while it’s true that regulation, labor cost, etc is a major factor in hard tech slowdown the argument hides the fact that even in the most friendly regulatory setting eg building cars will never reach the capital efficiency of funding software companies
as returns on capital invested in software goes down maybe some of this reverses but that’s not a good world either
elon fucked around in hardware for years and yet the moneymaker is still software (tesla-> fsd)(spacex-> providing internet)
@TeddyRaccovelt@petergodofsky@sgodofsk ted k doesn't have the mental disposition to do the mind deadening audience building of journos and certainly not the wordcel flourish of moldbug
@sgodofsk@TeddyRaccovelt@petergodofsky its not really about the quality of writing but the volume of it & its nerdbait in the all the right ways. hes certainly more plugged in than ted k ever was
@sgodofsk@TeddyRaccovelt@petergodofsky honestly though if he had kept his professorship and done a joe rogan podcast tour as a contrarian intellectual he would've become famous easily. but again he never had or will have the mental disposition for that
the mammalian brain is fr running layered edge detection filters over and over up until concept space and the more acid you take the deeper in the stack the hallucinations go
there’s a certain type of main character that dominated recently. this is eg dr house, Rick from R&M, Ryan gosling in drive, etc where the main character is living out the male fantasy of being a idiosyncratic psycho that everyone loves anyway due to pure competence
guy who gets rejected by YCombinator twice and has a mental break. he becomes convinced he's the son of god and starts a heavenly rebellion against the stripe/yc mafia leaving 30 million backend developers unemployed
@lalaAlicelala@telmudic deleted the rest bc as tel pointed out the dick measuring competition is not the point of the post. id say the west coast certainly reinvents credentialism (it will always exist in one way or another, for good reason) but overall cares far less about institutional backing
@lalaAlicelala@telmudic you see top new york finance firms having you select from a drop down of top colleges that you went for undergrad in the application process and if you're not on the list you're pretty much out. the vaunted companies here would never ever do that, it would be seen as disgusting
@lalaAlicelala@telmudic of course theres still kinship effect and the effect of people you know because you went to college together and all that but the less explicit credentialism is good and part of the valley's strength. if that ever disappears it'll just become boring and all advantage will be lost
@lalaAlicelala@telmudic youre comparing two very different things which is like "getting a job in the industry" vs "starting a whole new company". i assume if youre starting a new finance co or some shit you're going to need to do a lot more than just attend a target school
@orb_net@lalaAlicelala@telmudic these implied power dynamics are also just wrong bc the VCs are chasing down anyone with a modicum of talent to give them checks
@powerbottomdad1@asc89@lalaAlicelala@telmudic nah the fact that you broke into tech after doing like a couple week bootcamp proves my point. would not have happened in finance no matter how much talent you had
@Noahpinion it makes no sense to start counting from the end of WWII imo what with total annihilation in the possible range during the Cuban missile crisis and whatnot
@SilenicSophist@finnitejest@Noahpinion fighting in germania or something was not an existential threat to rome or the broader peace even after disasters like teutoburg
PS there are plenty of twitter women actually in stem who do excellent work and don’t feel the need to advertise it as such and random social climbers are just stealing their valor
in the near future the meta corporation will submerge all their shape rotators in LCL fluid to boost their output by 20% in order to shore up flagging share prices. E6 and beyond get their own evangelion
there is a homeless guy on mission street drunkenly passed out repeating “transistor” under his breath over and over again. kind of scared that I might have encountered the collective unconscious of san francisco
> The clanger is an elongated suet crust dumpling, sometimes described as a savoury type of roly-poly pudding.
