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@cosmicoptima i'll never tell 😉

@cosmicoptima the fact that we even have to explicitly wonder about the postrats' "alignment" (most people will shove it in your face) means they've already won!

btw this was a riff off the three gods puzzle lol

the year is 20XX. $GME is undergoing its 927th pump cycle. Bloomberg News calls one of the descendants of the ancient sage DeepFuckingValue on air to explain what’s going on

@DonStinson12 I knew it

it’s so much easier to come to the solution for a problem once you believe that one exists

@mlanetrain lmao I think these are more typical statistical models tho and not “ML” necessarily

@mlanetrain I see that’s dope

this is the fundamental benefit of the Newtonian approach wherein he believed every mechanism of the universe is a cryptogram sent by god for him to solve

@alexisgallagher exactly! Some of today’s homework problems (in physics etc) had their original solutions published as a paper

@perceptions420 lol I think you can imagine. High openness low conscientiousness etc

@cosmicoptima autarchy - rule by autists

@perceptions420 i think i'm overcompensating on the extroversion questions due to not seeing anyone in like a year

in the early industrial age people thought of their brains as functioning like "clockwork". then the metaphor became computer software. now i can only imagine it as a series of embedding spaces and transformations

@cauchyfriend @Levi7hart yeah, a nice ML problem space is usually one where you can (1) get rapid feedback from the environment, (2) build a reasonable simulation, or (3) have a challenging, large, and diverse dataset prebuilt from human labelers (rare)

@cauchyfriend @Levi7hart in the tech industry you generally log every user interaction that ever happens so you can get this real time feedback from the environment on basically any challenge but in cases like econometrics you will definitely have to rely on smarter statistical modeling

historically very bad bet that your age's metaphor is correct but i'll take the odds yeah spike trains are different than continuous vector math but i'll bet they're dual somehow

hmmm now i need some1 to prove that clockwork is actually dual to spike trains

@erf_of_why true

@selentelechia i remember i read somewhere that herbert kept bringing idaho back because he was a fan favorite not sure if this is true (nor why the fans loved him lol)

@The_Geraldoid true and their government produced new years stuff is amazing we honestly need more positive propaganda

@The_Geraldoid lmao its aight i have a feeling everyone thinks their own anthem is bad compare to others judging by youtube comments

@powerbottomdad1 @The_Geraldoid lmao truu

@selentelechia apparent source: a foreword by brian herbert lmao https://www.reddit.com/r/dune/comments/herjkp/has_frank_herbert_ever_talked_about_why_he_chose/fvt4ghm?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

@selentelechia i ... had no memory at all of duncan idaho when i read dune messiah (like 10 years after reading dune). had to go look him up

Dune is best read as an instruction manual on how to build a cult of personality 😉

forget executive coaching you need to read dune

@gbrl_dick completely true and also the genius of its ecological narrative. sometimes you need destruction to escape local optima

@gbrl_dick whoa i've never heard this metaphor before i like it

@gbrl_dick very australian maximalist phrase nice patriotism gabe

@michaelcurzi @ykgoon yeah i mean the plot is cool and all but the philosophical subtext is where its at. would recommend reading before watching

@alth0u same if for no other reason than to make myself illegible when twitter inevitably tattles on both

I should've known NFT waifus are a thing

owned again https://x.com/rohn_jawls/status/1369920409257263108?s=20

@FrankMe123 yeah he accidentally stumbles through all the steps that construct a galaxy spanning cult around him u can still read it as instruction manual lol

@swapp19902 this is why substack is good and will encourage ppl to write arbitrary length blog post series

@lisatomic5 lmao looks like it

@ollybot_redux mfw I thought this was about global trade

@rohn_jawls im aware

@rohn_jawls fwiw the matrix math is irrelevant / says more about the substrate than the software and it’s the connectionism that matters

@powerbottomdad1 nah i forgot this saying exists lol its better a better fortune cookie than mine

nerds love the Prediction Market because it allows them to finally incorporate whatever far-off thing they're obsessed with (generally elections) into their decision loop

otherwise what do you even have? just a parasocial relationship with information feeds that you can't respond to

anyway this is why you should invest in robinhood asap

@bowserbot2 jacknicholsonyes.gif

@AnKolTakes the lowest common denominator example of info feeds outside our decision loop that we think are important & relevant but are actually just entertainment

@homsiT yep same thing lets you finally flex your previously useless knowledge and turn into money

adult onset adhd ... https://x.com/alth0u/status/1370783473145802761

most of Stripe's market valuation can be attributed to patrick collison being the only eloquent tech CEO in the world and looking sort of like augustus caesar. prove me wrong

and the quality of their docs https://x.com/MrNerove/status/1370982608012738561?s=20

@wannabegroncho being literate

@wannabegroncho true but they make the VCs and would be employees go awooga and have cartoon hearts for eyes

@FunkyDuffy stonks are a type of prediction market to retail traders

@yeetgenstein mark z only wishes he looked like caesar

@gigafelon probably, i'm pretty sure you can style transfer based on single pictures these days

mfs call themselves illegible and then get a W-2 in the mail. talk to me once you get rid of your SSN buddy

@derivedbatch fr fr

@postpostpostr @BroductManager we should institute a ban on making things out of anything but pure computronium

@BroductManager i cant believe lights dont turn themselves off when i leave the room

@alexisgallagher i havent seen one and i think u should make it :)

@jachaseyoung how good is metaculus' record? feel like it's populated by futurist types

@Hellachans lmao whatd he do to you

@Hellachans say no more. he's irish, i get it

@MonkeKio @acczibit @lalaAlicelala this true ?

