@tszzl — page 3/103

2019-06-22 → 2019-09-15 · posts 1001–1500 of 51,350
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@pt @rsg The kind of person who studies liberal arts and then gets a job as a software engineer is very likely to be very bright. Has nothing to do with their major
· ↳ reply to @paulg
@paulg “The difference between the almost right word and the right word is really a large matter - 'tis the difference between the lightning-bug and the lightning.”
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· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr Everybody says this and yet everybody chose to use Venmo. Watch what people do and not what they say. We all clearly get some satisfaction out of the Venmo social feed
· ↳ reply to @AOC
@AOC You missed the entire point
@JP8andCoke @AOC They’re being coy and sarcastic. There legitimately are armed militias involved and the republicans are downplaying it with a picture of random protesters. AOC has no idea what’s going on, and in classic AOC style, decided to speak up anyway and make the situation worse
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion No but I’m sure you’ve entertained the idea that you’re a superman inconvenienced by your own shortcomings that are somehow both separate from your “true nature” but also consequential enough to keep you down
· ↳ reply to @Astropartigirl
@Astropartigirl Here’s an astrophysics professor saying it does change: https://qr.ae/TWt8z5 Other sources agree that the “Hubble Parameter” is a function of time. My point is only that, seeing the universe is expanding at an *increasing* rate, isn’t the Big Rip pretty much confirmed?
· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 @jenny_schuetz Zoning is a regulation; in an effort to make towns look exactly the way the landowners want, they’ve added tons of expensive rules regarding how you can build in ways that have nothing to do with affordability or safety
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@NickMeier21 @jenny_schuetz Including height limits, maximum floor space to lotsize ratios, minimum backyard and setback sizes, etc etc. I don’t exactly have any hope that the trump admin knows how to solve this, but I like what I’m hearing so far
· ↳ reply to @conorduffy_7
@conorduffy_7 Almost 100% sure this chart reflects how commonly each drug is used. Otherwise alcohol would not be the most dangerous. Legalizing any of them will heighten their “harm units”
· ↳ reply to @NeoLibBen
@NeoLibBen The left YIMBY position is basically untenable — juicing demand with subsidies does nothing except raise the rents in a housing constrained market
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· ↳ reply to @R00349
@trepur349 @RampCapitalLLC Yes and it swings like that because nobody in their right mind uses btc as an actual currency. It’s more like buying an extremely weird volatile asset class. There is no true currency whose real world purchasing power can swing 13% in a day
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@trepur349 @RampCapitalLLC Will the price of the groceries in your cart change by the time you get to the register? If, and when, crypto coins are used as actual currency the purchasing power will stabilize the exchange rates
· ↳ reply to @R00349
@trepur349 @RampCapitalLLC Those examples of hyperinflation are due to massive increases in money supply, so real world purchasing power tumbles. But the supply of bitcoin is very stable
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@trepur349 @RampCapitalLLC Don’t get me wrong, I don’t think traditional crypto is going anywhere fast. I just don’t see this as a good criticism. IMO the chicken and egg problem of needing real world usage to staunch volatility and volatility preventing real world usage is insurmountable
@Iluvatar_9 @ne0liberal Bernie had this messianic fervor. He didn’t get very far. Nearly every candidate has a contingent of diehards somewhere, so it hardly matters
@icsllaf There are no hipster coffee shops in Detroit
· ↳ reply to @conorduffy_7
@conorduffy_7 He's got a STEM background and a Silicon Valley humanitarian/utilitarian vibe. This makes him immediately more trustworthy to a whole set of people
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@aceofclubbs @jessesingal @RespectableLaw @MrAndyNgo I don't think you really even understand why "she was asking for it" is fucked up if you're comparing it to this. The reason that logic is a vile lie is because NO rape survivor has ever "asked for it". Ngo WANTED this outcome. Ideology & sidepicking has warped your reasoning
· ↳ reply to @bradfordcross
@bradfordcross This is what the Bay Area “wants to be”. The free market evolution of this economic zone is into a booming metropolis. The “lowest energy state”. Bay Megacity. And since organic market chaos beats restrictive regulation in the long term, I’m sure it’ll end up there eventually.
