doesn’t really make sense. If it were true fb would just have built giant Bangalore campuses already. The truth is that the high end engineers here are of a different caliber https://x.com/quantian1/status/1263534108078231553
@discourseloverr Not really, operating in India is a nightmare. there is really no market like China and it does us no benefits to understate the economic disruption a full embargo would cause
@discourseloverr You can see this isn’t true rn as China has total control over medical and pharmaceutical supply chains and the rest of the world has been struggling to get what we need for this pandemic. It’s advantageous to have a trade surplus rather than deficit for that reason
@browserdotsys my electrical engineer roommate told me that modern battery management systems optimize for life automatically and that we don’t have to charge cycle anymore but idk how much I believe it
@rickbruner@default_friend Gawker was a genuinely sociopathic organization imo, and Thiel was only able to take them down b.c. they committed actual crimes. Whether the insanely pricey legal system needs reform is a separate question.
tbh it’s v simple; software has always been about finding the right metaphor. This is true at the programming level and also at the UX level. Facebook won because it was 1:1 digital map to real people. Dropbox won by its name alone. Discord wins with its “server->room” metaphor
@Imperial_Eagle2 There is a phenomenological difference between an institution and its members. The Coca Cola company wants profits. Its employees and executives want promotions and fat compensations
@Noahpinion I’m going to say also: Higgs boson and gravity waves are cool experimental validations predicted 20th century theories, but they didn’t change the way we view nature. If anything they were a bit boring
@Rabadash2@Noahpinion I’m aware, but there is something to be said about putting the pieces together in the right way. At the least, deep reinforcement learning is brand new
@Imperial_Eagle2 Guns Germs and Steel doesn’t claim that these elements are all encompassing — the final chapters are dedicated to other factors, and discrepancies. For example, why China lost to Europe despite having access to the incredible species of the Eurasian landmass
@bob_burrough@ID_AA_Carmack not really ... the computational model of spiking neurons is kind of similar to ANNs. Both sum over a linear combination of inputs. One outputs a continuous nonlinear function of this sum, the other creates a spiking probability
@noampomsky the divine is all narratives. religions are passed down as a set of stories, generally orally. when the kids gather round as the village elder tells the stories of animistic spirits, a they feel the thrill of transcendence up their spine
@Nikhil87539319 would be more just don't ya think? why waste all these people's time when they've probably figured out year 1 who's professor quality and who isn't?
@neolibureaucrat lol ... we're talking over each other. of course they're equivalent. maybe bing is even better. but you understand creating novel technologies is different from replicating them. the 0->1 creates more value than the 1->2, and gets correspondingly rewarded.
@neolibureaucrat to be more specific, it's about bringing a new technology to market for the first time, not simply about developing technologies. in many cases first movers don't even win. Facebook was not the first graph-based social network by any means.
@trepur349@DukakisDude@GerEEEEldo space travel is needed even in the short run for military and communications purposes, but forget about that for as econd. you're implying that space travel only fulfills exoteric needs like those for minerals and such. but space travel should be in demand for its own sake
@GerEEEEldo@DukakisDude since we have no full theory of physics, FTL remains probably impossible. but I have a nagging feeling that the universe is more FUN than we think it is lol
@trepur349@DukakisDude@GerEEEEldo not to give you the boilerplate elon musk spiel but if human civilization is going to be permanent, it requires investments in offworld self-sustaining colonies, and that's something that should generate its own demand.
@trepur349@DukakisDude@GerEEEEldo and even more importantly, humanist liberalism needs its own eschatological cult so we don't fall into despair. christians have the rapture, marxists have the overthrow of the bourgeoisie, and I have humanity on a hundred worlds lol
@swapp19902 these are not instances of technological progress, but globalism. they've imported technologies that were already available in developed countries
@Hellachans@what_ntarnation@swapp19902 curing HIV is an interesting one, b/c it's so important but also notes something major about the biotech revolutions of the past 30 odd years -- they're all mostly focused on niche diseases, the so called specialty drug. we haven't, for example, cured cancer
@trepur349@musclUSA@DukakisDude@GerEEEEldo yeah you would need some novel nanotechnologies for this. you could build it out of nanotubes but we can't really manufacture it in measurable quantities
@ElGasparYanga@DukakisDude public funding for the war on cancer as an example turned out pretty poorly, it seems the government has lost the ability to coordinate science funding in effective ways
@kar_nels it's a recent development, but let me point something out -- we've had safe clean energy technology since the mid 60s in the form of nuclear fuels. and yet, most countries are decomissioning their nuclear plants and relying on *more* fossil fuels.
