@tszzl — page 8/103

2020-01-15 → 2020-01-31 · posts 3501–4000 of 51,350
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer True but I think reasonable people can disagree where the line for something to be preserved rather than reused is. Likely much of the YIMBY/NIMBY discourse revolves around this
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this is the only thing I believe
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
The most important development in this video is that Tom Steyer is simping Bernie
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· ↳ reply to @zck
@zck Best tech reporting I’ve seen in years
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@AOCummies you will be tried for the crime of *checks notes* posting a dude’s publicly available photo
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· ↳ reply to @Altimor
@Altimor The timeline algorithm filters out most posts anyway, or ranks them very low. I only see posts from my mutuals and accounts that I interact with often, with a random smattering from the other ~4000 accounts
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Altimor Plus I’m gaming the social logic of follow4follow
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@dickcheneyscou1 There’s this mind blowing article showing that GPT-2 can play chess at a mediocre level. In all seriousness, it’s not very good, but it is GENERAL
@dickcheneyscou1 yeah I get the feeling we have no clue what the upper limits of the current paradigm is, and that the people saying AGI is far off have as little idea as the ones saying it’s close
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@dickcheneyscou1 Yes I think I heard of that paper re: Transformers doing math. Symbolic logic is the last mountain to climb
anyone know how to auto-accept Duo 2fac push notifications lol
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Absolutely. The fact that it’s even a question is bad. If Beijing knew that we’d defend Taiwan, they would never attack in the first place
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· ↳ reply to @dbeffert
@dbeffert @Noahpinion There is no point signaling anything if we don’t stand by our words. Just look at Syria. “Our words are backed by nuclear weapons” - Civ 2 Gandhi
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal There’s no way he wouldn’t let on a presidential candidate, the viewership would be insane
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@Grant_Forks @Noahpinion Why would they? I doubt any country enjoys being a nuclear flash point — it’s not in their best interest
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@flanatok @ne0liberal We’re taking Joe Rogan’a version of insane. I.e 10 million youtube hits instead of 2 million. Bernie hit top 5 popularity for JRE podcasts
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@flanatok @ne0liberal He’d be interested in someone like Biden just for the novelty of having the next president of the United States on stream. It’s quite exciting. I know Rogan, he likes to feel like he’s got his fingers on the pulse
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reparations🙏for🙏neanderthal🙏genocide
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· ↳ reply to @auderdy
@auderdy Same reason anyone might want more money, influence, power
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@ironically_edgy you’ve become too powerful too fast gotta slave away in the tweet mines like the rest of us smh
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society if @jack let us edit tweets
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· ↳ reply to @zck
@zck Sapiens has gone through many rounds of contrarian revisionism and is actually Good now
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot ply those statistics well enough and you’ll render that second career obsolete
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man exists on the razors edge of based and cringe
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Peter Thiel’s “AI is communism” thing is completely wrong. All modern AI is built inductively, from the wisdom of the crowds
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@Cullen_OK Gary Marcus will be screaming this from the rooftops until the day connectionism subsumes symbolic logic
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@ironically_edgy I absolutely lost my shit when the finger traces the poverty curve
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@Hypoborean1 @stern_tomer @jdcmedlock @TankieSanders I’d say it’s axiomatic that if you aren’t doing security level analysis and buying a share of massive stock flows, then you’ve interfered with the price signal. It’s the same as purchasing a mortgage bond without knowing anything about the underlying mortgages
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock "Screams from the haters, got a nice ring to it I guess every superhero need his theme music" ~ James Medlock
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San Francisco if Sapiens never came out
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Ours is the era of offloading cognition
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Had an extremely vivid dream last night until I noticed a copy of the The Winds of Winter lying around. Immediately woke up bc that book being published is too unbelievable even for my fantasies
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@Cullen_OK Deep RL certainly can! and now, perhaps deep NLP too
@Cullen_OK imo the lesson of deep learning has always been about gaining humbleness re: human cognition. It's possible to design functions that can navigate complex systems successfully with only a bare minimum understanding of the substrate
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Cullen_OK a typical human not only navigates but thrives in systems that would take lifetimes to understand the real underlying principles (if they even exist)
There is such a thing as too much skepticism — when you stop making intuitive jumps and grind your inductive biases to dust
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot Once you pass a certain point, you become a slave to the crown. And the crown demands: more followers
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Pretty much nobody expresses as hopeful a vision for the future as VC techno libertarians
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· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 1/ I agree that the SV technolibertarians have a sureness of step that comes from making a lot of money very quickly. that self-confidence leads them to gloss over major problems and they can be somewhat brusque in addressing the downsides.