@alth0u ironically if they made it easier they'd probably get more talented doctors rather than grinders/hustlers

@alth0u very high in conscientiousness + low openness opposite personality of most stem folks

cant believe ive been subjected to years of anti-CommonCore videos which actually consist of teachers applying some rubric incorrectly

i have no faith that teachers somehow had good rubrics matched to their skill level before https://x.com/postpostpostr/status/1371594506378821633?s=20

@eigenrobot can different portions of the west have different golden ages i feel like that's when the american golden age started 😁

all the homies updating their bio to technoking @ XYZ today

@powerbottomdad1 @jeff82874662 can be master of coin 😉

@tweetsbenedict @sonyasupposedly that's why there's usually two stages 1) the resume screen, which by its nature filters out everyone not conscientious enough to look good on paper and 2) the psuedo IQ test whiteboarding

@tweetsbenedict @sonyasupposedly both are fairly crude but seems to work alright

guys i did it better ..

@luke_metro lmao urs is great for a long time mine was just "low level technocapital hierophant" but i thought damn nobody will understand this

@Nick____Elodeon based

@eigenrobot @phillippepayant @nwilliams030 @_TamaraWinter feel like it's more fractaline than that even different regions of the US have had their golden age at different times

@eigenrobot @phillippepayant @nwilliams030 @_TamaraWinter whatever dude golden ages are overrated. let's all become tastefully wealthy and build dynasties anyway

don't know what you can call this except Full Self Driving no lidar no deep mapping works everywhere https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=C_b8SL2LZOo

in this vid the user only ever intervenes when the car is being uncomfortably safe rather than too aggressive / negligent

@billpshort lmfao

@lowqualitybot fuckin A absolute banger this situation would be difficult for a human much less a robot

@ReplyGuy_3 @phillippepayant @eigenrobot yeah i have some doubts but i'm willing to be plied by the gdp growth figures its possible i'm overweighting the impact of transistors, atomics, etc against like heavy industry, railroads, steel

@ReplyGuy_3 @phillippepayant @eigenrobot golden ages exist insofar as you believe a "momentum trade" is a real thing

this is already at an insane starting point and the control improvement from here will be rapid and eye watering just based on sheer data volume

@AOCoomies https://x.com/tszzl/status/1371611762793930756?s=20

@Duderichy the ambition has always been level 5 and it doesn't really matter what their initial filing with the DMV is

@Duderichy this is basically a highway only auto-follow feature its more impressive to provide L2 for many cases than L3 for some small subset of cases

@powerbottomdad1 yeah but i didnt quite understand why? seems like pure downgrade

@powerbottomdad1 maybe for simplifying their software or achieving better hardware utilization or something

@BarneyFlames you could possibly prove it in some smaller subset or edge case (eg city driving only) and use that as leverage with the regulators for more aggressive rollout and testing but yeah thats a good point

@phillippepayant @ReplyGuy_3 @eigenrobot yeah im mostly talking about growth rates here

@Hellachans https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Red_Guards

@healfhunding typical indian

@NateTheSpy @Duderichy once you have one robotaxi you have one million but i really couldn't say. 2024?

@powerbottomdad1 @NateTheSpy @Duderichy being conservative because i really don't know what else they'll have to do to actually convert the thing into a taxi

does ... does mattY think that PE just selects a random sample of assets and decides to make them worse buddy they were distressed to begin with https://x.com/mattyglesias/status/1371771066729791489

@NateTheSpy @Duderichy if you are selling brand new technology the date will be uncertain by its nature im not sure why people get mad when someone promises impossible world-changing things but then delivers on it 18 months late or something

@rglpwx yeah probably and then compare the lowest quartile of both

@Duderichy @NateTheSpy i think every tesla buyer knows very well that this is not coming instantly and that they're investing into future tech just like pre-ordering a cybertruck lol. 100% of people know the date is tongue in cheek musk timeline

@edavidds waymo decided that creating self driving cars is the hard part rather than making it run on commodity hardware wrong bet despite having all that great software they will launch later than tesla and will require expensive augmentation

@Duderichy @NateTheSpy their ridiculous boyscout optimism that drives analysts insane is also the secret of their success but this has all been litigated 100 times. not interesting anymore

@allaboutchemist @rglpwx that's what the current study does but i don't think it's a great analysis if the nursing home is about to go belly up and the PE firm optimizes it in a way that it's no longer on the verge of death you can't really argue that they made patient outcomes worse

@alth0u the children of dubai oil barons always get full rides smfh

@alth0u yea or at least its very easy to lie about parent income when its all black money / unfriendly government

@polisisti @trevorjtweets i don't have the econometrics expertise either but i'm generally skeptical of trying to control for variables this deeply embedded in the problem there may be whole dimensions the authors are missing

Palmer Luckey saying that tech CEOs are astroturfing anti-military sentiment among the ranks to keep the chinese investment capital flowing

sort of confusing because wasn't the google DoD project backed by top brass but killed by rank and file? this some insane false flag shit or just wrong?

@MegaBasedChad hes Based and Redpilled

@garybasin no clue doesn't make that much sense to me

@garybasin in fact Google and Facebook benefit zero from the chinese markets and have completed ceded them at best they recruit a lot of chinese immigrants

@LouSolverson true; doesn't add up

@jayanthkumarak not that i understood

@alt1na1 @antoniogm love how antonio is here providing spiritual guidance

anyway i'll see you all in the future robot wars

@BroductManager @PalmerLuckey incredible

@PalmerLuckey interesting so is this at the venture capital level? VCs need to maintain good relations with CCP & chinese investors to join their funding rounds etc?