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🤕
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· ↳ reply to @sethdmichaels
@sethdmichaels @Noahpinion I don’t get why library advocates have an instinctual bad reaction to user choice Having a national library of ebooks is not an attack on local libraries
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Every reply is an instinctual negative reaction to expanding user choice. Competition in public services is good, not bad
· ↳ reply to @AndreaLynnLewis
@theother_95 I’d wager every single political group has a set of purity tests and “no true Scotsman” type navel gazing Don’t think centrists are special in this, or even that many centrists actually identify as “centrists”
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Why do you feel free-marketers are aligned with regulatory capture? Seems very click baitey
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· ↳ reply to @jackcurran49
@jackcurran49 If seasons 5-8 had carried the same narrative punch as 1-4 there would be an actual competition. As it stands breaking bad >>>>>>
· ↳ reply to @juliagalef
@juliagalef Dont understand the footing of this question. What is the moral difference btween publishing one and making one? It’s inevitable that *everybody* will have the power to make one; so why stress over the difference between everyone making one independently vs one publishing
We out here trying to be patriotic while keeping it ironic
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@LandUseStan this is very myopic? you have a steady income, a college education, and (probably?) no crazy liabilities in your life. $12,000 a year won't change your life because it's not a lot on the margin, but it can be for many folks
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@LandUseStan and the point of handing it out to everybody has always been about eliminating disincentives to work that other welfare schemes suffer from.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@LandUseStan and if your point is only that the NIT is better, NIT and UBI are equivalent redistribution schemes after adjusting the tax brackets/deductions
· ↳ reply to @s8mb
@s8mb says the fucking Yeats avatar
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· ↳ reply to @Trillburne
@Trillburne you heard it here first folks. Feeling cold can make you sick, and the germ theory of disease is over
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· ↳ reply to @Scientific_Bird
@Scientific_Bird This is just wrong; scientists are very fungible. If there were huge gains to be made by switching to some field, they would do it. This explains the preponderance of physics majors switching to machine learning for example
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion @BennSteil Are there better, more precise policy levers for solving this issue? For example strengthening collective bargaining? It seems to me minimum wage figures are picked completely arbitrarily (why $15?)
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@neogeoist @Noahpinion @BennSteil This is a start, but having a uniform area wide minimum wage seems bad. Shouldn’t the minimum wage in construction be higher than the minimum wage in fast food for example? Countries like Sweden set no minimum wage at all, and allow collective sector wide union bargaining
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Average Tulsi Gabbard voter
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· ↳ reply to @Bosefina
@Bosefina when a company dies, no one is actually killed. doesn't seem violent to me. destruction is necessary for creation
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· ↳ reply to @micsolana
@micsolana The IPCC report pretty much says any stable future requires massive carbon capture projects. More important to think about carbon “debt” than carbon “deficit”
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@LandUseStan People who have enough time to shitpost online constantly for no apparent reward are probably well off enough to not screw you over 😅
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· ↳ reply to @rebirthdilemma
@rebirthdilemma There’s blood in nearly every episode ... in ep 1 Shinji gets Rei’s blood on his hands resulting in that iconic shot. Most of the Eva fights are not bloodless
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion This is exactly wrong — debates are all style and no substance Not a single person changes their minds bc of them
· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal Unironically this Increases supply whereas the subsidies would only juice demand. If these are the only two options, the car park is better
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· ↳ reply to @karlbykarlsmith
@karlbykarlsmith Tbh that’s a very unforgiving reading of this; the replacement rate problem is faced by all developed countries
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I’m here fam where everybody at
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· ↳ reply to @marathiMaharaja
@marathiMaharaja What if I’m in the middle of a crowded place and beating people up? Wouldn’t the cops come and violate my bodily autonomy with prejudice — perhaps tackle me, and throw me in jail. How is mandatory vax different? I used to agree with you on this but have recently changed my mind
· ↳ reply to @marathiMaharaja
@marathiMaharaja I don’t think the distinction is so clear. Ex: child services will throw you in jail and take your kid if you let them come to harm by inaction (not feeding them) You could also argue a refusal to get vaccinated is an active decision
· ↳ reply to @marathiMaharaja
@marathiMaharaja I sympathize with the anarcho-primitivist mindset, but there are many things that were invented in the last few hundred years that we now take to be absolutely necessary for life — even your belief in the value of bodily autonomy. Human rights are a super recent development
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@marathiMaharaja Along with public schooling, democracy, belief in common humanity, science etc You say physical violence and child rearing predate this era, but so does the ancient tragedy of half of our children dying for mysterious reasons. Nature dealt us a bad hand
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@marathiMaharaja I’m confident that the primitive man, if offered a potion that saves his children from near certain death would covet it — it’s not just the dying that is natural, but our desire for change too
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@marathiMaharaja The only reason modern humans become anti vax is because they’ve forgotten what the jaws of death look like — it’s hard to worry about things one has never observed. I see it as the government’s job to remind them be it with financial disincentives, or force
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· ↳ reply to @RKSlaughterFTC
@RKSlaughterFTC What exactly was “the harm that flowed”? Every time someone tries to pin down what exactly CA accomplished it gets more witchcraftey and unscientific. As far as I can tell there is no evidence of damage at all
Anybody trying to revolutionize education like @LambdaSchool eventually has to come to terms with the “4 year party” selling point of college and do even better
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Any ideology that begins and ends with “it is emotional labor to teach you about my ideology” is a dishonest one and designed mainly for clout chasing
