopticon. They can do so because CV has matured. We will also use CV to save thousands of lives from driving accidents
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@jinyeom95 @hondanhon I’m not sure what I’m conceding to. It seems we’re politically bickering over what “solved” means. I’m fully ovr that there’s conferences like CVPR and that CV is an active research area. But it’s matured to a point where we can do very cool things with it. This important to note
@jinyeom95 @hondanhon what's not true? that we aren't able to do interesting things with it?
@shelbyspees @hondanhon @jinyeom95 shelby, thanks for your response. I get where you're coming from, but I have to say that I feel there's probably no technological system that's 100% fallible, and thank god we have a stable regulatory system for testing dangerous things like autonomous driving
@shelbyspees @hondanhon @jinyeom95 i'd say online payments is solved and yet there's probably some reasonably amount of theft and data loss every year. my point being: CV is a tech that's rapidly maturing and everybody should be looking into what they can do with it.
@hondanhon @jinyeom95 the burden of proof will always be on the technologist to demonstrate that they're doing better than human level. no amount of my tweets will change that.
@hondanhon @jinyeom95 autonomous cars will not be legalized until the tech companies have proven that they're 10x safer than human drivers. all technologies will have an error rate. it's as simple as this: does it do better than a human? if so, it's irresponsible NOT to deploy it
@antimule I think often the hangups with self-driving systems are not the vision module but rather the driving logic systems. these tend to be brittle and unable to adapt to novel situations at the moment
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@jinyeom95 @hondanhon this is the "black box" argument, but as I always repeat -- humans are black boxes too. How do we fix the fact that humans fall asleep at the wheel sometimes?
@hondanhon @jinyeom95 i mean, this wasn't really a utilitarian claim. I didn't say the good outweighs the bad or anything like that. more a statement of observations. you seem to be grafting arguments you've seen prior onto mine
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@jinyeom95 @hondanhon ok, I have a question for you. What empirical testable thing would you need to see to be able to call computer vision "solved"? Is it nothing short of AGI?
@jinyeom95 @hondanhon I appreciate that there is ambiguity, but like I said, if we think like this then literally nothing is ever solved. when CV topples some big milestone, we will continually move the goalposts. which is why I am choosing my own subjective definition. feel free to disagree w me
@hondanhon @jinyeom95 I think my basic point is that underestimating the capabilities of these techs is as egregious as overestimating them. That's lots of human welfare left on the table.
@hondanhon @jinyeom95 on the day to day, I experience more AI pessimism than optimism, but I understand it can be grating if the opposite is true for you
@AOCummies stupid game they’re playing bc outbreaks should be exponential not linear 🤔
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@CascadianSolo fair enough but it’s immensely stupid to “test” someone before their first date. I think what actually happened is that the text she sent was true and she made up a story for twitter to save face and get attention
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Another indication CV is solved: as OpenAI and DeepMind grapple with real time games, their agents directly interface with API observations instead of reading the gamescreen: they know it can be done, so they’d rather save the compute time
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@shelbyspees @jinyeom95 By productize I mean “deliver valuable outcomes to real people in search, social networks, medicine, consumer electronics, cars, etc etc etc”. This is all happening today. You seem to have interpreted my tweet for the slimiest possible version of “productized”
@shelbyspees @jinyeom95 And I thank the consultants for instilling that gut reaction in people. Cheers!
Presented without comment
https://x.com/amartincastro/status/1223407933205037057?s=21 https://x.com/jrockandrollt/status/1223407933205037057
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@akhivae This 5% figure is drastically understated, Christians in rural areas rarely indicate they’re Christians on official censuses
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@NikkiHaleyfan93 That’s right
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ATM I wouldn’t trust an AI system to make kill decisions, but keep in mind the alternative is sending out a trigger happy 18 year old to kill or be killed. It would be great to see the future of warfare be entirely about our robots fighting their robots https://x.com/nypost/status/1223669369143808005
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@dickcheneyscou1 true, the real endgame is that both sides can predict with perfect accuracy who’ll win and avoid the whole shebang
@Bluexiteer @dickcheneyscou1 Interesting, is there anything by him in particular that I should look up?
Presented Without Comment
https://x.com/verge/status/1223737308106625026?s=21 https://x.com/verge/status/1223737308106625026
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Still reeling from when @clairlemon claimed you couldn’t prove anything about real life by analyzing theoretical data distributions, thereby destroying the entire field of statistics
You may not like it, but this is what peak performance looks like https://x.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1223694446295863296
@browserdotsys Big Yud is a good name for a bomb
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@ESYudkowsky @UDepravity @parallaxoptics @bronzeagemantis Ya gotta start charging for these pics man
time to bring these memes back to swing the iowa caucus
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@ESYudkowsky @UDepravity @parallaxoptics @bronzeagemantis My guy, the utilitarian gain on this photo is enormous. props on the weight loss!
absolutely ethered, because this is the nerd version of "i look so ugly in this pic Q.Q"
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@Tyler_The_Wise @_chismosa_ The job is paying you for a service. You are paying the professor for a service. We’re seriously Stockholm Syndrome’d when it comes to universities
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@cinjoncin Correct me if I’m wrong, but most of these seem like a train set augmentation issue? the limitation is with the data economics. when there is sufficient demand for some currently out of distribution classifier, someone will collect the data
@cinjoncin This is not to be flippant about e.g. people with regional accents who are inconvenienced, but to say that we won’t have *perfect* generalization until we reach ASI. Hell, humans have a hard time understanding a new accent for the first time
@BuckwheatS @NicholasElodeon @GravelInstitute @BernieSanders lmfao are you suspicious that his name is nick?
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@OldDreyfusard Theism mingled with Liberalism is an incoherence :)
@MadelineOnMars @OldDreyfusard See the following
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@wesleyytian Winning
@OldDreyfusard @MadelineOnMars I don’t think it’s a meaningless argument. I think these are important staircases of thought to descend, because it’s at the intersection of our ideologies that logic frays the most
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@wesleyytian tell that to e.g. Middle East factions fighting for power or China annexing SCS territories
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@wesleyytian mb but that doesn’t tell the whole story. War is in decline due to mutually assured destruction. This is why US x China x Russia maintain nuclear stockpiles and large standing armies
@jdcmedlock Gonna reply with this to all of your posts from now on
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Nah screw this attitude. Let future generations know how goddamn hilarious we all were https://x.com/Noahpinion/status/1223767975414468609
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You can hear the ghosts of Chernobyl if you listen carefully https://x.com/rob_schmitz/status/1223678484314112000
@UDepravity @ESYudkowsky @parallaxoptics @bronzeagemantis Little bit of Column A, little bit of Column B
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@AOCummies “gym rock”
@AOCummies mini Mike asking for a stool ...