@Teleonomic@swapp19902 in some ways it is, in some ways it isn't. we've seen rapid advances in communications technology and we don't have too much to show for it in productivity growth, automation, science output, etc
@Hellachans@what_ntarnation@swapp19902 yeah maybe cancer is not the best example, but something like radical life extension technology would be something that helps everyone rather than a small subset of people
@powerbottomdad1 right, but he mentions the faster smaller computers. what about everything else? and yeah i mostly echo peter thiel's sentiments on this topic
@GerEEEEldo@Hellachans@trepur349@DukakisDude the important thing is that civilization ending events are unpredictable and they're in the category of "unknown unknowns". i wouldn't want us to die without an insurance policy
@musclUSA@swapp19902 yes, you're right. the logistics of flying has changed, people's incomes have grown, all of which has led to more people flying. but my point is that airplanes run on similar technology to what they did 20-30 years ago, now with better flight computers
@kar_nels the amount of batteries you need to make solar&wind viable as a primary energy source is generally a pipe dream, even with the current cost curve of lithium ion
@powerbottomdad1 it seems like we've made all these crazy advances in communications technologies ... but where are the downstream effects? where is the huge increase in output from globalized science? where is the insane labor productivity growth from automation? it's just not happening
@trepur349@DukakisDude@GerEEEEldo@Hellachans lol i sincerely doubt any analysis of this kind — people aren’t robots ya know? If you put them to work for a worthy cause, they’ll work harder than they need to in order to move the heavens and earth
@koaleszenz People often say things like, what if newton spent 100% of his time dedicated to physics instead of 90% of it on esoteric theology, but imo that’s a grave error. Greatness & genius is always idiosyncratic. Humans aren’t robots or compute engines
@koaleszenz The other 90% was required for his special contributions to the world. Perhaps if he wasn’t such a pious man, he wouldn’t even have cared about the mechanisms of Creation
@gullfire_ they don’t take roko’s basilisk seriously lol. This is clear from the fact that Yud spends his days actively trying to slow down the progress of strong AI
@Imperial_Eagle2 lol If you listen to any smart libertarian at all you’d see they aren’t autistically focused on private roads but just want to legalize housing
@Imperial_Eagle2 for example Brian Caplan or Tyler Cowen provide a good model for what libertarianism looks like today (hint, both want freer immigration and neither care too much about privatized roads)
@awilkinson This is speaking with the benefit of hindsight bias. There was no guarantee of instagram’s success, especially at the scale it achieved over the last decade. At the time the journos were calling it an idiotic move on zuck’s part and evidence of a tech bubble
@awilkinson You also have to consider the post valuation of Instagram vs the pre. A social network is a lot more likely to grow and thrive if it’s allowed to mooch from Big Blue
@kar_nels@jdcmedlock use technology to reduce transaction costs; it’s become extremely easy to simply scan license plates and send congestion charges straight to peoples bank accounts. Civic technological innovation is the solution
@kar_nels@jdcmedlock The East Asian countries have followed this route to extreme lengths. I believe it makes up most of the perceived quality of difference in life between Singapore and the US for example
@ATStruckmann@AOCummies@Brrrrrpp you also completely misunderstood the point of the tweet lol. it's not depicting ADHD folks as brain damaged. it's saying adderall is fucking healthy people up
there’s a certain kind of secular religion that frames emotional development as it’s own weird kind of game with desired outcomes and a linear pathway to victory. It comes filled with fake epiphanies and an eschatological frame of personal enlightenment.
@BigBreakfastLob@Brrrrrpp should still be fine tbh. if you drop it all of a sudden your melatonin system might be out of whack for a few days, but your body will pick up the slack and upregulate
@powerbottomdad1@mmt_lvt ya the total dissonance on self driving is the strangest thing on this website ... even tech people i respect will occasionally say shit like we're not gonna have self driving for decades
@powerbottomdad1@_vivalapanda@mmt_lvt having a risky, public, accountable brand is very hard to compete with in terms of talent acquisition and everything else
had a banger tweet idea at 4 am but thought I’d save it til the morning. Then I woke up and the only thing I remembered was that the idea was incredible and my drafts are empty. I have found hell
@eigenrobot I don't have a good mental model for this type of civil unrest. is it positive feedback or negative feedback? e.g. is it "the revolution is upon us" or "we've gotten all the rioting energy out of us and we're waking up hungover the next morning"
idk what this factoid means really. something about the fact that we have hundreds of ocean floor fiber optic cables moving around continents of data makes the ocean feel a bit conquered https://x.com/alibaabee/status/1265528402485874694
there are too many things Happening, and Happeningness is increasing all the damn time. Like, do you realize the internal politics of the Saudi oil princes effect the price of our Uber rides??