It’s like a dr Seuss book they’re just making shit up
kind of awesome how every industry no matter how niche thinks they're the cornerstone of civilization
there are probably speakers showing up at masonry conventions making grandiose comparisons to Hadrian's Wall and shit
@MowgliPark@whitewolf_works@PrinceVogel some hindus believe that the brahman or universal spirit is identical to the atman or soul & resides in all creatures
@MiloJKing mdp is a different scenario than the market model
imagine at any turn you can press button A for 10 reward or button B for 15 reward or you can end the game. Adding 10 to both states won’t change your behavior because there’s no diminishing utility
@ipsumkyle@ryiacy lol this not actually true but i seem way less stressed than most people around me. also I feel I was p high neuroticism in high school and something changed
@ipsumkyle@ryiacy basically there’s a magical change in a dudes mental life after he gets laid once. evolutionary existential relaxation. also I reached postscarcity on grades and shit
twitter is where smart & disagreeable people go to expose themselves to high iq propaganda that nonetheless makes them as wrong as their boomer parents
not to say that gdp equals importance (clearly russia's security council seat renders the UN useless & nato more important) but this whole conflict is very possibly just a saber rattling footnote of dying powers
everybody is rushing to claim that history is back
they see land conflict in europe and are reminded of the 20th century. to me it speaks to the extreme relative decline in importance of europe. russia is lower gdp per cap than china. ukraine is lower gdp per cap than fking iraq
in case its not obvious i'm not trying to minimize the suffering of Ukrainians at all. history is very real for them, gdp per cap could matter less. just trying to think from a broader perspective if we should all be existentially scared & the great peace is really over
@ded_ruckus but i'm not talking about importance of gdp to winning wars -- im talking about the relative importance of various geopolitical theaters to world peace. nobody thinks that war in iraq is a huge threat to world peace (not that it isn't tragic!), but we think ukraine is
@varunramg i've been making jokes during this whole thing but all at the expense of the russians lol. if it's not clear im just expressing my gleeful anticipation at how badly this ends up for russian aggression the best way i know how
@houellebecq_2 didn’t he spent like 10 minutes on this idea and then turned it into a student project recruiting pipeline? source: i did the goddam student project in college
in the slow AI takeoff setting the logical path is to make stronger and stronger models while slowly learning how to align them and also cajole them into aligning themselves
with this threat model the scariest outcome is if a rival power without liberal values builds it first
the second scariest outcome is a different lab with slightly different values builds it first
since it’s nonlinear crazy amounts of power we’re talking about even minor differences in governance model will change the future drastically
the brinksmanship aspect comes in in that competition demands that researchers move a little bit more quickly than is comfortable to maintain relevance
if you wait for perfect alignment you’re toast
if you go too fast and summon forth malign entities you’re toast
infowar is being fought on twitter dot com debunking random videos from previous or fake wars. instagram is even worse mfers are posting actual movie scenes & thinking they’re real
@zebulgar yes I sympathize with your family and I’m sure you have a lot more context than I do
but remilitarized Germany is basically a completely separate & open question that im trying to get Takes on
the point of twitter is to turn the temperature parameter on your language model way up and say a bunch of high variance nonsense. most of it will miss but a bit of it will *really* hit something
tbh being afraid of vibecamp has fairly boomer vibes. like your dad promising he’d never put his CC details on the internet 20 years ago. every day ppl go and live& party with dozens of much higher risk ppl they don’t know in random euro hostels and raves and they’re mostly fine
@0x_eddie JS and python are the least wordcel lol. because everybody that uses them is a terrible programmer that’s merely trying to rotate something immediately
@MegaBasedChad also I mark across all my timekeeping software to arrive a number of minutes late correlated to the log difference of our follower count
verbal autism: deliberate on the meaning of “is” for hours then put a guy behind bars for stealing a pack of gum
shape autism;; enumerate all the morphologies of galapagos finch beaks for years
im glad that the modern system basically makes it somewhat impossible for elitists to become elites
business leaders really have to at least pretend to be friendly enough to rally the troops
@jeff82874662@powerbottomdad1 Blackpill on me is that I learned this word reading the Ben Rhodes book when he was describing obama. Bigger blackpill that I remember
1 thousand year nerd empire. can’t wait until palmer luckey starts selling autonomous drones that scream in ahegao anime voices while they suicide bomb world leaders
archery station @ vibecamp. first time shooting bows and im missing a shot or two. like 10 ppl are watching and yelling at me to “just rotate the shapes” or whatever. like something out of a badly written nightmare. my 4th shot is a bullseye and i immediately quit
classic wordcel tell is thinking that all aspects of reality have to be conceptually elegant at all times. turns out the heavenly motions aren’t neat circles around the earth, the planets aren’t real spheres, and artificial general intelligence will require a lot of matrix math
@__femb0t@nomanautomata btw wordcel doesn’t literally mean using words lmao it’s like being lost in the sauce of abstraction, several layers disconnected from reality. a product engineer can be like this, OS dev maybe not