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· ↳ reply to @401_k_
@401_k_ If the manager is <30 and in software, chances are near certain
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@profunc I don’t get your account dawg. Where the hell is Chemung County
Authoritarian doggo
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· ↳ reply to @jessesingal
@jessesingal Bringing philosophy back to its Greco-Roman roots — owning ur political opponents
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· ↳ reply to @dylanmatt
@dylanmatt @moskov @juliagalef @TomChivers This argument seems irrelevant and illiberal. Why devote any resources to building yachts or curing epilepsy? Neither are stopping infant mortality. We allocate resources according to revealed preferences
· ↳ reply to @dylanmatt
@dylanmatt @TomChivers @juliagalef This argument holds that being incorrect is a fundamental quality that’s unchangeable— why? Famous scientists disprove their own work later in life all the time
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@dylanmatt @TomChivers @juliagalef Would also wager that children being quicker to learn and more receptive to new ideas is a biological phenomenon that can be replicated in adults
· ↳ reply to @BrentlyLee
@BrentlyLee @juliagalef @dylanmatt You really think you’ll have seen everything interesting there is to see in one human lifetime? That this arbitrary length is the cutoff past which there can be no more novelty?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@BrentlyLee @juliagalef @dylanmatt Let me defer you to Lion King: “From the day we arrive on this planet And blinking, step into the sun There's more to see than can ever be seen More to do than can ever be done”
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· ↳ reply to @BrentlyLee
@BrentlyLee @juliagalef @dylanmatt If you get that bored, you can end it. Not like biological immortality means the laws of physics don’t apply to you. Personally, I’m sure you’d continue to find stuff to be amazed about
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· ↳ reply to @BrentlyLee
@BrentlyLee @juliagalef @dylanmatt This is a fair critique in that it’s unclear what we mean when we say we value “human life”. But through the lens of liberalism: it is better to give people choice than for there to be no choice. And I think most would choose much longer life than 100 years
· ↳ reply to @hankgreen
@hankgreen Very good incentive realignment. As long as you add these stipulations up front (maximum payout, minimum salary for eligibility) the opportunity for taking advantage of students is low
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@hankgreen It's even better than a free university IMO - when things are free, they are consumed beyond efficiency. Do we really all need to go to college? After 4 years, I will reap the associated signalling benefits, but I'm not certain at all that it was worth the time
· ↳ reply to @investingLive_
@ForexLive Easiest thing to explain ever — restrictive Zoning regulations have made it near impossible to build on already developed land and we have mostly run out of viable land
· ↳ reply to @clairlemon
@clairlemon Whatever the opposite of Gell-Mann amnesia is, it's hitting me hard. I hope nobody else at @Quillette has such an absolutely terrible understanding of statistics. Predictive utility of diagnostic tests is ENTIRELY UNDERPINNED by mathematical theory. I need an advil
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion @CathyReisenwitz Human obsolescence is a fallacy. Even in a future where robots are better than humans at everything, there are compute and manufacturing costs. If robots are better than humans at tasks A and B, but vastly better at A, then humans should do B. Ricardo!
· ↳ reply to @NickPinkston
@NickPinkston @Noahpinion @CathyReisenwitz Yeah my point is that if you believe the market will successfully reallocate jobs lost from automation (at non dying firms) the same should apply to when PE recapitalizes a non dying company. The same point as yours, unless I missed something
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Respecting expertise is a zero gain enterprise. All profits come from disbelieving experts
· ↳ reply to @MaxGhenis
@MaxGhenis @Noahpinion More automation doesn’t necessarily mean technological advance, also. It’s just a butter vs guns trade off
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· ↳ reply to @calebwatney
@calebwatney This is very wrong — Google pioneered behavioral ad targeting, and no serious argument can be made that the core Facebook product offers no value to society, not to mention the tremendous output in science and software
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@calebwatney When google maps “sells” your location data to restaurants absolutely no one complains because it doesn’t compete with traditional media
@HenryKraemer Very bad take. Like leftists who disparage liberals more than they do republicans. Tenants suffer from market intervention — you’re all on the same side
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@HenryKraemer It is time to re-evaluate Euclid and make it impossible to do aesthetics (rather than safety/accessibility) focused market intervention via zoning. Insofar I’m for free market housing. Why’s that wrong?
· ↳ reply to @hiHelloHans
@hiHelloHans How exactly are you gonna blame the gig economy for this and not the criminal governance of San Francisco? This seems almost politically motivated in how poorly you’ve placed the blame. Do you think taxi drivers with medallions would fare any better?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@hiHelloHans The city criminally underproduces housing & therefore bathrooms.
The @MikeGravel teens are the real life Locke and Demosthenes except less successful
· ↳ reply to @ImHardcory
@ImHardcory This is an appealing opinion to liberals especially that sounds smart but is pretty flawed. It’s premised on the idea that everyone understands the unassailable truths and has the same moral axioms, and that the rest is a technocratic debate. This is rarely true
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· ↳ reply to @JohnDelaney
@JohnDelaney What makes you think any of these people have a history of hate crimes? These aren’t exactly career criminals — one and done. What makes you think insurance companies can successfully predict who will commit a mass shooting? This would solve absolutely nothing
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal This seems very stupid, actually. What makes you think mass shooters would have a criminal history? What makes you think an insurance company can predict who’ll become a mass shooter? Is “subscribed to pewdiepie” gonna feature in their models?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ne0liberal If you want fewer guns in the world, tax the hell out of all of them so that only well off hobbyists are left — or ban them outright. forget about insurance products
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· ↳ reply to @tehoriman
@tehoriman @ne0liberal It helps the disaster victims, sure. But the moral framework is all wrong. If my house burns in a gas fire, it‘s a sad accident and I’ll get an insurance payout. But if many people were willingly starting fires, our policy goal would first and foremost be “stop the arsonists!”