incredible ratio
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you vs the guy she tells you not to worry about
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· ↳ reply to @agraybee
@agraybee This was on everyone’s mind today. Thank you for saying it
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@CascadianSolo Yeah it’s the kind of perfectly valid question that only a certain type of person wants to actively think about
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion How about it has a weak government due to very recent imperialism that attempted to administer a giant region as one state
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Noahpinion It’s not for no reason state governments in India have an immense amount of power and veer very far ideologically from the national consensus
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@jornacio @Noahpinion as in the balance of power between central and state governments is further to the states than in many other countries
If you came up with a seemingly good solution to a complex problem in 5 minutes, the experts in the fields have too
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@Hypoborean1 In this case the experts are literally in the fields
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@ironically_edgy yeah except my morals are based on aesthetics and not logic. checkmate atheist
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@Hypoborean1 while the plough seems simple in retrospect, it's one of those things that requires a massive paradigm shift to conceive of. I don't know if its something a complete novice to the "farming problem" would think of in minutes.
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@Hypoborean1 it's not that low hanging fruit don't exist, it's just that it's doubtful you've found one immediately after learning about a new problem
@ClayShentrup @DaltonKern @Noahpinion @wmcintyre84 the distributional effect is identical given UBI clawbacks*, so income based taxation. the difference is that NIT feels like a handout and is means tested, whereas UBI feels like a god given right -- you're a citizen, you make $12k a year
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion um? biden's gonna win with exactly 0 online supporters lol
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every time I talk to an Uber driver I make up a new identity ...
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· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz @Hypoborean1 isn't the point of these heuristics that they evolved rather than were "discovered"? possibly no different than the memetic evolution that results in people being disgusted with cannibalism or incest
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@koaleszenz as far as (1) goes tho, most districts already appraise land value in the process of doing property tax valuations
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· ↳ reply to @JoeR42
@JoeR42 I’m glad she made this point lol, at least it’s honest
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Peter Thiel, supposedly a Christian, pouring hundreds of millions into defeating death makes no sense to me. He seems to call himself a Christian only because it’s the contrarian position in Silicon Valley lol
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@Jan_Hus_1369 The SV rationalist ethos is aggressively secular, so probably going against that
· ↳ reply to @sonyasupposedly
@sonyasupposedly it’s kind of interesting in a postrat way to think of books as sacred though. my grandma always used to tell me to say sorry when if she caught me accidentally stepping on a book lol
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· ↳ reply to @skdh
@skdh @paulg kind of ridiculous there's no payperview online newspaper model
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· ↳ reply to @skdh
@skdh @paulg Fair enough, I meant “why has no newspaper tried this”. I suspect the answer is that some of them experiment with it and found the results lacking
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· ↳ reply to @PhilipPullman
@PhilipPullman I’m not sure I quite understand your position on fairy stories. Are you saying the secret commonwealth is real? Or that it’s more fun to believe there’s stuff we can’t explain? Or something else entirely?
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· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen Most of the US is ruled by internet service monopolies, so there is actually good cause for this. I once did the math and we pay something like 10,000x the data rate as internet users in India. That being said idk if government would fix it
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@_Jason_Dean_ just different degrees of under qualification. doesn’t seem so bad if you look at it that way
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@CascadianSolo loaning money to a bank at below market rate may as well be socialism
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@CascadianSolo Also there’s no way JP Morgan alone got $416 billion lol. Not even close
Peter Thiel: “the American public hates technology. They’re holding back progress with their attitudes” The American public:
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Super Pumped is basically page after page of Uber skillfully fighting off regulatory capture and taxi cartels to serve customers that desperately want Uber, and mike Isaac trying to convince you this is bad somehow
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@ironically_edgy lower than market rate loans -> It’s welfare and can very reasonably be called socialism
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion @red_boxer0 technology develops as it becomes necessary. It's not like Velcro was an impossible technology until NASA had a use for it. for most of these things, there's just no demand for the R&D
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion (2) is basically a strawman (1) is more accurate and you're greatly underestimating our current technology under the right economic pressures but (3) is more important: it would be the greatest adventure on which Man has ever embarked. civilization needs frontiers
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· ↳ reply to @sonyasupposedly
@sonyasupposedly Funniest thing is when you see an account have the *same epiphany* multiple times over the course of a few months/years and repeat that they’ve just now realized this
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@sonyasupposedly I suspect it’s not even typical mind but more like what the last part of this comic expresses. Some people are too epiphany happy
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Why did TikTok win when Vine lost?