@PalmerLuckey thanks for commenting. am a huge fan & will be applying to anduril soon

love how The Social Network is basically eduardo saverin's personal telling of the founding story and he still doesn't come off as a good protagonist lmao

he has bad business instincts, doesn't commit to the startup, jeopardizes the server upkeep a few times

@metorotem the character who nobody can track down and almost definitely didn't exist

@aniiyengar lmaooo theres such a thing as too much hustle

@aniiyengar real talk its amazing that you can hand over so much of the company to someone who is actively malicious like this and then not only succeed but also create one of the greatest money machines of all time

@aniiyengar pmarca, sam altman etc: make sure you know your cofounder for a DECADE before starting anything with them zuck: literally picks the most toxic guy in his dorm with the largest checkbook and just ends up winning

me buying the optimal plane ticket vs me dumping $10k into $GME

imagine spending 2 hours optimizing luggage fees and then losing 100x that amount momentum trading on robinhood

@GuilleAngeris true and i've seen some videos of it performing very poorly in more ambiguous city driving conditions feels like suburb + highway in good weather conditions is more or less solved but once the car has to reason about N+ objects it starts breaking down

@GuilleAngeris I actually think it'll be fine perception is difficult and imo control is not as bad if they get more data reasoning about lots of moving objects i'm sure it'll be ok. after all the video game bots happily reason about 100s of objects and their complex interactions

@erf_of_why this is why i love trading its the only situation that makes me feel anything anymore

@selentelechia hmm lot of things starting to make sense to me my dad and i would get into fights abt how much effort & perfectionism he put into filing paperwork and made everyone else put in

@gbrl_dick do people still use superhuman lol

if you used to work at Reason and then leave, do you become a postrationalist?

yall pray for my boy @maxdunat. aint nothing wrong with him hes just a Reason grad

@dendricide lmfao

@BarneyFlames this guy is either a fed or a DNC astroturf or both

my greatest poasting influences in no particular order @AOCummies @eigenrobot @powerbottomdad1 and the Cancelled but not forgotten @realdonaldtrump @browserdotsys

@EdAhmedd @AOCummies @eigenrobot @powerbottomdad1 @realDonaldTrump that guy poasted so hard he became president. an inspiration

ive just been informed my list contains no women or people of color. sorry sorry im trying to delet it

@turrible_tao yes thank u tao blessed

ok ok @sonyasupposedly who is both a woman and an underprivileged minority (furry)

@selentelechia yesss i'll take it

@eigenrobot https://x.com/tszzl/status/1371238282164531200?s=20

@andrej_haulis @gbrl_dick @TheAnnaGat yes king

@TheAnnaGat lyra belacqua

@Callicleez @turrible_tao lmaooo

@alth0u @lalaAlicelala aint no margins like software margins

@alth0u @lalaAlicelala also a lot of people have some utopian notion where if they can legalize sex work they can de jure make it acceptable and bourgeois this way but if you stop lying to urself there is literally no change that will destigmatize sex work

@alth0u @lalaAlicelala the worlds oldest job and in every iteration has been severely proscribed or at least hidden under several layers of ritual

@alth0u @lalaAlicelala i'm not convinced that civilization would even survive "undifferentiable simulacra" lol

@postpostpostr @alth0u @lalaAlicelala underlying all culture is biology and biology rarely changes the incas kept their prostitutes in a special district away from the rest of society before having any contact with eurasian "norms"

kinda funny how anprims are over represented online lol

@eigenrobot explain san francisco to me right fucking now

@antirobust @eigenrobot this is tru but people walk a lot in the denser parts

@sf_tech_bro @eigenrobot the weather in san francisco is basically the same all year and way less variable than new york the blackpill is that corporate wear is the final fashion statement

@kitten_beloved lmao

@gbrl_dick convo > writing in terms of making me think harder 99% of the time aristotle knew this

@finnonthegin @gbrl_dick this may be cringe but honestly i was thinking of a written conversation a la direct message or twitter thread. subjects you to the rigors of writing clearly to a large audience but also immediately subject to question

@gbrl_dick @finnonthegin @GavinNewsom vaccine pls

@gbrl_dick @finnonthegin @GavinNewsom literally shadow banned me for saying this

@michaelcurzi yea when you stop listening even briefly and come back to it it hits way different even returning to some genre after a while can have this effect hypernormal stimuli and all that

@michaelcurzi when i quit twitter for a while and come back it honestly makes me cackle out loud all day for like a day u can build a tolerance on literally anything lol

@lalaAlicelala @gbrl_dick @finnonthegin lmfao lets gooo

@MegaBasedChad true but take a look at the kind of commissions/margins they command

@MegaBasedChad they may have some kind of brand / trustworthiness moat but it's hard to say there are so many scam exchanges in crypto & coinbase is at this point the only recognized and trusted brand

technocapitalism is fast, culture is slow, and evolution is glacial

i don't think we even solved how to deal with the effects of tv as a communication technology before the internet came out and it'll only get faster from here

@devarbol marx is extremely compelling when you replace every mention of bourgeoisie with "technocapital optimization monster" and yeah the war has been lost

@roddur_dasgupta i'm just glad dfw never had to suffer the horrors of making a twitter account

only Schmidhuber can call himself ML scientist. everyone else can have the title of "engineer" at best. or possibly "technician"

@telmudic they study your brain to find out how not to build the machines

@telmudic collecting all ur "human baselines" from daan to make your paper results look better

someone from aerospace pill me on this. are bigger rockets always better? are payload:rocket mass ratio improvements offset by operational difficulty or smthng

@mazuretsky @mister_thrash but there's also fixed costs yeah? like eg onboard avionics are fixed mass and don't really need to get bigger on bigger rockets so larger rockets will benefit from using less % mass to orbit just for rocket parts

@valueless_user can one big rocket deliver lots of smaller satellites to space? or are there logistical issues with delivering them to separate orbital planes and whatnot

@eigenrobot @NLRG_ my take is that it mostly stems from high agreeableness, low aggression due to different cultural norms

@eigenrobot @NLRG_ probably same underlying principle wrt the "bamboo ceiling" if thats still a thing

@samson_hu @eigenrobot @NLRG_ ya i think they're just disinterested in activism lol. dudes rock as usual

@NemoBane ....