· ↳ reply to @Austen
@Austen Einstein enjoyed the attention but downplayed it 🙂
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· ↳ reply to @itsaphel
@itsaphel @Austen No doubt, but there is something to be said about fawning adoration and being viewed by the public as a changeless god. Einstein became the first science communicator celebrity. He was a natural with the crowds. Important to not to forget that side of him
@LLW902 Ditto tech people when the company’s handing out hoodies or smthng
· ↳ reply to @AndreaLynnLewis
@theother_95 Lots of evidence that we evolved intelligence due to needing a better theory of mind to navigate ever larger social networks. If true, most of our “general intelligence” is probably spent doing a very specialized task: guessing other people’s motives (incl. the sky and earth)
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@theother_95 Even now I’m anthropomorphizing evolution to reason about it — more accurately, the random walk of natural selection seems to have favored people with better social reasoning
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· ↳ reply to @John_Infante
@John_Infante @jbouie instead they'll displace whoever was living there in the current housing stock by bidding up the prices economic_illiteracy.jpg
· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing @conorduffy_7 The power of autocratic regimes usually comes from control over important resources like oil. My thesis is that countries whose fundamental resource is human capital struggle to maintain authoritarian states. Liberalization leads to better human capital. But overall agree
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· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing @conorduffy_7 I'm not at all qualified to speak on these issues but from what I've read from Kori Schake and others: 1) china lacks allies 2) their political order is not as stable as we think (see: Hong Kong) 3) chinese growth is dramatically slowing
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JohnCarltonKing @conorduffy_7 Defending the liberal order means having trade primacy anywhere the Chinese want to go, and not the trumpian protectionism
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· ↳ reply to @neogaia
@neogaia I’d say liberals have reclaimed the phrase — I don’t think cutting social benefits is emblematic of neoliberalism. It just means a belief in the free international trade order and ideologically bowing to empirical evidence
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@neogaia There are many people in the neolib circles that support nationalized healthcare for ex
· ↳ reply to @neogaia
@neogaia Im not saying ur wrong; I’m saying people can reclaim & modify words. Socialism used to mean state control of production, and now it means something entirely different, and harder to pin down. I think it’s useful to see what the people who actually call themselves neolibs think
· ↳ reply to @Aposter1228
@Aposter1228 If humans had to live up to the standards you’ve set for orcas, we’d be long gone
@BethanyFromLA And that’s perfectly valid — our morality hates violence against non aggressors much more than other forms of death. Still stupid to claim that people are unsafe coming into the US
· ↳ reply to @ItsDarryl
@ItsDarryl Most people don’t know what the hell is going on, ever. They assume the show is playing 4d chess when it’s playing 1d chutes and ladders. It only becomes blindingly obvious at the end, when the veil finally has to be lifted.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ItsDarryl Same shit with Lost — if you couldn’t tell it was bad by like s3 it’s on you
Can’t believe I haven’t yet started an evangelion based cult
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal Nah dawg you have to realize uber&lyft are still in a cat fight for market penetration in smaller cities. They could, at any time, drop the subsidized and unprofitable cities and be living large
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ne0liberal It would be stupid to not finance growth with cheap capital at a stage like this
· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing Perhaps, but the squalling baby can’t consent, so if the parents aren’t cooperative then it’s forced injection by the state which seems illiberal. Where I see no recourse is that not vaccinating your kid puts other children at risk
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· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing also, mandatory conscription. when the rich kids are also forced to go to war, we're less likely to go to war
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@CipheredYT @JohnCarltonKing There are more wealthy folks now! I’m not just talking Donald trump level wealth. It’s harder for all of them to slip through the cracks. Moreover, if the explicit policy goal was to make rich kids go to war when one is declared, I think we could figure out how to do that
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· ↳ reply to @EPoe187
@EPoe187 This is dumb. Value is axiomatic. There’s nothing deep about the rest of the world either, only what we choose to think is important
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· ↳ reply to @balajis
@balajis Amazing that people can believe shit like this. You’ve drank your own koolaid man
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· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing @CipheredYT These are all true, but I earnestly wonder. Would we have gone to Iraq if it was the children or grandchildren of senators coming back in body bags? I also realize these folks can find their way out of combat roles even if they’re conscripted
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· ↳ reply to @paulg
@paulg It’s kind of incredible that human aesthetic sensibilities gravitate towards truth. “You can always recognize truth by its beauty and simplicity.”
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@paulg - Richard Feynman But it also seems that different peoples ideas about beauty lead them to better or worse inductive biases. We probably acquire our sense of beauty mostly memetically
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· ↳ reply to @R00349
@trepur349 @JohnCarltonKing @CipheredYT Is military discipline really something we want in everybody? Seems to me that if you want it, you'd go seek it. If it really taught you discipline, those skills would easily let you outstrip others who'd went straight to school. The fact that we don't see that makes me skeptical
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@HenryKraemer @CathyReisenwitz Cities: Make it impossible to profitably build anything that's not luxury flats due to inefficiency Developers: *build luxury high rises* Cities:
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@HenryKraemer @CathyReisenwitz Are you saying every single developer is monolithically bad at PR? If you map this argument to some other space, it would seem ridiculous. Should the legality of abortion clinics be conditional on their good PR?
