@man_ditch@shill_globalist@nectarina12 won't believe nectarino's a woman until we get birth certificate (long form), full genetic scans, shoe on head photo etc
im already having premonitions of what life in big tech is gonna be like in a year. you tell your bosses you're remote working out of your apartment in SF. get a PO box or something to prove it. then move to guatamala where you buy a 100 acre ranch with your 400k salary
@discourseloverr it's normed to the population, so it's a real measure of how *unique* one's level of intelligence is. but imho there's massive nonlinear gains at the high levels vs from 80 to 100
@import_jerbear@discourseloverr@Dans3rdAttempt i don't know much about psychometrics research but my understanding is that IQ is highly "g loaded" and therefore very good at approximating a person's skill in every subject
@import_jerbear@discourseloverr@Dans3rdAttempt "The existence of the g factor was originally proposed by the English psychologist Charles Spearman in the early years of the 20th century. He observed that children's performance ratings, across seemingly unrelated school subjects, ..."
@import_jerbear@discourseloverr@Dans3rdAttempt "...were positively correlated, and reasoned that these correlations reflected the influence of an underlying general mental ability that entered into performance on all kinds of mental tests.
imagine leaking this shit as tho zucc isn’t inserting a unique steganographic nonce into each employee’s video stream and setting the zuccstapo on them as soon as they talk to the media https://x.com/parismartineau/status/1276592381748543488
@halvorz i need to work my attention span way back up to read Stephenson stuff, I think I'll download Blindsight tho. been meaning to read it. were either of the latter altered carbon books good?
@petergodofsky@halvorz@eigenrobot imho Hyperion is good but like ... generically good. it tries to do a lot of things and doesn't do any of them better than other novels. really like Dan Simmons' Ilium actually precisely bc its so bizarre and unique
@aquariusacquah@pacinocchio this 100% makes sense for tasks like risk approximation, fraud mitigation, etc and 100% does not make sense for visual tasks -- the features are completely self learned by the conv nets & the model is biased toward one thing only: finding cartesian spatial patterns
@aquariusacquah@pacinocchio there is only one avenue for bias to enter such a task and it's in the train set, eval set, test set. FlickrFace is pretty diverse, but clearly not diverse enough
@import_jerbear my favorite part of any such encounter is when people lecture you on how exactly to apologize and then tear you apart that it wasn't good enough when you do
@orthigonian lol at this point i basically have an allergic aversion to a handful of words and phrases employed by critical theory types, my eyes start to glaze
@import_jerbear@aquariusacquah@pacinocchio none of these results seem remarkably better than the viral one, most seem worse
but ya it seems also that the one everyone is complaining about is based on a single inference sample, maybe could be much more accurate with more searching idk
@import_jerbear@aquariusacquah@pacinocchio also i'm not sure if the social justice spirit is in the right place lol. im happy to have some police cam footage of me upsampled into a white face
@Cullen_OK also this is an absolutely fascinating company/app: https://donotpay.com/
but i fail to see it monetizing if it wants to maintain the right incentives. also afraid of it going the way of the adblockers and working out contracts with companies to give them a backdoor
@BonbonFork@hotdogontology@simplic10@MorlockP@robkroese i've read part of it and stopped actually. Egan is one of my favorite authors but there was a point where I just didn't understand what Egan was going for and I had to stop until I figured it out (which I never did lol)
@BonbonFork@hotdogontology@simplic10@MorlockP@robkroese it was the part where he discretizes the subjective experiences of his avatar and runs them out of order ... did not make sense to me from a software perspective. don't you need to have prerun the forward simulation linearly in order to arrive at these subjective states?
@BonbonFork@hotdogontology@simplic10@MorlockP@robkroese in other words, you have the discrete world state at s_0 and you can compute it forward to s_1, and then to s_2, etc. AFAICT there's no other way to run simulations. Is it meaningful to "run them out of order" if we've pre-calculated the forward progression of states?