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· ↳ reply to @JustJake
@JustJake The UI is insanely good but that doesn’t seem to matter too often. Most people agree the Snapchat layout is terrible and it’s a smash hit anyway. Same with Facebook tbh
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· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 TikTok has ~1 billion daily users. Vine hit a tenth of that at its peak and then died
@dickcheneyscou1 TikTok is the western version of the ByteDance product. I don’t think it’s available in China. Plus there’s all sorts of ways to verify that info. (Internet traffic is public)
ppl on this site rly think they’re gonna find nirvana as soon as they come across the exact right sequence of words that describes their politics
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· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 TikTok is the product for western audiences, they have a separate highly censored version for China. That audience is all us lol
tfw you open tmux inside tmux
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
there’s nothing as unsettling as realizing you’re operating four screens deep
· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy there is no difference tbh. Chinese Room Problem
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· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy How do we know if a child is “emulating speech” or speaking?
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· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer This is definitely true. The birth of AGI will be as momentous an occasion as first contact. It’s all in google’s interests to hype up their positional importance but he will be right in the fullness of time
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@mattparlmer I also think getting to AGI is a matter of increasing processing speed and incremental improvements in neural net technologies which is a hot take
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· ↳ reply to @jachaseyoung
@jachaseyoung I think he said he picks like 2 tweets out of a 100, and that much of the output isn’t even tweet formatted
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· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy I’d say it’s matter of degree and not fundamental differences. This AI is cross purpose — it also scored state of the art on question and answer and text summarization tasks. It really does have a deeper understanding of language than other models
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@rplevy It only has a half billion parameters. That’s not even 1% of 1% of the storage capacity of the human brain. It cannot just memorize the entire internet: it must interpolate and build underlying abstractions
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@rplevy Abstraction/compression is intelligence
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In light of recent events I’d like everyone to know I’ve never even heard of joe Rogan. See video for details https://youtu.be/mlucIr8kg7k
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· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer Duplicate labor is an understatement. I remember at the very end of my internship at fb, my manager told me “yeah I did the same intern project when I started here”. I was like wtf
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@mattparlmer Pretty much all systems are out of the box, plug and play, and Your Job is to babysit them as they struggle under FAANG compute scales
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@mattparlmer The one nice thing is that the dev and ops tools are space age stuff. You will never find better looking dashboards or text editor plugins
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@similaralterity @mattparlmer I mean I've heard plenty of NNs are "just" this or "just" that, but what anyone has yet to convince me of is that human brains are more than just function approximators that are very good at approximating a certain type of policy
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@similaralterity @mattparlmer you're right but there are 10,000s of researchers (more every year due to the $$$) across the world iterating on these metasystems. every year sees feats that would've been considered impossible a half decade ago
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@similaralterity @mattparlmer the only other instance of intelligence we know of is biological intelligence, which was developed with a stupid brute force algorithm (genetic) via enormous compute power (Real World™). There is good reason to suspect we will get to AGI without understanding the theory
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· ↳ reply to @homsiT
@homsiT @mattparlmer what gets me is that they did plan on using my project, but didn't even consider adapting that original software to something more general purpose. when developer time is a commodity, nobody cares about efficiency and nobody wants to maintain old code
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· ↳ reply to @QiaochuYuan
@QiaochuYuan This is nonsense tbh. You’re trying to recognize patterns in what amounts to neural noice, and implying that idiopathic depression isn’t real
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Joe Rogan derangement syndrome
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· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 Genuinely believe 1 billionaire is better than 100 10-millionaires for technological progress.