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@HenryKraemer @CathyReisenwitz It should be completely possible in a free society to perform a transaction without democratic approval. So the villain IMO will always remain NIMBY appeasement governments and never developers
@HenryKraemer What do you mean? People build large houses in suburbs where land is cheap; that’s the optimal outcome. Urban lots with higher land values should have denser housing. The government intervened in the proper functioning of the market. Don’t see that you’ve made any point
@LLW902 The app is just yelling “wrongo” at me
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· ↳ reply to @MarginalScribbl
@MarginalScribbl @Ornithophobix A specific kind of highly educated American criticizes American imperialism, and even that is a relatively recent invention. From what I can tell, the Indian left wing is criticizing Kashmir policy, though they may not be the loudest voices
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@Ornithophobix @MarginalScribbl When america invaded Iraq, our newscasters, intelligence agencies, elected officials all jingoistically presented it as the obvious choice. The fact remains that a vast tract of Americans saw and see American military force as a panacea, a cure to all evils
· ↳ reply to @ConradkBarwa
@ConradkBarwa @MarginalScribbl @Ornithophobix In general, there is freedom of speech for that topic too. There are several prominent Congressmembers and White House officials that have criticized Israel. Public opinion is very strongly aligned with Israel for lots of reasons, which makes them hard to criticize
· ↳ reply to @rishiasija
@RishiAsija There’s a difference dawg, nearly 90% of Kashmiris want an independent country. 70% of northern Irish are happy being part of the UK
Sic Semper Tyrannis
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· ↳ reply to @elonmusk
@elonmusk why dont u take a helicopter to work instead of building a tunnel
· ↳ reply to @ahardtospell
@ahardtospell This actually still such a bad thesis. Here is this phenomenon that HAS NEVER BEEN SEEN ON THIS PLANET BEFORE, and some idiot claims after the fact, well actually I knew exactly what global social media would cause, you should’ve put me in charge
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ahardtospell Not only that, there’s still absolutely no causal link or smoking gun showing that social media is bad for democracy. Only that centrist candidates have neglected its power
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· ↳ reply to @micsolana
@micsolana @kimmaicutler single use plastic is less resource intensive and better than expensive & quickly deteriorating reusables when the plastic actually finds its way to a landfill (which is 99.99% of the time in developed countries)
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@micsolana @kimmaicutler If this was actually about the environment and not virtue signaling, they’d funnel this money into better waste collection infrastructure
@CascadianSolo honestly, this presidency has created an era of extremely good twitter content I didn't imagine was possible. he's got me thinking about it
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· ↳ reply to @CNLiberalism
@ne0liberal I don't think this is as bad an idea as you make it seem. People come to rely on certain welfare schemes like social security. Are they really going to forgive the party that takes it away from them?
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ne0liberal the bulk of regulation is "sunsetted" anyway by an administrative change (ex: FCC & net neutrality)
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock @ne0liberal yes, it systematically provides entropy against small ad hoc schemes that might be less than efficient, or designed poorly, and prop up universal schemes like social security / UBI
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@jdcmedlock @ne0liberal think about how parliamentary systems are capable of remaking their entire tax code every few years. wouldn't sunset provisions allow us the same kind of flexibility?
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@chaosprime Pretty much explains why humans procrastinate and have short attention spans. Evolution could not entrust us with hyper focus — we eventually just ignore some other stimulus and just die.
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@ProperOpinion Did you even read the fucking article? They’re complaining that too many people think satirical news is real
@ProperOpinion Ok, I just got down to the part of the article about “flagging satire”. Never mind, this is stupid. In my defense, you could honestly see the headline and the first parts as a compliment to the Bee: “the best satire is indistinguishable from truth”
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Are these people for real
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· ↳ reply to @miljko
@miljko @WilliamAEden found that after reading it I was no more enlightened than before; the idea that human cognition fails systematically and predictably has been told to us in so many digestible sound bites. The various biases and heuristics were also familiar. Each can be explained in a para
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@admiralstubing @miljko @WilliamAEden See this is exactly the kind of thing you can’t condense into a blogpost — a long narrative, a set of lengthy anectdotes. Thinking is an extended essay. Surely You’re Joking is a set of stories
· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr What’s the mechanism behind the phenomenon humans call gravity?
