actual reward - predicted outcome = the advantage function
people tend to remember moments when they receive large abs(advantage)
if you want to subjectively live longer, make sure your prediction / Q value function is really bad
@leepavelich@powerbottomdad1@glockwitdanuts in the long run stockfish will always win bc stockfish is a weighted average of a bunch of open source heuristics
it can literally just integrate alphazero and keep going (as it seems to have done)
@thesravaka@ollyrobot@alt1na1 the specific thing im kvetching about is the bbc version of his dark materials, where they cast will and Lyra as 16 year olds and the story no longer makes much sense
@Jayasimha108 my argument wouldn’t be that the two are always distinct. there are plenty of truths that are beautiful and beauties that are truthful, and the intersection for you may be your god and religion .
but have you never come across an attractive delusion or an unattractive truth
@Jayasimha108 it’s true that 100,000 babies get cancer every year. It’s true that sometimes a homeless person is asking you for money only to buy drugs. It’s true that sometimes you need to stop giving people second chances. None of these things are beautiful
@roddur_dasgupta wasn’t joking, a significant fraction is rehash of halting problems and Turing machines. But power through that and there’s some interesting thoughts on consciousness
i think i said this before but "learning" is solved if you have a lot of compute ... just run the evolutionary process for a long time (or construct a gradient as in RL)
modularity we do in the meantime is to conserve compute power via understanding various brain functions
if we understand that the brain requires memory then we can design architectures that reflect this and don't have to waste compute cycles learning to create memory
@ladybug1776 if you keep hill climbing its very very hard to get stuck because there's always some way out
metaphorically you might think some situation is fucked but if it's complex enough there will always be an avenue of improvement somewhere
@diviacaroline@ladybug1776 yeah local maxima may be better metaphor! in ML we're usually concerned about minimizing loss functions so that's the one that sticks in my head
bottom line, mars probably doesn't create tappable market value maybe for the next 100 years (other than whatever paltry sum you make selling tickets) and that's fine and we should still fund it
honestly it’s absurd how much better i feel going into work everyday than wfh lol
the Sisyphean struggle of career really hits different in the sf high rise
@AgainstGop does this matter if the American machine demands more working hands & constant growth? Even if immigrants quickly assimilate and become low fertility, it doesn’t change the desire for more immigrant pops to “use up”
@MattPirkowski even if your ergodicity complaint is about going bankrupt or something, there are forms of capital that can't be taken from you by any court
@simonsarris@bigbadmeatball@alt1na1 im not sure if im hacking my sleep in stupid ways but on nights i take melatonin i wake up feeling more refreshed and needing to sleep ~1 hr less than normal
@lauralondon_ it’s probably overrated to what degree they’ve rejected materialism, I mean they’re still building opulent office buildings, remote working from Oahu, etc
@divalbanerjee@luke_metro@lauralondon_ interesting but I think the highest status guy in SV is Elon musk specifically because he makes stuff for the real world
@RichardMCNgo the simple computational model of single biological neurons (poisson spike train) is the primitive arranged in arbitrary configurations. Pick some space of biologically plausible learning rules
so apparently early on at uber there was an intern perk that was just “unlimited Uber rides forever” because they thought it probably wouldn’t be worth that much
@parafactual i mean yeah maybe but nerds are often very materially powerful these days, and culturally dominant so being more critical of them may be warranted
@parafactual on some level most of the people who go online being like “we should bully nerds haha” are themselves scrawny geeky people irl im not exactly concerned
@parafactual like think about Bronze Age pervert larping as a bodybuilder Chad online but being some political consultant dweeb irl working an office job, kinda pudgy
@VectorOfBasis@erin_nerung she blocked me but I have to characteristically disagree and say that rotating objects in your mind is way easier than rotating them irl
EXPLAIN WHY BOLTZMANN BRAINS ARENT REAL TO ME OR I'LL FUCKING KILL YOU! DON'T DUMB IT DOWN INTO SOME VAGUE SHIT! EXPLAIN IT TO ME RIGHT NOW OR I'LL LITERALLY FUCKING KILL YOU! WHAT THE FUCK IS A MEASURE PROBLEM OF COSMOLOGY? DON'T DUMB IT DOWN OR I'LL FUCKING KILL YOU
@VivaLaPanda_@AlecStapp@Noahpinion@ne0liberal yeah that's huge
i mean this is entirely political theater, go after the largest player because it makes for the most impressive kill. i wont respect the lawmakers until they destroy Kirkland milk and stuff from appearing at costco
i mean the idea that you don't own your collected data re: items being sold through your website, flowing through your distribution network to use however you like is just absolutely absurd https://x.com/AlecStapp/status/1403418210398056449
@krishnanrohit@VectorOfBasis@PradyuPrasad@judahwantssocks yeah this is a good exercise, I’ve faced it at work too. Everything that can be launched has to be run through the filter of “will enough people get absurdly mad on twitter to cause more brand damage than this feature is worth”
@yashkaf you often dismiss worrying trends with a decent argument like “here’s a way to avoid it / why it probably won’t affect you “ but nonetheless the trends are worrying
@lisatomic5 revisiting this, isn't religion a kind of transhumanism vs the baseline of nonbelief? some folks want to make humans more powerful within the material world, whereas the religious may say ppl are actually More than the small scope of what you think is human
what they said repealing net neutrality would do:
balkanized piecemeal internet, startup ecosystem dead, paying additional ISP fees to stream Netflix, total collapse of all creativity
what actually happened:
T mobile upgraded me to unlimited data
@PrinceVogel@DanielleFong@Lithros seems to me that the more authoritarian states have a higher proclivity for mega projects but rarely create enough material excess to fund them. Dubai bypasses by living on top of a gold mine
matty simultaneously holds the position that facebook is too dangerous and powerful to be allowed to exist and also that it’s a stupid waste of mark zuckerberg’s time https://x.com/mattyglesias/status/1404032217056165889
@parafactual all harsh absolute statements on twitter are fake, should be converted to “directional”. i think more people have memed themselves into thinking they could never be good parents than the opposite
@rahulchhabra07 afaict brains learn a stack of heuristics, one on top of another, building highly complex thinking systems based on simple premises (“this face is mom”)
it’s an inevitable flaw of complex systems that they become fragile as they specialize, and specializing is also inevitable
@rahulchhabra07 the more basal an assumption I change the higher the risk of “collapse” or “fragmentation”
also why babies will always understand and accept new technologies better than 35 gear olds (more than biological vagaries!)