@BonbonFork@pelotom 3BP is fun but wasn't intensely compelling or anything. the language of the book is not great and i'm thinking 3BP loses something in translation
regarding the results on PULSE face generation. The results are sampled from StyleGAN trained on FlickrFaceHQ, which has independently been shown to bias towards white faces. Since PULSE is a downstream method, it makes sense that it should show similar biases
and just taking a random sample from FFHQ ... these percent breakdowns seem exactly right for this dataset. (i'm guessing roughly 80% of flickr users are white)
i'm very seriously thinking that the model is really confused by barack obama since he's mixed race. it's just guessing that he's just a tanned white dude. will play around with PULSE in a bit to see if I'm right
https://x.com/jonny_sunrise/status/1276976524063727616?s=20
if you *really* wanted to nail this down, you'd have to figure out a way to give the GAN a racial geometric prior and place mixed race people somewhere in between "white" and "black" clusters in the latent space etc, although this seems subtly phrenological lol
Birthdays until 21: beautiful celebrations of advancement through childhood, ascent into maturity
Birthdays after 21: ceaseless reminders of the passage of time and the drumbeat of mortality
But you know what the best part of my day is? It's for about ten seconds from when I pull up to the curb to when I get to y̶o̶u̶r̶ ̶d̶o̶o̶r̶ the timeline. Because I think maybe I'll get up there and I'll knock on y̶o̶u̶r̶ ̶d̶o̶o̶r̶ the timeline and you won't be there. https://x.com/powerbottomdad1/status/1277074293831225348
the so called "natural face manifold" the authors talk about in the paper is really just the "white face manifold" lol. this is a much more serious deficiency than the authors make it out to be
@oldvillagesage yeah, it should clearly be able to handle different facial clusters. after all, it's pretty good at distinguishing men and women so no reason it can't do race w sufficient/balanced data
@alth0u only bc of the power of suggestion of what the AI gave you imho
pretty easy to tell the downsampled face is asian without the AI superresolution right by it
@sonyasupposedly Yea there’s a whole special interest lobby of ml “researchers” whose jobs would turn out to be useless if what yann lecun said was true so they call it racist
the design of the Coruscant mega city is as good as any in high budget scifi and the scene where Anakin is falling from the skyline is cool as hell https://t.co/Lo4kiUn3sn
@orbuch the issue is that domestic carbon intensive industries would not be able to compete on foreign markets — we would end up buying all of our steel abroad if we don’t adjust it at the border to include the carbon price
@gbrl_dick@orbuch There are good legal arguments that WTO allows adjustments
‘Hillman concluded that both the letter and spirit of WTO trade rules permit countries with carbon taxes to adopt “non-discriminatory harmonizing tariffs.” ‘
@gbrl_dick@orbuch Yeah you seem better read on WTO conflicts than I. Overall bullish on carbon trade zones but will require upfront international legislation to standardize imho
@gbrl_dick@orbuch I think a smart precedent to set would be simply ask to join the EU ETS and harmonize the carbon markets. Carbon permits could be traded across borders straightforwardly
I don’t really believe that therapists can learn to understand the mind well enough to help people via formal psychoanalytical theory
They probably can have a “village elder” type ancient appeal with innate ability to soothe
tech companies follow each others' content policies like lemmings, making sure they're never the odd one out focused down by consumer groups or governments. twitch is following reddit and i'm sure there'll be dominoes falling all day
@MiloJKing i also don't quite believe his 'confession' either. the mask guidelines were in place long before there was any kind of shortage, implying that the CDC just *hadn't thought about it* which might be even worse
@besttrousers@JohnCarltonKing this is the most transparent gaslighting i have ever seen lol
there was no new information. the *absolute best case* that you could make is that they were nobly lying to protect healthcare workers as Fauci claimed
@GreySmithereens i was previously under the assumption that, in the two party system of government, one of the parties had gone to shit. i now think that the rot is pervasive and bone deep on both sides. it made me more sensitive to blue tribe hypocrisies
btw talking about 'new evidence of asymptomatic spread' is puro de gaslighting
(1) your prior should have been that asymptomatic spread was likely given the alarming R0 of the virus and relationship with SARS-1
(2) masks are obviously effective even against symptomatic spread
@SwiftyLeZar you don't need an RCT to demonstrate that the grass is green and sky is blue imho
over reliance on RCT over common sense is a huge weakness
@TenCentPistol9@Azazeled The bandwidth is not the major concern as it can always be improved by densifying the satellite array; the latency is the prime concern. Elon is promising sub 20 ms latency which would be a tremendous game changer
@eigenrobot very helpful thread honestly
i thought maybe people like me ('97) idolized the 90s and thought the US is currently decadent b/c we didn't know the scope and scale of problems back then
but it seems more like the sense of Doom is correct
@jdcmedlock for the record, I ask only because I think the experiment design will be interesting. It makes perfect sense that folks who can afford to make fewer mistakes will spend more brainpower on budgeting
tweeting routine:
1) have an Opinion
2) start typing it out and see that it’s a bit too genuine and therefore cringe
3) reformulate Opinion as a joke
4) send tweet
@aquariusacquah@eigenrobot him saying this shit is exactly as inflammatory and dumb as taylor calling him a misogynist. every sane observer knows that, but he's put her in a funny position
@swapp19902 pretty much totally dumb lol
in hawaii inheritance works in a very strange way. there are basically hundreds of fractional owners (<1%) of the property who are just making his life difficult with this PR campaign
@The_Geraldoid exactly, like we clearly don't have a perfect grasp of physics at the moment but it's not bad either wrt tech capability. are there other models that are equally not bad but don't include anti matter in them?