· ↳ reply to @asteroid_saku
@asteroid_saku Instagram is interesting. It’s all increasingly old product people trying to build a product for teenagers. They talk about the things teenagers are doing with their platform like you would a foreign culture
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@asteroid_saku I always wonder what kind of satisfaction you can get as a 35 year old spending your working life building increasingly strange modalities of communication for 15 year olds
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· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion This just isn’t true. America is one of the least class regimented societies in the world — we drive because it’s more convenient and offers us more freedom. The problem is the unaccounted externalities, not some moral failure
Everybody says that the future won’t be kind to us for being so slow to solve climate change. I’m skeptical. Just like how I’m amazed people a 100 years ago accomplished anything at all without computers, people a 100 years from now will look upon us with similar pity
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@abhiprofen @Noahpinion Back just 25 years ago you could try things with perfect confidence that nobody has ever tried them before. Convincing yourself that you and your ideas are unique was much easier
· ↳ reply to @ESYudkowsky
@ESYudkowsky @glenweyl @ewarren @AndrewYang You could bridge the gap to AGI x risk with some more content regarding the worrying effects of modern narrow AIs on minority banking and criminal justice. Orthogonal risk, but close in concept space
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· ↳ reply to @glenweyl
@glenweyl @ESYudkowsky @AndrewYang Not a fair criticism. MIRI doesn’t spend much time worrying about white supremacists who know how to align powerful AIs to their interests . It’s not the operative concern
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· ↳ reply to @glenweyl
@glenweyl @ESYudkowsky @AndrewYang My point is that such a scenario seems exceedingly unlikely. When we have no idea how to successfully align, it’s premature to worry about unsavory characters accidentally aligning an AGI to their interests
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@glenweyl @ESYudkowsky @AndrewYang We can revisit this when we have some clue what we’re doing. Once we discover nuclear physics, we can start worrying about containing nuclear weapons
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@mattyglesias Discourage consumption of valuable resources, not these idiotic ad hoc paternalistic schemes
@jonrosenberg to be honest I think our coordination prowess is a lot more impressive than that of social insects
· ↳ reply to @BenRossTransit
@BenRossTransit This is nonsense. Even if electricity production energy mix was 100% fossil fuels it would be more efficient to drive electric cars than ICE. It turns out if you burn giant amounts of fossil fuels in a power plant instead of a tiny car engine, you get more bang for your buck
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· ↳ reply to @Austen
@Austen Politics isn't just squabbling for power; it's how decisions get made with limited information. When the future is uncertain, you have to convince people to work with you.
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· ↳ reply to @MWZH1
@MWZH1 @BenRossTransit the cleantechnica article notes the importance of the energy mix, but also notes that 100% FF gentech still results in EVs coming out ahead.
· ↳ reply to @MWZH1
@MWZH1 @BenRossTransit some back of the envelope math says that EV running on natural gas powered plants beats ICE cars by at least 50%. With the current US energy grid mix, beats ICE by 40%. It runs about equal when calculating with a energy mix of pure black coal.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@MWZH1 @BenRossTransit So my claim regarding 100% fossil fuels is ambiguous and perhaps wrong if we're considering only black coal, but right in the case of natural gas. End result: moving to an EV on the current energy grid is a net positive.
Incredible observation that it’s harder to produce food for 7 billion people than a few million. Y’all ghouls need to stop wishing for most of the population to die https://t.co/PxnzufIxuu
Strange how the neolibs on twitter, supposedly consequentialists, are getting their panties in a twist about people dancing on Koch’s grave. There’s probably no one who’s contributed to climate change denial more than he has. Gigatons of CO2 in the atmosphere with his name on it.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
If you think it’s ok to cheer when someone like Gadaffi or Saddam Hussein dies Bc they killed a few hundred thousand, what’s it ok to do for someone who put a billion people in existential jeopardy?
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@profunc A man’s life doesn’t truly begin until he’s cancelled
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
By all indications, the lives of the indigenous were violent and short, and if they had “sustainable meat agriculture” (they clearly didn’t) it’s sheerly because of how few of them there were, and how calorie starved they were
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Industrialized meat practices are truly heartbreaking, anybody can agree; but they’re not carried out by bogieman corporations for no purpose. This is the real cost of fulfilling the meat appetites of all humanity.
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
Either stop eating meat or invent some way to manufacture animal protein more sustainably.
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· ↳ reply to @TheAnnaGat
@TheAnnaGat Take some old idea, make it more half-baked and then publish on medium
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@chaosprime Is this true? High contention commodities like grain, water, steel, etc. have dropped in price (both absolute and relative) over time
@chaosprime Seems to me that contention for commodities stably increases over time with growth in population and qualify of life Paying more always helps with commodities by definition — they’re interchangeable. I’d have a harder time trying to bid for the British crown
The worst species of startup is when someone makes an app that’s a subset of some other app “Facebook but only for middle aged leprechauns”
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· ↳ reply to @rsg
@rsg @sarthakgh Generally grounded in a small selection of other people’s observations that both sound good and satisfy confirmation bias
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@ifthedevilisix He’s not mocking Bourdain’s suicide at all. The point of the joke is that it’s strange how unrelated people’s internal and external lives can be
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· ↳ reply to @dylanmatt
@dylanmatt Has little to do with the Chinese government and everything to do with american free trade policy
· ↳ reply to @AlanMCole
@AlanMCole The Winds of Winter is only good if you put no thought into it at all and watch only for the spectacle Perfect episode: Blackwater
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· ↳ reply to @webdevMason
@webdevMason Strange to hear wealthy and connected people complain about a lack of imagination Go build these things if you want to see them
· ↳ reply to @cyantist
@cyantist belief that people should be able to do whatever is fundamentally *fun* to them & belief that people should optimize for global utility, i.e. effective altruism. These are convergent goals only sometimes
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· ↳ reply to @AOC
@AOC The ACLU has lobbyists. UAW has lobbyists. Lobbying is not a crime
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· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 @AOC I understand, but I don't think there's a clear distinction. There are very wealthy nonprofits and NGOs that can have more evil interests than a corporation. Should Trump Foundation be able to hire ex-WH staffers as lobbyists?