If you join a work slack and there’s no #shitposting channel quit your job
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· ↳ reply to @QiaochuYuan
@QiaochuYuan satisfaction is maladaptive. Satisfied beings don’t work hard to increase their chances of reproducing. We should expect the default state of humans to be dissatisfied. don’t need some past traumas to explain. Idiopathic means what you said and more: it implies no one’s at fault
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@AliceFromQueens why hasn't warren addressed my public claims that she's a cougar unless it's true
· ↳ reply to @AliceFromQueens
@AliceFromQueens thank god it's only bernie and his campaign that live and die at the whims of twitter mobs. biden could give a rat's ass what people online are saying about him
· ↳ reply to @sonyasupposedly
@sonyasupposedly @visakanv Here’s the deal: popular business culture now revolves around Silicon Valley. Every MBA and typical highly networked type learns about the Silicon Valley mythos of the failed social norm and worshipping of savants. *normies* know this stuff. repeating it online is just irritating
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@sonyasupposedly @visakanv To not be annoying in this medium you have to make truly novel social observations, which are usually best delivered in an implicit way by comedians both online and offline. When everyone acts like the suffering child genius, no one is a suffering child genius
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@sonyasupposedly @visakanv I may be missing some context on this conversation but I’m just naming my own grievances with this corner of twitter. Prefer VC twitter at this point because they hide behind fewer euphemisms
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whoever needs to hear this: it’s not a conspiracy, just a failure mode of a complex system
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@sonyasupposedly @visakanv The ethos of twitter to me is “we are all watching humanity evolve and making funny commentary on it” in the era in which most of us have realized *there’s no grand design* and are struggling to find meaning and community anyway. Don’t want someone selling me a grand design
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At some point Wuhan is gonna hit one of their giant prison camps
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do the british deserve rights? discuss
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock Especially dumb because global fertility rates are falling as countries become richer
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· ↳ reply to @_Jason_Dean_
@_Jason_Dean_ You’re just making an argument for proper food treatment which may not be accessible in poorer countries. There’s nothing special about bats or African swine in particular
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@ClayShentrup @MarcosLo_ @ne0liberal It’s not a lottery at all. It’s a capital allocation problem like any other. Land speculators are predicting which parcels will be successful just like how stock pickers are betting on future profitability of companies. The engine that has created unimaginable wealth
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@CascadianSolo better to be consequentialist about it. betting on lives won't change the outcome, but may make the markets function better
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· ↳ reply to @micsolana
@micsolana @SonjaTrauss everybody's just gonna continue ignoring electoral mechanics, the demographic idiosyncrasies of specific states, and go ahead and make society level claims about w.e. grievances they were on about anyway.
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion There’s plenty of Indian fantasy series set in Mohenjo Daaro or something, but it’s all pretty terrible
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in 2020 we are bringing back harambe memes
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· ↳ reply to @antirobust
@antirobust people who view the very concept of market with suspicion shouldn’t have power
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· ↳ reply to @antirobust
@antirobust Surprising then that so many cities ban Uber/Lyft at airports. The cartels are more powerful than the politicians own obsessions
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usually with high profile natural disasters you have to correct for the media's incentives to overplay tragedies for clicks and attention ... but with Wuhan you have to also calculate the CCP's incentives to underplay things that make them look bad
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@Henry_ALong @StephenBuell2 they incentivize folks to create new things that would not have existed without them, like drug patents + research. a person with a creative monopoly can afford to be a good person. non-monopolists can think of nothing but survival
seasonal flu is a pandemic "According to the World Health Organisation, around 3-5 million people become “severely ill” every year as a result of seasonal flu. Of these, between 290,000 and 650,000 people die."
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@JamesCook26 He just wasn’t a threat back then. Hillary and her coronation
· ↳ reply to @9756745645s
@kingdomakrillic imho this is not a bad heuristic at all as to decide whether a project is worth continuing. i don't know if there's literally anyone that builds things without wanting affirmation. and i feel wAInt will have a very long shelf life
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock How does this make sense? Of course mostly homogenous cost pools will have similar premiums. The insurers have bargaining power issues to be sure, but the point is that the providers are the ones walking away with massive profits
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock the supply side retort is easy: why do the providers have so much bargaining power? are they monopolistic? what are the barriers to entry?
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock not sure if I agree that hospitals are natural monopolies: perhaps emergency rooms are, but emergency care is a small fraction (2%?) of total healthcare expenditures. not to mention much of our legislation actively makes it harder to open hospitals
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock we definitely have a shortage of primary care physicians but a declining share of HC costs go to them. pharma companies have creative monopolies, yet these really wouldn't be so problematic if it weren't for spurious lawsuits and IP abuse
· ↳ reply to @HobnobMobile
@HobnobMobile @jdcmedlock I don't think anyone really believes more transparency would lower costs though. when trump passed that pricing transparency law, it was mostly greeted with sneers
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· ↳ reply to @HobnobMobile
@HobnobMobile @jdcmedlock Bloating administration is common to any industry that’s not tightly competitive, but doesn’t get at the problem of *why* it’s not tightly competitive. Your answer to that is obscure prices, and I partially agree
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock @HobnobMobile When I’m buying fresh produce in a market, I’m thinking about quality and price at the same time. While we evolved to sniff out the difference between a good apple and a bad one, it’s not quite so with back surgery. Need radical quality transparency along with price transparency
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· ↳ reply to @HobnobMobile
@HobnobMobile @jdcmedlock let's say a boutique hospital is offering back surgery for twice the cost of a cheaper nonprofit one. What parent is going to choose the cheaper one for their child if the other one is affordable to them? What if the outcomes for both hospitals are the same?