@NikkiHaleyfan93 @The_Albatross That’s right
@CascadianSolo Why so much yang hate? Obv he has no shot at winning, but he’s been running a very techno optimist platform, exactly what we need rn
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@CascadianSolo Every low polling candidate has diehards who think they’re about to knock it out of the park
people who read a ton of pop nonfiction are insufferable. got zero knowledge and a lot of confidence. get real kid, just browse twitter like the rest of us
@NicholasElodeon Can you check this on the app
@HITmonHusain Ur right
.@NYTimesWordplay <10 minutes, what do I win?
@sonyasupposedly answering no is counter signalling and therefore cringe
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@CascadianSolo we all know he’s wrong about automation but it’s like the least interesting thing to be wrong about in this cursed election cycle. Basically:
https://x.com/noahpinion/status/1224173373393031171?s=21 https://x.com/Noahpinion/status/1224173373393031171
@jdcmedlock just👏give👏money
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@balajis If you head into any dense area this whole thing is fucked
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@ironically_edgy Poggers
That’s not how offsets work you absolute idiots https://x.com/BrentScher/status/1223990576586117121
@The_Albatross @kar_nels @jdcmedlock when my k-12 schools sold supplies they would always be more expensive than Office Depot etc. And I assume they weren’t trying to profit off of me so the procurement must not have been very good
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@The_Albatross @kar_nels @jdcmedlock Free school lunch is probably still good regardless of the waste but most school districts are under a Sodexo monopoly and they’ll charge whatever the hell they want
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@liminal_warmth All sorts of weird nutrition and natural remedies type stuff
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@asteroid_saku Soon I will become a living god
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getting morbid out here ...
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me: Nate silver is smug and sometimes unpleasant lol poopoo peepee
Some lame nerd: well akshually if u knew what a Bayesian statistic was,
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If BLOOMBERG wins Iowa then it’s all over
Bloomberg and his heirs will inherit the country for a thousand years of corporate monarchy. The only currency will be Bloomberg subscriptions
Saez, Zucman, Piketty all came out to vote https://x.com/Expats4Warren/status/1224441385505308680
@fsihao lmfao is YANG a real fund
@Noahpinion @eade_bengard @ShooterMacGyver he has to be wrong by several orders of magnitude for renewables to rival nuclear fuel in the long run
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@Noahpinion @eade_bengard @ShooterMacGyver you can't solve the power problem with only renewables except with massive energy storage solutions, which are still not feasible
@Noahpinion @eade_bengard @ShooterMacGyver and it's not about the aesthetic like you keep saying either. in a lot of ways the idea of a modular grid where individuals own their own solar panels is super appealing to libertarian types. on the flipside, giant nuclear installments are best run by the government
Just cackling madly rn, on the verge of tears
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Klobuchar interns dying by the minute. Undergrads being drawn and quartered
This is why nobody trusts government to run anything. They've failed to bug test an app that COUNTS UPWARD
@jdcmedlock two party oligopoly must be trust busted
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@jdcmedlock what's really ridiculous is that this sort of software procurement is handled by state level party officials instead of bought in bulk nationally and tested by thoroughbreds
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my lasting opinion from tonight is that the major parties should be run by software engineers :)
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"Chaos is a ladder" https://x.com/PeteButtigieg/status/1224564353040625665
In times of chaos we can only trust the markets
self-replication rules everything around me
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@mattparlmer Java applet
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@NateSilver538 The markets KNOW
@ahardtospell It’s possible to signal organizational competence
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This website will be EXTREMELY LIT for the next 4 months and I know you degenerate bastards love it https://x.com/ryxcommar/status/1224758756543811586
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@OldDreyfusard @Aelkus @AndrewSshi @IRHotTakes @WomanCorn Seems that egregores and related discourse are tangential to rationalism at best. The so called post rationalists are the ones that love to talk about egregores
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@Sharon_Kuruvila Centrist programmer with a theological mystique?
CS people are either highly religious or complete atheist rationalist types, there’s no in between
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@csuwildcat wrong on all points. a king has to face constant threat from his liege lords accumulating too much power, not to mention foreign threats. the ownership of capital & property rights in general are backed by military force
@csuwildcat there's no doubt that instagram and facebook will be wiped it before long. it's part of the company culture that something better always comes along. but my point is, that if august zuckerberg ever inherited facebook that would be unjust for however long she kept it
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@csuwildcat So you’re in the taxation is theft camp? As someone who works on decentralized systems I’m sure you understand coordination problems?
@csuwildcat (btw I am a red blooded capitalist. I am pointing out a flaw in the usual utilitarian capitalist argument)
wtf is this clown market
is Joe Biden really this fucked?
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@jdcmedlock yeah they seem to be wildly overvaluing Bloomberg
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@not_bullwinkle they did better than most pollsters in the prior election cycle
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@thee_snek @NikkiHaleyfan93 bruh anyone that believed this for a second gets the guillotine
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@ChrisCroy @jdcmedlock Bloomberg terminals have predictit price tickers i'm sure of it
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@wannabegroncho Yep. Computer logic turns you into a fundamentalist
@wannabegroncho yeah there's a bit of both probably. i've become more logical since i started programming but i've always been more logically oriented than average
@NickMeier21 I think it's way early to call that, but I'll admit it's not looking good. I bet this thing goes to a contested convention
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@LukeDashjr it also usually implied that that authority is passed down from God through bloodlines i.e. the pharaohs of egypt being descended from the sun god Ra
@LukeDashjr I think it's more a longstanding civilizational archetype than an aspect of any specific society
@MaxGurewitz Yep, but are there alternatives that produce better outcomes?