@tim_ber_wind how much of this can be amortized eg if you solve the difficult high performance engine once are you basically done can you design special vehicles to pump enormous amounts of methane and use them from there on out

@tim_ber_wind or is it like we forever have to have whole teams of engineers worrying about new ways the high performance engines can break and how to improve them etc

@ellegist 😠

@postpostpostr @eigenrobot @NLRG_ naw what paper?

@alth0u it would be interesting if all written alphabets have this but i think its not that common

@alth0u but what would it look like if bert had a visual prior suggesting that z and Z are same/similar

@postpostpostr @eigenrobot @NLRG_ ah yeah i have read this it mostly adds up to me. its quite apparent at the executive layers of tech companies

@eigenrobot @darpyu gotta either conduct in black market cash transactions or i get a digital receipt. no in between

@eigenrobot powerful libidinal energies ...

@eigenrobot @NLRG_ @postpostpostr love 2 get published by penis

@alt1na1 Moana

@alt1na1 oh and her demigod friend

@turrible_tao just realized how every graph like this basically has to account for the effects of the cataclysmic introduction of smart phones, greatest financial crisis in like 80 years, and a new president all in the span of '07-'08

@Lev_Esch @eigenrobot arent we all brother

@jd_pressman certification is per rocket design or per physical rocket?

CEOs of big tech companies: You almost certainly have ppl with a parasocial relationship to the British guy on Headspace as employees. What are you going to do about it?

the value add of meditation apps is that most people are actually too afraid to be alone with their thoughts so we need the british guy whispering sweet nothings in our ear

"an economist finds $20 on the street ..." https://t.co/q7JXLwlmFG

@francisco_yira lol props tho

@AOCoomies @ProfoundPilled i can’t see big anime tiddies anymore!

@shlevy no

so is all romance to some degree but at least it’s sort of hidden

my grandma on why she approved my parents marriage: “they got good grades and we hoped they’d have clever babies”

@0xrohan lmao this is a top tier gif

@pattern_boi yeah get fucked grandma

@DistractedAnna true power is when your normal ass totally offline friends are saying based and poggers bc of you

@lalaAlicelala Tru

being “rational” increases it even more https://x.com/alth0u/status/1367685375662034947

self professed logical people are changing their mind all the time. zero continuity of self, just free floating in the semantic winds

@lalaAlicelala yeah I’m not complaining & I respect the tradition a lot it’s just funny how explicit/unromantic they are about it

@valueless_user lmfao yeah this makes a lot of sense to me

@leaacta based. i will take inspiration from you and become Anchored against the symbolic winds

@ChrisCroy natural born recruiters

@R1Jack lmao

imagine calling urself a country and not having nuclear weapons

@BecomingCritter Zyzz

@alth0u keras and this guys ego holding back AGI by 5 years

@pattern_boi @alth0u the latter

@pattern_boi @alth0u nah I’m joking i almost always use torch

.@telmudic

@R1Jack @telmudic yeah ur absolutely right lol

@R1Jack @telmudic it’s all a spectrum but the blockchain ppl are def the most car salesman and it really differs from AI theory to like “deep learning”. The former (who are getting rarer) are p autist and the latter are not really

@R1Jack @telmudic at the extreme the Andrew ng types are just high iq frat bros

@R1Jack @telmudic I’d wager the majority of professors these days hit the high performing frat bro archetype more than like absent minded Einstein. It’s a super high maintenance job and requires a lot of executive function

@R1Jack @telmudic kind of tragic bc I think the latter do better science

third rate noname public health grads: PhD in twitter name, demand that ppl call them doctor online at all times actual professors at top schools: cartoon toaster avi, shitposting with alarming speed & skill,

@Teleonomic ur one of the good ones sir you’ve earned the Dr.

@SeanMombo @metakuna true but most of the important things in life don’t come with deadlines

@lalaAlicelala all my complaint twetes are first and foremost self owns

@halvorz Putting my designer p*nts on a n*n fungible token

@letsassume @eigenrobot

@vgr moloch only

@acidshill people say fuck in “polite company” like it’s nobody’s business so it’s we

@Thinkwert King 👑

@eigenrobot maxwell was just a guy who could integrate really well

there is definitely a sense of “Place” online and corresponding “embodied cognition” when I’m places like my twitter feed

i wouldn’t be surprised if the way the neocortex structures abstractions descends directly from reasoning about places relative to each other on a coordinate grid and navigation between them

@_AlastairX_ true didn’t think about that

@ollybot_redux @eigenrobot amazing

i told my 9th grade econ class that kony was bullshit and our teacher just made fun of me "wtf do you mean by slacktivism roon" https://x.com/user84829272/status/1373504865335410688

@goblinodds dunno it gets weirder the more i think about it

hmm where have i heard this song before ... https://x.com/BernieSanders/status/1373699911783477253

@_AlastairX_ @vgr i prefer the dysfunction if that's what you're asking the final boss

@lalaAlicelala dw i had no idea what was going on. lil roon was just a blind contrarian

@gigafelon @lalaAlicelala WAS 😎

@martin509984 u right i did some rxtarded math

@_metallurgist lmao

@RileyLabrecque ray tracing could never

how is everyone walking around thinking fukuyama is an naive lib idiot but he's actually 99th percentile based?

his whole book is like "marxists are lame and only nietzsche knows whats up"

@MorlockP clearly you haven't been reading r/science

@aniiyengar tru sometimes you gotta weigh the psychic damage ur about to inflict vs the good post

@lillianmli lol

@matt0bradford lol

i'll know i've made it once i have a guy screenshotting my deleted tweets

@ded_ruckus not even lawyers hedge their statements this much

@whomademecrispy hell yeah

@telmudic guess im not cynical enough!