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock @HobnobMobile If we’re talking radical transparency you’d need the whole combinatorial price tags for each procedure x each insurer x each plan
Learn this one weird question that owns all Commies: “Why are there no Fortune 500 worker owned coops?”
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· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer > The PRC has outlawed price hikes of medical supplies Do ya want shortages? Cuz that’s how you get shortages
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· ↳ reply to @kenaviba
@kenaviba Nope! I’m not passing a value judgement, just saying what I think is going on
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lefists and MAGAs alike have had the same idiotic refrain for the last 4 years re: "she didn't visit michigan and wisconsin!!!!" it wouldn't have mattered
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· ↳ reply to @antimule
@antimule probably ritually slaughtering Anthony Weiner long before he got into politics
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@antimule for context Comey reopened the email investigation b/c of Weiner
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock @dril You’ve made it to the big leagues my guy. I pretty much only reply to your posts to disagree but you kinda convinced me that there’s no solution that stands up to universal healthcare atm
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There is really no center-right healthcare policy that makes sense or matches the conceptual elegance of M4A atm. All the Trump admin does these days is incremental work on the Obamacare markets. Any further right and you just find people screaming about HSAs
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· ↳ reply to @1RAOKADAY
@1RAOKADAY “Do all these individual things the pharma companies hate and the public isn’t passionate about” is slow going unfortunately
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· ↳ reply to @ahardtospell
@ahardtospell honestly it's amazing to me that UCC is considered a center-right proposal. I suppose it really depends on how you set some of those policy parameters
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· ↳ reply to @LittleKeegs0
@LittleKeegs0 @jdcmedlock the normal response to local monopolies is to turn them into regulated utility-type companies, not to make sweeping healthcare policy changes. appreciate the link, but this 15% doesn't approach the scale of the problem
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Me at 3AM: we have tricked machines into thinking, humankind are like gods Me in the morning: computers are shit & programmers should be put to death
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· ↳ reply to @GaryMarcus
@GaryMarcus Gary Marcus argument, the more I think about it, boils down to “GPT-2 hasn’t reached human level reasoning, therefore I’m right“.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@GaryMarcus It’s not a controversial position that humans natively understand language because the structures of our brains are evolved for it. Deep NLP researchers know this and scrub through the model space looking for the right inductive bias.
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· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer How is it this late in the game and we’re still calling it 2019-nCov. This stuff needs names that catch the imagination, like hurricanes
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· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer “Coronavirus” is not bad for now but I’m just here thinking of light beers w that name
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot Perhaps but socialists are also deontologists: they start from the maxim that inequality is immoral, rather than that of utility maximization. All this really means is that Rogan plays an instrumental role in following a deontological rule
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@eigenrobot I’m sure there’s some name in the annals of philosophy for pursuing deontological ends via utilitarian means
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JuniorMinton @HobnobMobile @jdcmedlock “Among consumers who engaged in ... these behaviors, 26% decided to put off the service until they could afford it, 10% decided that the service was not worth the cost, and 22% managed to obtain the service at a lower price. Only the last of these outcomes is unambiguously good.”
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· ↳ reply to @HobnobMobile
@HobnobMobile @JuniorMinton @jdcmedlock imo the best system necessarily obfuscates prices from the end consumer and negotiates instantly between insurer and provider. I don’t think removing price signals completely is a great move
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal I think rn I’m thinking — harmonize private insurance with Obamacare markets by removing the employer payroll tax deduction — create a public option that’s basically a UCC
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock @HobnobMobile @JuniorMinton “Every instance of procedure X must cost the same amount” means that providers can slack on quality and charge the maximum price. At the very least, you need either the insurer (possibly single payor) or end consumer to shop around for highest quality care. I prefer the former
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock @HobnobMobile @JuniorMinton Let’s say Medicare maintains a running quality analysis of all providers and judges them on merit. Then they might tell you that they’ll only pay if you go to x hospital to get your procedure done, based on quality of care and distance. This maintains pressure on the providers
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock @HobnobMobile @JuniorMinton A massive trove of medical data like the one a universal Medicare program would collect allows them to assess medical outcomes in a minimally biased way. They are much better suited than any other party to choose a physician or hospital to get a procedure done
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock Many people mistake incentive design problems for private vs public conflicts. Bad private solutions (prisons) and bad public bureaucracies (welfare) can be fixed with the right incentives
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private prison contracts should be written with incentive shaping in mind. A simple one would include clauses like being forced to take ex prisoners back in for free in case of recidivism. prisoners should also be able to choose which prison they want to go to
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
this is my most neoliberal tweet ever
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
The real trick here is just to close shop and go out of business every few years to void all the recidivism contracts
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· ↳ reply to @TokenFredo
@T_Walt615 If you disagree it’s ironic, if you agree it’s def unironic
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@StephenBuell2 @bibliographing with enough prison choice you’d be able to avoid the prisons that do things like this. In the real world, you’re probably going to need some additional nudges
This is it boys n girls. I’ve made it after only losing 99% of my sanity
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
I’m an influencer now. People come to me for advice 🙂
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· ↳ reply to @HoodlumDoodlum
@HoodlumDoodlum afaik cruelty is not an effective antidote to recidivism. after all, death penalties don’t seem to be powerful crime deterrents. but re-education systems might be.