@NeoLibBen >he fell for MBS's "reforms" meme
this is the shittiest trick in the dictator's handbook to get in the good graces of the liberal West and we fall for it every time. I remember the good old days of Assad Jr's democratic & humanitarian "reform" campaign
@AOCummies That tweet is like a recovered Dead Sea scroll. We should regard the second part of it as prophecy and start building underground nuke bunkers
@jachaseyoung they'll likely hit a diminishing return curve on this particular architecture, but what is the upper limit of all possible NN archs? Feel like GPT-10 will be very smart indeed
@jachaseyoung it seems we're closer to comprehension than we are to true natural language generation. if you look at the tasks performed in the paper, some involved reading a paragraph and answering questions about it and GPT-3 passes with flying colors
@jachaseyoung it could be heaven or it could be hell. it's all about how we choose to proceed. in a world where we have strong AI, everything is potentially free
@Nathani02617995@aquariusacquah all these tech dudes will normally simp for Uber but all of a sudden its unprofitable and dying when someone wants to regulate it / tax it
@Nathani02617995@aquariusacquah these companies are generally gross profitable but lose money on growth. for the record im not in favor of AB5 or anything of its like
@jachaseyoung there would definitely be a shortfall of compute power, which means that many of us will still have jobs. it's the simple Ricardian trade principle. If country x (AI) performs everything better than country y (humans), both countries can have mutually profitable trade
hate to take a Side but my hot consequentialist take is that rioting might be good despite property damage if it results in the decrease of police power in any way at all
if prosecutors are distinctly aware of the riot risk, will they be more willing to prosecute cops?
@man_ditch not like this. private space usually just meant being NASA's bitch with no actual grand challenges of engineering. you just build the parts they want you to build to the exact specs they want you to build them at
it's true but let's not pretend NASA's work in spaceflight didn't get us most of the way to the cost performance curves that SpaceX is able to operate on. Propulsive vertical landing was the key missing ingredient https://x.com/PSouls2/status/1266816736407552001
@StephenBuell2 it’s also got a lot to do with SpaceX’s tech company esque willingness to use simple consumer grade hardware instead of having lots of custom built chips
@sonyasupposedly don't want to minimize the harms but the ancient Hindus and Schumpeter both understood that creation is the flipside of destruction -- we are coming out of an era of unprecedentedly bad governance, and there will be destruction before we can rebuild again
a certain someone was correct in his covid article — we don’t have a government in america, we have a free trade zone of competent companies and little else
@Imperial_Eagle2 I hope you realize though, the state did everything it could to avoid innovation. DoD tried to continue buying launch service from Boeing (corruption) even though it costed many times more. SpaceX actually had to sue the government into accepting their contracts
just absolutely heartwarming to see nytimes wreck itself like this after the journos shed so many crocodile tears about facebook's decision just a few days earlier
@RIPAOCummies "New: $62M (2020), Reused: approximately $50M (2019),"
I think they started pricing aggressively in 2016 assuming the whole propulsive landing thing would work out
@RIPAOCummies why wouldn't they break even? Even consider a couple billion dollars in R&D, they now have an effective monopoly at this price point and launch cadence
@RIPAOCummies I don't quite understand the argument though, because reusability R&D is a fixed cost that will potentially reduce costs permanently. why would you grade it on a per rocket basis?
@RIPAOCummies i.e. say my rocket launch costs $50 million and I sell it for $60 million. I invest $1billion to bring the costs down by $10m per launch. over 100 launches i've made my money back, is that not the case?
@marthsshinedair he makes some valid criticisms of our way of government, and the total incompetence with which the coronavirus situation has been handled. attacking him as alt right is not an argument
@JacksonKernion little bit of column A, little bit of column B
NYTimes are tremendous hypocrites, and twitter's "light touching" is imo useless, probably boosted his post far more than if they had left it alone
With this character's death, the thread of prophecy is severed. Restore a saved game to restore the weave of fate, or persist in the doomed world you have created,
@marthsshinedair imho it is absolutely clear our government is undergoing a legitimacy crisis rn due to a cascading set of failures. the stuff about how "this is a joke to anyone who has gotten anything done ever" really does hit hard. we stopped demanding competence from govt long ago
@visakanv for a lot of the greats, being Legible was not a priority. Newton jealously guarded his thoughts and only published papers at all when his friends yelled at him
@powerbottomdad1 I have an app timer on my browser. Then I found out you could open a WebView in any messaging app to browse the internet and it was a checkmate
@powerbottomdad1 I don’t think it’s that — the lockdowns just aren’t feasible for too long. At best, they were a stopgap measure for test and trace efforts to ramp up, which never happened
@similaralterity if you want RL theory, can't beat the classic Sutton and Barto. if you want modern Deep RL stuff, you mostly have to piece it together from a handful of blogs and research papers. BAIR has a lot of good stuff, as do Deepmind and OpenAI.
@eigenrobot many people i know seem to have esoteric, idiosyncratic health problems that detract from their quality of life moreso than any structural issues
@eigenrobot as a diaspora indian i've been rebelling during my formative years against cultural forces that aren't even relevant to me. why did I even care abt the 2000s internets' criticism of judeo-christian faiths? still dont know
@eigenrobot and the last thing is the strange co-opting of social justice mores by fellow second generation Asian-Americans, generally extremely high class folks who find the language of american progressives profitable to them
@eigenrobot jk ima keep going -- there is something about the experience of growing up on the internet that nobody has managed to capture very well, maybe outside of a couple of animes
corollary: everyone who grew up on the internet is too wired to ever sit down and do the self reflection it would take to explain it well https://x.com/tszzl/status/1269771843566780418
@aquariusacquah Yep, I was thinking of NHK and serial experiments lain. Maybe a bit of Eva. The Japanese discovered the social atomization of 2000s America long ago