@telmudic would honestly love to see a bill of materials / breakdown of costs

@powerbottomdad1 fuccc

@powerbottomdad1 power bottom dad 1

@eigenrobot damn i had forgotten people were coping this hard even at the end of march i thought this was a jan-feb phenomenon (but i guess back then covid was racist)

@powerbottomdad1 @eigenrobot we were aware of community spread sometime in march

@jeff82874662 this tweet will age poorly once my NFTs are worth millions

@ellegist one interesting thing is that its the same inclination but from different sides of the "aisle" to obsess over IQ vs want to self diagnose with ADHD or something

@ellegist in general i want some psychological mysteries to stay mysteries if i don't have free will i don't want to know

things i shouldn't have tweeted but are now Lindy

@averyfjames tru but not "naive"

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ lmfao

i'm reaching levels of straussian you can't even dream of https://x.com/VivaLaPanda/status/1374540260617580544

@Rahul_Ramc even better

thinking back to the time when some poor brainmelted fool on here claimed that urbanism is actually just sublimated yellow fever

and maintains some 30k odd followers

@roddur_dasgupta tbf, billions of dollars of investment have been poured into crypto, but there are things earlier in the pipeline that are of greater concern here

@alth0u ive never met a real italian period

@alth0u starting to think they don't exist?

@alth0u however i wont be dissuaded that the number is in the thousands

@cutiepiebrowng @AgainstGop @terfdavidicke this is a ridiculous standard lol if i've ever drank i can't comment on alcoholism? bronson had a theory on societal trends and fleshed it out is all

@cutiepiebrowng @AgainstGop @terfdavidicke ya that's fair but i didn't think this thread was an exhortation or a call to action i read this in a completely value-neutral way but perhaps i lack the context

@andrej_haulis lmao tru except NLP is just a regional variant of college dems

i have to admit @EggProphet and @ollybot_redux are the same person in my head

"what is dead may never die ..." https://t.co/AouyvupaX2

nobody has worse vibes on here than the accounts with tens of thousands of followers but zero interaction. you might as well get fitted for a leper bell

@turrible_tao "researchers" lol some guy had an idea on how to sell some gimmicky masks that do nothing but had to science-wash it

elon such a homie letting all the bitcoin millionaires launder their untaxed wealth into cars https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1374617643446063105

@aniiyengar she spends 99.9% of her time mad at guys that dont exist

@aniiyengar she blocked me a while back but nobody gets into this trade wanting to go build webapps. everybody is out here dreaming of launching rockets or building intelligent machines or whatever high concept scifi bullshit you end up building webapps bc its profitable

@andrej_haulis i wish she were shitposting

@n55939491957681 sorry yeah to revise: tech ppl of any role are more rewarded for their skill as investor than anything else equity packages are not common outside of tech

@n55939491957681 yup the PMMs have a lot of clout

@billpshort honestly the baby holding their breath thing is magical

@AOCummies the biggest legend is the guy with 100 followers who gets 10 likes on every post

@_AlastairX_ yep lol

@FunkyDuffy ya usually

i really miss college, a time whose problems i definitely haven't suppressed in my memory or anything

necessity is the mother of invention https://x.com/deepfates/status/1374870717234249731

terrible posture + computer slouch is actually the conspicuous consumption of the 6'3" chads

@The_Geraldoid yeah most of the accounts im thinking of are people with tons of bot followers

@The_Geraldoid also celebs who made their accounts like years ago and all their followers have since left the platform

@The_Geraldoid i think somewhere between 2k-5k is perfect for good engagement, you get a medium number of high effort replies, great convos, no stalkers or parasocial relationships past that and shit starts getting weird

@alth0u i have considered it

@mattyglesias king

ty for participating in my experiment https://x.com/tszzl/status/1254141021073616896

@alth0u at some point i ran out of gadgets i actually want and am now just going through the motions

@alth0u the chad suez dirt canal vs the virgin budget-tripling panama canal

@HopefulAbandon impressive

balaji is actually just dope for his tirades about how countries will be on the blockchain or whatever. keep at it king

whatever he's on about is not a popular opinion literally anywhere

@TenreiroDaniel i refuse.

imagine you get a call and theres a guy on the other end asking you to rank all the races https://x.com/LJZigerell/status/1375085314398633985?s=19

@bronzebarbarian protoss definitely not imba, chronoboost definitely balanced,

@MongoTheGeek backwards

how do i get this job https://x.com/amazonnews/status/1375247759414992897

just pulling in top dollar to get ratio'd in politician's replies. i do that for free

what the fuck is an anti de Sitter space. explain it to me right now

legendary take https://t.co/2hBAAf2kwP

@GuilleAngeris so i can understand wtf lenny susskind is talking about

the money should go to the deleted tweeter, ushering in a golden age of shitposting https://x.com/eugenekudashev/status/1375367604706103297

@AOCoomies no way this is real but we can dream

Are these “hadrons” in the room with us right now? https://x.com/alth0u/status/1375517010159792128

@lalaAlicelala take adderall one day a week and just bool the other 4 days, very lindy

@The_Geraldoid yeah i have no idea what the baseline is

honestly this is kind of endearing. gets ratio'd again and again and keeps on tweeting https://x.com/amazonnews/status/1375529101931520007

@telmudic yeah but like why would you go and continuously poke the bear like this. what do you even get out of it