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quote tweeting your own tweets
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· ↳ reply to @HoodlumDoodlum
@HoodlumDoodlum at the beginning you roughly calculate it so that they’re making the same amount as before by jacking up the normal rate in accordance with historical recidivism data. That way nobody’s losing money. And then they get working on lowering that rate if they can
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· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr What’s amazing is how successfully semi rational agents can navigate complex systems with barebones world models. This also explains the surprising success of modern machine learning
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@vgr shitty induction that produces confident but weak heuristics is much more useful generally than complex deductions
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· ↳ reply to @HoodlumDoodlum
@HoodlumDoodlum perhaps but they’re not each working from zero; people will know by reputation what a certain prison is like. Markets sometimes work well in situations of far less than perfect information
· ↳ reply to @mmt_lvt
@mmt_lvt I see nothing wrong with this. This is how we will sneak in our universal welfare state @jdcmedlock
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@eigenrobot shit this is just "The Moon is a Harsh Mistress"
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· ↳ reply to @Jenlky
@Jenlky I’m gonna have to up my sanity/follower efficiency 100x
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· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr The Vickrey auction
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
(girls get mad at me) Sorry. Im sorry. Im trying to remove it
deleting my futarchy tweet. y’all aren’t ready for this level of discourse yet
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@ironically_edgy You’ve hit your Total Addressable Market. It’s time to expand into new divisions
· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr I’m only 22 so I don’t remember SARS, but I’ve felt there’s a hunger for “happeningness” that wasn’t there before social media and 24-hour news
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@vgr Or maybe the hunger WAS there and we’ve all gorged, expanding our appetites
· ↳ reply to @nathancofnas
@nathancofnas @mmt_lvt It’s kind of irrelevant seeing as coal mining is a job that employs fewer than 50k people in the US and is more of a populist symbol than anything else
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot without fear all social structure would decohere immediately without love all social structure would decohere immediately
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@harkbrexit @quantian1 “You are missing the point, good sir. Aggressively NOT reading is as much of a display of countersignaling that shows lack of free will as is reading every pop nonfiction book on Bill Gates’ reading list. Instead consume for the reason that these flavors cannot be had elsewhere“
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock the private sector has seen a drastic drop in user free will on various products: I hop on twitter and I tune into my feed generated by a ranking algorithm in some far off server. I press a button on an app and a car shows up at my door.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock In fact the only choice we have now is between multiple content curators! These are all improvements. Government should follow their lead and helpfully curate the user experience rather than expose people to choice they don’t need or want
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock Find a Pareto optimal curve and sample a few choices from it
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Genuinely curious how govt managed to spend $2 billion on the Obamacare website
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· ↳ reply to @FriederJim
@FriederJim what's your point? is there any similarity between cost pooling for hundreds of millions of Americans vs building a minor website?
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· ↳ reply to @FriederJim
@FriederJim security is a hard problem. that doesn't mean each individual website has to solve those problems. by no stretch of the imagination can http://healthcare.gov be considered more complicated than https://x.com, which i'm sure was built for a couple thousand dollars
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@dickcheneyscou1 so all the cliche government contract stuff huh? is it still a mess even now?