@The_Geraldoid seems arrogant to think that our order of progression is somehow "linear" and that every species will follow this same tech development pathway -- there may be infinite, who can say?
@eigenrobot the content available today would blow their mind to shreds
we will have to keep them off the internet until they've seen enough 2000s normie TV shows to prepare for it
@ModLibChip “Solve the birth rate”? No clue what you mean. And of course, someone else in another country is always making the financial investments to raise a child when you accept an immigrant.
@neolibreplygirl so I’m guessing you mean fewer serfs equals higher wages but we are not feudalists anymore. More people = more ideas = more innovation. I also thing this argument is too utilitarian or not utilitarian enough but I can’t put my finger on it
@neolibreplygirl You can erase a child’s carbon footprint for a few grand, it’s literally nothing compared to what we spend on them on public education alone
@neolibreplygirl not to mention I find it funny that libs will generally roast Malthusians but then adopt their arguments when it comes to atmospheric sink capacity.
@ProfitProfound this is prime cope of the journalism industry. They can absolutely never admit that clicks drive anything as it would blow up their moral high ground
@robbensinger@paulg “ In business, money is either an important thing or it is everything. Monopolists can think about things other than making money; non-monopolists can’t.”
@browserdotsys also interesting to note is that this pretty much dispels any 4th spatial dimension that we can’t access — if such a thing existed we’d have an inverse CUBE law. I can’t speak for the degenerate dimensions used in string theories
@noguchilamp@aquariusacquah Toronto is one of the best cities in North America
It’s a damn shame that software engineers get paid Iike a third what they would in the valley lol
@robinhanson don’t think that any planet in our solar system will support an economy larger than the terrestrial one. Will have to go out of system for that
@marathiMaharaja yeah imho should not be up to the gov who has to close and who doesn't -- should be up to the people to decide which businesses are being safe and cleanly to take their business to
@marathiMaharaja if we lived in a smaller, better-run country my opinion might be different. but we live in the US, where the cdc told us that masks don't work for the first 1.5+ months of the pandemic
@harridanechoes@DanielTabakman@Meraxion@robinhanson moving power from the sun to earth doesn't sound like a very lucrative or monopoly industry. just commodities. now as then, the richest companies will be the ones in control of creative monopolies a la Google, Facebook, Apple, etc
@harridanechoes@DanielTabakman@Meraxion@robinhanson space based solar power in general doesn't sound very attractive
and since we're talking about scifi power sources, why not just have nice clean nuclear fusion at home?
@harridanechoes@DanielTabakman@Meraxion@robinhanson i.e. are the richest people the folks who own the servers or the people running software on the servers?