I wasn't before, but I'll become a mayor pete stan if it angers the Bernard Brothers https://x.com/_Jason_Dean_/status/1224836110750228481
@aquariusacquah it really does seem that the entire support for Bernie stems from the most juvenile populist locus of emotional frustration, more so than anyone else. They literally want this guy to come into office and own their more successful neighbor with taxes or smthng
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@aquariusacquah the ethos behind the warren camp is nothing like this despite the economic leftism
@litgenstein Are there any true laws?
fam what’s my brand https://x.com/Sharon_Kuruvila/status/1224780015373627393
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if u say extremely online i will fight you
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@NickMeier21 if I was hankering for the Zucc I’d be on Facebook :)
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@man_ditch RIP
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@NeoliberalFed @AOCummies Wait who was on which side
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@jdcmedlock “welfare universalism can be hidden anywhere” - the medlock thesis
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@howaryamaan That’s my only consistent view
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@AOCummies I’m a devoted yes-man
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@ryxcommar @ne0liberal APPEASEMENT
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@ne0liberal Support anything that leads to a swifter takeover by the Culture Minds
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@whstancil Ppl still out here trying to west wing their way to victory
@NeoLibBen I love it
God please shut up
It’s the classic Keynesian beauty contest. We LARP these things into existence just by believing other people believe them https://x.com/antirobust/status/1224988819390443526
@eigenrobot @wesyang Doesn’t really add up when you take into account the fact that many different kinds of Asian Americans top the charts without ever having known Confucianism. The truth is simpler: the US performs a eugenic brain drain by accepting only the exceptional immigrants
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@Human9b6c432f Im boutta try
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These boys r putting out teaser trailers for the vote count https://x.com/iowademocrats/status/1225170253778444291
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@vgr learning
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@ironically_edgy Yep
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Bernie Sanders is a total loser. In 25 years in US senate he introduced 3 successful bills, 2 of which were to rename post offices. Before he was on taxpayer dime he was a general failson, never held an actual job, and so rose twitter sees a lot of themselves in him
a lot of the more reasonable bernie voters say "he seems like he cares though!" which in politics is about as useful as an anti vax mom who loves her kids a lot. it's a machiavellian death game, not a PBS show.
you can see the psychological landscape of the bernie voter from how much they hate bernie's exact foil, Mayor Pete. their perfect enemy is the young striver with no different upbringing than their own that's able to be successful while playing the game
every single complaint is the same - "he's not a fuckup". there are giant accounts who are genuinely saying mayor pete's politics will kill them despite his platform being no more passable than bernie's. they're both for free healthcare and free college
these people are at war with both exceptionalism and meritocracy because they were judged by those machines and were found lacking
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@dickcheneyscou1 I agree that it’s impossible to be good at politics without being some sort of lightweight utilitarian psycho. Which is why sanders shouldn’t be president
@dickcheneyscou1 This says more about the Vermont electorate than about Bernie Sanders. He lives in a hard blue state and pursued hard blue idealism. There’s never been an ounce of ambiguity he’s had to deal with
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@aquariusacquah you’re right that I’m doing the same thing that I’m criticizing. It’s because I’m mad. I’ll try not to. but I disagree that there’s any serious movement building a la Obama. It’s more like moving a handful of lefties moving further left. Justice Dems won like 8/72 districts
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@Jebisabigfatmes The challenges are fine. It’s the next part where he accomplished nothing after years and years that’s more important
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@rockyavalon co-sponsor means nothing. Some of these bills have 50+ sponsors
@rockyavalon re election means very little
https://x.com/donna_freitag/status/1225225031933841408?s=21 https://x.com/donna_freitag/status/1225225031933841408
say it loud and clear for your idiot blue check armies my guy https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1100200252525764608
@onebuttsenough it's not about me. i'm talking about pete. it's about capable and highly privileged people who spend their early lives not even trying to pursue the typical means of financial success, and then blaming government if it doesn't work out. See the replies: https://x.com/max_read/status/1224823038182612994
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@BlackLabOlive based and uspspilled
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Theres no entertainment like PredictIt comments
@aquariusacquah lol I’m pretty confident he lost. Still hodling tho
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@OldDreyfusard We are rivals now
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@NicholasElodeon UBI better. Say you lose your job right after tax season. You’re fucked. No govt paycheck for you because they’re basing it off of last years income. Better to give biweekly paychecks to everyone and take it back from those who don’t need it in taxes
@SmartArseUSA im deleting my account if any of my shit ever finds its way to brooklyn podcast twitter
@Taylor_Workman @NicholasElodeon the other argument is that universalist policies get mainstream buyin. there's no shame in receiving government paychecks if everyone is getting them
@dickcheneyscou1 AIPAC is a minor lobbying influence compared to other players. I used to think like this in 2016, which is why I voted Sanders, but the reality is that the dems do as good a job as possible balancing the interests their various constituencies.
@dickcheneyscou1 Jimmy Carter was a good man and a totally useless president. LBJ was by all accounts kind of a dick and managed to pass the most sweeping civil rights reform in generations. you need hardballing pragmatists in office, not feckless idealists
the political theater of Pelosi tearing up the trump speech is literally as old as democracy. its no different than Cato the Elder spilling a bunch of Carthaginian figs in the Roman Senate to convince them to go to war. if you're remarking that it's pointless, you don't get it
@Taylor_Workman @NicholasElodeon to be fair I think they would brutalize NIT just as badly despite whatever Milton Friedman said
@ironically_edgy anarcho capitalism more or less makes sense e.g. the society described in 'The Moon is a Harsh Mistress'. the problem is that property rights are only protectable with violence, so protection rackets form. they join and grow bigger to seek higher rents. eventually, its a state.