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@FriederJim Also that number seems extremely wrong. $358 billion is more money than all insurance companies make in yearly profits
· ↳ reply to @FriederJim
@FriederJim I mean I could be wrong but if I remember correctly Lieberman fought against the public option / Medicare buyin. you'd pay for public health insurance if it was a better option than the private competitors. not M4A, which doesn't have premiums
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer for a lot of people both Bernie and Biden are simply unacceptable for idpol reasons
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@dickcheneyscou1 It’s true and works in a bunch of surprising ways. e.g. king + (boy - girl) = queen
this is the truth the MSM doesn't want you to know
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· ↳ reply to @asteroid_saku
@asteroid_saku the right wing reactionary hypergamy thing is definitely overblown, but these charts are still really funny and surprising all things considered I doubt OkCupid is that much different from the rest of the population
· ↳ reply to @asteroid_saku
@asteroid_saku not sure i have a non-obvious response. probably someone wealthy, charismatic, and good-looking (not necessarily in that order). bonus if they're white
· ↳ reply to @ChrisCroy
@ChrisCroy @rplevy wouldn’t your dating app pfp be an ideal image and not of someone just lounging about?
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believing in inheriting wealth or ownership in companies is no different than believing in the divine right of kings, prove me wrong
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· ↳ reply to @asteroid_saku
@asteroid_saku think of one what? to be clear i'm not grievance posting. I just think it's funny that men collectively organized a neat bell curve. I'm willing to bet women would upgrade their score for a man they know well. they just seem on avg worse at rating based on looks
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@asteroid_saku just mentioned MSM and conspiracies as a joke. an interesting next experiment to do would be to have straight women rate other women on a 1-5 scale
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@asteroid_saku girls i've known irl have expressed the same sentiment to me that they find it hard to be attracted to people they don't know at all, extreme outliers notwithstanding, whereas straight men seem to be more than willing to hookup with average looking strangers
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
the *only* plausible counterargument is that good capital allocators are even better at allocating capital if they know their wealth will pass to their kids
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@StillShilling seems to me that the belief in meritocracy is fading, more or less because of inherited wealth and inherited power
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· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy as a king don't i have the right by free association to pass my kingdom to one of my children? my kingdom, my property after all. doesn't really matter what the serfs think
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@StillShilling my ideal tax system would have an extremely high inheritance tax rate on fortunes past a certain amount and very small taxes on everything else, but I suspect literally nobody shares that moral value, not even me by this time next year
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· ↳ reply to @rplevy
@rplevy by what right does a king rule? all he knows is that he was born in line for the throne. by what right do the Waltons own walmart? all they know is that they were born in the walton family. the social abstraction is similar at the least
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@stuartbrownGU that's a good question. I wouldn't want the govt to end up in control of it because that means the govt will de facto own all capital in a few generations, and I'm not a tankie yet. capital allocation is a hard problem and should be done by competitors and not bureaucrats
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· ↳ reply to @Dinocaridid
@Dinocaridid When a Walmart heir is born they wake up to authority over a million workers distributed over most of the globe. Sure they don’t have absolute power over their workers, but it’s naive to think they have none
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@StillShilling @THOTCrime you make a good point and it definitely feels strange to rip a parent's house away from a child. someone might argue the same thing about a prince and his kingdom tho. i'm mostly just trying to point out the contradictory feelings we have abt inheritance
· ↳ reply to @bobabolapop
@borderlessboba @mattparlmer Very cute thinking the lawyers and ex businessman care. democracy is designed such that the self interest of patricians benefits the plebs
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· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer unfortunately I think many of the stereotypes about software engineers are more or less true. lawyers tend to be well spoken crowd pleasers. Need to find the small fraction of tech people with charisma and a populist flair
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· ↳ reply to @RfrmdEvangelicl
@TPeytn @mattparlmer there's a whole west coast tech ethos that Matt is evoking when he says software engineer. it can include other types of eng and associated VC/finance types too
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@Cullen_OK @StillShilling Ya for reasons that have never fully made sense to me. I guess it just gives tax evaders too long to think
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· ↳ reply to @eigenrobot
@eigenrobot It’s great stuff because every intro system design interview just asks how youd make twitter and I bet 90% of those answers are better than how it actually is
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· ↳ reply to @Artofhunger75
@artofhunger75 @Dinocaridid For context I’m a red blooded capitalist bc I feel it’s a utilitarian win. I’m just pointing out one discrepancy w that approach: we say the rich deserve their wealth because theyve proven good at allocating capital. But theyre kids have demonstrated no such proficiency. Thats it
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· ↳ reply to @bufordsharkley
@bufordsharkley @jdcmedlock americans are allergic to dynasties (at least in rhetoric), whereas europeans see them as natural. they just forgot to extrapolate one step further to dynastic wealth
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· ↳ reply to @uberfeminist
@uberfeminist I’m not sure that weakens the argument really. England is immortal but its Kings come and go
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@uberfeminist If an heir or group of heirs inherits the majority voting share of a mega corporation, they have absolute power over a set of economic flows that might span continents and employ millions
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal This account has a special hatred for yang because he’s a rare neolib populist. I’ll be cackling as I tear down ur house via the Legion of Builders and Destroyers
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· ↳ reply to @CaptDavidRyan
@CaptDavidRyan You haven’t answered my question. A king can bequeath his throne to a prince while he’s still alive
· ↳ reply to @mathtick
@mathtick There may only be one king, but there’s also the divine rights of lords, dukes, Earls, etc Private wealth does indeed effect others.