@GuilleAngeris just watching some random videos on youtube. i love him most scicomm types tend to be hacks who are better at communicating than science but he's an actual genius

whoa this one barely made it above the line. no longer ratioed

@MegaBasedChad you say dickless i say "wise PR strategy" this stuff just doesnt pay off

@diviacaroline i feel people way under estimate the amount of stuff that is hardcoded, just by seeing the amount of time and data it takes for AI vision models to master perception, vs how easily we do it the trick is that we've done it over and over in every lifetime for generations

@diviacaroline https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Baldwin_effect

@diviacaroline tl;dr if an organism learns a behavior and this behavior is helpful to their fitness, it becomes easier to learn such behavior in subsequent generations via evolution in the limit, this behavior becomes hard coded

@diviacaroline as far as the encoding mechanism goes, I have no idea what the state of science is on this

@MegaBasedChad hmm good point or maybe just a simpler order from the top to be more aggressive

@finnonthegin @eigenrobot @lolitsnotreal_ @xyz_nihilo id trust an american nuclear launch as much as id trust an american pandemic response

china bulls explain right fucking now how they will mitigate impending demographic collapse when their capability for recruiting skilled immigrants is nearly zero

@BarneyFlames hmm big if true nonetheless the demographic collapse im referring to here is the one that comes in all modernizing countries, with an initial boost in working age pop, and then an inversion with falling birth rates

@BarneyFlames one child policy exacerbates this even if as you say not as much as the numbers suggest

@BarneyFlames the impact would be generational and already "baked in" the new policy of the 2010-2020s wont be observed for another 20-30 years when these people come to prime working age moreover i think it's harder to increase fertility via policy levers than decrease

@MegaBasedChad south africa, brazil

@MegaBasedChad malaysia is still in the middle income range i think

@MegaBasedChad but yeah agreed tho

@VagrantVaishya haven't they been building a bunch of ghost cities expecting these rural immigrants to come?

@errfreshener in classical economics, automation increases the productivity of labor and makes it even more valuable i'm not sure to what degree I believe this in the strong AI world but it's at least an open question

@errfreshener not to mention even if you automate the easiest and most rote tasks you still need high skill immigrants to build the future technologies that let you stay ahead of other countries

@AdsAmateur right the ideal case is where the native pop just keeps expanding homogeneously along with its high skill ppl having a lot of kids but this doesnt happen anywhere else on earth -- developed countries experience massive drops in fertility rate and have to cope w immigration

@AdsAmateur america would have negative pop growth rates were it not for immigration

@TheAgeofShoddy @eigenrobot elder care isn't just about manpower just the sheer medical cost alone of an aging population means rising tax rates to fund the Chinese equivalent of Medicare etc

@TheAgeofShoddy @eigenrobot the question is basically what % of prime age labor wages are being taken by the government to fund welfare

@RyanQasem it's not any sort of immigrant accepting culture and demands levels of cultural cohesion that would seem absurd in the West

@3Sentinel4 in the era where human capital is the most important kind, i'm uncertain this kind of imperialism will do the trick -- the most mobile (usually most talented) portion of taiwanese pop will just flee the country

"natalist policy" is a cope everywhere it's been tried the effect is like pissing in the wind there's a worldwide secular trend toward two income households with lower TFR and this won't stop due to teensy incentive programs https://x.com/devarbol/status/1375909010617077772

@Alsadius @mmmmmmmmath the amount of chinese outside of china is a rounding error

@Alsadius @mmmmmmmmath nor will they be willing to return to some faraway motherland after 1 or 2 generations

@finnonthegin @mbwheats japan was once a power that threatened to overtake most american industries but now is relegated to being a sad aging country whose main export is anime not a bright future

@DistractedAnna i think this actually just doesnt scale at all seeing as how richer families tend to have fewer kids maybe if you made everyone poorer theyd have more kids 😃

@_AlastairX_ even assuming this is feasible / assumptions about xenoestrogens are correct, is TFR dropping due to lower sex drive or broader cultural trends?

@_AlastairX_ it may be a viable point, if it weren't clear that the West's declining T-levels are due to the obesity epidemic. It's not present at all in East Asia, yet SKorea and Japan have bottom of the barrel TFRs

@ollybot_redux whoa u may be onto something

@SSMERSHE @ollybot_redux

@garybasin ‼️‼️‼️

@_AlastairX_ hmm interesting does test supplementation work? why aren't more people on roids?

@garybasin extremely based

@BarneyFlames isn't this due to the large orthodox community mostly? but people who are a member of the "worldwide" monoculture of secular liberal values are the ones who are leading these trends

@BarneyFlames the native white TFR is way lower, we've mitigated this somewhat with hispanic immigration

@OSmicard secular here refers to the economic definition eg "persisting over a long or indefinite term", however the other definition may be apt as well

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ while i personally love the mormons I think the out-conversion rate may catch up to TFR as it has in most other religious groups the pull of secularism is strong

@4thClassOfficer @TheAgeofShoddy @eigenrobot it's much easier to a pull a GLF on a nation of peasant farmers under the extreme poverty line rather than a modern high human capital population

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ god i hope so

@leominkus i meant more modern attempts different fertility crises have different nature / character

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ the internet has vastly increased the size and power of subcultures already tbh you could argue that trumpism started as a form of online subculture

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ r/WSB is one of the latest phenomena of purely online subcultures creating real world effects cultural evolution is accelerating insanely fast

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ so like how long will "wokism" last under constant assault from all sides? who knows definitely will be longer if the big platforms enshrine this ideology in their code of conduct

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ I think the way to interpret it is the same as "virality" of internet memes "in the future everyone will be famous for 15 minutes" today's dominant culture will have its moment in the sun extremely briefly (yet powerfully) but very soon give rise to something else