in our world, it's clearly the latter. the facebooks and googles of the future will build their own solar compute clusters, bc why not
the euros stole this land from the natives, who spent millenia stealing from each other before first stealing it from all the north american megafauna they wiped out, who stole it from the dinosaurs,
the usual response to this observation is to say that land should be democratically owned, which is exactly as dumb and unfounded as all the other things
there's only one solution
https://x.com/eigenrobot/status/1219728048427167744
@Nikhil87539319@browserdotsys right but I think the question was about a one off prisoners dilemma, in which cases the only relevant choices are defect and cooperate
@NicholasElodeon everybody on this site is extremely high on “openness to new experience” i.e. slutty so you’ll have to look elsewhere for people that answer no
@NeoLibBen@maxdunat not necessarily this is bad or wrong, just pointing out the strategy
when companies like uber and lyft offer essentially the same exact product the only way to compete is outspend each other on growth and acquire whole markets
@eigenrobot The Industrial Revolution and its consequences have been a disaster for the human race. They have greatly increased the life-expectancy of those of us who live in "advanced" countries, but they have destabilized society, have made life unfulfilling, have subjected human beings to
@nabeelqu “cheering for the death of the university” is not really it, is more like “the university system are fatally wounded, put it out of its misery and start fresh”
@averyfjames@nabeelqu potential energy is released. thousand schools of thought contend. better solutions are found, etc. it's possible the coming system is worse than the current one but I don't see any guarantee that it would turn out to be OP's dystopia scenario either. i'm bullish, he's bearish
@nabeelqu@averyfjames you don't really need billionaires to start new colleges. they don't have the time or imagination. exciting things are happening everywhere. bit of a meme at this point but I like @LambdaSchool a lot
@royimous@goblinodds@nabeelqu I think gdp growth or labor productivity growth is the best metric for advances in technology, and both are stagnant in developed countries
@royimous@goblinodds@nabeelqu number of journal publications is quite an awful metric — the outputs are far more useful for measuring innovation than inputs. Labor productivity, for example, is not tied to number of jobs
@royimous@goblinodds@nabeelqu Nah idts
A paper is not a quantum of progress. Often times they’re incremental or repetitive. There can be papers that change the world and papers that do nothing at all — should measure in terms of sustained improvements to economy
@QiaochuYuan reread HDM recently and ... wow ... the grief at the end, it's like a ton of bricks. maybe as you grow older the only powerful emotions are strong memories of old emotions but jeez, i was nonfunctional for a day
@MorlockP the complaint isn’t that this is a painful death
It’s the fact that it’s industrialized death on a massive scale. Sane people can’t look upon millions of cute little baby chicks falling to their death and feel alright with it
you have to leverage the refractory period after extreme cancellation events to say all kinds of fucked up shit
during this time everyone is too sated to cancel you
@gigafelon@man_ditch my companies' bathrooms are extremely cursed. the walls are filled with tech tips and suggestions on how to use various internal tools lol
@powerbottomdad1 idk dude
adequate and competent is a receding goal line. the better you do the more shit they give you to do until you either fail or retire into some comfy grandfathered position
@powerbottomdad1 the real goal in this industry is to create some abstruse & disgusting system that only you understand so they can't get rid of you lol
@powerbottomdad1@eigenrobot on a separate note this reminds me of my friend who got a job offer by chatting up some random people at line at the Madras Cafe in sunnyvale lmao
@powerbottomdad1@eigenrobot most ppl here are highly paid yuppie professionals who nonetheless spend most of their time trying to make people laugh on twitter dot com
@powerbottomdad1@eigenrobot yeah i lived right next to it in 2018 and went to get dosas there like every saturday lol
and i saw some blue check VCs mentioning it in tweet threads as well
such an insular industry even in the Anno Domini 2020
@bayes_baes I really don’t know how people read these books and come to that conclusion. 3BP was very critical of the excesses of the cultural revolution and very celebratory of the triumph of science over politics
@bayes_baes My biggest complaint about this series is that the writing is kind of bad but it’s definitely not an alien morality or anything. You’ll find that lots of Americans value pedigree and education, even if they’re less upfront about social status
@LittleKeegs0 On the contrary our disgust sensibility is evolved by biology and culture and therefore proven itself adaptive to both our own survival and the survival of civilization
@ChrisCroy co evolutionary streams often arrive at the same conclusion -- but does that mean each one was a waste? in other words, aren't we more creative in isolation?
@lessin@semil `On the one hand information wants to be expensive, because it's so valuable. The right information in the right place just changes your life. On the other hand, information wants to be free, because the cost of getting it out is getting lower and lower all the time.` - Brand
@mechanicalmonk1 kind of an odd complaint lol
there are plenty of journos that talk like normal people. it’s nice that there are some who talk with this full lip sneer affectation