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@ironically_edgy anarchic socialism is best described in 'The Culture' but it basically only becomes possible in a post scarcity AI utopian future
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@scum1999 @ironically_edgy stay mad nerd
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voltage is capital and current is labor
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market liberal king 👑 https://x.com/AjitPai/status/1225485792715341826
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@MenshevikM Rooting for someone to fail in the primary is completely different than saying you’re going to sit out the general. The primary is a time to express preferences for where to move the party
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@eigenrobot it's just a big diff eq with second order terms :^)
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This is actual a form of digital Georgism
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@wannabegroncho @ironically_edgy What we mostly want is dominion over each other. Material wealth is one way to express that desire. If wealth is freely accessible, then we’ll find different ways to play status games. You can already see this with “dematerialization” - we buy fewer material goods every year
@wannabegroncho @ironically_edgy If everyone can get a bigger spaceship it’s no longer a flex. If everyone can download a JB simulator, it’s no longer a flex. Etc. highly recommend reading “The Player or Games”
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@wannabegroncho @ironically_edgy I do see ur point though. There will always be inequalities of reputation and fame
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@robert_mariani @eigenrobot Yes but I can criticize the aesthetic that you’re expressing :)
Fashion is war
@dickcheneyscou1 @raising_hill He narrowly lost and the primary voter base is not super representative of the party
@rockyavalon use any measure you want, it doesn't look good
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/monkey-cage/wp/2016/04/07/hillary-clinton-was-a-more-effective-lawmaker-than-bernie-sanders/
@MrAdam566 @ironically_edgy Haven’t I def want to
@bufordsharkley You can improve land whereas you can hardly improve a radio frequency :^)
@bufordsharkley More specifically you can improve both but you can’t move a building to a new parcel fungibly
@bufordsharkley It’s not for no reason that serfs work harder for themselves after land reforms than when they were laboring on a rental plot from a feudal lord. Rented land loses allocative efficiency
https://academic.oup.com/ajae/ajae/article-abstract/60/1/19/172969
@CascadesVA2222 @Nate_Cohn if they use the correct ruleset it increases Pete's lead by +4
@AOCummies you have nothing to lose but your chains
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@dickcheneyscou1 @inspireprag He won with 25% of the primary vote man, and he’s gotta make a lot more friends to get it to the end.
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@dickcheneyscou1 @inspireprag There no doubt he’s frontrunner . But you gotta consider that the primary voters are more ideologically left than the majority of dems. And what would results look like if there are only two candidates?
@speechu @MaxMotsch p-hacking
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dems are running either a gay man or an atheist socialist
:')
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@micsolana Singularity already here
@aquariusacquah Ah fair enough. Weird, I totally thought he said he was an atheist. Part of the reason I liked him in 2016
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@aquariusacquah I mean I kind of have a sneaking feeling politicos lie about it in public, especially sanders and Obama. Understandable
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@AOCummies My fucking eyes
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@AOCummies I can’t watch this show anymore
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@NicholasElodeon @ironically_edgy did you make this? if so i will be needing the pete eye flare files pls send
@_Jason_Dean_ @JohnFetterman time to change ur screen name
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@aquariusacquah @kenklippenstein most MAGAs are not nazis, it's just the flirtation with the alt right adjacent information sources like breitbart that i'm saying is similar
@aquariusacquah @kenklippenstein and Tulsi is indeed a Bernie surrogate and i'm pretty sure she insinuated that the Douma tear gas attack wasn't real
@aquariusacquah @kenklippenstein she campaigned for him in 2016, she's no longer a surrogate but def a part of the sandersverse
@dickcheneyscou1 @aquariusacquah @kenklippenstein Bernie gets an insane amount of press. I don’t know what the media environment looks like for others
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@aquariusacquah @kenklippenstein I mean all of this ideation pretty much requires you to believe that the DNC coordinated the Iowa fuck up
https://x.com/cascadiansolo/status/1225642766333431808?s=21 https://t.co/mPIZ9geihC
@JordanUhl bernouts mad
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This predictit market has had nearly $6 million dollars in trade volume over the past 6 days. tbh kind of impressive
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@aquariusacquah Pete’s floating at 80 cents, so looks like they’re predicting a recount. I sold everything though lol. My heart can only take so many market swings
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@jdcmedlock Based Medlock
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it's kind of incredible that one of the craziest electoral upsets in decades literally didn't move the markets at all. did they already know? does a president not affect NPV of equities at all? (FTSE dropped 10% after brexit)
https://money.cnn.com/2016/11/09/investing/dow-jones-trump-wins-election/
@jdcmedlock Looks like there was a slump but started growing on a positive trajectory starting a few months before his election. Hard to see from this vantage I guess. Definitely not the chaos Krugman and others predicted at the time!
https://money.cnn.com/2016/11/04/investing/donald-trump-stock-drop-citi/index.html
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@jdcmedlock Looks like the hospital stocks had a major panic for fear of losing Obamacare patients and then recovered after realizing trump wasn’t touching it lol
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@sonyasupposedly It’s pretty crazy how hard it is to solve this information problem even in the internet age. I wouldn’t have thought it possible to contain a secret this large
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@similaralterity veep understands
https://x.com/veepism/status/615057048267403264
@CascadianSolo He’s joking
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I hate the libs for killing Al Franken. He absolutely could've ran in 2020 and won. you need a new york entertainer to counter another new york entertainer
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it's because you need to log off dude https://x.com/AntonioDramsci/status/1225786855653859328
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chapos are highly cringe. what is it you think bernie will do for you? cure your existential ennui? save you from the ills of consumerism? give your life meaning? nobody can do those things for you. this is straight up quasi-religious cult-like fervor
the chapo guy here is going mask off and admitting to what liberals have been saying this whole time -- everyone is materially better off due to capitalism. then he goes on to try and fill the hole in his heart where some fulfilling spiritual activity should be with BERNIE
it's absolutely fucking everywhere. this is disgusting, and really no different than the Trump worship we saw in 2016. he's literally just a milquetoast social democrat. your depression won't be cured after he makes some incremental improvement on our healthcare system
@aquariusacquah some humor account RTd it onto my feed lol ... sad
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@aquariusacquah my eternal torture is that most of the funniest accounts on this website are diehard bernie or busters
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@Jan_Hus_1369 I think the internet has really stepped down our "crowd computing" on some level ... our judgement abilities are becoming worse
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@Tyler_The_Wise this got thousand of RTs in chapo twitter
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@aquariusacquah yeah agreed ... but i suppose you can't really separate his appeal to young twitter celebs and his appeal to young ppl in general. as far as pete goes, almost all of the heat has to be from big bernie accounts
@browserdotsys When all 18-bit color is gone, we’ll double the spectrum
@discoursewinner And I respect that. I used to think so as well
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@jdcmedlock i don't know if this is true. my parents and their friends don't like him b/c he isn't a democrat. they're not exactly low info but not twitterbrain either
@_Jason_Dean_ take like 5 tabs, consult directly with the gods, and come back to us with an answer
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@dickcheneyscou1 I really don’t think there’s anyone who’s in fits of ecstasy over Obama or Hillary
@dickcheneyscou1 i think pretty much anyone with a brain doesn't like what SA is doing in Yemen, even the ex Obama people. once you're in office you become a cynical realist. "the world as it is"
@dickcheneyscou1 there are some really good memoirs from ex Obama staffers that disabused me of the notion that FP would be easy if dems weren't bought out. Highly recommend "The World As It Is" or "The Education of an Idealist". They're genuinely good books by hopeful people
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@_Jason_Dean_ he has the tone and meter of an untalented orator reciting an obama speech
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@ironically_edgy answer the question liz
the good thing about having coworkers is that they remind you when the normal human time to have lunch is
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@disableist Exactly. It’s all the same shit: the craving for power. At least normal politicians are honest about it
@ironically_edgy sure you just found it
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Galvanize and energize not polarize ...