@gaitanalyst @eigenrobot didnt work out great for the native americans allying themselves to Cortez

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ i would argue that this particular morality hadn't even started in full force til the birth of tumblr and somewhat the BLM movement the broader trend of Whig history universalism has been around for 100s of years

@aeranothaur @gaitanalyst @eigenrobot history doesn't laugh at them

vaccine dose today feels like end of this whole narrative arc

@lalaAlicelala trying to maintain this as long as possible

@alth0u vaccine 85% efficacy against infection but 100% against psychological inhibition. boutta start inhaling sneezes

@SkepticalAlpaca just calmly wear it under the nose, no one can protest

@lalaAlicelala im kidding

@SkepticalAlpaca same in SF, people yell at you on the street

@BarneyFlames @SkepticalAlpaca lmao can't win either way

@lalaAlicelala sweet alice

@VivaLaPanda_ @thesravaka i don't think it's so outrageous that different cultures think differently but in this case it seems silly

@R1Jack yeah i'm thinking we'll have bigger problems if people are just top down banning birth control

@jachaseyoung @eigenrobot the pinker argument goes that the most valuable forms of modern labor are not easily coerced and that human capital easily flees are you really gonna chain someone to their laptop?

@jachaseyoung @eigenrobot yeah fair enough

@jachaseyoung @MaxNighswander oh shit this sounds promising Anno & GRRM gotta be two of my favorite writers

@onefiftyfivemm someone should do an analysis on who gets cop voice and who doesn't over time

@onefiftyfivemm data journalists wya

@mattparlmer so why isn't Han a thing?

@pee_zombie @mattparlmer @TheAgeofShoddy the complete devotion to the technocapital religion and the rigors of the free market seem to be a hallmark of American society, moreso than any other country

its time to bite the bullet and admit that Moloch is real

@alth0u i only started getting these after college

@alth0u mostly my dreams consist of not realizing i'm enrolled in a class and then having to suddenly take the exam

@alth0u wait yeah it's literally just this lol

@nickisafraud yeah that's definitely true

@_AlastairX_ lmao yeah i think i probably just subconciouscly remembered this post

@devarbol lool link me to the longwinded tweets though?

@devarbol yah exactly my feeling lol, its why i tweeted this. glad someone understood

@bronzebarbarian @DistractedAnna if you want the first world fertility rates to go back up, build wombtanks and robotic au pairs

@ded_ruckus so what would you like to try? you can't be implementing things that defeat the purpose of liberal societies like outlawing birth control or something best you can do here is nudges

@PalmerLuckey @micsolana there is some contingent that definitely enjoys and feeds off of public misery because it makes them important

@eigenrobot @Xsquared13 oooh i'm interesting but i dunno what we'd discuss

@postpostpostr lol are we doing face accts 2day?

@djinnius @ded_ruckus delet this

@_AlastairX_ lmao

@eigenrobot @Xsquared13 interested* lmao

@cheascake @postpostpostr ok fine Fed

"I agree with reddit on everything" https://t.co/zjSusloiOg

@lalaAlicelala ☺️

@MercuryofRome just for the day

thinking about how my grandparents & great grandparents lived in their villages when i was younger they would get done with their work for the day and then just sit on their porch as a family hollering at the passersby (they knew all of them, whether friends or enemies)

extremely Lindy thats just how people lived for thousands of years i had some simulacrum of this in college for a bit but now it seems twitter is my village

synthesis: repeal child labor laws https://t.co/rorMzrd70L

@alexisgallagher lmao yeah it aint great

@AOCummies getting rid of weed, the reddit chemical

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ Malthusianism is the truth and the industrial revolution is the blip, the dreamtime it will all come back as soon as death rate goes to zero & physical cost of reproduction goes down or alternatively as @robinhanson has noted when we become an Em society

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ @robinhanson the alternative is total technological collapse, which will just revert to former more Malthusian societies

@alth0u 😳

@matias_kaplan @selentelechia correct.

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson i very much doubt this only because materials science & surgical techniques progress a lot slower than Moore's law getting a deep look at the brain is very hard

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson yeah i'll watch

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson I think the age of neural nets represents a qualitative change from the 80s -- we have models whose data scaling is unbounded, which is a new phenomenon of course I don't doubt that we will continue to pull many inspirations from the human brain

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson recommend ilya sutskever's talks on why it's different this time

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson yeah i'm extremely bullish on Moore's Law, it just won't be Intel that continues it

@VivaLaPanda_ @_AlastairX_ @robinhanson imo Em world will become real just because ppl want to be immortal

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson the last thing mostly

@_AlastairX_ @VivaLaPanda_ @robinhanson I would take a listen to his lex fridman appreance

@eigenrobot seems like 90% of bad economic analysis boils down to "you're using the wrong inflator"

thinking about bowser's ggplot = gamergateplot tweet

mfw someone says MF ozarks is a better show than breaking bad

@nicholatian got tired of FICO-mogging people. maybe one day i'll put it back

@nicholatian lmao 2 me mogging is like asserting dominance over someone but usually on something silly like maybe you come by someone with an impressively masculine chin and say "that guy chin mogged me" doesnt need 2 make any sense

@nicholatian if you understand this post you will understand the essence of mog

@alth0u - looks vaguely biological - makes me uncomfortable - absolutely no regard for aesthetics or symmetry yeah that's a GA

@panafunds for example, performance will empirically get better and better as you add more trees to a forest boosting algorithm similarly neural nets typically get "smarter" with depth and width it's just an empirical result, which this paper amends