@PrinceVogel and you’re right about rebirth, which is a flip side of destruction. if you don’t believe in some universal identity, it’s impossible to think that you can survive rebirth
@lillianmli haha i think it’s more probabilistic, where the right person may see your tweets if you have Ks of followers, and invite you to things. still a nobody tho
lov 2 be an overly online VC reading about an endless stream of San Francisco horror stories that mysteriously never seem to materialize irl and meme myself into moving to Akron, Ohio
@HinduLookout BG 2.47 Thy right is to work only, but never with its fruits; let not the fruits of action be thy motive, nor let thy attachment be to inaction.
i mean i dunno man this stuff doesnt even pass the basic smell check, hes like "everyone i know is getting absolutely fucked by the mrna vaccine, my haircut lady had a stroke, my friend had a heart attack"
the FDA is so risk averse that they took down the J&J vaccine for allegedly causing 20 bloodclots across millions of doses but you have to ignore that info and think they're akshually big pharma shills censoring untold carnage where it concerns a slightly different vaccine
@MattPirkowski you're right but i also don't think there's any internet company in the world that could censor all mention of vaccine side effects, not to mention i watched a video of him explaining his position on youtube
not to mention
everybody in india is taking ivermectin rn and dying anyway by the boatloads. wonder if they wish they had "experimental mrna" vaccines instead
https://x.com/tszzl/status/1400622459502665735?s=20
@mormo_music "[out of everyone i talked to] the only people that didn't have a frightening, anomalous reaction were my parents and heathers mom" and the other guy on the went off about miscarriages and heart attacks
@mormo_music so yeah sorry i'm tired i blended all these up a bit, but bottom line, sensationalist, dramatic, seeming to point out that anecdotally nearly everyone who takes it has alarming side effects, which doesn't pass my basic sniff test seeing as hundreds of people i know have taken it
@neurosisenjoyer i dont think the fda gives a shit about me at all, and might be one of the greatest impediments to tech progress
i do think they are quite concerned with their own survival, which makes them very risk averse
@chopstickfury01@ladybug1776 if you watch the video hes not even doing the bit of "im just asking questions", he calls whatever new study he read a "real redpill"
im with you on how badly the scientific institutions showed their ass at the beginning but the solution isn't to follow even worse grifters
@ladybug1776@chopstickfury01 no ad hominem is good actually
at any rate the only discussion here is who's worth trusting on reporting the basic side effect statistics, the FDA, bret weinstein, other scientific establishments, so its just ad hominem all the way down
still blackpilled how by the time china had recruited 100,000s of workers to enforce a central quarantine of the ill, most people in government and media here were just googling "what is test and trace"
@nickcammarata don't worry, the first mood overpowers the latter generally. that's why my bio says "reluctant transhumanist" but also includes the weary nikola tesla quote
if you're gonna rob some place in SF you gotta hit a chain store like CVS Walgreens etc bc there will be security guards who are paid to stand around and force everybody else to not to act erratically so your robbery goes v smooth
@NormieRotten like everyone else you will get headaches and fevers for a day and then receive immunity at a miraculous % rate so seems like an obv trade
@NormieRotten most criticisms you will see will just be like vague concern trolling "im just asking questions they havent done enough long term testing!"
theres no 5 year prognosis on contracting the actual virus and it obv means orders of magnitude more spike protein in your blood
@ladybug1776@chopstickfury01 it doesnt seem that hard to just hit the deltoid muscle. both of mine seemed to be proper. assume improper administration, mrna goes to wrong cells, some spike protein gets into the bloodstream. it's now still orders of magnitude lower in presence than in an actual infection
the real problem with mRNA vaccines is that they target protein production in muscle cells in your deltoids, which then get destroyed by the immune system response
pfizer conspiring to lower my overhead press by a few milligrams
little known fact - academics make most of their money not on their research but by selling branded merch on the side and doing concert tours https://x.com/tszzl/status/1404926279158165505
@jeff82874662 literally robberies are so low bandwidth in terms of money transfer it almost feels quaint, like dude ran off with a $100 of goods, aight bet, im making $100,000 in cash flow per day
tfw i'm trying to rob an Amazon Go but the sentiment detection system identifies me as stressed, an autoturret extrudes out of the ceiling and shoots me full of neutralizing hormones