kill me, why can’t pete talk like a human
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@nectarina12 https://x.com/adamfriedland/status/1219692789912391680?s=21 https://x.com/AdamFriedland/status/1219692789912391680
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@_Jason_Dean_ but somehow it’s based when he does it
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Bernie with some very milquetoast liberal takes tonight
It’s not typical of “38 year old grade grubber personality types” to make Hail Mary presidential runs
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@eigenrobot Americans always do it better
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@vgr ? Fashion and architecture are converging in all parts of the world.
Bernie has got typical old man energy. Ignores the question and goes off on his own shit
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Tom Steyer spends 90% of his on stage time to shill for Bernie
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@AgiaTheBun His FoPo stance especially seemed to be exactly in line with the party
@jdcmedlock Freedom For Kids Dividend in yang speak
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@ironically_edgy Stop buying bots
““Somebody puts up a shed that might obstruct my view by a foot, I can protest,” Stanek said. “But somebody can launch thousands of satellites in the sky and there’s nothing I can do? “
space nimbys GTFO
https://www.theatlantic.com/science/archive/2020/02/spacex-starlink-astronomy/606169/
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@jdcmedlock I have to say I love that he just admits Freedom Dividend polled the best. Refreshing
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@ne0liberal @ironically_edgy @NicholasElodeon @tranhoangcalvin Selling bathwater online is as neoliberal as it gets
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My hottest take is that OPRAH should’ve run. We are well into the era of the celebrity presidency, might as well embrace it now
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@aquariusacquah Yep. She’d win: you just need to know how to entertain
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@JohnCarltonKing @Noahpinion we make the economics not work via regulation written by fossil fuel companies and overzealous liberals
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@NeoLibBen Stop what you’re doing and watch Veep. and Succession for your “high neolib” aesthetics lol
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@CascadianSolo @JohnCarltonKing @Noahpinion safer iterations of nuclear plant design come out every year and we make it impossible to test them. bill gates’ nuclear company had been waiting a decade for approvals
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@Sharon_Kuruvila It’s a good question but I think it can be reasonably answered differently based on your moral axioms. e.g. If you’re religious shouldn’t you be teaching the aliens about Christ and saving their souls?
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@ImNotOwned @jdcmedlock not until the trump election. now they’re hardcore democrats (immigrant community)
@Sharon_Kuruvila Sounds to me like Rahner's just punting the question though. If you analyze a planet's culture and find they have no Jesus analogue then you've got work to do as a Christian.
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@Sharon_Kuruvila highly recommend this analysis of The Culture, a scifi civ that takes the exact opposite stance of the Prime Directive & is essentially a highly interventionist secular liberal galactic order
https://www.sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/
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@GerEEEEldo @Sharon_Kuruvila I’ve got no dog in this fight as an atheist but is there a difference between *will not* be saved and *can not*
@GerEEEEldo @Sharon_Kuruvila i mean they're not in any categorically different scenario than indigenous people on earth right? christian missionaries take it upon themselves to convert. in the future you'd send missionary droids to exoplanets :P
@GerEEEEldo @Sharon_Kuruvila Not sure it matters under the christian mythos if they have a soul right?
@NicholasElodeon @thee_snek this is a follow up good tweet. You’re learning
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@eigenrobot you wouldnt dare keep content this good away from the internet
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@eigenrobot @moodprobiotic this is the exact niche of twitter i always hoped i would find
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@jdcmedlock hate his chapo cultists, but I respect bernie. it's more that a nominee signals something about the direction of the party, and it's a direction I'm not a fan of
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@NicholasElodeon I think I’m gonna log off and come back for NH lol
@nwilliams030 how tf
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anybody that claims billionaires are acting in concert to screw everyone else is an idiot and their judgement isn't to be trusted. there's hundreds of them and they're all incessantly trying their damndest to destroy each other.
@antirobust i think if you pick something that basic they're also aligned with most of the people in the country. it's not really an interesting axis
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@antirobust even stuff like "wealth taxes on billionaires" you can find a handful of billionaires to support such a proposal
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@antirobust hmm i'm not sure what you mean. I think prices are *even more* important in SHTF scenarios. good example is when uber turned on surge pricing in a disaster zone and media got mad. without the surge, markets wouldn't have cleared and there wouldn't be enough drivers
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@DaanVanDenHam2 The Information Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race
@TankieSanders significant amount. there's a few people i regret pissing off, enough to make me consider making a new account
@THOTCrime lmfao it had to be said. you're braver than the troops
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@THOTCrime tbh shes above average but standing next to Matt the contrast makes her basically a model
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@Noahpinion keeps confidently tweeting that nuclear is dead and infeasible but he's just straight up wrong. Bill Gates wouldn't be pouring billions into Gen IV nuclear fission reactors if it wasn't a good investment. Trade regulation is delaying progress
https://www.axios.com/bill-gates-faces-daunting-nuclear-energy-future-6bafb442-d2a1-48c9-acd7-5492d62789a4.html
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@ryxcommar The market thinks there’s exactly 0% chance a dem will win
If someone puts PhD in their twitter name there’s a 100% chance they’re too proud of having one and a 90% chance it’s in some field bordering on pseudoscience
@Vermeullarmine @peternguyenn People on twitter joke about the spread of lethal infectious diseases. Maybe don’t take it so seriously.
https://x.com/olatinee/status/1225741981621637121?s=21 https://t.co/4w0U042iOV
@Vermeullarmine @peternguyenn It’s what’s called “morbid humor” but I’m not sure they have it in integralist hellworld
@rplevy who gets mad at people having phds?