@_djpn @AjitPai this golden god unblocked me a while back, thank the lord

@MegaBasedChad @nypost based

@AOCummies yo honestly id be flattered by this

@visakanv @DaltonDEmery @Jenlky @liminal_warmth he's clearly very fluent in english, but also dumb lol

@visakanv @DaltonDEmery @Jenlky @liminal_warmth or sandbagging the interview for some reason

@leaacta none of the latter are on twitter

my response template for anons

lot of ppl on here addicted to updating their world models but not their policy models

@lonemapleleaf @leaacta lmao twitter is just an extension of internal voice, like a robotic suit of armor. mostly i 1:1 type up tweets exactly as i think of them

ppl who agree with me online: brave tweeters, great poasters ppl who disagree with me online: the "commentariat", the chattering class,

@BrickOverton the dolphin wouldnt even feel it

for his next line of shoes lil nas should definitely draw the prophet mohammed

this is because of the internet somehow https://x.com/mattyglesias/status/1376674427056881665

i will not be backing up my claims

@andrej_haulis these may be effect rather than cause

@WilliamGrobman somehow i don't believe the locally unpopular politics killed a 2000 year old religion thesis

@panafunds in the ML case we expect more error with smaller models, the orange line

this single tweet did more damage to utilitarianism than Kant ever could

@whomademecrispy care to elaborate?

@CentristlyM @HeikoPierre @sgodofsk possible but rare, highly sought after. <5 kids in each top BBA programs will get it

Marx is extremely compelling once you mentally swap out “bourgeoisie” for “moloch”

so has this homie just been ignoring discord all this time https://x.com/TheHustle/status/1376927196523024386

@visakanv @TeddyRaccovelt @amirism_ I mean ok if you want to reduce all human cognition to decision making I agree I guess but it’s the wrong level of abstraction from what we’re discussing

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly yeah i agree here, and would like to add a bit more this is the kind of Talebian argument of ascribing intelligence to anyone who is outwardly successful (eg made a lot of money) because in his view there are a lot of stupid academics who are just circle jerking each other

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly however i'd like to think that there are higher truths than making a lot of money / winning a lot of clout (and you can all feel free to disagree with me here) and one of those things imo is decoding the machinery of Creation

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly or in rationalist terms, the World Model its abundantly clear from that video that elon comes in as an engineering genius with a deep subject matter grasp of all things tech related and jack ma comes in and says "i'm not a tech guy" and then shitposts for the rest of the convo

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly i'm sure jack ma has much better business instincts than I ever will and is really great at commerce (i will also allow that perhaps he got lucky) but he's clearly ignorant on several technical topics that they're discussing in that video

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly moreover somewhat separately from what teddy's talking about being "good at decision making" doesn't really mean much for example AlphaGo is a much better decision maker than me where it concerns the game of Go and probably a lot worse in nearly everything else

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly i wouldn't trust Kanye to run spacex and similarly elon's soundcloud is terrible ergo "good at decision making" is not a meaningful description

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly we can get into IQ or whatever but it's not really needed at a gut level what i can tell from that convo is that elon knows what's going on with AI/ML and that jack either doesn't or is trolling

@TeddyRaccovelt @sonyasupposedly and a higher order of business than all of this is that you shouldn't just call ppl the "chattering classes" because they made some off hand comment that jack ma sounded dumb lmfao it seems like what i said made visa unduly angry

@whomademecrispy @bigmastertroll sounds like chicken would disagree with Deutsch on the value function rather than the ethical framework

@KHicksEfficient Marx describes an extremely terrifying paperclip optimizer, bulldozing over traditions & cultures everywhere it goes, commodifying the nature and meaning of work, and then makes the silly mistake of thinking some group of rich people either wanted or predicted this

@devarbol ;)

@devarbol dont worry im working on a cringy much longer post version of this

isn't it kind of sus how the earth has been around for a whole 1/3rd the lifetime of the observable universe

that ratio is way off from what i would guess w no information

@Interrobang_2 different in the core i'm guessing? wait how is that even possible 🤯

i will believe literally any garbage narrative you put in this format https://x.com/EGirlMonetarism/status/1376683452662185985

@Interrobang_2 right bc i guess like 30% the mass is producing all the thermal energy and the other 70% just acts as a heatsink but even still the 100x figure is crazy

@xobnu its fucked up

@TeddyRaccovelt @Richard_Vixen whiter than white

@RokoMijicUK @Interrobang_2 how does that matter for energy / unit mass? it's not related to surface area

is Metformin based or cringe?

@matt0bradford explain

@antirobust how come

@matt0bradford nah i mean for the longevity effects

it's honestly amazing what kind of shit big tech managers will proudly call "zero to one" with no shame at all

ya we're carbon copying this feature from facebook to instagram but no worries it's zero to one haha

rich ppl should really get back to owning giant generational mansions & filling them with relics and shit

zuck thinks he'll stay humble and be loved by The People if he lives in a bog standard house in Atherton but neither is true

@BarneyFlames or grow some balls and start promoting his brand image in newsfeed ranking lol

@willwilkinson @davidxu90 @CSatisficer @ESYudkowsky smoking your own product eh

@AlfredDolan1 where is House Bezos then bucko, with a treasure horde of various important cultural artifacts in the history of the shipping business, and the 3rd floor is just dedicated to antique boats from the old French merchant fleet

@powerbottomdad1 its like his equivalent of an airbnb, not really for Living or filling with treasures

lol?

@WillManidis i can confidently say i've never understood a ribbonfarm article

the only thing i endorse is buying $GME. write that down sneerclub

@replicaofself i'm pretty sure nick land follows me, i've already been inducted

@rglpwx i'm pretty much a rationalist tempered only by (1) my love of egregore bullshit and (2) not being incredibly boring

@MegaBasedChad hmm true i can't