more security isn't always good protection measures always come with tradeoffs to usability and convenience every additional "factor" makes it that much more likely that you'll be stuck w.o. access to your accounts
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal it's true but i still weep for san francisco, the beautiful pacific rim megacity to rival hong kong and shanghai that'll never come to fruition
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock most people definitely shop around when they choose a college. my hot take is that the market is mostly functioning for colleges, but that as rent seekers they can afford to take much of the wage increase they create
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
strong white feminist energy coming from this twete
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@NoblePublius @jdcmedlock not a great retort, seeing as a king can bequeath his throne to his son by abdicating while he's still alive
@NoblePublius @jdcmedlock if you bite that bullet, you should also see that the king rightfully owns all the land, it isn’t being borrowed from the commons
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@NoblePublius @jdcmedlock there are no laws of physics dictating that anyone owns anything. property rights aren’t embedded into the universe. we find that playing the capital game is a good way to organize planet scale societies and achieve utilitarian gain, so we do so
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@NoblePublius @jdcmedlock it’s not even a universal human moral principle. many premodern tribal societies are extremely egalitarian and share all material possessions
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· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz our society Aligns smart sociopaths by turning them into effective capitalists
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if @ironically_edgy can shamelessly repost from reddit I’m gonna do it too
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im so glad warren is dead and with her the era where we had to discuss a giant wealth tax as though it doesnt destroy its own revenue stream
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
sanders is still on the same shit but at least none of the wonks herald his platform like it's smart or passable
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· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah I mean I don’t think Bernie has ever tried to balance his proposals lol but that’s almost better bc I don’t have to pretend to take it seriously
· ↳ reply to @aquariusacquah
@aquariusacquah yeah I seriously wish there was only one left candidate so they didn’t feel the need to outleft each other
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none of this makes any sense. there’s barely anything differentiating one cloud from another cloud, no brand loyalty, no monopoly, just companies chasing down the cheapest compute. so why these insane margins? https://x.com/chetanp/status/1223041555767779328
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· ↳ reply to @TebleyS
@TebleyS yeah, it’s designed to be punitive and reduce wealth. warren supporters had a handful of info graphics showing how the largest fortunes would’ve ablated away if wealth tax was in place for the last few decades, undermining their own projects
· ↳ reply to @d_feldman
@d_feldman and what is the value add? we are seeing more and more infrastructure deployment tools that switch cloud backends fungibly, so i don’t quite follow
· ↳ reply to @ansells_cow
@ansells_cow there’s a bunch of provisioning tools these days that are backend agnostic. at least from where i’m standing, the switching costs seem small for reasonably sized deployments. I don’t know how it would work for a Netflix scale company
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· ↳ reply to @d_feldman
@d_feldman would be a dream to see containers executed in far away clouds via a bidding model that scours for the cheapest prices
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very cursed
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@dickcheneyscou1 It’s cheaper to buy meat than grow it myself but that doesn’t make it high margins
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charlie munger is the cutest mf
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· ↳ reply to @maiab
@maiab this is by far the dumbest experiment i've ever heard of
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@aka_wills @iajrz @rplevy I’m aware, and I’m saying the fundamental logic is no different than that of globe-spanning family owned enterprises. at least Julius and then Augustus had the common sense to hunt down someone smart to succeed them
@mutual_ayyde @Noahpinion I seriously doubt this is true. Anno said that a lot but I don’t think we should take it at face value. He may have just been trying to deflect questions he couldn’t easily answer
· ↳ reply to @wesleyytian
@wesleyytian @AnUntimelyMan yes of course. The companies allot their reps a budget to do things like this to get rid of customers wasting too much of their time. It’s not out of some special human connection
· ↳ reply to @yhdistyminen
@koaleszenz it's an arbitrary asset class as he said and it punishes people who invested in land over something else arbitrarily. like throwing darts at a dartboard. why should the current bagholders feel the pain and nobody else? the logic is sound
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