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@GerEEEEldo Yep
@T_Walt615 lol I was actually subtweeting someone else but you’ll do
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@GerEEEEldo It’s the kind of credentialist bullshit that Americans hate. You don’t become a smarter or better person by adding titles to your name. Go back to England if you want to flex titles
@T_Walt615 nvm lol i just understood what you meant. Nice handle
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Steyer masturbates imagining Bernie putting him in some sort of BDSM guillotine and calling him a bad billionaire https://x.com/AsteadWH/status/1225955544760037377
@aquariusacquah lmfao you're so right. i should've workshopped this tweet long enough to think of findom
@aquariusacquah nothing new under the sun :(
What if we kissed ... and achieved human to human transmission of 2019-nCov viral pneumonia 😍😍
@riordainn just tell me where and when and i'll inform the CDC
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@howaryamaan lmfao i'm sure it already exists. someone in my replies better find it
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@J_Dot_J w r o n g
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@ne0agent1c You can condition a strong NLP model on a smaller text corpus; that’s how @dril_gpt2 works
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The fact that Bernie Bros hate mayor Pete specifically because he’s smart and ambitious reminds me exactly why I have a natural aversion to big government
@CascadianSolo Report it
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@Antifauxpas come & punch me bitch
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@ansells_cow @CascadianSolo Disinformation regarding elections
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@ansells_cow @CascadianSolo I guess you’re right, I clicked the third one but didn’t read too closely
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@jmeqvist @dickcheneyscou1 i was barely conscious then so i'll take your word for it
i know the twitter monetization is bad because in my years and years spent on this app i have never once clicked on an ad
whereas i've not only clicked on IG/FB ads but actually bought stuff from doing so
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in practice the truth rarely matters. what matters is that your beliefs are self-replicating. this is why liberalism always wins
https://www.sciphijournal.org/index.php/2017/11/12/why-the-culture-wins-an-appreciation-of-iain-m-banks/
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@Noahpinion this is basically the psychology of all leftist movements
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@ryxcommar The left won’t see it that way. If you ask trump supporters whether or not their guy has been a good president, they’ll wholeheartedly say yes regardless of lack of Wall, lack of repealing Obamacare, etc. You can’t fight a cult of personality in a rational way.
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@ryxcommar Hate the Sanders campaign for turning even nice account like Lauren’s into total assholes (or maybe showing their true colors?)
@LiberHomo1 @Robyn9124 I know but in popular language everyone says defcon 5 anyway
@ryxcommar “We have no confidence in your ability to identify macro political trends!”
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reminder that pretty much the whole electorate likes it when you're "tough on crime"
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@broque_monsieur @ryxcommar @olivia8k the idea that california is under the control of neolibs is laughable. the dominant ideology of the Golden state is 'homeownership'
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@broque_monsieur @ryxcommar @olivia8k it's a simple standard to see whether market liberals are in power: market liberals like cities, don't like zoning. so why are all the cities of california hot garbage?
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@woolie putting it in bio is far more reasonable than making your screen name 'woolie PhD' or something
@abhiprofen it's a classic case of 'deficit virtue signalling' that everyone does before when they're campaigning and immediately forget about when they come into office.
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reminder that they call him rat to make fun of his physical appearance e.g. weak chin
they'd absolutely be calling him worse if it was 20 years ago
@eigenrobot akshually the NPV of all future cash flows are priced into the domain,
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@sameoldstory definitely - their pitch is to trade in the worst band of assholes in American politics for the second worst
@FrancoLMij it wasn’t apparent to me at first, so i tweeted it
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@FrancoLMij making fun of a gay man's appearance on the grounds that it's not masculine enough seems pretty egregious
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@garlic_las @FrancoLMij strong chin usually seen as masculine
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@Occidentaljihad so much classier in bio
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@ironically_edgy I am roon, patron saint of a great night
@jdcmedlock Yes he absolutely should’ve. I think deep down he’s not a social democrat, that’s just the furthest left he can go and be palatable
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@garlic_las @FrancoLMij He has no chance of beating trump, I think his cult is full of assholes, and generally don’t like where he’s pulling the party
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@jdcmedlock You won’t get me this way, I’m a fan of unions 🙂
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@accountable_gov lol this is an idiotic argument in favor of *mandatory* national service. it’s illiberal af
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@Thingthingerson @accountable_gov universal expectation is just filler language to make it mandatory
@Thingthingerson @accountable_gov if that's the case then i'm fine with it
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I wonder what the highly religious think about neural nets & machine intelligence in general
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@alexmschatz So do they not deserve the same rights?
@alexmschatz that’s all fine and good but is it ok to rape or murder a sufficiently powerful machine intelligence?
@lastplace1414 there’s plenty of v religious CS people
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@lastplace1414 but I wonder if they’re under represented in machine learning
@T_Walt615 I feel we’re on the razors edge of having a Butlerian Jihad soon
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@neolibgraham lmao
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@logangraham @benekcj “Lead Clergy AI Expert” I love that our society has developed enough production capacity to maintain esoteric job titles like this
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@CascadianSolo Not popular necessarily but takes that reproduce i.e. stuff that induces rage in the opposition
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always surprised by super high follower accounts that have zero engagement. there’s way more bots than it appears at first glance
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@lastplace1414 I think every AI/ML practitioner regardless of what they work on get interested in the field due to the promise of AGI. If you think the true nature of intelligence is ethereal/metaphysical I can see this concept holding less interest
capital and labor’s interests are generally the same. It’s this understanding that makes liberalism tick https://t.co/JzfyqyWq4n
@MaxNighswander @alexmschatz Seems like a risky God of the Gaps type argument. If we invent a thinking machine does that disprove their faith? Would they just consider it not thinking?
@hamandcheese The Information Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race.
@neolibureaucrat A viscerally unconvincing argument, like solipsism
@MaxNighswander @alexmschatz what about the catholic argument saying life begins at conception!