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· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 @AOC Right, so this bill makes lobbying efforts less effective across the board if ex-senators can't lobby for ACLU or for Goldman. I'm not sure if that's a good thing (i'm aware goldman will probably pay more)
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· ↳ reply to @sjmmcd
@sjmmcd These guys are basically all ugly as balls and don’t want their takes associated with their visages not fit for the limelight. That’s how you become a nerd twitter celeb
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Global satellite internet a la SpaceX Starlink is a huge win for the liberal international order. Chinese local ISPs may have to bow to state censorship, but good luck blocking the truth streaming down from the heavens
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Hot take: the legal concept of marriage will be dead given a few more decades
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@computergorl @_Jason_Dean_ I don’t see this regionalism thing as a threat though. If someone ran on a platform of segregation, even if they won 30 million votes in the Deep South (they wouldn’t because it’s a 1/3rd African American and that’s a total pop figure), they would get slaughtered everywhere else
@computergorl @_Jason_Dean_ But how would bringing segregation back ever be a “small part” of someone’s platform? If someone who even touched an idea as radioactive as that wins the popular vote, this country deserves what it gets
· ↳ reply to @nmeier21
@NickMeier21 @AOC Right so then my conclusion: Ex Senators make for *better* lobbyists than others, so having them step out just equates to a deescalation agreement — “ we will use less powerful weapons to lobby for our interests “, both for people who support my interests and those who don’t
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@NickMeier21 @AOC So if lobbying is altogether worse, then I suppose the corrupting power of money in politics is somewhat lessened. I guess I’m a fan
· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr Care to explain further regarding $$?
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JohnCarltonKing @Taylor_Workman The UBI is so much more psychologically friendly. The guaranteed and visible $10k paycheck every month probably also boosts its political popularity
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@lpolovets @sarthakgh if federal government had this power they could run A/B tests much more effectively than states that aren't coordinating
· ↳ reply to @Aella_Girl
@Aella_Girl Would recommend Greg Egan's "Axiomatic". explores this topic in depth
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· ↳ reply to @MaxGhenis
@MaxGhenis What is the total rent value of all US land and how much could we realistically extract from it? Does that taxation scheme to other types of monopolistic ownership like a patent or copyright?
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· ↳ reply to @can
@can Adding enough riders adds buses to operation. Marginal decision making doesn’t make too much sense here
· ↳ reply to @ebruenig
@ebruenig I think he realizes this just as much as any other thinking human. The thing is, his legions of dumbass fans don’t and he can keep selling books this way
· ↳ reply to @zck
@zck Then explain LA
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· ↳ reply to @ryxcommar
@ryxcommar You’d be surprised how much college admissions people hate essays like this
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· ↳ reply to @bt_hathaway
@bt_hathaway @JasonBordoff @noahqk No part of this validates your claim regarding the rebate not offsetting the costs. you’re right that the cost of everything would increase, but not that it’s permanent. One day clean energy will be as cheap as running water; the point of the carbon tax is to bring that about
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Go up makes absolutely no sense here, or at least is damning to the policy. People often point at American healthcare spending and say it's way out of whack with international standards. How can less spending = more jobs?
· ↳ reply to @Scientific_Bird
@Scientific_Bird yes. imo nobody has a better grasp on what kind of arguments or what angle of attack would chip away at my beliefs than I do. Good arguments follow a power law -- the really good ones can shift your worldview many orders of magnitude more than a slightly worse one
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@kchandwhipple I think it's kind of wild that we watch entire TV shows and movies sympathizing with protagonists who are actual cold blooded murderers (Narcos? Breaking Bad? Game of Thrones? Nightcrawler?) but the assaulter is beyond saving
· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr @JeremyTRussell He’s a part of the Night’s Watch, colloquially known as “crows” due to their black cloaks. The whole series is pretty heavy on crow and raven symbolism, it was my first thought too
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· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr If I’m remembering correctly, the epic of Gilgamesh depicts the afterlife as painful and terrible for everyone, which is why Gilgamesh tries to achieve immortality in the first place
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· ↳ reply to @vgr
@vgr It’s an allegory about the dangers of communism
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· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock Why discourage both savings and consumption? Why not only vat? Perhaps with a progressive rebate
· ↳ reply to @jdcmedlock
@jdcmedlock Discouraging investment then. Why put sell pressure on large shareholdings? I suppose I don’t really understand the theory, and should go read some papers. Seems strange to me to tax valuably invested wealth instead of spending on yachts & whatnot
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@itsadumbwebsite @jdcmedlock It would, but my point is the tax is unfocused. Why tax shareholdings instead of just illiquid assets like home equity, yachts, and art as you say
@itsadumbwebsite @jdcmedlock I think we could do better than a wealth tax by starting a sovereign wealth fund. That way there’s some sense of citizens profiting from private capital growth
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ifthedevilisix honestly I don't even disagree with this logic. Trump is a disrupter. I hope candidates learn from his campaign and adopt some of his style. Using twitter to communicate with your voters directly is something every presidential hopeful should employ