@MenshevikM he’s not even respected in linguistics let’s be honest
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@MenshevikM universal grammar is good pop science but has completely failed to make any real world prediction
@jdcmedlock @TrueMelarki incredibly powerful
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@dickcheneyscou1 @MenshevikM Freud is the father of modern psychology, and it turns out most of his ideas are just coke addled rants
@DIorioNathaniel hope she notices this bro
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@dickcheneyscou1 @MenshevikM no one can deny that but his most important ideas haven’t held up over time. universal grammar was soundly disproven
any criticism about candidates being too young or inexperienced always strikes me as a very out of date framing. in the private sector, children rule whole empires from their college dorms
This Is The Future Liberals Want https://x.com/ssharmaUS/status/1226559077607788545
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tired: we should not intervene in iran because we messed up 70 years ago
wired: we should intervene in iran to fix the mess we made 70 years ago
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@BigBreakfastLob @hamandcheese why indeed
@ModLibChip yes
Parasite and Joker winning is just more proof that populism will remain dominant for another election cycle
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@uberfeminist He’s a smart guy but he’s also fundamentally a podcast grifter
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@AOCummies XK-class end of world scenario, prep the bunkers and start stockpiling ammo
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@jdcmedlock we shouldn’t drop nuclear at all
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@MarkORWalsh @jdcmedlock under a certain regulatory state and set of labor conditions
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this is basically a pornographic fantasy https://x.com/alon_levy/status/1188126395584667655
@KyleRic09273577 @AOCummies that’s where you’re wrong kiddo. All our institutions are sleeping at the wheel. We’re like sheep to the slaughter
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matt yglesias really did bend the knee whatever else you want to think about him lol
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@Yozarian22 he bent the knee months ago because he saw what was coming
absolutely clear from the predictit comments who these markets are cheering for and which way you should bet to profit on their bias
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@aquariusacquah lol true but i don't really believe that they believe that shit
@jdcmedlock true, which is why you should follow this logic to the natural conclusion and just give cash :)
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@jdcmedlock in seriousness though, is this really controversial? don't conservatives agree? e.g. milton friedman supported UBI over targeted welfare
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@jdcmedlock I’ve downloaded the lesson of your header photo and priced it into my models
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@JohnCarltonKing @CascadianSolo I frankly don’t give a shit about Pete and I’m here to say this is just lame boilerplate balance the budget rhetoric to attract voters who think of themselves as responsible and will likely result in no actionable results
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@JohnCarltonKing @CascadianSolo Since his main opponent is a progressive it makes perfect sense to try and differentiate himsel. In the general he can blame Republicans
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@ironically_edgy @NicholasElodeon @dncshill69 here’s an idea: the policy of individuals saving their own children engenders social cohesion and thus creates more utility than If everyone sold their child to the highest bidder
@danfarina @jdcmedlock this argument doesn't make sense to me. you're telling me you can kind find the political capital to pass M4A but not enough to break the licensing and hospital cartels?
@THOTCrime @jdcmedlock how much would it be?
@jdcmedlock @THOTCrime folks buy private insurance plans with their cash handout, so you'll end up doing all payor rate setting or some other price control scheme (patent prize). you can also take off many regulatory handcuffs if you can guarantee that people are able to afford basic plans
@danfarina @jdcmedlock there's a whole body of evidence surrounding occupational licensing reform in healthcare if that's what you're asking
https://www.brookings.edu/opinions/improving-health-care-through-occupational-licensing-reform/
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@danfarina @jdcmedlock even under a nationalized health insurance system you would want to reform the provider side, unless you want to deal with service shortages.
@danfarina @jdcmedlock you probably already know this, but the number of medical residencies offered per year in the United States hasn't changed in decades since AMA has a legal monopoly over granting residency spots. we can change this with the stroke of a pen.
@danfarina @jdcmedlock first of all I'll say this is a loaded question as no rich country really resembles us. you can't take results from e.g. Sweden and imagine they'll be replicated in the US. second, any example of breaking cartels in any industry applies as a a point of evidence
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@danfarina @jdcmedlock in the EU, you can transfer a medical residency from any country to another. The Swiss system most closely resembles free markets and their provider costs are much lower than ours I believe without rate setting
@jdcmedlock @THOTCrime yeah I agree that UCC is better, was just trying to reason about what a system with just UBI would look like
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@jdcmedlock @THOTCrime btw do you prefer UCC to the obamacare markets? I understand much depends on the specific policy parameters but if we're looking purely at an equivalent amount of budgetary spending
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@ironically_edgy i mean yeah it makes perfect sense if you want to go back to the living conditions of the hunter gatherers
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@NicholasElodeon RIP i forgot i have institutional access. ok give me a sec
this paper radicalized me on pharma
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6534750/
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@danfarina @jdcmedlock the credible spot to insert market dynamism is the provider side? patent and licensing reform. there's no debate that this would reduce costs; just a question of how much. https://blogs.wsj.com/experts/2014/09/18/millennials-may-feel-the-pain-of-a-u-s-doctor-shortage/
@danfarina @jdcmedlock "The United States has 50 percent fewer practicing physicians per capita than Sweden or Germany."
if US doctors are paid twice as much and there's half of them per capita than in similar countries you can imagine how much provider costs can be reduced just with licensing reform
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@danfarina @jdcmedlock And I love that I can say this now: famed Bernie supporter Matt Yglesias agrees ;)
https://www.vox.com/2014/6/9/5788630/4-radical-ideas-for-promoting-more-affordable-health-care
@danfarina @jdcmedlock Not sure how this comparison holds up. Operating systems aren’t fungible but doctors mostly are. We are facing shortages in all specialties
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@danfarina @jdcmedlock patients don’t pay doctors directly; hospitals or practices do. Those providers demand lower prices with a higher supply of doctors. A level above that insurers shop around for in network and out of network practices. While it’s crude, it does introduce market dynamics
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@danfarina @jdcmedlock the flu shot example is not really salient as it’s uncommon that a procedure covered by insurance has an over the counter alternative
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I am mere days away from bending the knee
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@ironically_edgy @NicholasElodeon @dncshill69 interesting. I’m still deciding whether this is based or cringe
@JohnCarltonKing @CascadianSolo i don't think you've given a good reason why other than "he's too inexperienced", which I absolutely do not care about. it takes a different mindset to solve problems than the one that created them
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lol he handled it with poise, and the joke clearly landed with the audience. y’all just mad https://x.com/greg_price11/status/1227022816937201664
@owenrumney are u asking for trump to 9/11 something
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this is the biggest casual flex I’ve ever seen. Took 2 companies public by age 40. goddamn I love this guy https://x.com/JohnDelaney/status/1226949975688564736
@Walker777007 what a man, what a MAN
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@Robyn9124 John Delaney or My Important Voting Bloc riots
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@JohnCarltonKing @CascadianSolo Someone unproven is better than someone who’s proven mediocre
@AOCummies imagine BLOCKING for this instead of just clicking unfollow
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subs are way better than dubs, you absolute animals
@CascadianSolo It hurt Biden in Iowa
me: I’m a utilitarian and consequentialist
also me: reads about politics all day even tho it does nothing for anyone
@dickcheneyscou1 fuck. I’ll have to start writing my explanation of “irony” for the employment courts
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@ne0liberal you guys need a dirtbag center podcast with more swearing and cum jokes. I will host it for you 😳
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@Noahpinion Promised Neverland is excellent
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nick mullen: yeah man ... mayor pete .... that shit sucks
adam: what if my ballsack was made of denim
me, listening: this,,, is genius
@eigenrobot there is a vague notion of the virtue of "being informed" so its maybe somewhat better defensible under virtue ethics
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@aquariusacquah my allegiance is to dirtbag centrism, emphasis on dirtbag
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@CascadianSolo Her turnout is more surprising
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this but unironically
For Bernie to win New Hampshire in a near tie when it’s basically Vermont part 2 is an abysmal showing. I’m taking this as a W for Pete.
@AOCummies Father Bernard will take us in
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@lirarandall Omg I love Knocking On Heaven’s Door. No idea you were following me!!
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@lirarandall best endorsement i could've gotten
@paulcrider galaxy brain internet commentator: the VP hand picked by the first black president has race issues
the black community:
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@nilesh12412 i bet on this exact outcome and won so i'm feeling great
@abhiprofen @paulcrider Yeah and they seem to have mostly moved to Bloomberg which doesn’t seem to help OPs case much lol
@Noahpinion poast your predictit portfolio noah
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@formerlycringe yeah im js he underperformed his polling whereas pete and amy both overperformed by a long shot. NH was supposed to be a Bernie blowout. he should be nervous
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@jdcmedlock well if you go by national delegates awarded ...
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@Noahpinion do your price signalling delivering duties
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@eigenrobot Steve Ballmer looks like hes perpetually coked up but the man is just excited
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@eigenrobot what company?
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@eigenrobot hmmm so it’s a FAANG that does government work
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@nectarina12 Bernie will execute everyone that didn’t show loyalty early enough, this is just good prax and common sense
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@TrayBridgewater @trepur349 cringe
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@ne0liberal They predicted and understood Yang better than any of u idiot beltway pundits
@ccopprell @jwpetersNYT Check the delegate counts
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@CliveDavies98 He’s a very good director so gotta give him a pass
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@Sharon_Kuruvila @Teleonomic Yeah I don’t begrudge Bong Joon Ho his anti capitalism
@MenshevikM it would have been a strict monotonic increase. You keep your old benefits if they’re better
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@RotemEren @halvorz The Ones Who Walk Away from Twitter
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@owenrumney Which is why she should stay in
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bernie will publically guillotine everyone who didn't bend the knee before super tuesday js yall better get in line
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there are basically two types of twitter accounts
1) wonks who make long analytical threads that explain difficult concepts and reference previous threads of theirs
2) reprehensible shitposters who have never said anything of value
im firmly in camp 2
@visakanv measure some electronic noise and turn it into a number
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@agraybee That’s how it should work? If the model was expecting one thing and a candidate underperforms, it should correct downward
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@agraybee He didn’t plummet either, just a small dip
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high tier cringe. be a capitalist, not a corporatist
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@TrentWTalley there are many good definitions of corporatism but the functional one I’m using here is the cargo cult worship of corporate window dressing instead of the act of creating value
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YEAH OF COURSE I know what a brokered convention is, I watched the Veep finale
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@GerEEEEldo Don’t lie Geraldo we know you’re in camp 2
@boombutton @MenshevikM which is a good thing. it’s not easy to prove under our system that you have a verified need. those few who’ve already registered for disability are doing fine
@Theophite This is the state of Zen all twitter poasters hope to achieve
Something like 15% of all Americans are Twitter daily active users so it’s maybe time to start thinking twitter is real life https://x.com/wesyang/status/1227421763002343424
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Nearly 25% are monthly active users
https://www.statista.com/statistics/274564/monthly-active-twitter-users-in-the-united-states/
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@jdcmedlock In fairness leftists often lose the ball on the incentives of government bureaucracies to be budget maximizing agents
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@7im @Theophite He has never faced an attack ad
I thought I was too plugged in, until my mom called me to redpill me on Lev Parnas
@similaralterity PredictIt contracts predicting how many Trump tweets there will be from date x to date y
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@TheThirdWillC the state of poasting zen we all wish to one day achieve
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Of all new and first time voters in New Hampshire, most went to buttigieg. If anyone’s starting a revolution, it’s our guy Mayor Pete https://x.com/lennybronner/status/1227460399416606720
the unsung heroes, the most maligned industry, saviors of millions, triggerers of libs, AMERICAN PHARMACEUTICALS https://x.com/wesyang/status/1227757697522634753
there’s nothing wrong with ‘buying your way to the candidacy’ via election ads CMV. a marketing war chest of billions won’t save a trash product. you can’t believe spending your personal fortune on election ads is bad unless you think advertising is itself evil and coercive
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granted i don’t like Bloomberg for other reasons but still
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@dickcheneyscou1 like I said if what you’re offering is worse than everyone else you can’t get that much traction — just look at steyer
@dickcheneyscou1 that’s true regardless of ads or not. I think bernie is vaporware.
@eigenrobot there is a special colosseum for this in DC where they fight to the death
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The Ones Who Walk Away From Twitter
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@dril_gpt2 that's right
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@dril_gpt2 also important to note that GPT-2 has essentially read the entire contents of the english internet
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@vroomyeung @LittleKeegs0 @Noahpinion @trepur349 @ne0liberal @BrendanBMcD @BadEconTakes berkshire hathaway is an active manager, so it's not the zombie capital i'm talking about. passive funds have eclipsed active funds:
https://money.com/index-funds-assets-top-active/
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@LittleKeegs0 @vroomyeung @Noahpinion @trepur349 @ne0liberal @BrendanBMcD @BadEconTakes "It is fair to worry that the government might make bad shareholder votes from time to time, but not reasonable to think that very affluent people will on average make better shareholder votes than a democratically-elected government."
that's where you're wrong kiddo
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@LittleKeegs0 @vroomyeung @Noahpinion @trepur349 @ne0liberal @BrendanBMcD @BadEconTakes another downside matt doesn't mention is that an SWF levied in some ways skews the incentives of government to be more corporatist and favor incumbents over startups (even more than it already does). depending on levy structure companies may choose to stay private forever
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