· ↳ reply to @AspenMIPol
@JonMIPol Honestly it’s pretty amazing how loud this guy is, even after 7-8 hours. He’s all you can hear over the buzz of hundreds of people
@coherentstates Just fyi the Bay Area housing crisis can entirely be attributed to strict/exclusionary zoning laws that disallow construction of dense housing in almost the whole place. The free market could fix this thing overnight. Can source you these zoning maps for evidence if you want
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ademska1 @coherentstates In other words, MORE SUPPLY of any kind relieves demand pressure across vast swathes of the housing distribution, from hovels and hostels to luxury penthouses
· ↳ reply to @ademska1
@ademska1 @coherentstates Not true; the point is that with less demand, prices drop. Landlords drop rent if nobody is filling the units, until the price is low enough to get filled. Vacant units are deeply unprofitable. On a marginal cost basis, it’s better to rent the unit for $1 than leave it unrented
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@ademska1 @coherentstates There are empirical examples across the world, like Seattle, Tokyo, where rents have either been stable or gone down Bc of relatively little zoning restriction
· ↳ reply to @ademska1
@ademska1 @coherentstates Regardless of Japan’s macroeconomy, Tokyo population and investment both trend positive. “These markets are more complex than that” is a truism. It’s really that simple. If you knew Bay Area politics you’d know how hard wealthy homeowners fight to keep zoning laws intact
· ↳ reply to @Rationalbot
@Rationalbot i.e. starting from moral axioms that I apply elsewhere, circumcision is clearly wrong, and yet I don't seem to care. I feel this way about eating meat
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Gonna buy a juul to protest
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
This counts as patriotism
· ↳ reply to @cullend
@cullend @rishmishra Absolutely. If I can work anywhere I want, any hours I want, I’m a contractor and not an employee
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· ↳ reply to @martian_navy
@rishmishra @sarthakgh but what is the alternative? while rideshare is a gig that you can fit in anytime of any day, you cannot turn off the app and immediately find some other source of income. while your claim is flawed, my ideal future is where every service job is a gig "under the API"
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· ↳ reply to @cullend
@cullend @rishmishra Uber/Lyft don't have employees they have ICs that's the whole point. You're not allowed to work at BK/McD's at the same time, although people do it anyway
· ↳ reply to @Noahpinion
@Noahpinion Facebook is a good company and its vocal opponents are mostly brainwashed and uninformed
· ↳ reply to @BernieSanders
@BernieSanders the same drug companies that have come up with thousands of major medical advancement in the past century, saving anywhere from millions to billions of lives?
Not even true. Vaping illegal after market THC pods may have killed a few people — do you think a ban on flavored ecigs is gonna do anything about that? https://t.co/MucweVpBeQ
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· ↳ reply to @sarthakgh
@sarthakgh Question: could someone start a (number of) large decentralized “Uber contracting Inc.” companies, or even trade unions that brings pricing power back to the drivers by allowing them to coordinate and respond collectively by collateralizing risk
· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@sarthakgh Even something as simple as coordinating mass closing of the driver app across a city to boost prices
· ↳ reply to @mattparlmer
@mattparlmer Just to be clear this is entirely an occupational licensing issue and the solution is a freer market. That’s a state government preventing Jorge from doing his job Bc it benefits some American Engineering lobby
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· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing Obama was a first term senator tho I don’t think experience matters at all for the presidency. Nobody is prepared for that job
· ↳ reply to @JohnCarltonKing
@JohnCarltonKing 2015 Obama wasn’t the same guy who inspired millions in 2007. The skeptic who can lead isn’t the same person as the idealist who can win. And it’s quite possible that nothing but the “last quarter” could have freed him up politically to be that way. No more elections to win!
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@JohnCarltonKing It seems to me that the people who change science and technology are commonly young inexperienced idealists — folks who are too naive to realize what they are doing is impossible. why do we not have that same expectation for politics?
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· ↳ reply to @codinghorror
@codinghorror Unionizing is not about getting more more money — it’s about price discovery. A very wealthy worker may still be undervalued and unions can help alleviate this You’ve unintentionally framed unionizing as greedy
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· ↳ reply to @tszzl
@codinghorror There’s a fundamental bargaining power imbalance between employer and employee. Why is it only the employee that feels nervous walking into an interview? They have less info and fewer moves to pull
· ↳ reply to @staringispolite
@staringispolite @CindyBiSV @jacobmparis @Austen CPI tracks a weighted basket of goods that includes healthcare and housing in ratios that represent urban workers. Meaning even if the relative costs of these have gone up, the whole basket is down and everybody is richer
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· ↳ reply to @staringispolite
@staringispolite @CindyBiSV @jacobmparis @Austen Surely you’d agree that urban housing costs are a higher relative expense than suburban/rural ones? All of the growth in home values can be attributed to the land becoming more desirable, and no land is more desirable than urban land. It’s possible rural healthcare is expensive
· ↳ reply to @conorduffy_7
@conorduffy_7 Here’s the real question: “They is” or “they are”? Are we committed to singularity
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· ↳ reply to @devonzuegel
@devonzuegel Furniture. There’s a special joy in ordering the amazonbasics cheap af version of everything
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